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← Stats / NYI @ BUF

NYI @ BUF

Friday, November 1, 2024 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

New York Islanders
35-35-12 · Away
4 – 3
FINAL
Buffalo Sabres
36-39-7 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
NYI +100 · BUF -120
Puck Line
NYI +1.5 (-275) · BUF -1.5 (+195)
Total
O 5.5 (-120) · U (+100)

Graded: total 7 → OVER W · BUF -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 NYIo5.5 50%
5-5
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
40%
2-3
0%
0-3
50%
5-5
BUFo5.5 70%
7-3
100%
5-0
70%
7-3
67%
4-2
0%
0-3
63%
5-3-2
Puck Line
cover %
 NYI+1.5 60%
6-4
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
60%
3-2
33%
1-2
-7.07u
2-8
BUF-1.5 40%
4-6
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
50%
3-3
67%
2-1
-0.62u
5-5
Moneyline
win %
 NYI dog +100 30%
3-7
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
40%
2-3
33%
1-2
+0.40u
2-2
BUF fav -120 40%
4-6
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
50%
3-3
67%
2-1
+0.38u
2-1
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-115/u-115 FD 1.5 o-108/u-118 NYI 50%
5-5
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
40%
2-3
33%
1-2
50%
5-5
 1.80 1.00 / 0.80
BUF 70%
7-3
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
67%
4-2
33%
1-2
70%
7-3
 1.80 0.90 / 0.90
2nd Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-160/u+124 FD 1.5 o-168/u+132 NYI 30%
3-7
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
40%
2-3
67%
2-1
30%
3-7
 1.00 0.30 / 0.70
BUF 80%
8-2
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
67%
4-2
67%
2-1
80%
8-2
 2.60 1.40 / 1.20
3rd Period
over 1.5
 FD 1.5 o-182/u+142 NYI 60%
6-4
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
40%
2-3
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
 1.90 0.70 / 1.20
BUF 70%
7-3
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
67%
4-2
67%
2-1
0%
0-2
 2.30 0.90 / 1.40
Team Comparison '24-25
NYIBUF
Record (W-L-OTL)35-35-1236-39-7
Points %50.0%48.2%
Goals for / game2.733.28
Goals against / game3.173.52
Shots for / game29.527.8
Shots against / game28.728.9
Power play %12.6%18.8%
Penalty kill %72.2%76.3%
Faceoff %54.9%47.7%
1st period GF / GA0.70 / 0.821.12 / 0.83
2nd period GF / GA0.95 / 1.061.02 / 1.30
3rd period GF / GA1.00 / 1.151.05 / 1.30
Avg game total5.906.80
Starting Goalies from the box score
NYI · Ilya Sorokin
32 saves on 35 shots · 3 GA · W
BUF · Devon Levi
32 saves on 36 shots · 4 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
NYI1210361/4
BUF1020351/4
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
NYIPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Kyle Palmieri G 0.5
o+180
 40% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Anders Lee G 0.5
o+200
 30% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Brock Nelson G 0.5
o+165
 30% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Bo Horvat G 0.5
o+150
 30% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Pierre Engvall G 0.5
o+450
 14% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Jean-Gabriel Pageau G 0.5
o+375
 10% 10% 0%0/3 1 O
Hudson Fasching G 0.5
o+700
 9% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Maxim Tsyplakov G 0.5
o+350
 10% 10% — 1 O
Casey Cizikas G 0.5
o+575
 0% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Mike Reilly G 0.5
o+750
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Scott Mayfield G 0.5
o+1500
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Adam Pelech G 0.5
o+900
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Ryan Pulock G 0.5
o+850
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Oliver Wahlstrom G 0.5
o+600
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Noah Dobson G 0.5
o+475
 0% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Alexander Romanov G 0.5
o+1000
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Kyle MacLean G 0.5
o+700
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Simon Holmstrom G 0.5
o+400
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Kyle Palmieri PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 50% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Bo Horvat PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 50% 50% 33%1/3 2 O
Brock Nelson PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 40% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Noah Dobson PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 40% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Maxim Tsyplakov PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 40% 40% — 2 O
Anders Lee PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 30% 30% 0%0/3 2 O
Jean-Gabriel Pageau PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 30% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Noah Dobson A 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 40% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Kyle Palmieri A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 30% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Maxim Tsyplakov A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 30% 30% — 1 O
Brock Nelson A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 20% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Jean-Gabriel Pageau A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 20% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Bo Horvat A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 20% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Anders Lee A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 0% 0% 0%0/3 2 O
Anders Lee SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-130
 90% 90% 0%0/3 5 O
Brock Nelson SOG 2.5
o-135 / u+100
 80% 80% 33%1/3 3 O
Bo Horvat SOG 2.5
o-160 / u+120
 60% 60% 67%2/3 8 O
Noah Dobson SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 60% 60% 33%1/3 3 O
Kyle Palmieri SOG 2.5
o-140 / u+105
 50% 50% 67%2/3 3 O
Mike Reilly SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 50% 50% 0%0/1 0 U
Ilya Sorokin SV 26.5
o-125 / u-105
 60% 50% 50%1/2 32 O
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+150
 60% 60% 0%0/3 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+500
 40% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+225
 30% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Jordan Greenway G 0.5
o+425
 22% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
JJ Peterka G 0.5
o+180
 38% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+325
 20% 20% 0%0/2 1 O
Owen Power G 0.5
o+750
 20% 20% 0%0/3 1 O
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+800
 10% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Henri Jokiharju G 0.5
o+1300
 10% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1400
 10% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+475
 10% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+750
 11% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+1000
 10% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+375
 11% 10% — 0 U
Connor Clifton G 0.5
o+1600
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Nicolas Aube-Kubel G 0.5
o+900
 10% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Sam Lafferty G 0.5
o+850
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Dylan Cozens G 0.5
o+275
 0% 0% 67%2/3 1 O
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+135
 80% 80% 0%0/3 1 O
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 60% 60% 0%0/2 2 O
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 60% 60% 0%0/3 0 U
JJ Peterka PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 75% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 60% 60% 33%1/3 1 O
Jordan Greenway PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 44% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 40% 40% 100%3/3 1 O
Dylan Cozens PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 30% 30% 67%2/3 1 O
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 22% 30% — 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 50% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 50% 50% 0%0/3 1 O
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
 40% 40% 0%0/2 1 O
JJ Peterka A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 50% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Owen Power A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 40% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Jordan Greenway A 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 22% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 30% 30% 100%3/3 1 O
Dylan Cozens A 0.5
o+185 / u-260
 30% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 11% 20% — 0 U
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o-130 / u+100
 60% 60% 33%1/3 2 U
Dylan Cozens SOG 2.5
o-125 / u-110
 60% 60% 67%2/3 1 U
JJ Peterka SOG 2.5
o-175 / u+130
 38% 40% 67%2/3 4 O
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o-135 / u+105
 30% 30% 33%1/3 5 O
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o-105 / u-125
 20% 20% 100%3/3 1 U
Jason Zucker SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-175
 0% 0% 0%0/2 2 U
Devon Levi SV 27.5
o-110 / u-125
 43% 50% 0%0/1 32 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Mar 14, 2024 at BUF BUF 4–0 0–03–01–0 4 — BUF
Oct 21, 2023 at BUF BUF 3–1 0–02–01–1 4 — BUF
Oct 14, 2023 at NYI BUF 2–3 0–21–01–1 5 — NYI
Mar 25, 2023 at NYI BUF 2–0 0–00–02–0 2 — BUF
Mar 7, 2023 at NYI BUF 2–3 0–01–11–2 5 — NYI
Jan 19, 2023 at BUF BUF 3–2 OT 0–11–11–0 5 — BUF
Apr 23, 2022 at BUF BUF 5–3 1–13–01–2 8 — BUF
Feb 15, 2022 at BUF BUF 6–3 1–12–13–1 9 — BUF
Dec 30, 2021 at NYI BUF 1–4 1–10–20–1 5 — NYI
May 4, 2021 at BUF BUF 4–3 SO 1–11–21–0 7 — BUF