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OTT @ TBL

Tuesday, February 4, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Ottawa Senators
45-30-7 · Away
3 – 4
FINAL
Tampa Bay Lightning
47-27-8 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
OTT +150 · TBL -180
Puck Line
OTT +1.5 (-175) · TBL -1.5 (+135)
Total
O 5.5 (-110) · U (-110)

Graded: total 7 → OVER W · TBL -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 OTTo5.5 43%
23-30
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
36%
10-18
80%
4-1
36%
17-30-6
TBLo5.5 53%
27-24
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
52%
13-12
80%
4-1
43%
20-27-3
Puck Line
cover %
 OTT+1.5 70%
37-16
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
61%
17-11
80%
4-1
-11.06u
22-31
TBL-1.5 39%
20-31
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
48%
12-13
20%
1-4
+2.04u
25-25
Moneyline
win %
 OTT dog +150 55%
29-24
100%
5-0
70%
7-3
46%
13-15
80%
4-1
+4.66u
13-11
TBL fav -180 53%
27-24
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
64%
16-9
20%
1-4
-1.17u
21-14
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-115/u-115 FD 1.5 o-110/u-116 OTT 43%
23-30
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
39%
11-17
80%
4-1
43%
23-30
 1.55 0.83 / 0.72
TBL 45%
23-28
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
36%
9-16
80%
4-1
45%
23-28
 1.75 1.04 / 0.71
2nd Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-160/u+124 FD 1.5 o-164/u+128 OTT 57%
30-23
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
54%
15-13
80%
4-1
57%
30-23
 1.75 0.96 / 0.79
TBL 65%
33-18
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
68%
17-8
80%
4-1
57%
29-22
 2.22 1.20 / 1.02
3rd Period
over 1.5
 FD 1.5 o-192/u+150 OTT 66%
35-18
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
54%
15-13
80%
4-1
51%
24-23
 2.06 0.96 / 1.09
TBL 69%
35-16
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
76%
19-6
80%
4-1
36%
16-29
 2.14 1.14 / 1.00
Team Comparison '24-25
OTTTBL
Record (W-L-OTL)45-30-747-27-8
Points %59.1%62.2%
Goals for / game2.963.59
Goals against / game2.852.67
Shots for / game29.328.5
Shots against / game28.628.2
Power play %23.8%25.9%
Penalty kill %77.7%81.6%
Faceoff %53.1%50.1%
1st period GF / GA0.89 / 0.791.11 / 0.72
2nd period GF / GA0.96 / 0.931.22 / 0.94
3rd period GF / GA0.99 / 1.051.18 / 0.91
Avg game total5.826.26
Starting Goalies from the box score
34 saves on 37 shots · 3 GA · L
25 saves on 28 shots · 3 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
OTT1110281/2
TBL0220381/4
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
OTTPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Shane Pinto G 0.5
o+275
 18% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Ridly Greig G 0.5
o+375
 18% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Jake Sanderson G 0.5
o+550
 10% 30% 0%0/5 0 U
Tim Stützle G 0.5
o+230
 28% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Adam Gaudette G 0.5
o+525
 25% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Brady Tkachuk G 0.5
o+160
 34% 20% 80%4/5 0 U
Claude Giroux G 0.5
o+275
 17% 10% 20%1/5 1 O
David Perron G 0.5
o+375
 7% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Michael Amadio G 0.5
o+525
 7% 10% 0%0/3 1 O
Thomas Chabot G 0.5
o+600
 8% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Drake Batherson G 0.5
o+250
 23% 10% 60%3/5 1 O
Artem Zub G 0.5
o+1100
 7% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Zack Ostapchuk G 0.5
o+850
 3% 10% — 0 U
Travis Hamonic G 0.5
o+1200
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Matthew Highmore G 0.5
o+700
 8% 0% — 0 U
Cole Reinhardt G 0.5
o+850
 8% 0% — 0 U
Tyler Kleven G 0.5
o+1400
 4% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Shane Pinto PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 38% 70% 67%2/3 0 U
Claude Giroux PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 49% 60% 80%4/5 1 O
Jake Sanderson PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 46% 60% 80%4/5 1 O
Tim Stützle PTS 0.5
o-170 / u+130
 68% 60% 100%4/4 1 O
Thomas Chabot PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 39% 40% 25%1/4 2 O
Brady Tkachuk PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+110
 57% 30% 100%5/5 0 U
Drake Batherson PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 55% 20% 60%3/5 1 O
Claude Giroux A 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 40% 60% 60%3/5 0 U
Shane Pinto A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 24% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Jake Sanderson A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 44% 50% 80%4/5 1 O
Tim Stützle A 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 47% 50% 75%3/4 1 O
Thomas Chabot A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 37% 40% 25%1/4 2 O
Drake Batherson A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 43% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Brady Tkachuk A 0.5
o+165 / u-230
 34% 20% 80%4/5 0 U
Jake Sanderson SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 73% 80% 40%2/5 2 O
Thomas Chabot SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 69% 70% 0%0/4 3 O
Brady Tkachuk SOG 3.5
o-115 / u-115
 55% 70% 80%4/5 5 O
Shane Pinto SOG 1.5
o-190 / u+140
 62% 70% 67%2/3 0 U
Tim Stützle SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 59% 70% 25%1/4 2 O
Claude Giroux SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 64% 60% 80%4/5 3 O
Drake Batherson SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 60% 60% 80%4/5 2 O
Linus Ullmark SV 25.5
o-130 / u-105
 59% 70% 33%1/3 34 O
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+145
 42% 50% 75%3/4 0 U
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+115
 41% 40% 40%2/5 1 O
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+125
 52% 30% 60%3/5 0 U
Nick Paul G 0.5
o+250
 29% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Darren Raddysh G 0.5
o+600
 7% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+250
 36% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Mitchell Chaffee G 0.5
o+425
 19% 20% 100%2/2 0 U
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+500
 12% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+180
 33% 10% 0%0/5 1 O
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1200
 2% 0% 0%0/3 1 O
Cam Atkinson G 0.5
o+700
 9% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Luke Glendening G 0.5
o+850
 4% 0% 0%0/5 1 O
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+600
 0% 0% 20%1/5 0 U
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1200
 0% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Nick Perbix G 0.5
o+1300
 9% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+575
 3% 0% — 0 U
Emil Lilleberg G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-225 / u+165
 68% 60% 75%3/4 0 U
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-240 / u+175
 76% 60% 80%4/5 0 U
Darren Raddysh PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 40% 60% 20%1/5 0 U
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 57% 50% 40%2/5 2 O
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-190 / u+140
 67% 40% 40%2/5 1 O
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o-125 / u-110
 41% 30% 60%3/5 1 U
Nick Paul PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 53% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 50% 30% 60%3/5 1 O
Darren Raddysh A 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 37% 60% 20%1/5 0 U
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o-105 / u-130
 49% 50% 40%2/5 2 O
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 49% 40% 40%2/5 0 U
Nikita Kucherov A 1.5
o+170 / u-230
 31% 30% 40%2/5 0 U
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 40% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 37% 30% 60%3/5 0 U
Nick Paul A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 27% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 28% 10% 40%2/5 1 O
Nick Paul SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 58% 80% 40%2/5 0 U
Darren Raddysh SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 51% 80% 40%2/5 3 O
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 72% 80% 20%1/5 2 O
Victor Hedman SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-200
 45% 60% 60%3/5 4 O
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 55% 60% 20%1/5 4 O
Brayden Point SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-125
 50% 50% 60%3/5 2 U
Nikita Kucherov SOG 3.5
o+110 / u-150
 47% 40% 60%3/5 3 U
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-130
 44% 40% 50%2/4 6 O
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 24.5
o-130 / u+100
 44% 70% 0%0/2 25 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Oct 19, 2024 at OTT TBL 4–5 0–23–21–1 9 6.5 O OTT
Apr 11, 2024 at TBL TBL 2–3 SO 2–10–00–1 5 — OTT
Feb 19, 2024 at TBL TBL 2–4 0–21–11–1 6 — OTT
Nov 4, 2023 at OTT TBL 6–4 1–13–02–3 10 — TBL
Oct 15, 2023 at OTT TBL 2–5 0–12–20–2 7 — OTT
Apr 8, 2023 at OTT TBL 4–7 1–22–21–3 11 — OTT
Mar 23, 2023 at OTT TBL 2–7 0–21–11–4 9 — OTT
Nov 1, 2022 at TBL TBL 4–3 0–11–13–1 7 — TBL
Mar 1, 2022 at TBL TBL 5–2 2–22–01–0 7 — TBL
Dec 16, 2021 at TBL TBL 2–1 0–12–00–0 3 — TBL