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FLA -175 5-4-2
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5:00 PM
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6:00 PM
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7:00 PM
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← Stats / CGY @ TBL

CGY @ TBL

Thursday, February 27, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Calgary Flames
41-27-14 · Away
0 – 3
FINAL
Tampa Bay Lightning
47-27-8 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
CGY +180 · TBL -230
Puck Line
CGY +1.5 (-130) · TBL -1.5 (+105)
Total
O 5.5 (-130) · U (+105)

Graded: total 3 → OVER L · TBL -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 CGYo5.5 44%
25-32
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
42%
11-15
100%
3-0
38%
21-35-1
TBLo5.5 54%
31-26
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
52%
15-14
100%
3-0
45%
24-29-3
Puck Line
cover %
 CGY+1.5 67%
38-19
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
65%
17-9
67%
2-1
-2.66u
30-27
TBL-1.5 44%
25-32
100%
5-0
60%
6-4
52%
15-14
33%
1-2
+8.09u
30-26
Moneyline
win %
 CGY dog +180 49%
28-29
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
42%
11-15
67%
2-1
-5.75u
13-24
TBL fav -230 58%
33-24
100%
5-0
70%
7-3
69%
20-9
33%
1-2
+2.43u
27-14
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-130/u+100 FD 1.5 o-136/u+108 CGY 83%
47-10
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
92%
24-2
67%
2-1
44%
25-32
 1.44 0.67 / 0.77
TBL 90%
51-6
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
86%
25-4
67%
2-1
46%
26-31
 1.79 1.07 / 0.72
2nd Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-180/u+140 FD 1.5 o-176/u+138 CGY 86%
49-8
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
89%
23-3
100%
3-0
49%
28-29
 1.77 0.89 / 0.88
TBL 88%
50-7
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
86%
25-4
100%
3-0
56%
32-25
 2.19 1.21 / 0.98
3rd Period
over 0.5
 FD 2.5 o+160/u-210 CGY 93%
53-4
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
85%
22-4
100%
3-0
53%
27-24
 2.19 1.04 / 1.16
TBL 90%
51-6
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
90%
26-3
100%
3-0
37%
19-32
 2.18 1.23 / 0.95
Team Comparison '24-25
CGYTBL
Record (W-L-OTL)41-27-1447-27-8
Points %58.5%62.2%
Goals for / game2.743.59
Goals against / game2.902.67
Shots for / game29.428.5
Shots against / game28.928.2
Power play %21.0%25.9%
Penalty kill %76.1%81.6%
Faceoff %46.2%50.1%
1st period GF / GA0.67 / 0.781.11 / 0.72
2nd period GF / GA0.82 / 0.871.22 / 0.94
3rd period GF / GA1.13 / 1.091.18 / 0.91
Avg game total5.656.26
Starting Goalies from the box score
CGY · Dustin Wolf
19 saves on 21 shots · 2 GA · L
28 saves on 28 shots · 0 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
CGY0000280/3
TBL1020221/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
CGYPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Nazem Kadri G 0.5
o+190
 33% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Jonathan Huberdeau G 0.5
o+225
 35% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Connor Zary G 0.5
o+375
 24% 30% 100%2/2 0 U
Matt Coronato G 0.5
o+275
 23% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Blake Coleman G 0.5
o+300
 19% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Morgan Frost G 0.5
o+350
 21% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Joel Farabee G 0.5
o+425
 16% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Yegor Sharangovich G 0.5
o+375
 22% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
MacKenzie Weegar G 0.5
o+550
 11% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Joel Hanley G 0.5
o+1750
 3% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Rasmus Andersson G 0.5
o+700
 14% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Kevin Rooney G 0.5
o+1000
 9% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Kevin Bahl G 0.5
o+1200
 4% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Martin Pospisil G 0.5
o+700
 7% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Mikael Backlund G 0.5
o+425
 18% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Ryan Lomberg G 0.5
o+850
 2% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Brayden Pachal G 0.5
o+2000
 4% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Ilya Solovyov G 0.5
o+1500
 0% 0% — 0 U
Nazem Kadri PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 60% 80% 33%1/3 0 U
Jonathan Huberdeau PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 54% 70% 67%2/3 0 U
MacKenzie Weegar PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 42% 70% 67%2/3 0 U
Matt Coronato PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 44% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Yegor Sharangovich PTS 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 36% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Morgan Frost PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 41% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Blake Coleman PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 39% 20% 100%3/3 0 U
Rasmus Andersson PTS 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 30% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Mikael Backlund PTS 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 33% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
MacKenzie Weegar A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 37% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Nazem Kadri A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 32% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Jonathan Huberdeau A 0.5
o+165 / u-220
 32% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Yegor Sharangovich A 0.5
o+325 / u-500
 20% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Matt Coronato A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 29% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Mikael Backlund A 0.5
o+325 / u-500
 19% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Blake Coleman A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 26% 10% 67%2/3 0 U
Rasmus Andersson A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 21% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Morgan Frost A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 25% 10% 50%2/4 0 U
Nazem Kadri SOG 2.5
o-180 / u+135
 63% 80% 33%1/3 4 O
Jonathan Huberdeau SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+105
 61% 80% 67%2/3 5 O
Blake Coleman SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-180
 44% 60% 67%2/3 1 U
MacKenzie Weegar SOG 2.5
o+140 / u-190
 39% 60% 0%0/3 3 O
Matt Coronato SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-170
 40% 40% 0%0/2 2 U
Mikael Backlund SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+115
 65% 30% 67%2/3 2 O
Dustin Wolf SV 25.5
o-130 / u+100
 59% 50% — 19 U
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+145
 39% 60% 33%1/3 1 O
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+115
 41% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Nick Paul G 0.5
o+240
 33% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+125
 52% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+475
 15% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Luke Glendening G 0.5
o+700
 7% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+145
 39% 20% 100%2/2 0 U
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1000
 4% 20% 0%0/2 1 O
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+250
 35% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1000
 4% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+500
 2% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Michael Eyssimont G 0.5
o+525
 9% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Mitchell Chaffee G 0.5
o+550
 19% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Cam Atkinson G 0.5
o+600
 8% 0% 0%0/2 DNP
Darren Raddysh G 0.5
o+850
 6% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+475
 3% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+1100
 7% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Emil Lilleberg G 0.5
o+1500
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-240 / u+175
 77% 70% 67%2/3 0 U
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-240 / u+170
 70% 70% 33%1/3 2 O
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-200 / u+150
 66% 50% 100%2/2 1 O
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 53% 50% 67%2/3 1 O
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o-130 / u-105
 43% 40% 67%2/3 1 U
Nick Paul PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 55% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 56% 30% 100%2/2 2 O
Nikita Kucherov A 1.5
o+160 / u-220
 33% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 39% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 33% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 49% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 39% 30% 50%1/2 1 O
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 47% 20% 100%2/2 2 O
Nick Paul A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 24% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+115
 71% 70% 67%2/3 2 O
Victor Hedman SOG 1.5
o-200 / u+145
 66% 50% 100%2/2 4 O
Nick Paul SOG 1.5
o-130 / u+100
 55% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Brayden Point SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-120
 50% 50% 67%2/3 1 U
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o-120 / u-110
 54% 50% 67%2/3 2 U
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-130
 43% 30% 100%2/2 0 U
Nikita Kucherov SOG 3.5
o+125 / u-170
 44% 20% 33%1/3 4 O
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 25.5
o-125 / u-105
 47% 70% 0%0/3 28 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Dec 12, 2024 at CGY TBL 8–3 1–13–24–0 11 6.5 O TBL
Mar 7, 2024 at TBL TBL 3–6 1–11–31–2 9 — CGY
Dec 16, 2023 at CGY TBL 2–4 0–00–32–1 6 — CGY
Jan 21, 2023 at CGY TBL 3–6 0–12–21–3 9 — CGY
Nov 17, 2022 at TBL TBL 4–1 1–01–02–1 5 — TBL
Mar 10, 2022 at CGY TBL 1–4 0–11–20–1 5 — CGY
Jan 6, 2022 at TBL TBL 4–1 0–01–03–1 5 — TBL
Feb 29, 2020 at TBL TBL 4–3 1–03–20–1 7 — TBL
Feb 12, 2019 at TBL TBL 6–3 3–12–11–1 9 — TBL
Dec 20, 2018 at CGY TBL 5–4 SO 1–32–01–1 9 — TBL