BUF @ CAR
Thursday, February 27, 2025 · 6:00 PM CTHard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BUF +180 · CAR -230
Puck Line
BUF +1.5 (-145) · CAR -1.5 (+115)
Total
O 6.5 (-110) · U (-110)
Graded: total 7 → OVER W · CAR -1.5 W
Betting Trends Season
| Market | Team | Line | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs HR Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total Over 6.5 | BUF | o6.5 | 54% 30-26 | 60% 3-2 | 60% 6-4 | 42% 11-15 | 25% 1-3 | 63% 30-18-7 |
| CAR | o6.5 | 36% 21-37 | 40% 2-3 | 30% 3-7 | 39% 11-17 | 25% 1-3 | 42% 22-30-5 | |
| Puck Line cover % | BUF | +1.5 | 63% 35-21 | 80% 4-1 | 80% 8-2 | 50% 13-13 | 75% 3-1 | -7.43u 28-27 |
| CAR | -1.5 | 41% 24-34 | 20% 1-4 | 30% 3-7 | 57% 16-12 | 25% 1-3 | -0.82u 26-31 | |
| Moneyline win % | BUF dog | +180 | 43% 24-32 | 80% 4-1 | 70% 7-3 | 35% 9-17 | 50% 2-2 | -5.20u 14-23 |
| CAR fav | -230 | 57% 33-25 | 20% 1-4 | 40% 4-6 | 75% 21-7 | 50% 2-2 | -8.02u 29-23 |
Period Totals grade at
DK/FD line
0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
| Period | DK / FD | Team | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs DK/FD Close | Avg goals | GF / GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Period over 1.5 (DraftKings) |
DK 1.5 o-154/u+120 FD 1.5 o-156/u+122 | BUF | 63% 35-21 | 60% 3-2 | 60% 6-4 | 62% 16-10 | 25% 1-3 | 63% 35-21 | 1.95 | 1.20 / 0.75 |
| CAR | 52% 30-28 | 60% 3-2 | 70% 7-3 | 68% 19-9 | 25% 1-3 | 52% 30-28 | 1.69 | 0.79 / 0.90 | ||
| 2nd Period over 2.5 (DraftKings) |
DK 2.5 o+145/u-188 FD 2.5 o+150/u-196 | BUF | 36% 20-36 | 40% 2-3 | 30% 3-7 | 39% 10-16 | 25% 1-3 | 66% 37-19 | 2.23 | 0.96 / 1.27 |
| CAR | 26% 15-43 | 20% 1-4 | 20% 2-8 | 29% 8-20 | 25% 1-3 | 53% 31-27 | 2.00 | 1.12 / 0.88 | ||
| 3rd Period over 2.5 (FanDuel) |
FD 2.5 o+144/u-182 | BUF | 46% 26-30 | 60% 3-2 | 50% 5-5 | 39% 10-16 | 50% 2-2 | 50% 24-24 | 2.29 | 1.02 / 1.27 |
| CAR | 36% 21-37 | 40% 2-3 | 20% 2-8 | 39% 11-17 | 50% 2-2 | 47% 25-28 | 2.22 | 1.24 / 0.98 |
Team Comparison '24-25
| BUF | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W-L-OTL) | 36-39-7 | 47-30-5 |
| Points % | 48.2% | 60.4% |
| Goals for / game | 3.28 | 3.24 |
| Goals against / game | 3.52 | 2.84 |
| Shots for / game | 27.8 | 31.7 |
| Shots against / game | 28.9 | 24.9 |
| Power play % | 18.8% | 18.7% |
| Penalty kill % | 76.3% | 83.6% |
| Faceoff % | 47.7% | 52.6% |
| 1st period GF / GA | 1.12 / 0.83 | 0.83 / 0.90 |
| 2nd period GF / GA | 1.02 / 1.30 | 1.15 / 0.87 |
| 3rd period GF / GA | 1.05 / 1.30 | 1.21 / 1.01 |
| Avg game total | 6.80 | 6.09 |
Starting Goalies from the box score
BUF · Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
5 saves on 7 shots · 2 GA
CAR · Pyotr Kochetkov
13 saves on 15 shots · 2 GA · W
| P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SOG | PP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 1/3 |
| CAR | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 1/2 |
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
| BUF | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tage Thompson | G | 0.5 o+155 |
46% | 60% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Alex Tuch | G | 0.5 o+240 |
29% | 40% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Ryan McLeod | G | 0.5 o+425 |
21% | 40% | 67%2/3 | 0 U |
| JJ Peterka | G | 0.5 o+210 |
22% | 40% | 0%0/4 | 1 O |
| Jiri Kulich | G | 0.5 o+325 |
21% | 30% | — | 0 U |
| Henri Jokiharju | G | 0.5 o+1500 |
7% | 20% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | G | 0.5 o+425 |
17% | 20% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Bowen Byram | G | 0.5 o+850 |
11% | 20% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Sam Lafferty | G | 0.5 o+850 |
5% | 10% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Jordan Greenway | G | 0.5 o+500 |
14% | 10% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Mattias Samuelsson | G | 0.5 o+1200 |
8% | 10% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Dylan Cozens | G | 0.5 o+300 |
20% | 10% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Jack Quinn | G | 0.5 o+325 |
16% | 10% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Zach Benson | G | 0.5 o+400 |
18% | 10% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Dennis Gilbert | G | 0.5 o+2500 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Beck Malenstyn | G | 0.5 o+900 |
8% | 0% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Peyton Krebs | G | 0.5 o+650 |
7% | 0% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Owen Power | G | 0.5 o+650 |
11% | 0% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Tage Thompson | PTS | 0.5 o-155 / u+115 |
68% | 70% | 67%2/3 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | PTS | 0.5 o-125 / u-105 |
60% | 70% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| JJ Peterka | PTS | 0.5 o-130 / u+100 |
57% | 70% | 0%0/4 | 1 O |
| Owen Power | PTS | 0.5 o+150 / u-200 |
45% | 70% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Alex Tuch | PTS | 0.5 o-115 / u-115 |
55% | 60% | 75%3/4 | 1 O |
| Bowen Byram | PTS | 0.5 o+170 / u-230 |
41% | 40% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Dylan Cozens | PTS | 0.5 o+135 / u-185 |
41% | 40% | 67%2/3 | 0 U |
| Jack Quinn | PTS | 0.5 o+145 / u-195 |
33% | 40% | 0%0/1 | 1 O |
| Rasmus Dahlin | A | 0.5 o+115 / u-150 |
54% | 70% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Owen Power | A | 0.5 o+200 / u-275 |
38% | 70% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Tage Thompson | A | 0.5 o+165 / u-225 |
40% | 50% | 67%2/3 | 0 U |
| JJ Peterka | A | 0.5 o+160 / u-220 |
44% | 50% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Alex Tuch | A | 0.5 o+175 / u-240 |
38% | 40% | 50%2/4 | 0 U |
| Bowen Byram | A | 0.5 o+220 / u-300 |
34% | 40% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Dylan Cozens | A | 0.5 o+275 / u-400 |
27% | 30% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Jack Quinn | A | 0.5 o+275 / u-400 |
20% | 30% | 0%0/1 | 1 O |
| Alex Tuch | SOG | 1.5 o-165 / u+125 |
75% | 90% | 50%2/4 | 5 O |
| Tage Thompson | SOG | 2.5 o-130 / u-105 |
56% | 70% | 33%1/3 | 1 U |
| Jack Quinn | SOG | 1.5 o-115 / u-115 |
55% | 70% | 0%0/1 | 1 U |
| Dylan Cozens | SOG | 1.5 o-125 / u-105 |
63% | 60% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| JJ Peterka | SOG | 2.5 o+145 / u-195 |
41% | 60% | 0%0/4 | 2 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | SOG | 1.5 o-165 / u+125 |
60% | 40% | 75%3/4 | 1 U |
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | SV | 26.5 o-130 / u-105 |
37% | 30% | 67%2/3 | 5 U |
| CAR | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Aho | G | 0.5 o+145 |
33% | 50% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Seth Jarvis | G | 0.5 o+170 |
35% | 40% | 0%0/4 | 1 O |
| Jordan Martinook | G | 0.5 o+475 |
16% | 20% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Jaccob Slavin | G | 0.5 o+700 |
9% | 20% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Jack Roslovic | G | 0.5 o+325 |
28% | 20% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Eric Robinson | G | 0.5 o+500 |
21% | 20% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Jesperi Kotkaniemi | G | 0.5 o+375 |
17% | 20% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Andrei Svechnikov | G | 0.5 o+190 |
26% | 20% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Taylor Hall | G | 0.5 o+375 |
13% | 10% | 0%0/3 | 1 O |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | G | 0.5 o+800 |
14% | 10% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Mikko Rantanen | G | 0.5 o+140 |
32% | 10% | 50%2/4 | 1 O |
| Jalen Chatfield | G | 0.5 o+900 |
9% | 10% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Tyson Jost | G | 0.5 o+575 |
12% | 10% | — | 0 U |
| Jackson Blake | G | 0.5 o+275 |
19% | 10% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Brent Burns | G | 0.5 o+525 |
7% | 0% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Jordan Staal | G | 0.5 o+475 |
14% | 0% | 0%0/4 | 1 O |
| Dmitry Orlov | G | 0.5 o+1000 |
5% | 0% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Sean Walker | G | 0.5 o+850 |
3% | 0% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Sebastian Aho | PTS | 0.5 o-250 / u+180 |
65% | 60% | 50%2/4 | 1 O |
| Andrei Svechnikov | PTS | 0.5 o-160 / u+120 |
54% | 50% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Seth Jarvis | PTS | 0.5 o-170 / u+125 |
57% | 50% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Jesperi Kotkaniemi | PTS | 0.5 o+165 / u-225 |
40% | 40% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Jackson Blake | PTS | 0.5 o+120 / u-160 |
31% | 40% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Brent Burns | PTS | 0.5 o+115 / u-150 |
31% | 30% | 50%2/4 | 0 U |
| Taylor Hall | PTS | 0.5 o+160 / u-210 |
35% | 30% | 33%1/3 | 1 O |
| Jaccob Slavin | PTS | 0.5 o+155 / u-210 |
29% | 30% | 50%2/4 | 0 U |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | PTS | 0.5 o+165 / u-225 |
44% | 20% | 80%4/5 | 1 O |
| Mikko Rantanen | PTS | 1.5 o+170 / u-240 |
28% | 0% | 50%2/4 | 2 O |
| Andrei Svechnikov | A | 0.5 o+130 / u-175 |
37% | 50% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Jackson Blake | A | 0.5 o+240 / u-350 |
14% | 40% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Brent Burns | A | 0.5 o+155 / u-210 |
26% | 30% | 50%2/4 | 0 U |
| Mikko Rantanen | A | 0.5 o-120 / u-110 |
51% | 30% | 75%3/4 | 1 O |
| Sebastian Aho | A | 0.5 o-115 / u-120 |
49% | 30% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Seth Jarvis | A | 0.5 o+135 / u-180 |
31% | 30% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Taylor Hall | A | 0.5 o+275 / u-425 |
24% | 20% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | A | 0.5 o+210 / u-300 |
36% | 20% | 80%4/5 | 1 O |
| Jesperi Kotkaniemi | A | 0.5 o+300 / u-450 |
24% | 20% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Jaccob Slavin | A | 0.5 o+200 / u-275 |
22% | 10% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Jackson Blake | SOG | 1.5 o-130 / u+100 |
40% | 80% | 100%1/1 | 2 O |
| Mikko Rantanen | SOG | 2.5 o-155 / u+115 |
61% | 70% | 75%3/4 | 3 O |
| Taylor Hall | SOG | 1.5 o-135 / u+100 |
54% | 50% | 33%1/3 | 3 O |
| Sean Walker | SOG | 1.5 o-130 / u+100 |
47% | 40% | 33%1/3 | 1 U |
| Andrei Svechnikov | SOG | 2.5 o-110 / u-120 |
56% | 40% | 50%2/4 | 2 U |
| Brent Burns | SOG | 2.5 o+115 / u-150 |
33% | 30% | 25%1/4 | 4 O |
| Sebastian Aho | SOG | 2.5 o-110 / u-120 |
49% | 30% | 50%2/4 | 3 O |
| Seth Jarvis | SOG | 2.5 o+130 / u-175 |
45% | 30% | 0%0/4 | 3 O |
| Pyotr Kochetkov | SV | 22.5 o-110 / u-120 |
51% | 60% | 0%0/1 | 13 U |
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
| Date | Where | Score | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total | HR Close | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2025 | at BUF | CAR 2–4 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 2–1 | 6 | 6 P | BUF |
| Feb 25, 2024 | at BUF | CAR 2–3 SO | 1–0 | 0–1 | 1–1 | 5 | — | BUF |
| Dec 2, 2023 | at CAR | CAR 6–2 | 2–0 | 3–0 | 1–2 | 8 | — | CAR |
| Nov 7, 2023 | at CAR | CAR 3–2 OT | 1–0 | 0–1 | 1–1 | 5 | — | CAR |
| Apr 8, 2023 | at BUF | CAR 3–4 | 2–1 | 1–2 | 0–1 | 7 | — | BUF |
| Feb 1, 2023 | at BUF | CAR 5–1 | 3–1 | 0–0 | 2–0 | 6 | — | CAR |
| Nov 4, 2022 | at CAR | CAR 5–3 | 2–2 | 1–0 | 2–1 | 8 | — | CAR |
| Apr 7, 2022 | at CAR | CAR 5–3 | 0–2 | 2–1 | 3–0 | 8 | — | CAR |
| Apr 5, 2022 | at BUF | CAR 2–4 | 1–0 | 0–2 | 1–2 | 6 | — | BUF |
| Dec 4, 2021 | at CAR | CAR 6–2 | 2–1 | 3–1 | 1–0 | 8 | — | CAR |