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TBL @ WSH

Saturday, March 1, 2025 · 11:30 AM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Tampa Bay Lightning
47-27-8 · Away
3 – 1
FINAL
Washington Capitals
51-22-9 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TBL -115 · WSH -105
Puck Line
TBL -1.5 (+200) · WSH +1.5 (-300)
Total
O 6.5 (+105) · U (-130)

Graded: total 4 → OVER L · WSH +1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 TBLo6.5 41%
24-34
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
50%
14-14
40%
2-3
44%
24-30-3
WSHo6.5 44%
26-33
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
47%
14-16
40%
2-3
49%
27-28-4
Puck Line
cover %
 TBL-1.5 45%
26-32
100%
5-0
70%
7-3
36%
10-18
20%
1-4
+9.14u
31-26
WSH+1.5 85%
50-9
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
87%
26-4
80%
4-1
+8.54u
36-23
Moneyline
win %
 TBL fav -115 59%
34-24
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
46%
13-15
40%
2-3
+2.87u
28-14
WSH dog -105 64%
38-21
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
60%
18-12
60%
3-2
+14.25u
18-8
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-140/u+110 FD 1.5 o-138/u+108 TBL 45%
26-32
60%
3-2
30%
3-7
57%
16-12
60%
3-2
45%
26-32
 1.78 1.07 / 0.71
WSH 64%
38-21
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
67%
20-10
60%
3-2
64%
38-21
 1.97 1.10 / 0.86
2nd Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-200/u+154 FD 1.5 o-196/u+152 TBL 64%
37-21
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
61%
17-11
40%
2-3
55%
32-26
 2.16 1.19 / 0.97
WSH 63%
37-22
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
63%
19-11
40%
2-3
61%
36-23
 2.10 1.14 / 0.97
3rd Period
over 1.5
 FD 2.5 o+152/u-196 TBL 71%
41-17
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
64%
18-10
80%
4-1
37%
19-33
 2.17 1.24 / 0.93
WSH 56%
33-26
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
50%
15-15
80%
4-1
40%
21-32
 1.95 1.31 / 0.64
Team Comparison '24-25
TBLWSH
Record (W-L-OTL)47-27-851-22-9
Points %62.2%67.7%
Goals for / game3.593.51
Goals against / game2.672.83
Shots for / game28.527.6
Shots against / game28.227.2
Power play %25.9%23.5%
Penalty kill %81.6%82.0%
Faceoff %50.1%50.3%
1st period GF / GA1.11 / 0.721.10 / 0.96
2nd period GF / GA1.22 / 0.941.04 / 0.95
3rd period GF / GA1.18 / 0.911.28 / 0.80
Avg game total6.266.34
Starting Goalies from the box score
20 saves on 21 shots · 1 GA · W
16 saves on 18 shots · 2 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TBL1020191/3
WSH0010210/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+170
 40% 70% 40%2/5 1 O
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+155
 42% 40% 0%0/5 0 U
Nick Paul G 0.5
o+300
 33% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+160
 51% 40% 40%2/5 0 U
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1100
 6% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+575
 14% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Luke Glendening G 0.5
o+850
 7% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+190
 39% 20% 33%2/6 0 U
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+275
 34% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1200
 3% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+525
 2% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Michael Eyssimont G 0.5
o+600
 9% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Mitchell Chaffee G 0.5
o+650
 19% 10% 33%1/3 1 O
Darren Raddysh G 0.5
o+1100
 6% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+575
 3% 0% 0%0/1 1 O
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+1200
 7% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Emil Lilleberg G 0.5
o+1750
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-190 / u+140
 71% 80% 60%3/5 1 O
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 76% 70% 80%4/5 1 O
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 67% 60% 83%5/6 0 U
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 54% 60% 40%2/5 0 U
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 57% 40% 40%2/5 0 U
Nick Paul PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 54% 40% 50%2/4 1 O
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o+130 / u-175
 42% 30% 0%0/5 1 U
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-185 / u+135
 66% 50% 60%3/5 1 O
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 34% 50% 40%2/5 0 U
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 50% 50% 20%1/5 0 U
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 40% 40% 83%5/6 0 U
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 38% 40% 40%2/5 1 O
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 48% 30% 40%2/5 0 U
Nick Paul A 0.5
o+325 / u-475
 23% 0% 25%1/4 1 O
Nikita Kucherov SOG 2.5
o-170 / u+130
 73% 80% 40%2/5 0 U
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 71% 70% 20%1/5 1 U
Victor Hedman SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 66% 50% 100%5/5 2 O
Brayden Point SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-150
 49% 50% 60%3/5 3 O
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-135
 53% 50% 40%2/5 4 O
Nick Paul SOG 1.5
o+110 / u-145
 54% 40% 75%3/4 0 U
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-165
 42% 30% 67%4/6 2 U
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 24.5
o-110 / u-120
 50% 90% 80%4/5 20 U
WSHPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex Ovechkin G 0.5
o+115
 54% 60% 0%0/4 1 O
Tom Wilson G 0.5
o+195
 35% 50% 20%1/5 0 U
Dylan Strome G 0.5
o+230
 29% 50% 20%1/5 0 U
Pierre-Luc Dubois G 0.5
o+230
 22% 40% 0%0/4 0 U
Connor McMichael G 0.5
o+250
 29% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
Jakob Chychrun G 0.5
o+450
 30% 30% 0%0/6 0 U
Aliaksei Protas G 0.5
o+275
 34% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Lars Eller G 0.5
o+550
 12% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Nic Dowd G 0.5
o+650
 19% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Andrew Mangiapane G 0.5
o+525
 19% 10% 50%2/4 0 U
Taylor Raddysh G 0.5
o+575
 9% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Brandon Duhaime G 0.5
o+650
 12% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Martin Fehérváry G 0.5
o+1200
 3% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Ethen Frank G 0.5
o+575
 22% 10% — 0 U
John Carlson G 0.5
o+600
 7% 0% 40%2/5 0 U
Trevor van Riemsdyk G 0.5
o+1600
 0% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Matt Roy G 0.5
o+1100
 4% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Rasmus Sandin G 0.5
o+1100
 7% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
John Carlson PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 53% 90% 40%2/5 0 U
Dylan Strome PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 64% 90% 60%3/5 0 U
Alex Ovechkin PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+155
 65% 70% 25%1/4 1 O
Pierre-Luc Dubois PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 63% 70% 25%1/4 0 U
Connor McMichael PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 58% 70% 20%1/5 0 U
Tom Wilson PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 52% 60% 60%3/5 0 U
Aliaksei Protas PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 58% 60% 60%3/5 0 U
Jakob Chychrun PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 50% 40% 50%3/6 0 U
John Carlson A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 48% 90% 0%0/5 0 U
Dylan Strome A 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 51% 60% 60%3/5 0 U
Connor McMichael A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 34% 50% 0%0/5 0 U
Tom Wilson A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 29% 40% 60%3/5 0 U
Pierre-Luc Dubois A 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 51% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Aliaksei Protas A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 37% 40% 60%3/5 0 U
Jakob Chychrun A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 33% 30% 50%3/6 0 U
Alex Ovechkin A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 26% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Dylan Strome SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 61% 90% 80%4/5 1 U
Alex Ovechkin SOG 3.5
o-135 / u+100
 51% 70% 25%1/4 3 U
Aliaksei Protas SOG 1.5
o-130 / u+100
 49% 70% 60%3/5 3 O
Connor McMichael SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 56% 50% 60%3/5 3 O
John Carlson SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+125
 58% 40% 60%3/5 1 U
Tom Wilson SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-175
 36% 30% 40%2/5 2 U
Jakob Chychrun SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 43% 30% 33%2/6 1 U
Pierre-Luc Dubois SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 41% 20% 50%2/4 3 O
Logan Thompson SV 23.5
o-130 / u+100
 69% 60% — 16 U

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Nov 27, 2024 at TBL WSH 5–4 0–22–13–1 9 6.5 O WSH
Oct 26, 2024 at TBL WSH 0–3 0–00–10–2 3 6.5 U TBL
Apr 13, 2024 at WSH WSH 4–2 2–20–02–0 6 — WSH
Feb 22, 2024 at TBL WSH 5–3 2–01–12–2 8 — WSH
Dec 23, 2023 at WSH WSH 1–2 SO 0–11–00–0 3 — TBL
Mar 30, 2023 at TBL WSH 1–5 0–21–00–3 6 — TBL
Nov 13, 2022 at TBL WSH 3–6 0–41–02–2 9 — TBL
Nov 11, 2022 at WSH WSH 5–1 1–02–02–1 6 — WSH
Apr 6, 2022 at WSH WSH 4–3 3–21–00–1 7 — WSH
Nov 1, 2021 at TBL WSH 2–3 1–00–21–1 5 — TBL