← Stats / TOR @ VGK

TOR @ VGK

Wednesday, March 5, 2025 · 9:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Toronto Maple Leafs
52-26-4 · Away
2 – 5
FINAL
Vegas Golden Knights
50-22-10 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TOR +135 · VGK -160
Puck Line
TOR +1.5 (-185) · VGK -1.5 (+140)
Total
O 5.5 (-145) · U (+115)

Graded: total 7 → OVER W · VGK -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 TORo5.5 56%
34-27
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
69%
20-9
67%
2-1
47%
27-30-3
VGKo5.5 57%
34-26
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
48%
15-16
67%
2-1
47%
26-29-4
Puck Line
cover %
 TOR+1.5 72%
44-17
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
79%
23-6
67%
2-1
+3.73u
30-30
VGK-1.5 42%
25-35
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
55%
17-14
33%
1-2
+12.42u
35-24
Moneyline
win %
 TOR dog +135 62%
38-23
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
62%
18-11
67%
2-1
+3.55u
8-6
VGK fav -160 60%
36-24
80%
4-1
50%
5-5
71%
22-9
33%
1-2
+0.35u
28-15
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-130/u+100 FD 1.5 o-136/u+106 TOR 49%
30-31
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
62%
18-11
33%
1-2
49%
30-31
 1.75 0.85 / 0.90
VGK 52%
31-29
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
55%
17-14
33%
1-2
52%
31-29
 1.83 0.97 / 0.87
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-188/u+145 FD 1.5 o-186/u+144 TOR 66%
40-21
80%
4-1
50%
5-5
66%
19-10
67%
2-1
59%
36-25
 2.07 1.26 / 0.80
VGK 60%
36-24
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
52%
16-15
67%
2-1
58%
35-25
 1.93 0.97 / 0.97
3rd Period
over 1.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 1.5 o-215/u+162 TOR 66%
40-21
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
62%
18-11
100%
3-0
50%
27-27
 2.10 0.98 / 1.11
VGK 77%
46-14
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
74%
23-8
100%
3-0
57%
30-23
 2.17 1.33 / 0.83
Team Comparison '24-25
TORVGK
Record (W-L-OTL)52-26-450-22-10
Points %65.9%67.1%
Goals for / game3.273.35
Goals against / game2.822.67
Shots for / game28.030.3
Shots against / game29.326.1
Power play %24.8%28.3%
Penalty kill %77.9%75.7%
Faceoff %53.7%50.5%
1st period GF / GA0.88 / 0.840.99 / 0.77
2nd period GF / GA1.23 / 0.890.99 / 0.95
3rd period GF / GA1.02 / 1.041.33 / 0.83
Avg game total6.096.02
Starting Goalies from the box score
4 saves on 7 shots · 3 GA · L
VGK · Adin Hill
29 saves on 31 shots · 2 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TOR0110311/3
VGK3200251/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+220
 37% 60% 0%0/3 0 U
John Tavares G 0.5
o+200
 33% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
William Nylander G 0.5
o+155
 44% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+475
 10% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+325
 26% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+750
 12% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Mitch Marner G 0.5
o+230
 23% 20% 0%0/3 1 O
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+110
 44% 20% 50%1/2 1 O
Nick Robertson G 0.5
o+400
 19% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+850
 7% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1000
 4% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Max Domi G 0.5
o+475
 8% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Philippe Myers G 0.5
o+1200
 4% 10% — 0 U
Conor Timmins G 0.5
o+1400
 4% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
David Kampf G 0.5
o+800
 8% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Calle Jarnkrok G 0.5
o+550
 17% 0% — 0 U
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+850
 9% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+2000
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 69% 80% 67%2/3 1 O
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 43% 70% 0%0/3 0 U
William Nylander PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 62% 70% 100%3/3 1 O
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 53% 70% 0%0/3 0 U
Mitch Marner PTS 0.5
o-230 / u+165
 72% 60% 67%2/3 1 O
Max Domi PTS 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 36% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Bobby McMann PTS 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 40% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson PTS 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 35% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Auston Matthews PTS 1.5
o+175 / u-240
 30% 30% 0%0/2 1 U
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 48% 90% 0%0/2 0 U
John Tavares A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 43% 60% 33%1/3 1 O
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 34% 60% 0%0/3 0 U
Mitch Marner A 0.5
o-135 / u+105
 63% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Max Domi A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 32% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
William Nylander A 0.5
o+130 / u-170
 36% 40% 100%3/3 1 O
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 28% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 30% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Bobby McMann A 0.5
o+350 / u-550
 17% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o-125 / u-105
 57% 70% 50%1/2 6 O
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o+110 / u-145
 46% 60% 33%1/3 1 U
Mitch Marner SOG 1.5
o-200 / u+150
 63% 60% 33%1/3 3 O
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o+100 / u-135
 49% 50% 33%1/3 3 O
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 44% 40% 0%0/3 1 U
Bobby McMann SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 68% 40% 100%3/3 1 U
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o-125 / u-110
 59% 30% 67%2/3 3 O
Joseph Woll SV 26.5
o-110 / u-120
 42% 40% 100%1/1 4 U
VGKPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Tomas Hertl G 0.5
o+185
 33% 50% 0%0/3 1 O
Mark Stone G 0.5
o+200
 33% 30% — 0 U
Jack Eichel G 0.5
o+150
 29% 30% 0%0/1 1 O
Pavel Dorofeyev G 0.5
o+185
 33% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Brandon Saad G 0.5
o+325
 10% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Ivan Barbashev G 0.5
o+300
 28% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Brayden McNabb G 0.5
o+1200
 7% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Tanner Pearson G 0.5
o+525
 16% 10% 0%0/4 1 O
Noah Hanifin G 0.5
o+500
 10% 10% 0%0/3 1 O
Keegan Kolesar G 0.5
o+550
 17% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Nicolas Roy G 0.5
o+500
 14% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Nicolas Hague G 0.5
o+1000
 8% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Zach Whitecloud G 0.5
o+1200
 8% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Alex Pietrangelo G 0.5
o+650
 5% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Victor Olofsson G 0.5
o+400
 23% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Brett Howden G 0.5
o+400
 24% 0% 0%0/1 1 O
Kaedan Korczak G 0.5
o+1300
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Raphael Lavoie G 0.5
o+650
 0% 0% — 0 U
Tomas Hertl PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 57% 60% 0%0/3 2 O
Mark Stone PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+150
 67% 50% — 0 U
Noah Hanifin PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 33% 50% 33%1/3 2 O
Pavel Dorofeyev PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 43% 50% 0%0/1 1 O
Ivan Barbashev PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 48% 40% 67%2/3 1 O
Jack Eichel PTS 1.5
o+165 / u-230
 41% 40% 0%0/1 2 O
Brett Howden PTS 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 34% 40% 0%0/1 1 O
Brandon Saad PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 28% 30% 50%2/4 1 O
Alex Pietrangelo PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 33% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Noah Hanifin A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 27% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Jack Eichel A 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 61% 40% 0%0/1 1 O
Brett Howden A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 17% 40% 0%0/1 0 U
Mark Stone A 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 54% 30% — 0 U
Ivan Barbashev A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
 30% 30% 33%1/3 1 O
Pavel Dorofeyev A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 18% 30% 0%0/1 1 O
Tomas Hertl A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 32% 20% 0%0/3 1 O
Alex Pietrangelo A 0.5
o+185 / u-260
 28% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Brandon Saad A 0.5
o+300 / u-475
 18% 10% 25%1/4 1 O
Mark Stone SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 65% 90% — 0 U
Tomas Hertl SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-150
 45% 50% 33%1/3 1 U
Noah Hanifin SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 58% 50% 33%1/3 2 O
Pavel Dorofeyev SOG 2.5
o-120 / u-110
 63% 50% 0%0/1 2 U
Alex Pietrangelo SOG 1.5
o-130 / u+100
 54% 40% 100%3/3 1 U
Jack Eichel SOG 3.5
o+130 / u-175
 42% 40% 0%0/1 6 O
Adin Hill SV 23.5
o-125 / u-105
 47% 70% 33%1/3 29 O

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Nov 20, 2024 at TOR VGK 0–3 0–10–00–2 3 6 U TOR
Feb 27, 2024 at TOR VGK 6–2 0–03–13–1 8 — VGK
Feb 22, 2024 at VGK VGK 3–7 0–41–22–1 10 — TOR
Nov 8, 2022 at TOR VGK 4–3 OT 2–10–21–0 7 — VGK
Oct 24, 2022 at VGK VGK 3–1 1–00–12–0 4 — VGK
Jan 11, 2022 at VGK VGK 3–4 SO 1–10–22–0 7 — TOR
Nov 2, 2021 at TOR VGK 0–4 0–10–20–1 4 — TOR
Nov 19, 2019 at VGK VGK 4–2 0–01–03–2 6 — VGK
Nov 7, 2019 at TOR VGK 1–2 OT 0–00–01–1 3 — TOR
Feb 14, 2019 at VGK VGK 3–6 0–12–21–3 9 — TOR