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BOS @ TBL

Saturday, March 8, 2025 · 2:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Boston Bruins
33-39-10 · Away
4 – 0
FINAL
Tampa Bay Lightning
47-27-8 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BOS +225 · TBL -300
Puck Line
BOS +1.5 (+100) · TBL -1.5 (-120)
Total
O 5.5 (-130) · U (+105)

Graded: total 4 → OVER L · TBL -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 BOSo5.5 50%
32-32
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
53%
16-14
50%
3-3
48%
30-32-1
TBLo5.5 53%
33-29
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
53%
17-15
50%
3-3
45%
26-32-3
Puck Line
cover %
 BOS+1.5 69%
44-20
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
57%
17-13
67%
4-2
-11.94u
29-34
TBL-1.5 45%
28-34
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
53%
17-15
33%
2-4
+12.01u
34-27
Moneyline
win %
 BOS dog +225 44%
28-36
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
33%
10-20
33%
2-4
-11.05u
10-23
TBL fav -300 60%
37-25
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
72%
23-9
67%
4-2
+4.79u
31-14
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-130/u+100 FD 1.5 o-122/u-104 BOS 77%
49-15
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
77%
23-7
83%
5-1
59%
38-26
 1.73 0.84 / 0.89
TBL 89%
55-7
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
88%
28-4
83%
5-1
45%
28-34
 1.81 1.08 / 0.73
2nd Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-180/u+140 FD 1.5 o-166/u+130 BOS 89%
57-7
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
90%
27-3
100%
6-0
58%
37-27
 1.86 0.84 / 1.02
TBL 86%
53-9
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
84%
27-5
100%
6-0
57%
35-27
 2.18 1.19 / 0.98
3rd Period
over 0.5
 FD 1.5 o-186/u+146 BOS 89%
57-7
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
93%
28-2
83%
5-1
47%
27-30
 2.05 0.89 / 1.16
TBL 90%
56-6
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
91%
29-3
83%
5-1
36%
20-36
 2.15 1.26 / 0.89
Team Comparison '24-25
BOSTBL
Record (W-L-OTL)33-39-1047-27-8
Points %46.3%62.2%
Goals for / game2.713.59
Goals against / game3.322.67
Shots for / game26.528.5
Shots against / game28.628.2
Power play %15.2%25.9%
Penalty kill %76.3%81.6%
Faceoff %51.8%50.1%
1st period GF / GA0.83 / 0.871.11 / 0.72
2nd period GF / GA0.87 / 1.111.22 / 0.94
3rd period GF / GA0.93 / 1.221.18 / 0.91
Avg game total6.026.26
Starting Goalies from the box score
25 saves on 25 shots · 0 GA · W
21 saves on 24 shots · 3 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
BOS0130250/1
TBL0000250/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
BOSPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Morgan Geekie G 0.5
o+200
 32% 60% 20%1/5 0 U
David Pastrnak G 0.5
o+105
 41% 40% 50%3/6 0 U
Elias Lindholm G 0.5
o+260
 17% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Vinni Lettieri G 0.5
o+650
 22% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Casey Mittelstadt G 0.5
o+425
 18% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Henri Jokiharju G 0.5
o+1400
 7% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Nikita Zadorov G 0.5
o+1000
 5% 10% 0%0/3 1 O
Jakub Lauko G 0.5
o+800
 8% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Marat Khusnutdinov G 0.5
o+600
 4% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Mason Lohrei G 0.5
o+700
 7% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Patrick Brown G 0.5
o+900
 0% 0% — 0 U
Pavel Zacha G 0.5
o+300
 17% 0% 33%2/6 0 U
Parker Wotherspoon G 0.5
o+1400
 3% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Andrew Peeke G 0.5
o+1200
 2% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Ian Mitchell G 0.5
o+1750
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Mark Kastelic G 0.5
o+700
 6% 0% 0%0/4 1 O
Cole Koepke G 0.5
o+700
 13% 0% 0%0/2 2 O
John Beecher G 0.5
o+900
 5% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Morgan Geekie PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 48% 70% 20%1/5 0 U
Pavel Zacha PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 44% 60% 67%4/6 0 U
Elias Lindholm PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-130
 39% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
David Pastrnak PTS 1.5
o+135 / u-180
 33% 30% 67%4/6 1 U
Mason Lohrei PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 37% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
David Pastrnak A 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 53% 70% 67%4/6 1 O
Pavel Zacha A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 36% 60% 50%3/6 0 U
Elias Lindholm A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 28% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Mason Lohrei A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 32% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Morgan Geekie A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 22% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Elias Lindholm SOG 1.5
o-190 / u+140
 52% 80% 100%3/3 2 O
Mason Lohrei SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 36% 80% 0%0/3 1 U
David Pastrnak SOG 4.5
o+115 / u-155
 45% 50% 33%2/6 4 U
Pavel Zacha SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-115
 55% 50% 83%5/6 1 U
Morgan Geekie SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-175
 31% 50% 20%1/5 0 U
Jeremy Swayman SV 25.5
o-120 / u-110
 40% 50% 100%3/3 25 U
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+170
 39% 60% 33%2/6 0 U
Nick Paul G 0.5
o+300
 32% 50% 17%1/6 0 U
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+125
 41% 40% 50%3/6 0 U
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+130
 49% 40% 60%3/5 0 U
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+475
 15% 30% 17%1/6 DNP
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+145
 39% 30% 60%3/5 0 U
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1000
 5% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Mitchell Chaffee G 0.5
o+500
 21% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+450
 16% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand G 0.5
o+325
 24% 20% 50%2/4 0 U
Luke Glendening G 0.5
o+800
 7% 10% 0%0/6 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+650
 2% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Darren Raddysh G 0.5
o+650
 7% 10% 0%0/6 0 U
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+300
 32% 10% 17%1/6 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+525
 5% 10% — 0 U
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1100
 3% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+1000
 6% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Emil Lilleberg G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-225 / u+165
 77% 90% 60%3/5 0 U
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-200 / u+150
 69% 80% 67%4/6 0 U
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-200 / u+150
 67% 70% 60%3/5 0 U
Nick Paul PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 54% 60% 67%4/6 0 U
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o+110 / u-145
 42% 50% 33%2/6 0 U
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 50% 50% 50%3/6 0 U
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 55% 40% 67%4/6 DNP
Oliver Bjorkstrand PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 48% 40% 75%3/4 0 U
Darren Raddysh PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 39% 40% 17%1/6 0 U
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-200 / u+150
 66% 60% 67%4/6 0 U
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 40% 60% 0%0/5 0 U
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 41% 50% 0%0/5 0 U
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+185 / u-260
 32% 50% 33%2/6 0 U
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 48% 50% 67%4/6 0 U
Darren Raddysh A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 37% 40% 17%1/6 0 U
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 47% 30% 67%4/6 DNP
Oliver Bjorkstrand A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 32% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Nick Paul A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 25% 20% 50%3/6 0 U
Nikita Kucherov SOG 2.5
o-165 / u+125
 71% 70% 83%5/6 3 O
Brayden Point SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-150
 49% 50% 20%1/5 2 U
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o-130 / u+100
 68% 50% 50%3/6 1 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 68% 40% 75%3/4 2 O
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-135
 53% 40% 83%5/6 6 O
Victor Hedman SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-195
 43% 30% 50%3/6 DNP
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-150
 43% 30% 60%3/5 2 U
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 23.5
o-120 / u-110
 57% 80% 40%2/5 21 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Jan 14, 2025 at BOS TBL 2–6 0–22–20–2 8 5.5 O BOS
Jan 9, 2025 at TBL TBL 4–1 0–02–02–1 5 6 U TBL
Mar 27, 2024 at TBL TBL 3–1 1–11–01–0 4 — TBL
Feb 13, 2024 at BOS TBL 3–2 SO 1–01–20–0 5 — TBL
Jan 6, 2024 at BOS TBL 3–7 1–22–20–3 10 — BOS
Nov 20, 2023 at TBL TBL 5–4 OT 1–11–02–3 9 — TBL
Mar 25, 2023 at BOS TBL 1–2 1–10–10–0 3 — BOS
Jan 26, 2023 at TBL TBL 3–2 1–00–12–1 5 — TBL
Nov 29, 2022 at BOS TBL 1–3 0–11–00–2 4 — BOS
Nov 21, 2022 at TBL TBL 3–5 1–10–32–1 8 — BOS