← Stats / BUF @ FLA

BUF @ FLA

Saturday, March 8, 2025 · 5:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Buffalo Sabres
36-39-7 · Away
0 – 4
FINAL
Florida Panthers
47-31-4 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BUF +200 · FLA -275
Puck Line
BUF +1.5 (-110) · FLA -1.5 (-110)
Total
O 6.5 (+105) · U (-130)

Graded: total 4 → OVER L · FLA -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 BUFo6.5 56%
34-27
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
48%
14-15
40%
2-3
64%
34-19-7
FLAo6.5 43%
27-36
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
33%
11-22
40%
2-3
48%
30-32-1
Puck Line
cover %
 BUF+1.5 61%
37-24
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
52%
15-14
60%
3-2
-9.16u
30-30
FLA-1.5 43%
27-36
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
46%
15-18
40%
2-3
-0.27u
30-33
Moneyline
win %
 BUF dog +200 39%
24-37
0%
0-5
40%
4-6
31%
9-20
20%
1-4
-8.20u
14-26
FLA fav -275 62%
39-24
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
64%
21-12
80%
4-1
-1.62u
32-19
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-145/u+114 FD 1.5 o-150/u+118 BUF 62%
38-23
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
66%
19-10
80%
4-1
62%
38-23
 1.98 1.16 / 0.82
FLA 56%
35-28
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
46%
15-18
80%
4-1
56%
35-28
 1.81 0.98 / 0.83
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-200/u+154 FD 1.5 o-200/u+154 BUF 72%
44-17
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
76%
22-7
40%
2-3
66%
40-21
 2.30 0.98 / 1.31
FLA 60%
38-25
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
70%
23-10
40%
2-3
57%
36-27
 2.11 1.16 / 0.95
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+150/u-192 BUF 44%
27-34
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
35%
10-19
0%
0-5
47%
25-28
 2.28 1.00 / 1.28
FLA 30%
19-44
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
21%
7-26
0%
0-5
53%
29-26
 1.98 1.08 / 0.90
Team Comparison '24-25
BUFFLA
Record (W-L-OTL)36-39-747-31-4
Points %48.2%59.8%
Goals for / game3.283.07
Goals against / game3.522.72
Shots for / game27.831.6
Shots against / game28.926.2
Power play %18.8%23.5%
Penalty kill %76.3%80.7%
Faceoff %47.7%49.5%
1st period GF / GA1.12 / 0.830.89 / 0.85
2nd period GF / GA1.02 / 1.301.13 / 0.88
3rd period GF / GA1.05 / 1.300.93 / 0.94
Avg game total6.805.79
Starting Goalies from the box score
32 saves on 35 shots · 3 GA · L
21 saves on 21 shots · 0 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
BUF0000210/2
FLA1210360/1
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+200
 33% 70% 20%1/5 0 U
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+160
 47% 50% 40%2/5 0 U
JJ Peterka G 0.5
o+210
 25% 50% 0%0/4 0 U
Josh Norris G 0.5
o+300
 32% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+450
 19% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
Nico Sturm G 0.5
o+575
 15% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+475
 19% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+1000
 10% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+600
 8% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+350
 15% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Connor Clifton G 0.5
o+1750
 0% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Sam Lafferty G 0.5
o+800
 5% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+900
 7% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Jacob Bryson G 0.5
o+2000
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1200
 7% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+750
 10% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+475
 16% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 57% 80% 40%2/5 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 62% 80% 80%4/5 0 U
JJ Peterka PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 61% 80% 25%1/4 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 67% 60% 60%3/5 0 U
Josh Norris PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 47% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 41% 40% 75%3/4 0 U
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 38% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 55% 70% 60%3/5 0 U
JJ Peterka A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 48% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Owen Power A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 34% 40% 75%3/4 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 34% 30% 40%2/5 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 36% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 31% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Josh Norris A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 23% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-165
 41% 70% 60%3/5 3 O
Tage Thompson SOG 2.5
o-165 / u+125
 55% 60% 80%4/5 1 U
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-180
 49% 40% 60%3/5 2 U
JJ Peterka SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 39% 30% 50%2/4 2 U
Vitek Vanecek SV 22.5
o-115 / u-115
 77% 70% 100%1/1 21 U
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen SV 27.5
o-120 / u-110
 29% 10% 67%2/3 32 O
FLAPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Aleksander Barkov G 0.5
o+155
 30% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich G 0.5
o+225
 20% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Sam Bennett G 0.5
o+160
 30% 30% 60%3/5 1 O
Carter Verhaeghe G 0.5
o+190
 21% 20% 50%2/4 1 O
Seth Jones G 0.5
o+550
 16% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Sam Reinhart G 0.5
o+130
 43% 20% 40%2/5 0 U
Gustav Forsling G 0.5
o+600
 14% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Evan Rodrigues G 0.5
o+275
 22% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Anton Lundell G 0.5
o+300
 21% 20% 40%2/5 1 O
Nate Schmidt G 0.5
o+1000
 8% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen G 0.5
o+425
 13% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Dmitry Kulikov G 0.5
o+1400
 5% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Tomas Nosek G 0.5
o+750
 2% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Aaron Ekblad G 0.5
o+525
 6% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
A.J. Greer G 0.5
o+750
 8% 0% 0%0/4 1 O
Niko Mikkola G 0.5
o+900
 7% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Jesper Boqvist G 0.5
o+475
 17% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Aaron Ekblad PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 44% 70% 0%0/4 1 O
Aleksander Barkov PTS 1.5
o+150 / u-200
 30% 60% 50%2/4 1 U
Sam Bennett PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+125
 54% 60% 60%3/5 1 O
Mackie Samoskevich PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 33% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 49% 40% 75%3/4 1 O
Anton Lundell PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-145
 50% 40% 60%3/5 1 O
Gustav Forsling PTS 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 32% 30% 40%2/5 0 U
Evan Rodrigues PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 35% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Seth Jones PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 48% 20% 50%2/4 0 U
Sam Reinhart PTS 1.5
o+180 / u-250
 25% 20% 20%1/5 1 U
Aaron Ekblad A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 42% 70% 0%0/4 1 O
Sam Reinhart A 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 44% 70% 80%4/5 1 O
Aleksander Barkov A 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 57% 50% 75%3/4 1 O
Sam Bennett A 0.5
o+145 / u-190
 33% 50% 20%1/5 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 41% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Anton Lundell A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 36% 30% 40%2/5 0 U
Evan Rodrigues A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 19% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Seth Jones A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 39% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Gustav Forsling A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 18% 10% 40%2/5 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 15% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Sam Bennett SOG 2.5
o-170 / u+125
 66% 80% 80%4/5 2 U
Mackie Samoskevich SOG 1.5
o-190 / u+140
 43% 80% 0%0/2 1 U
Aaron Ekblad SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 53% 70% 50%2/4 0 U
Gustav Forsling SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 78% 70% 40%2/5 1 U
Seth Jones SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+105
 59% 60% 75%3/4 4 O
Sam Reinhart SOG 2.5
o-120 / u-110
 51% 60% 60%3/5 3 O
Carter Verhaeghe SOG 2.5
o-130 / u-105
 57% 50% 25%1/4 5 O
Evan Rodrigues SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-180
 30% 50% 80%4/5 0 U
Anton Lundell SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 55% 50% 40%2/5 2 O
Aleksander Barkov SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-175
 42% 30% 25%1/4 1 U

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Oct 28, 2024 at BUF FLA 5–2 2–01–22–0 7 6 O FLA
Oct 12, 2024 at BUF FLA 2–5 1–21–20–1 7 6 O BUF
Apr 13, 2024 at FLA FLA 3–2 OT 2–20–00–0 5 — FLA
Feb 27, 2024 at FLA FLA 3–2 2–10–01–1 5 — FLA
Feb 15, 2024 at BUF FLA 4–0 1–01–02–0 4 — FLA
Apr 4, 2023 at FLA FLA 2–1 1–10–01–0 3 — FLA
Feb 24, 2023 at FLA FLA 1–3 0–00–21–1 4 — BUF
Jan 16, 2023 at BUF FLA 4–1 1–01–02–1 5 — FLA
Oct 15, 2022 at BUF FLA 4–3 2–22–10–0 7 — FLA
Apr 8, 2022 at FLA FLA 4–3 1–32–01–0 7 — FLA