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← Stats / BUF @ DET

BUF @ DET

Wednesday, March 12, 2025 · 6:30 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Buffalo Sabres
36-39-7 · Away
3 – 7
FINAL
Detroit Red Wings
39-35-8 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BUF +130 · DET -150
Puck Line
BUF +1.5 (-185) · DET -1.5 (+140)
Total
O 6.5 (-115) · U (-105)

Graded: total 10 → OVER W · DET -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 BUFo6.5 54%
34-29
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
47%
14-16
57%
4-3
62%
34-21-7
DETo6.5 42%
27-37
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
50%
17-17
57%
4-3
53%
32-29-3
Puck Line
cover %
 BUF+1.5 60%
38-25
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
50%
15-15
57%
4-3
-9.56u
31-31
DET-1.5 27%
17-47
0%
0-5
0%
0-10
32%
11-23
43%
3-4
+1.40u
38-26
Moneyline
win %
 BUF dog +130 40%
25-38
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
30%
9-21
29%
2-5
-7.65u
15-27
DET fav -150 47%
30-34
0%
0-5
20%
2-8
47%
16-18
71%
5-2
-3.15u
8-9
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-145/u+114 FD 1.5 o-154/u+122 BUF 60%
38-25
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
63%
19-11
71%
5-2
60%
38-25
 1.95 1.14 / 0.81
DET 59%
38-26
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
56%
19-15
71%
5-2
59%
38-26
 1.98 0.95 / 1.03
2nd Period
over 1.5
 DK 2.5 o+145/u-188 FD 2.5 o+158/u-205 BUF 73%
46-17
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
77%
23-7
86%
6-1
67%
42-21
 2.30 0.97 / 1.33
DET 56%
36-28
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
59%
20-14
86%
6-1
48%
31-33
 1.83 0.81 / 1.02
3rd Period
over 1.5
 FD 2.5 o+148/u-190 BUF 65%
41-22
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
63%
19-11
43%
3-4
46%
25-30
 2.24 0.98 / 1.25
DET 59%
38-26
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
56%
19-15
43%
3-4
45%
26-32
 2.00 0.95 / 1.05
Team Comparison '24-25
BUFDET
Record (W-L-OTL)36-39-739-35-8
Points %48.2%52.4%
Goals for / game3.282.90
Goals against / game3.523.16
Shots for / game27.827.4
Shots against / game28.928.5
Power play %18.8%27.0%
Penalty kill %76.3%70.1%
Faceoff %47.7%48.9%
1st period GF / GA1.12 / 0.830.95 / 0.98
2nd period GF / GA1.02 / 1.300.80 / 1.01
3rd period GF / GA1.05 / 1.301.04 / 1.07
Avg game total6.806.06
Starting Goalies from the box score
22 saves on 29 shots · 7 GA · L
DET · Petr Mrazek
23 saves on 26 shots · 3 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
BUF2100261/3
DET3130293/6
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+190
 33% 70% 33%2/6 0 U
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+155
 47% 50% 57%4/7 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+375
 18% 40% 17%1/6 0 U
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+260
 27% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Josh Norris G 0.5
o+260
 31% 30% 33%2/6 1 O
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+375
 18% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+600
 8% 10% 0%0/7 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+900
 10% 10% 29%2/7 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+325
 14% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Jiri Kulich G 0.5
o+300
 21% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Connor Clifton G 0.5
o+1600
 0% 0% 17%1/6 0 U
Sam Lafferty G 0.5
o+850
 4% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Jordan Greenway G 0.5
o+575
 11% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+900
 7% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Jacob Bryson G 0.5
o+1750
 0% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1200
 7% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+700
 10% 0% 0%0/7 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+400
 16% 0% 40%2/5 1 O
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 56% 70% 50%2/4 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 57% 70% 67%4/6 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 60% 60% 67%4/6 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-170 / u+125
 67% 50% 86%6/7 2 O
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 42% 50% 20%1/5 1 O
Josh Norris PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 47% 40% 50%3/6 1 O
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 32% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+185 / u-260
 40% 30% 29%2/7 1 O
Jiri Kulich PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 30% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 37% 10% 29%2/7 1 O
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 38% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 53% 50% 50%3/6 0 U
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 27% 40% 20%1/5 1 O
Josh Norris A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 24% 30% 33%2/6 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 21% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Owen Power A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 33% 30% 29%2/7 1 O
Jiri Kulich A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 13% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 33% 10% 33%2/6 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 35% 10% 43%3/7 1 O
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 30% 10% 0%0/7 1 O
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-130
 43% 70% 67%4/6 2 U
Jiri Kulich SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 72% 70% 50%1/2 2 O
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 56% 60% 100%4/4 1 U
Tage Thompson SOG 2.5
o-180 / u+135
 54% 60% 57%4/7 3 O
Jack Quinn SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 52% 50% 67%2/3 1 U
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 47% 40% 67%4/6 5 O
Josh Norris SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 49% 20% 83%5/6 1 U
Petr Mrazek SV 24.5
o-120 / u-115
 52% 60% 25%1/4 23 U
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen SV 24.5
o-110 / u-120
 51% 40% 0%0/5 22 U
DETPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex DeBrincat G 0.5
o+145
 39% 50% 29%2/7 1 O
Dylan Larkin G 0.5
o+130
 38% 40% 60%3/5 0 U
Patrick Kane G 0.5
o+200
 26% 30% 33%2/6 2 O
Craig Smith G 0.5
o+400
 20% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Vladimir Tarasenko G 0.5
o+325
 11% 20% 29%2/7 1 O
Michael Rasmussen G 0.5
o+425
 15% 20% 33%2/6 0 U
J.T. Compher G 0.5
o+375
 12% 10% 0%0/7 0 U
Moritz Seider G 0.5
o+525
 9% 10% 29%2/7 1 O
Elmer Soderblom G 0.5
o+425
 17% 10% — 0 U
Lucas Raymond G 0.5
o+170
 33% 10% 71%5/7 0 U
Simon Edvinsson G 0.5
o+1000
 10% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Marco Kasper G 0.5
o+300
 15% 10% 0%0/3 2 O
Ben Chiarot G 0.5
o+1000
 5% 0% 14%1/7 0 U
Justin Holl G 0.5
o+2000
 2% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Erik Gustafsson G 0.5
o+1000
 4% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Tyler Motte G 0.5
o+700
 5% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Albert Johansson G 0.5
o+1200
 2% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Dominik Shine G 0.5
o+750
 0% — — 0 U
Patrick Kane PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+125
 46% 60% 67%4/6 5 O
Alex DeBrincat PTS 0.5
o-190 / u+140
 59% 60% 57%4/7 4 O
Dylan Larkin PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+155
 64% 50% 80%4/5 3 O
Lucas Raymond PTS 0.5
o-220 / u+165
 67% 50% 100%7/7 2 O
Vladimir Tarasenko PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 36% 40% 29%2/7 1 O
Moritz Seider PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 44% 40% 57%4/7 1 O
J.T. Compher PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 33% 30% 29%2/7 0 U
Elmer Soderblom PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 44% 30% — 0 U
Marco Kasper PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-170
 25% 20% 0%0/3 3 O
Patrick Kane A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 37% 50% 33%2/6 3 O
Lucas Raymond A 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 50% 50% 86%6/7 2 O
J.T. Compher A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 28% 30% 29%2/7 0 U
Alex DeBrincat A 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 34% 30% 29%2/7 3 O
Moritz Seider A 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 38% 30% 43%3/7 0 U
Vladimir Tarasenko A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 26% 20% 14%1/7 0 U
Dylan Larkin A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 39% 20% 20%1/5 3 O
Elmer Soderblom A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 28% 20% — 0 U
Marco Kasper A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 20% 20% 0%0/3 1 O
Vladimir Tarasenko SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 58% 90% 43%3/7 1 U
Moritz Seider SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 63% 90% 57%4/7 4 O
Marco Kasper SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+105
 54% 80% 33%1/3 3 O
Alex DeBrincat SOG 2.5
o-170 / u+130
 52% 70% 43%3/7 1 U
Patrick Kane SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-135
 44% 60% 50%3/6 5 O
Dylan Larkin SOG 2.5
o-180 / u+135
 56% 60% 100%5/5 1 U
Lucas Raymond SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 42% 40% 43%3/7 1 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Dec 9, 2024 at BUF DET 6–5 SO 2–31–22–0 11 6 O DET
Nov 2, 2024 at DET DET 2–1 0–12–00–0 3 6.5 U DET
Oct 26, 2024 at BUF DET 3–5 1–22–20–1 8 6.5 O BUF
Apr 7, 2024 at DET DET 3–1 3–10–00–0 4 — DET
Mar 16, 2024 at DET DET 4–1 0–12–02–0 5 — DET
Mar 12, 2024 at BUF DET 3–7 1–41–31–0 10 — BUF
Dec 5, 2023 at BUF DET 5–3 2–02–11–2 8 — DET
Apr 6, 2023 at DET DET 6–7 SO 2–32–12–2 13 — BUF
Dec 29, 2022 at BUF DET 3–6 0–10–43–1 9 — BUF
Nov 30, 2022 at DET DET 4–5 SO 1–20–23–0 9 — BUF