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TBL @ BOS

Saturday, March 15, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Tampa Bay Lightning
47-27-8 · Away
6 – 2
FINAL
Boston Bruins
33-39-10 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TBL -175 · BOS +145
Puck Line
TBL -1.5 (+140) · BOS +1.5 (-185)
Total
O 5.5 (-115) · U (-105)

Graded: total 8 → OVER W · BOS +1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 TBLo5.5 52%
34-31
60%
3-2
30%
3-7
53%
17-15
43%
3-4
44%
27-34-3
BOSo5.5 49%
33-34
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
46%
16-19
43%
3-4
48%
31-34-1
Puck Line
cover %
 TBL-1.5 43%
28-37
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
34%
11-21
29%
2-5
+9.01u
34-30
BOS+1.5 69%
46-21
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
80%
28-7
71%
5-2
-11.34u
31-35
Moneyline
win %
 TBL fav -175 57%
37-28
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
44%
14-18
57%
4-3
+2.79u
31-16
BOS dog +145 45%
30-37
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
54%
19-16
43%
3-4
-8.15u
12-24
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-120/u-110 TBL 45%
29-36
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
53%
17-15
57%
4-3
45%
29-36
 1.77 1.05 / 0.72
BOS 58%
39-28
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
54%
19-16
57%
4-3
58%
39-28
 1.75 0.82 / 0.93
2nd Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-154/u+120 TBL 65%
42-23
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
63%
20-12
57%
4-3
57%
37-28
 2.17 1.15 / 1.02
BOS 57%
38-29
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
54%
19-16
57%
4-3
57%
38-29
 1.84 0.85 / 0.99
3rd Period
over 1.5
 no DK/FD line TBL 69%
45-20
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
63%
20-12
71%
5-2
37%
22-37
 2.14 1.23 / 0.91
BOS 60%
40-27
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
51%
18-17
71%
5-2
48%
29-31
 2.07 0.94 / 1.13
Team Comparison '24-25
TBLBOS
Record (W-L-OTL)47-27-833-39-10
Points %62.2%46.3%
Goals for / game3.592.71
Goals against / game2.673.32
Shots for / game28.526.5
Shots against / game28.228.6
Power play %25.9%15.2%
Penalty kill %81.6%76.3%
Faceoff %50.1%51.8%
1st period GF / GA1.11 / 0.720.83 / 0.87
2nd period GF / GA1.22 / 0.940.87 / 1.11
3rd period GF / GA1.18 / 0.910.93 / 1.22
Avg game total6.266.02
Starting Goalies from the box score
10 saves on 12 shots · 2 GA · W
34 saves on 38 shots · 4 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TBL1320400/2
BOS1010120/1
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+200
 37% 40% 29%2/7 1 O
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+500
 15% 30% 17%1/6 1 O
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+155
 39% 30% 43%3/7 0 U
Nick Paul G 0.5
o+350
 31% 30% 14%1/7 1 O
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+500
 9% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+165
 38% 20% 50%3/6 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand G 0.5
o+300
 23% 20% 40%2/5 0 U
Luke Glendening G 0.5
o+900
 6% 10% 0%0/7 0 U
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+450
 15% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+650
 3% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+155
 47% 10% 50%3/6 0 U
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1200
 5% 10% 17%1/6 0 U
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1100
 3% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+325
 30% 0% 14%1/7 2 O
Nick Perbix G 0.5
o+1400
 7% 0% 0%0/7 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+1200
 5% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Emil Lilleberg G 0.5
o+1500
 0% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 69% 70% 57%4/7 1 O
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+140
 73% 60% 50%3/6 0 U
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o-130 / u-105
 55% 50% 67%4/6 2 O
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 64% 50% 50%3/6 0 U
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o+135 / u-180
 41% 40% 29%2/7 1 U
Nick Paul PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 51% 40% 57%4/7 2 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 46% 30% 60%3/5 0 U
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 48% 30% 43%3/7 2 O
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 64% 50% 57%4/7 1 O
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 38% 50% 0%0/6 0 U
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 49% 50% 57%4/7 0 U
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 47% 40% 67%4/6 1 O
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 39% 40% 0%0/6 0 U
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 30% 30% 29%2/7 0 U
Nick Paul A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 24% 20% 43%3/7 1 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 31% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Nikita Kucherov SOG 2.5
o-155 / u+120
 71% 60% 86%6/7 3 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 68% 60% 80%4/5 0 U
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 67% 50% 43%3/7 5 O
Victor Hedman SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-165
 44% 40% 50%3/6 3 O
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 52% 40% 86%6/7 3 O
Brayden Point SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 47% 30% 17%1/6 1 U
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-170
 41% 20% 50%3/6 5 O
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 24.5
o-115 / u-115
 51% 70% 33%2/6 10 U
BOSPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
David Pastrnak G 0.5
o+100
 42% 50% 43%3/7 0 U
Morgan Geekie G 0.5
o+220
 31% 40% 17%1/6 0 U
Casey Mittelstadt G 0.5
o+325
 18% 30% 0%0/6 0 U
Henri Jokiharju G 0.5
o+1200
 7% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Mason Lohrei G 0.5
o+700
 8% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Elias Lindholm G 0.5
o+300
 16% 10% 0%0/4 1 O
Nikita Zadorov G 0.5
o+900
 6% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Pavel Zacha G 0.5
o+275
 18% 10% 29%2/7 0 U
Vinni Lettieri G 0.5
o+475
 17% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Mark Kastelic G 0.5
o+700
 7% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Jakub Lauko G 0.5
o+750
 7% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Cole Koepke G 0.5
o+600
 14% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Marat Khusnutdinov G 0.5
o+475
 5% 10% 0%0/3 1 O
Patrick Brown G 0.5
o+900
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Parker Wotherspoon G 0.5
o+1500
 3% 0% 20%1/5 0 U
Andrew Peeke G 0.5
o+1100
 2% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Ian Mitchell G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
John Beecher G 0.5
o+900
 5% 0% 20%1/5 0 U
Pavel Zacha PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 43% 60% 57%4/7 0 U
Elias Lindholm PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 40% 50% 50%2/4 2 O
Morgan Geekie PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 45% 50% 17%1/6 0 U
Casey Mittelstadt PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 42% 50% 33%2/6 0 U
David Pastrnak PTS 1.5
o+135 / u-185
 33% 40% 57%4/7 0 U
Mason Lohrei PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 37% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
David Pastrnak A 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 54% 70% 71%5/7 0 U
Pavel Zacha A 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 34% 50% 43%3/7 0 U
Elias Lindholm A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 30% 40% 50%2/4 1 O
Casey Mittelstadt A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 30% 20% 33%2/6 0 U
Mason Lohrei A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 31% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Morgan Geekie A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 21% 10% 0%0/6 0 U
Mason Lohrei SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 37% 90% 0%0/4 0 U
Elias Lindholm SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 51% 80% 100%4/4 1 U
David Pastrnak SOG 4.5
o+125 / u-165
 45% 50% 29%2/7 1 U
Pavel Zacha SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 55% 50% 71%5/7 2 O
Morgan Geekie SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-195
 31% 40% 17%1/6 1 U
Jeremy Swayman SV 24.5
o-110 / u-120
 46% 50% 100%4/4 34 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Mar 8, 2025 at TBL BOS 4–0 0–01–03–0 4 5.5 U BOS
Jan 14, 2025 at BOS BOS 6–2 2–02–22–0 8 5.5 O BOS
Jan 9, 2025 at TBL BOS 1–4 0–00–21–2 5 6 U TBL
Mar 27, 2024 at TBL BOS 1–3 1–10–10–1 4 — TBL
Feb 13, 2024 at BOS BOS 2–3 SO 0–12–10–0 5 — TBL
Jan 6, 2024 at BOS BOS 7–3 2–12–23–0 10 — BOS
Nov 20, 2023 at TBL BOS 4–5 OT 1–10–13–2 9 — TBL
Mar 25, 2023 at BOS BOS 2–1 1–11–00–0 3 — BOS
Jan 26, 2023 at TBL BOS 2–3 0–11–01–2 5 — TBL
Nov 29, 2022 at BOS BOS 3–1 1–00–12–0 4 — BOS