← Stats / OTT @ TOR

OTT @ TOR

Saturday, March 15, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Ottawa Senators
45-30-7 · Away
4 – 2
FINAL
Toronto Maple Leafs
52-26-4 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
OTT +115 · TOR -135
Puck Line
OTT +1.5 (-230) · TOR -1.5 (+175)
Total
O 5.5 (-145) · U (+115)

Graded: total 6 → OVER W · TOR -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 OTTo5.5 51%
33-32
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
47%
16-18
67%
4-2
46%
27-32-6
TORo5.5 57%
37-28
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
42%
14-19
67%
4-2
49%
30-31-3
Puck Line
cover %
 OTT+1.5 69%
45-20
100%
5-0
70%
7-3
62%
21-13
100%
6-0
-12.88u
27-38
TOR-1.5 37%
24-41
0%
0-5
20%
2-8
42%
14-19
0%
0-6
+1.17u
31-33
Moneyline
win %
 OTT dog +115 54%
35-30
100%
5-0
60%
6-4
44%
15-19
83%
5-1
-0.34u
13-16
TOR fav -135 60%
39-26
20%
1-4
60%
6-4
61%
20-13
17%
1-5
+2.09u
30-17
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-135/u+105 OTT 80%
52-13
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
82%
28-6
100%
6-0
43%
28-37
 1.63 0.86 / 0.77
TOR 91%
59-6
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
91%
30-3
100%
6-0
52%
34-31
 1.83 0.89 / 0.94
2nd Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-188/u+145 OTT 88%
57-8
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
88%
30-4
83%
5-1
62%
40-25
 1.86 0.94 / 0.92
TOR 89%
58-7
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
88%
29-4
83%
5-1
60%
39-26
 2.11 1.23 / 0.88
3rd Period
over 0.5
 no DK/FD line OTT 89%
58-7
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
88%
30-4
83%
5-1
53%
31-28
 2.08 1.00 / 1.08
TOR 88%
57-8
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
88%
29-4
83%
5-1
48%
28-30
 2.06 0.95 / 1.11
Team Comparison '24-25
OTTTOR
Record (W-L-OTL)45-30-752-26-4
Points %59.1%65.9%
Goals for / game2.963.27
Goals against / game2.852.82
Shots for / game29.328.0
Shots against / game28.629.3
Power play %23.8%24.8%
Penalty kill %77.7%77.9%
Faceoff %53.1%53.7%
1st period GF / GA0.89 / 0.790.88 / 0.84
2nd period GF / GA0.96 / 0.931.23 / 0.89
3rd period GF / GA0.99 / 1.051.02 / 1.04
Avg game total5.826.09
Starting Goalies from the box score
21 saves on 23 shots · 2 GA · W
21 saves on 24 shots · 3 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
OTT0310251/1
TOR0200230/1
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
OTTPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Brady Tkachuk G 0.5
o+145
 38% 60% 17%1/6 0 U
Shane Pinto G 0.5
o+325
 23% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
David Perron G 0.5
o+400
 15% 30% 25%1/4 1 O
Michael Amadio G 0.5
o+475
 15% 30% 50%2/4 1 O
Tim Stützle G 0.5
o+240
 28% 30% 50%3/6 0 U
Claude Giroux G 0.5
o+350
 19% 20% 50%3/6 1 O
Fabian Zetterlund G 0.5
o+450
 24% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Dylan Cozens G 0.5
o+275
 20% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Ridly Greig G 0.5
o+375
 18% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Tyler Kleven G 0.5
o+1400
 7% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Thomas Chabot G 0.5
o+550
 8% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Drake Batherson G 0.5
o+250
 22% 10% 17%1/6 0 U
Jake Sanderson G 0.5
o+550
 9% 10% 0%0/5 1 O
Nick Jensen G 0.5
o+1300
 5% 0% 0%0/4 DNP
Matthew Highmore G 0.5
o+900
 4% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Adam Gaudette G 0.5
o+600
 20% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Artem Zub G 0.5
o+1200
 5% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Nikolas Matinpalo G 0.5
o+1600
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Tim Stützle PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+140
 72% 90% 83%5/6 1 O
Brady Tkachuk PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 60% 80% 17%1/6 1 O
Drake Batherson PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 55% 60% 67%4/6 1 O
Dylan Cozens PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 43% 60% 20%1/5 0 U
Shane Pinto PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-210
 40% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Jake Sanderson PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 48% 60% 40%2/5 1 O
Thomas Chabot PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 42% 50% 67%2/3 1 O
Claude Giroux PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 48% 40% 100%6/6 1 O
Ridly Greig PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 31% 30% 20%1/5 1 O
Tim Stützle A 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 54% 80% 50%3/6 1 O
Drake Batherson A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 45% 60% 50%3/6 1 O
Jake Sanderson A 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 45% 50% 40%2/5 0 U
Thomas Chabot A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 39% 40% 67%2/3 1 O
Dylan Cozens A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 28% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
Claude Giroux A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 37% 30% 67%4/6 0 U
Brady Tkachuk A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 32% 20% 0%0/6 1 O
Shane Pinto A 0.5
o+325 / u-475
 23% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Ridly Greig A 0.5
o+300 / u-425
 15% 20% 0%0/5 1 O
Jake Sanderson SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 73% 80% 80%4/5 4 O
Dylan Cozens SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 63% 70% 40%2/5 1 U
Thomas Chabot SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-190
 42% 60% 67%2/3 1 U
Brady Tkachuk SOG 3.5
o-110 / u-125
 56% 60% 50%3/6 1 U
Shane Pinto SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+115
 62% 60% 100%3/3 0 U
Drake Batherson SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 60% 50% 83%5/6 2 O
Tim Stützle SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 57% 50% 83%5/6 0 U
Linus Ullmark SV 25.5
o-125 / u-105
 59% 60% 100%2/2 21 U
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
John Tavares G 0.5
o+175
 35% 50% 0%0/5 0 U
William Nylander G 0.5
o+140
 43% 30% 33%2/6 1 O
Mitch Marner G 0.5
o+180
 25% 30% 17%1/6 0 U
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o-105
 42% 30% 20%1/5 1 O
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+650
 9% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+220
 34% 30% 40%2/5 0 U
Max Domi G 0.5
o+425
 9% 20% 17%1/6 0 U
Nick Robertson G 0.5
o+400
 18% 20% 17%1/6 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+750
 6% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Chris Tanev G 0.5
o+1400
 3% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Calle Jarnkrok G 0.5
o+450
 17% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+700
 11% 10% 0%0/6 0 U
Scott Laughton G 0.5
o+425
 11% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1000
 4% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1750
 2% 10% 0%0/6 0 U
Brandon Carlo G 0.5
o+1200
 2% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+700
 8% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+300
 25% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
William Nylander PTS 0.5
o-190 / u+140
 65% 90% 50%3/6 1 O
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 69% 80% 40%2/5 0 U
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 53% 60% 40%2/5 0 U
Max Domi PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 37% 50% 50%3/6 0 U
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 42% 40% 50%3/6 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson PTS 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 34% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Mitch Marner PTS 1.5
o+175 / u-240
 41% 20% 17%1/6 0 U
Auston Matthews PTS 1.5
o+150 / u-210
 30% 20% 20%1/5 1 U
William Nylander A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 39% 70% 33%2/6 0 U
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 46% 60% 60%3/5 0 U
John Tavares A 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 41% 50% 40%2/5 0 U
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 34% 40% 50%3/6 0 U
Mitch Marner A 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 61% 40% 33%2/6 0 U
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 30% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
Max Domi A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 32% 30% 33%2/6 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 30% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o-135 / u+100
 56% 60% 20%1/5 2 U
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 45% 50% 60%3/5 2 U
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 49% 40% 40%2/5 1 U
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o-145 / u+110
 59% 30% 100%6/6 3 O
Mitch Marner SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-170
 36% 30% 17%1/6 1 U
Bobby McMann SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 65% 20% 50%2/4 0 U
Anthony Stolarz SV 25.5
o-110 / u-125
 63% 60% 100%2/2 21 U

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Jan 25, 2025 at OTT TOR 1–2 1–10–00–1 3 5.5 U OTT
Nov 12, 2024 at TOR TOR 0–3 0–10–20–0 3 6 U OTT
Feb 10, 2024 at OTT TOR 3–5 1–11–31–1 8 — OTT
Dec 27, 2023 at TOR TOR 2–4 2–00–20–2 6 — OTT
Dec 7, 2023 at OTT TOR 4–3 0–12–02–2 7 — TOR
Nov 8, 2023 at TOR TOR 3–6 1–11–21–3 9 — OTT
Apr 1, 2023 at OTT TOR 3–0 0–03–00–0 3 — TOR
Mar 18, 2023 at OTT TOR 5–4 SO 1–12–11–2 9 — TOR
Jan 27, 2023 at TOR TOR 2–6 1–11–30–2 8 — OTT
Oct 15, 2022 at TOR TOR 3–2 0–11–02–1 5 — TOR