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← Stats / TBL @ DAL

TBL @ DAL

Thursday, March 20, 2025 · 7:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Tampa Bay Lightning
47-27-8 · Away
3 – 2
FINAL / SO
Dallas Stars
50-26-6 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TBL -120 · DAL +100
Puck Line
TBL -1.5 (+180) · DAL +1.5 (-250)
Total
O 5.5 (-145) · U (+115)

Graded: total 5 → OVER L · DAL +1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 TBLo5.5 52%
35-32
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
55%
18-15
67%
2-1
44%
28-35-3
DALo5.5 54%
36-31
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
52%
17-16
67%
2-1
46%
28-33-6
Puck Line
cover %
 TBL-1.5 45%
30-37
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
36%
12-21
33%
1-2
+11.28u
36-30
DAL+1.5 79%
53-14
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
82%
27-6
67%
2-1
-0.33u
31-36
Moneyline
win %
 TBL fav -120 58%
39-28
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
46%
15-18
33%
1-2
+3.69u
33-16
DAL dog +100 64%
43-24
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
76%
25-8
67%
2-1
-4.90u
4-9
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-125/u-105 FD 1.5 o-128/u+102 TBL 88%
59-8
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
91%
30-3
100%
3-0
45%
30-37
 1.76 1.04 / 0.72
DAL 84%
56-11
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
82%
27-6
100%
3-0
58%
39-28
 1.85 1.03 / 0.82
2nd Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-188/u+145 FD 1.5 o-172/u+134 TBL 85%
57-10
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
88%
29-4
33%
1-2
57%
38-29
 2.15 1.16 / 0.99
DAL 85%
57-10
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
85%
28-5
33%
1-2
63%
42-25
 2.01 1.06 / 0.96
3rd Period
over 0.5
 FD 1.5 o-196/u+150 TBL 91%
61-6
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
91%
30-3
100%
3-0
37%
22-38
 2.13 1.24 / 0.90
DAL 90%
60-7
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
88%
29-4
100%
3-0
50%
30-30
 2.03 1.21 / 0.82
Team Comparison '24-25
TBLDAL
Record (W-L-OTL)47-27-850-26-6
Points %62.2%64.6%
Goals for / game3.593.38
Goals against / game2.672.73
Shots for / game28.528.4
Shots against / game28.229.0
Power play %25.9%22.0%
Penalty kill %81.6%82.0%
Faceoff %50.1%52.2%
1st period GF / GA1.11 / 0.721.02 / 0.80
2nd period GF / GA1.22 / 0.941.06 / 0.91
3rd period GF / GA1.18 / 0.911.18 / 0.94
Avg game total6.266.11
Starting Goalies from the box score
22 saves on 24 shots · 2 GA · W
36 saves on 38 shots · 2 GA · OTL
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TBL1100380/1
DAL0200241/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+500
 16% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+160
 40% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+175
 38% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+220
 37% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+575
 9% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand G 0.5
o+350
 22% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Nick Paul G 0.5
o+325
 31% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Mitchell Chaffee G 0.5
o+650
 20% 20% 0%0/1 DNP
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+450
 14% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+750
 3% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+175
 45% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1200
 5% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+325
 31% 10% 67%2/3 1 O
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1100
 3% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Luke Glendening G 0.5
o+1000
 6% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Nick Perbix G 0.5
o+1750
 7% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+1200
 5% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Emil Lilleberg G 0.5
o+1600
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 69% 60% 33%1/3 2 O
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 55% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+120
 64% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 73% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o+140 / u-190
 41% 40% 33%1/3 1 U
Nick Paul PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 51% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 48% 20% 67%2/3 2 O
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-170 / u+130
 65% 60% 67%2/3 1 O
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 47% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 39% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 48% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 38% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Nick Paul A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 25% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 29% 10% 0%0/3 1 O
Nikita Kucherov SOG 2.5
o-155 / u+120
 71% 70% 67%2/3 2 U
Victor Hedman SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-195
 44% 50% 33%1/3 5 O
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-155
 42% 40% 50%1/2 6 O
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o+100 / u-130
 66% 40% 100%3/3 4 O
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 52% 40% 67%2/3 5 O
Brayden Point SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-175
 45% 20% 33%1/3 2 U
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 24.5
o-130 / u+100
 49% 50% 33%1/3 22 U
DALPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Wyatt Johnston G 0.5
o+175
 31% 60% 0%0/3 0 U
Jason Robertson G 0.5
o+160
 34% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Matt Duchene G 0.5
o+240
 33% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Mikko Rantanen G 0.5
o+150
 31% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Roope Hintz G 0.5
o+195
 36% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Thomas Harley G 0.5
o+475
 19% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Jamie Benn G 0.5
o+375
 24% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Mikael Granlund G 0.5
o+350
 22% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Mason Marchment G 0.5
o+300
 27% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Mavrik Bourque G 0.5
o+525
 16% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Colin Blackwell G 0.5
o+650
 9% 10% — 0 U
Mathew Dumba G 0.5
o+1300
 2% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Sam Steel G 0.5
o+600
 9% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Ilya Lyubushkin G 0.5
o+1500
 2% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Cody Ceci G 0.5
o+1000
 6% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Esa Lindell G 0.5
o+900
 6% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Oskar Bäck G 0.5
o+800
 5% 0% 0%0/1 1 O
Lian Bichsel G 0.5
o+1300
 8% 0% — 0 U
Roope Hintz PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+120
 56% 80% 67%2/3 0 U
Jason Robertson PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 63% 80% 67%2/3 0 U
Wyatt Johnston PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+115
 67% 80% 67%2/3 0 U
Matt Duchene PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 60% 70% 33%1/3 1 O
Thomas Harley PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 46% 70% 33%1/3 0 U
Jamie Benn PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 57% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Mikael Granlund PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 57% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Mikko Rantanen PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+135
 66% 50% 75%3/4 0 U
Mason Marchment PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 45% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Roope Hintz A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 30% 70% 33%1/3 0 U
Thomas Harley A 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 34% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Matt Duchene A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 46% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Jason Robertson A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 46% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Mikko Rantanen A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 49% 40% 75%3/4 0 U
Mason Marchment A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 29% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Wyatt Johnston A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 48% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Jamie Benn A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 37% 30% 33%1/3 1 O
Mikael Granlund A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 41% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Matt Duchene SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 54% 70% 67%2/3 3 O
Mikael Granlund SOG 1.5
o+100 / u-130
 65% 60% 67%2/3 1 U
Roope Hintz SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 69% 60% 100%3/3 1 U
Mason Marchment SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 65% 60% 67%2/3 3 O
Jason Robertson SOG 2.5
o-120 / u-110
 49% 50% 67%2/3 1 U
Thomas Harley SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 57% 50% 67%2/3 1 U
Mikko Rantanen SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-125
 58% 40% 25%1/4 1 U
Wyatt Johnston SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 49% 40% 67%2/3 3 O
Casey DeSmith SV 23.5
o-125 / u-105
 67% 80% — 36 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Nov 23, 2024 at TBL DAL 4–2 2–20–02–0 6 6 P DAL
Dec 4, 2023 at TBL DAL 0–4 0–20–00–2 4 — TBL
Dec 2, 2023 at DAL DAL 8–1 3–13–02–0 9 — DAL
Feb 11, 2023 at DAL DAL 1–3 0–01–10–2 4 — TBL
Nov 15, 2022 at TBL DAL 4–5 OT 1–12–21–1 9 — TBL
Apr 12, 2022 at DAL DAL 1–0 0–00–01–0 1 — DAL
Jan 15, 2022 at TBL DAL 1–3 1–10–00–2 4 — TBL
May 7, 2021 at TBL DAL 5–2 1–03–11–1 7 — DAL
May 5, 2021 at TBL DAL 2–6 1–10–21–3 8 — TBL
Apr 29, 2021 at TBL DAL 0–3 0–10–00–2 3 — TBL