← Stats / TOR @ BUF

TOR @ BUF

Tuesday, April 15, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Toronto Maple Leafs
52-26-4 · Away
4 – 0
FINAL
Buffalo Sabres
36-39-7 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TOR -145 · BUF +125
Puck Line
TOR -1.5 (+160) · BUF +1.5 (-210)
Total
O 6.5 (+100) · U (-120)

Graded: total 4 → OVER L · BUF +1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 TORo6.5 45%
36-44
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
58%
23-17
67%
4-2
49%
37-39-3
BUFo6.5 55%
44-36
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
59%
23-16
67%
4-2
61%
44-28-7
Puck Line
cover %
 TOR-1.5 36%
29-51
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
30%
12-28
50%
3-3
+0.36u
39-40
BUF+1.5 63%
50-30
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
74%
29-10
50%
3-3
-6.23u
42-37
Moneyline
win %
 TOR fav -145 63%
50-30
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
60%
24-16
67%
4-2
+2.31u
36-20
BUF dog +125 44%
35-45
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
56%
22-17
33%
2-4
-1.60u
22-34
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-140/u+110 TOR 50%
40-40
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
63%
25-15
67%
4-2
50%
40-40
 1.74 0.89 / 0.85
BUF 61%
49-31
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
56%
22-17
67%
4-2
61%
49-31
 1.95 1.11 / 0.84
2nd Period
over 2.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 2.5 o+154/u-200 TOR 33%
26-54
0%
0-5
20%
2-8
43%
17-23
67%
4-2
59%
47-33
 2.14 1.25 / 0.89
BUF 39%
31-49
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
41%
16-23
67%
4-2
66%
53-27
 2.35 1.04 / 1.31
3rd Period
over 1.5 (no DK/FD line — default)
 no DK/FD line TOR 64%
51-29
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
65%
26-14
50%
3-3
51%
36-34
 2.05 0.99 / 1.06
BUF 66%
53-27
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
64%
25-14
50%
3-3
49%
35-37
 2.34 1.06 / 1.28
Team Comparison '24-25
TORBUF
Record (W-L-OTL)52-26-436-39-7
Points %65.9%48.2%
Goals for / game3.273.28
Goals against / game2.823.52
Shots for / game28.027.8
Shots against / game29.328.9
Power play %24.8%18.8%
Penalty kill %77.9%76.3%
Faceoff %53.7%47.7%
1st period GF / GA0.88 / 0.841.12 / 0.83
2nd period GF / GA1.23 / 0.891.02 / 1.30
3rd period GF / GA1.02 / 1.041.05 / 1.30
Avg game total6.096.80
Starting Goalies from the box score
35 saves on 35 shots · 0 GA · W
28 saves on 31 shots · 3 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TOR0130320/2
BUF0000350/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
John Tavares G 0.5
o+195
 38% 60% 33%2/6 0 U
William Nylander G 0.5
o+155
 43% 40% 33%2/6 0 U
Mitch Marner G 0.5
o+210
 27% 40% 20%1/5 1 O
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+120
 43% 40% 83%5/6 1 O
Max Domi G 0.5
o+400
 11% 20% 50%3/6 0 U
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+180
 32% 20% 0%0/6 0 U
Scott Laughton G 0.5
o+600
 10% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Dakota Mermis G 0.5
o+1750
 6% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+700
 9% 10% 0%0/3 1 O
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+800
 9% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Nick Robertson G 0.5
o+400
 18% 10% 75%3/4 1 O
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+325
 24% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Chris Tanev G 0.5
o+1300
 3% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Calle Jarnkrok G 0.5
o+575
 6% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+750
 9% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Brandon Carlo G 0.5
o+1100
 1% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Philippe Myers G 0.5
o+1300
 3% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1400
 1% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Mitch Marner PTS 0.5
o-230 / u+165
 73% 90% 80%4/5 1 O
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 70% 80% 50%3/6 0 U
Auston Matthews PTS 0.5
o-240 / u+175
 74% 70% 100%6/6 2 O
William Nylander PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+130
 64% 60% 100%6/6 0 U
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 51% 50% 33%2/6 1 O
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-170
 40% 40% 80%4/5 0 U
Max Domi PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 36% 40% 67%4/6 0 U
Mitch Marner A 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 62% 70% 80%4/5 0 U
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 48% 60% 17%1/6 1 O
John Tavares A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 41% 40% 17%1/6 0 U
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 34% 40% 80%4/5 0 U
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 30% 40% 33%2/6 1 O
William Nylander A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 38% 30% 83%5/6 0 U
Max Domi A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 29% 20% 50%3/6 0 U
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 45% 60% 67%4/6 2 U
Bobby McMann SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 65% 60% 80%4/5 5 O
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 53% 60% 50%3/6 2 O
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-115
 59% 50% 67%4/6 3 O
Mitch Marner SOG 1.5
o-185 / u+135
 60% 50% 20%1/5 1 U
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o+105 / u-135
 54% 50% 83%5/6 6 O
Anthony Stolarz SV 24.5
o-105 / u-125
 66% 60% 100%1/1 35 O
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+195
 38% 70% 33%2/6 0 U
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+125
 47% 60% 33%2/6 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+350
 23% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
JJ Peterka G 0.5
o+210
 29% 40% 33%2/6 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+475
 11% 30% 0%0/6 0 U
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+250
 25% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Sam Lafferty G 0.5
o+700
 7% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+400
 21% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+375
 15% 20% 50%2/4 0 U
Jiri Kulich G 0.5
o+325
 20% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Connor Clifton G 0.5
o+1200
 1% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1100
 7% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Jacob Bryson G 0.5
o+2000
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Jacob Bernard-Docker G 0.5
o+1600
 5% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+900
 8% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Isak Rosen G 0.5
o+600
 0% 0% — 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+350
 14% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Noah Ostlund G 0.5
o+525
 0% — — 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 59% 90% 50%3/6 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 62% 80% 40%2/5 0 U
JJ Peterka PTS 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 64% 80% 67%4/6 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+135
 66% 70% 50%3/6 0 U
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 36% 60% 50%2/4 0 U
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 54% 50% 0%0/4 0 U
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 47% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 36% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 54% 80% 20%1/5 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 34% 60% 17%1/6 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 26% 60% 0%0/4 0 U
JJ Peterka A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 47% 60% 67%4/6 0 U
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 35% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 30% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 31% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 34% 20% 33%2/6 0 U
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-190 / u+140
 56% 60% 25%1/4 5 O
Tage Thompson SOG 2.5
o-175 / u+130
 58% 60% 50%3/6 4 O
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-120
 51% 60% 60%3/5 4 O
Jiri Kulich SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 72% 60% 100%2/2 4 O
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 38% 20% 50%3/6 4 O
JJ Peterka SOG 2.5
o+140 / u-190
 35% 20% 33%2/6 4 O
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen SV 23.5
o-105 / u-125
 50% 40% 33%1/3 28 O

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Dec 20, 2024 at BUF BUF 3–6 0–22–31–1 9 6 O TOR
Dec 15, 2024 at TOR BUF 3–5 2–11–30–1 8 6 O TOR
Mar 30, 2024 at BUF BUF 0–3 0–10–10–1 3 — TOR
Mar 6, 2024 at TOR BUF 1–2 OT 0–01–10–0 3 — TOR
Dec 21, 2023 at BUF BUF 9–3 3–23–13–0 12 — BUF
Nov 4, 2023 at TOR BUF 6–4 1–12–13–2 10 — BUF
Mar 13, 2023 at TOR BUF 4–3 0–01–23–1 7 — BUF
Feb 21, 2023 at BUF BUF 3–6 0–40–13–1 9 — TOR
Nov 19, 2022 at TOR BUF 2–5 0–31–11–1 7 — TOR
Apr 12, 2022 at TOR BUF 5–2 1–01–13–1 7 — BUF