← Stats / TOR @ BUF

TOR @ BUF

Friday, December 20, 2024 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Toronto Maple Leafs
52-26-4 · Away
6 – 3
FINAL
Buffalo Sabres
36-39-7 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TOR -150 · BUF +130
Puck Line
TOR -1.5 (+155) · BUF +1.5 (-200)
Total
O 6 (-120) · U (+100)

Graded: total 9 → OVER W · BUF +1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6
 TORo6 42%
11-15-6
50%
2-2-1
44%
4-5-1
70%
7-3-4
60%
3-2
41%
12-17-3
BUFo6 59%
16-11-5
75%
3-1-1
67%
6-3-1
63%
10-6-2
60%
3-2
59%
16-11-5
Puck Line
cover %
 TOR-1.5 44%
14-18
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
29%
4-10
40%
2-3
+5.73u
18-14
BUF+1.5 63%
20-12
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
72%
13-5
60%
3-2
-6.82u
15-17
Moneyline
win %
 TOR fav -150 63%
20-12
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
43%
6-8
60%
3-2
-1.43u
15-10
BUF dog +130 34%
11-21
0%
0-5
0%
0-10
33%
6-12
40%
2-3
-8.65u
5-15
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-140/u+110 FD 1.5 o-136/u+106 TOR 44%
14-18
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
57%
8-6
60%
3-2
44%
14-18
 1.56 0.75 / 0.81
BUF 59%
19-13
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
61%
11-7
60%
3-2
59%
19-13
 1.81 1.03 / 0.78
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-175/u+135 FD 1.5 o-200/u+154 TOR 69%
22-10
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
64%
9-5
80%
4-1
63%
20-12
 2.13 1.31 / 0.81
BUF 69%
22-10
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
56%
10-8
80%
4-1
66%
21-11
 2.25 0.88 / 1.38
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+140/u-180 TOR 31%
10-22
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
29%
4-10
40%
2-3
44%
11-14
 1.81 0.88 / 0.94
BUF 41%
13-19
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
50%
9-9
40%
2-3
38%
9-15
 2.06 0.91 / 1.16
Team Comparison '24-25
TORBUF
Record (W-L-OTL)52-26-436-39-7
Points %65.9%48.2%
Goals for / game3.273.28
Goals against / game2.823.52
Shots for / game28.027.8
Shots against / game29.328.9
Power play %24.8%18.8%
Penalty kill %77.9%76.3%
Faceoff %53.7%47.7%
1st period GF / GA0.88 / 0.841.12 / 0.83
2nd period GF / GA1.23 / 0.891.02 / 1.30
3rd period GF / GA1.02 / 1.041.05 / 1.30
Avg game total6.096.80
Starting Goalies from the box score
24 saves on 27 shots · 3 GA · W
9 saves on 13 shots · 4 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TOR2310291/3
BUF0210270/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
William Nylander G 0.5
o+115
 50% 50% 20%1/5 1 O
John Tavares G 0.5
o+175
 32% 40% 40%2/5 0 U
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+100
 39% 40% 80%4/5 1 O
Nick Robertson G 0.5
o+400
 16% 30% 67%2/3 1 O
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+325
 21% 30% 0%0/4 1 O
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+275
 37% 30% 0%0/5 0 U
Max Domi G 0.5
o+425
 8% 20% 40%2/5 1 O
Max Pacioretty G 0.5
o+375
 16% 10% 0%0/3 1 O
Chris Tanev G 0.5
o+1600
 3% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Mitch Marner G 0.5
o+170
 28% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+750
 7% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+850
 3% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+650
 13% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1000
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+750
 9% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Conor Timmins G 0.5
o+1200
 3% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
David Kampf G 0.5
o+650
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1500
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
William Nylander PTS 0.5
o-250 / u+180
 63% 80% 100%5/5 3 O
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 65% 60% 40%2/5 2 O
Mitch Marner PTS 1.5
o+160 / u-220
 50% 50% 25%1/4 2 O
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 53% 50% 40%2/5 0 U
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 44% 40% 75%3/4 1 O
Auston Matthews PTS 1.5
o+175 / u-240
 26% 30% 20%1/5 1 U
Max Pacioretty PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 26% 10% 33%1/3 1 O
Mitch Marner A 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 63% 70% 75%3/4 2 O
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 34% 40% 75%3/4 1 O
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 39% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
William Nylander A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 38% 30% 80%4/5 2 O
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 23% 30% 40%2/5 0 U
John Tavares A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 36% 20% 0%0/5 2 O
Max Pacioretty A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 16% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Bobby McMann SOG 1.5
o-200 / u+150
 79% 90% 75%3/4 3 O
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o-155 / u+115
 58% 60% 80%4/5 2 U
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o-155 / u+120
 57% 60% 80%4/5 5 O
Max Pacioretty SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 53% 50% 100%3/3 4 O
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+110
 53% 50% 75%3/4 0 U
William Nylander SOG 3.5
o+110 / u-145
 50% 50% 40%2/5 3 U
Mitch Marner SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-165
 44% 40% 0%0/4 1 U
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+160
 52% 40% 40%2/5 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+350
 24% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Dylan Cozens G 0.5
o+275
 22% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+300
 22% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+260
 28% 20% 40%2/5 0 U
Jiri Kulich G 0.5
o+350
 18% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Sam Lafferty G 0.5
o+900
 5% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+750
 6% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+650
 9% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+275
 8% 10% 67%2/3 0 U
JJ Peterka G 0.5
o+250
 20% 10% 20%1/5 1 O
Owen Power G 0.5
o+600
 13% 10% 20%1/5 1 O
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+350
 15% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Connor Clifton G 0.5
o+1600
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Dennis Gilbert G 0.5
o+2250
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1100
 6% 0% 0%0/2 1 O
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+550
 10% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 70% 60% 60%3/5 0 U
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 53% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-130 / u-105
 52% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 44% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Dylan Cozens PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 38% 50% 0%0/4 1 O
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 31% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 59% 40% 60%3/5 0 U
JJ Peterka PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 53% 40% 60%3/5 2 O
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 47% 40% 40%2/5 2 O
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-165
 19% 10% 67%2/3 0 U
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 38% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 40% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 34% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Owen Power A 0.5
o+185 / u-260
 38% 40% 20%1/5 1 O
Zach Benson A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 19% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Dylan Cozens A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 22% 30% 0%0/4 1 O
JJ Peterka A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 40% 30% 60%3/5 1 O
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+165 / u-230
 44% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 33% 20% 40%2/5 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 12% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Jiri Kulich SOG 1.5
o-185 / u+140
 77% 90% 100%1/1 2 O
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o-145 / u+110
 60% 70% 50%2/4 5 O
Jason Zucker SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-200
 25% 40% 0%0/3 1 U
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o+115 / u-150
 33% 40% 60%3/5 0 U
Dylan Cozens SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-170
 44% 30% 25%1/4 2 U
Jack Quinn SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-175
 31% 30% 67%2/3 1 U
JJ Peterka SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-135
 40% 30% 40%2/5 2 U
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 38% 20% 60%3/5 2 U
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen SV 26.5
o-110 / u-120
 36% 40% 0%0/2 9 U

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Dec 15, 2024 at TOR BUF 3–5 2–11–30–1 8 6 O TOR
Mar 30, 2024 at BUF BUF 0–3 0–10–10–1 3 — TOR
Mar 6, 2024 at TOR BUF 1–2 OT 0–01–10–0 3 — TOR
Dec 21, 2023 at BUF BUF 9–3 3–23–13–0 12 — BUF
Nov 4, 2023 at TOR BUF 6–4 1–12–13–2 10 — BUF
Mar 13, 2023 at TOR BUF 4–3 0–01–23–1 7 — BUF
Feb 21, 2023 at BUF BUF 3–6 0–40–13–1 9 — TOR
Nov 19, 2022 at TOR BUF 2–5 0–31–11–1 7 — TOR
Apr 12, 2022 at TOR BUF 5–2 1–01–13–1 7 — BUF
Mar 13, 2022 at BUF BUF 5–2 0–02–23–0 7 — BUF