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TOR @ OTT

Thursday, May 1, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT · Playoffs

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Toronto Maple Leafs
7-4-2 · Away
4 – 2
FINAL
Ottawa Senators
2-2-2 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TOR +100 · OTT -120
Puck Line
TOR +1.5 (-300) · OTT -1.5 (+200)
Total
O 5.5 (-105) · U (-115)

Graded: total 6 → OVER W · OTT -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 TORo5.5 54%
47-40
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
65%
28-15
58%
7-5
48%
40-43-3
OTTo5.5 52%
45-42
40%
2-3
70%
7-3
56%
24-19
58%
7-5
47%
38-43-6
Puck Line
cover %
 TOR+1.5 74%
64-23
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
77%
33-10
50%
6-6
+1.20u
43-43
OTT-1.5 28%
24-63
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
30%
13-30
50%
6-6
-18.52u
36-51
Moneyline
win %
 TOR dog +100 63%
55-32
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
61%
26-17
33%
4-8
+6.55u
14-11
OTT fav -120 54%
47-40
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
65%
28-15
67%
8-4
-1.87u
29-21
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-105/u-125 FD 1.5 o-112/u-112 TOR 51%
44-43
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
61%
26-17
58%
7-5
51%
44-43
 1.71 0.89 / 0.83
OTT 49%
43-44
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
56%
24-19
58%
7-5
49%
43-44
 1.68 0.87 / 0.80
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-166/u+130 FD 1.5 o-150/u+118 TOR 64%
56-31
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
63%
27-16
67%
8-4
58%
50-37
 2.08 1.21 / 0.87
OTT 60%
52-35
40%
2-3
70%
7-3
63%
27-16
67%
8-4
59%
51-36
 1.86 0.94 / 0.92
3rd Period
over 1.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 1.5 o-172/u+134 TOR 66%
57-30
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
67%
29-14
67%
8-4
54%
41-35
 2.07 1.01 / 1.06
OTT 61%
53-34
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
67%
29-14
67%
8-4
54%
42-36
 2.05 1.01 / 1.03
Team Comparison '24-25
TOROTT
Record (W-L-OTL)7-4-22-2-2
Points %61.5%50.0%
Goals for / game2.772.67
Goals against / game3.233.17
Shots for / game24.924.0
Shots against / game27.825.2
Power play %21.6%20.0%
Penalty kill %81.6%64.7%
Faceoff %57.0%43.0%
1st period GF / GA0.92 / 0.620.50 / 1.00
2nd period GF / GA0.69 / 1.080.67 / 0.83
3rd period GF / GA1.00 / 1.381.33 / 1.00
Avg game total6.005.83
Starting Goalies from the box score
21 saves on 23 shots · 2 GA · W
19 saves on 22 shots · 3 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TOR1120231/1
OTT0110230/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
John Tavares G 0.5
o+185
 39% 40% 27%3/11 0 U
Mitch Marner G 0.5
o+230
 27% 40% 17%2/12 0 U
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+120
 43% 40% 27%3/11 1 O
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+225
 33% 40% 46%5/11 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+850
 7% 20% 18%2/11 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+650
 10% 20% 17%2/12 0 U
William Nylander G 0.5
o+155
 40% 20% 33%4/12 2 O
Chris Tanev G 0.5
o+1750
 4% 10% 0%0/10 0 U
Scott Laughton G 0.5
o+650
 11% 10% 0%0/10 0 U
Max Domi G 0.5
o+500
 11% 10% 17%2/12 0 U
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+750
 9% 10% 0%0/9 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+600
 8% 10% 0%0/9 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1750
 2% 10% 8%1/12 0 U
Max Pacioretty G 0.5
o+425
 10% 0% 40%2/5 1 O
Calle Jarnkrok G 0.5
o+750
 4% 0% 11%1/9 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1200
 3% 0% 0%0/11 0 U
Brandon Carlo G 0.5
o+1400
 1% 0% 0%0/11 0 U
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+450
 22% 0% 10%1/10 0 U
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 68% 60% 46%5/11 0 U
William Nylander PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+135
 63% 60% 67%8/12 3 O
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 53% 60% 46%5/11 0 U
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 40% 50% 50%6/12 0 U
Mitch Marner PTS 1.5
o+165 / u-225
 40% 40% 25%3/12 1 U
Auston Matthews PTS 1.5
o+175 / u-240
 33% 40% 27%3/11 1 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson PTS 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 32% 20% 27%3/11 0 U
Max Domi PTS 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 34% 20% 33%4/12 1 O
Bobby McMann PTS 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 34% 20% 20%2/10 0 U
Max Pacioretty PTS 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 23% 10% 40%2/5 2 O
Mitch Marner A 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 63% 70% 50%6/12 1 O
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 50% 60% 64%7/11 0 U
William Nylander A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 39% 50% 50%6/12 1 O
John Tavares A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 40% 40% 36%4/11 0 U
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 32% 30% 33%4/12 0 U
Bobby McMann A 0.5
o+400 / u-650
 18% 20% 10%1/10 0 U
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 30% 20% 9%1/11 0 U
Max Pacioretty A 0.5
o+325 / u-475
 15% 10% 0%0/5 1 O
Max Domi A 0.5
o+325 / u-475
 27% 10% 17%2/12 1 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 26% 0% 9%1/11 0 U
Max Pacioretty SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 58% 90% 80%4/5 2 O
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o-120 / u-110
 46% 60% 64%7/11 1 U
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-130
 45% 60% 67%8/12 1 U
Bobby McMann SOG 1.5
o-130 / u-105
 65% 60% 40%4/10 2 O
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o-140 / u+105
 58% 50% 75%9/12 4 O
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 53% 50% 46%5/11 2 O
Mitch Marner SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 57% 40% 33%4/12 2 O
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o-130 / u+100
 53% 40% 27%3/11 3 U
Anthony Stolarz SV 24.5
o-130 / u+100
 63% 60% 50%4/8 21 U
OTTPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Thomas Chabot G 0.5
o+600
 12% 40% 11%1/9 0 U
Drake Batherson G 0.5
o+225
 25% 40% 17%2/12 0 U
Brady Tkachuk G 0.5
o+140
 38% 40% 33%4/12 1 O
Tim Stützle G 0.5
o+210
 26% 40% 42%5/12 0 U
Dylan Cozens G 0.5
o+275
 20% 30% 9%1/11 0 U
Shane Pinto G 0.5
o+325
 23% 30% 33%3/9 0 U
David Perron G 0.5
o+425
 21% 20% 30%3/10 1 O
Adam Gaudette G 0.5
o+650
 19% 20% 13%1/8 0 U
Fabian Zetterlund G 0.5
o+400
 20% 20% 0%0/9 0 U
Ridly Greig G 0.5
o+350
 17% 20% 18%2/11 0 U
Claude Giroux G 0.5
o+375
 17% 10% 42%5/12 0 U
Nick Cousins G 0.5
o+700
 11% 10% 0%0/9 0 U
Jake Sanderson G 0.5
o+425
 14% 10% 18%2/11 0 U
Nikolas Matinpalo G 0.5
o+2000
 2% 10% 0%0/8 0 U
Nick Jensen G 0.5
o+1300
 4% 0% 0%0/9 0 U
Michael Amadio G 0.5
o+525
 14% 0% 30%3/10 0 U
Tyler Kleven G 0.5
o+1400
 5% 0% 0%0/9 0 U
Artem Zub G 0.5
o+1300
 3% 0% 0%0/11 0 U
Thomas Chabot PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-180
 45% 70% 56%5/9 2 O
Drake Batherson PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 59% 70% 58%7/12 0 U
Claude Giroux PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 49% 60% 83%10/12 1 O
Tim Stützle PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 67% 60% 75%9/12 0 U
Brady Tkachuk PTS 0.5
o-170 / u+125
 58% 50% 50%6/12 1 O
Dylan Cozens PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 45% 50% 27%3/11 0 U
Shane Pinto PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-210
 40% 50% 44%4/9 0 U
Jake Sanderson PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 51% 50% 46%5/11 0 U
David Perron PTS 0.5
o+210 / u-275
 35% 40% 50%5/10 1 O
Ridly Greig PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-210
 34% 40% 27%3/11 0 U
Claude Giroux A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 38% 60% 58%7/12 1 O
Thomas Chabot A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 39% 50% 44%4/9 2 O
Jake Sanderson A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 44% 50% 36%4/11 0 U
Tim Stützle A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 51% 50% 50%6/12 0 U
Drake Batherson A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 43% 40% 42%5/12 0 U
Dylan Cozens A 0.5
o+210 / u-275
 30% 30% 18%2/11 0 U
Ridly Greig A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 21% 30% 9%1/11 0 U
David Perron A 0.5
o+375 / u-600
 17% 20% 30%3/10 0 U
Brady Tkachuk A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 30% 20% 25%3/12 0 U
Shane Pinto A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 21% 20% 22%2/9 0 U
Drake Batherson SOG 1.5
o-200 / u+150
 64% 80% 75%9/12 0 U
Thomas Chabot SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+125
 66% 70% 44%4/9 4 O
Ridly Greig SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-125
 52% 70% 55%6/11 2 O
Fabian Zetterlund SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 57% 60% 44%4/9 3 O
Brady Tkachuk SOG 3.5
o-155 / u+115
 55% 60% 58%7/12 2 U
Dylan Cozens SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 63% 60% 46%5/11 1 U
Jake Sanderson SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 44% 60% 46%5/11 0 U
Tim Stützle SOG 2.5
o+150 / u-200
 35% 50% 50%6/12 3 O
Shane Pinto SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+105
 55% 40% 44%4/9 1 U
David Perron SOG 1.5
o+115 / u-155
 46% 30% 40%4/10 3 O
Linus Ullmark SV 23.5
o-125 / u-105
 60% 50% 56%5/9 19 U

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Apr 29, 2025 at TOR OTT 4–0 0–01–03–0 4 5.5 U OTT
Apr 26, 2025 at OTT OTT 4–3 OT 2–10–11–1 7 5.5 O OTT
Apr 24, 2025 at OTT OTT 2–3 OT 0–01–11–1 5 5.5 U TOR
Apr 22, 2025 at TOR OTT 2–3 OT 0–21–01–0 5 5.5 U TOR
Apr 20, 2025 at TOR OTT 2–6 1–20–21–2 8 5.5 O TOR
Mar 15, 2025 at TOR OTT 4–2 0–03–21–0 6 5.5 O OTT
Jan 25, 2025 at OTT OTT 2–1 1–10–01–0 3 5.5 U OTT
Nov 12, 2024 at TOR OTT 3–0 1–02–00–0 3 6 U OTT
Feb 10, 2024 at OTT OTT 5–3 1–13–11–1 8 — OTT
Dec 27, 2023 at TOR OTT 4–2 0–22–02–0 6 — OTT