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FLA @ TOR

Monday, May 5, 2025 · 7:00 PM CT · Playoffs

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Florida Panthers
16-5-2 · Away
4 – 5
FINAL
Toronto Maple Leafs
7-4-2 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
FLA -125 · TOR +105
Puck Line
FLA -1.5 (+200) · TOR +1.5 (-300)
Total
O 5.5 (-115) · U (-105)

Graded: total 9 → OVER W · TOR +1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 FLAo5.5 51%
44-43
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
50%
22-22
38%
3-5
47%
40-46-1
TORo5.5 55%
48-40
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
43%
19-25
38%
3-5
49%
41-43-3
Puck Line
cover %
 FLA-1.5 39%
34-53
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
34%
15-29
50%
4-4
-8.37u
39-48
TOR+1.5 74%
65-23
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
71%
31-13
50%
4-4
+1.53u
44-43
Moneyline
win %
 FLA fav -125 59%
51-36
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
52%
23-21
63%
5-3
-5.94u
41-28
TOR dog +105 64%
56-32
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
66%
29-15
38%
3-5
+7.55u
15-11
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-110/u-120 FD 1.5 o-122/u-106 FLA 54%
47-40
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
64%
28-16
63%
5-3
54%
47-40
 1.76 0.91 / 0.85
TOR 50%
44-44
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
41%
18-26
63%
5-3
50%
44-44
 1.70 0.89 / 0.82
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-160/u+124 FD 1.5 o-156/u+122 FLA 61%
53-34
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
52%
23-21
63%
5-3
59%
51-36
 2.02 1.14 / 0.89
TOR 65%
57-31
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
66%
29-15
63%
5-3
58%
51-37
 2.08 1.20 / 0.88
3rd Period
over 1.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 1.5 o-168/u+132 FLA 55%
48-39
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
55%
24-20
50%
4-4
49%
38-40
 1.87 0.95 / 0.92
TOR 66%
58-30
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
64%
28-16
50%
4-4
55%
42-35
 2.08 1.02 / 1.06
Team Comparison '24-25
FLATOR
Record (W-L-OTL)16-5-27-4-2
Points %73.9%61.5%
Goals for / game4.092.77
Goals against / game2.433.23
Shots for / game28.224.9
Shots against / game27.027.8
Power play %25.3%21.6%
Penalty kill %86.4%81.6%
Faceoff %47.3%57.0%
1st period GF / GA1.30 / 0.740.92 / 0.62
2nd period GF / GA1.17 / 0.700.69 / 1.08
3rd period GF / GA1.52 / 0.911.00 / 1.38
Avg game total6.526.00
Starting Goalies from the box score
25 saves on 30 shots · 5 GA · L
8 saves on 9 shots · 1 GA
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
FLA1030291/3
TOR3110300/5
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
FLAPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Matthew Tkachuk G 0.5
o+170
 33% 70% 0%0/5 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe G 0.5
o+210
 22% 50% 38%3/8 0 U
Sam Reinhart G 0.5
o+150
 41% 40% 63%5/8 0 U
Sam Bennett G 0.5
o+220
 31% 30% 67%4/6 1 O
Anton Lundell G 0.5
o+325
 21% 30% 0%0/7 0 U
Brad Marchand G 0.5
o+300
 28% 20% 29%5/17 0 U
Nate Schmidt G 0.5
o+1200
 8% 20% 0%0/6 0 U
Aleksander Barkov G 0.5
o+220
 28% 20% 14%1/7 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen G 0.5
o+575
 12% 20% 13%1/8 1 O
Seth Jones G 0.5
o+550
 15% 10% 0%0/6 1 O
Gustav Forsling G 0.5
o+700
 13% 10% 25%2/8 0 U
Evan Rodrigues G 0.5
o+350
 17% 10% 0%0/8 0 U
Dmitry Kulikov G 0.5
o+1750
 5% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
A.J. Greer G 0.5
o+1000
 7% 0% 17%1/6 0 U
Niko Mikkola G 0.5
o+1200
 7% 0% 13%1/8 0 U
Jesper Boqvist G 0.5
o+850
 12% 0% 0%0/12 0 U
Nico Sturm G 0.5
o+900
 10% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Uvis Balinskis G 0.5
o+1750
 5% 0% 0%0/6 1 O
Carter Verhaeghe PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 49% 80% 50%4/8 2 O
Aleksander Barkov PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+140
 69% 80% 71%5/7 0 U
Matthew Tkachuk PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 61% 80% 60%3/5 1 O
Sam Reinhart PTS 0.5
o-195 / u+145
 68% 70% 75%6/8 0 U
Brad Marchand PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 58% 60% 71%12/17 2 O
Sam Bennett PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 56% 60% 83%5/6 1 O
Seth Jones PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-155
 47% 50% 33%2/6 1 O
Gustav Forsling PTS 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 34% 40% 38%3/8 0 U
Evan Rodrigues PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 32% 40% 13%1/8 0 U
Anton Lundell PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 45% 40% 14%1/7 1 O
Aleksander Barkov A 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 56% 60% 71%5/7 0 U
Sam Reinhart A 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 45% 60% 38%3/8 0 U
Matthew Tkachuk A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 47% 50% 60%3/5 1 O
Brad Marchand A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 38% 40% 65%11/17 2 O
Carter Verhaeghe A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 37% 40% 25%2/8 2 O
Seth Jones A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 37% 40% 33%2/6 0 U
Sam Bennett A 0.5
o+210 / u-275
 33% 40% 50%3/6 0 U
Gustav Forsling A 0.5
o+275 / u-425
 21% 30% 13%1/8 0 U
Evan Rodrigues A 0.5
o+325 / u-475
 20% 30% 13%1/8 0 U
Anton Lundell A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 31% 30% 14%1/7 1 O
Seth Jones SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 66% 70% 67%4/6 1 U
Brad Marchand SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 76% 60% 82%14/17 1 U
Sam Reinhart SOG 2.5
o-150 / u+110
 54% 60% 75%6/8 2 U
Sam Bennett SOG 2.5
o-135 / u+100
 64% 60% 67%4/6 7 O
Gustav Forsling SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 71% 60% 38%3/8 3 O
Anton Lundell SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+120
 54% 60% 71%5/7 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe SOG 2.5
o-135 / u+100
 55% 50% 25%2/8 5 O
Evan Rodrigues SOG 1.5
o-130 / u+100
 59% 50% 25%2/8 1 U
Matthew Tkachuk SOG 2.5
o-140 / u+105
 49% 50% 100%5/5 0 U
Aleksander Barkov SOG 2.5
o+150 / u-200
 40% 40% 0%0/7 4 O
Sergei Bobrovsky SV 22.5
o-125 / u-105
 59% 20% 67%4/6 25 O
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+120
 44% 50% 14%1/7 0 U
John Tavares G 0.5
o+185
 38% 40% 50%4/8 0 U
William Nylander G 0.5
o+155
 41% 30% 0%0/8 2 O
Mitch Marner G 0.5
o+225
 26% 30% 43%3/7 0 U
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+225
 32% 30% 29%2/7 1 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+850
 7% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+650
 10% 20% 0%0/7 1 O
Max Pacioretty G 0.5
o+375
 12% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Chris Tanev G 0.5
o+1750
 4% 10% 0%0/6 1 O
Scott Laughton G 0.5
o+600
 11% 10% 0%0/9 0 U
Max Domi G 0.5
o+525
 11% 10% 17%1/6 0 U
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+750
 9% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+700
 8% 10% 0%0/6 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1500
 2% 10% 0%0/7 0 U
Calle Jarnkrok G 0.5
o+750
 4% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1100
 3% 0% 0%0/7 0 U
Brandon Carlo G 0.5
o+1300
 1% 0% 19%3/16 0 U
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+425
 21% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
William Nylander PTS 0.5
o-200 / u+150
 64% 70% 38%3/8 3 O
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+110
 67% 50% 63%5/8 0 U
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 52% 50% 29%2/7 2 O
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 40% 40% 14%1/7 1 O
Jake McCabe PTS 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 25% 30% 14%1/7 2 O
Max Domi PTS 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 35% 30% 33%2/6 0 U
Mitch Marner PTS 1.5
o+165 / u-225
 39% 30% 14%1/7 1 U
Auston Matthews PTS 1.5
o+175 / u-240
 33% 30% 14%1/7 0 U
Max Pacioretty PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 24% 20% 50%1/2 2 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson PTS 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 31% 20% 25%1/4 1 O
Bobby McMann PTS 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 34% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Mitch Marner A 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 63% 70% 29%2/7 1 O
William Nylander A 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 40% 60% 38%3/8 1 O
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 49% 50% 29%2/7 0 U
John Tavares A 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 40% 30% 13%1/8 0 U
Jake McCabe A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 25% 30% 14%1/7 2 O
Max Pacioretty A 0.5
o+325 / u-475
 17% 20% 50%1/2 2 O
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 32% 20% 14%1/7 0 U
Max Domi A 0.5
o+350 / u-525
 28% 20% 17%1/6 0 U
Bobby McMann A 0.5
o+475 / u-800
 18% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 30% 20% 29%2/7 1 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson A 0.5
o+350 / u-550
 25% 0% 25%1/4 1 O
Max Pacioretty SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 59% 90% 50%1/2 1 U
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-130
 46% 60% 50%4/8 4 O
Bobby McMann SOG 1.5
o-130 / u-105
 65% 60% 40%2/5 2 O
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o+115 / u-150
 44% 50% 43%3/7 3 O
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o-145 / u+110
 58% 50% 38%3/8 2 U
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+125
 54% 50% 43%3/7 3 O
Mitch Marner SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 58% 40% 57%4/7 4 O
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o-115 / u-115
 52% 40% 57%4/7 5 O
Anthony Stolarz SV 25.5
o-115 / u-115
 56% 40% 33%1/3 8 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Apr 8, 2025 at FLA TOR 1–3 0–11–00–2 4 5.5 U FLA
Apr 2, 2025 at TOR TOR 3–2 0–01–12–1 5 5.5 U TOR
Mar 13, 2025 at TOR TOR 2–3 1–10–21–0 5 5.5 U FLA
Nov 27, 2024 at FLA TOR 1–5 0–21–10–2 6 5.5 O FLA
Apr 16, 2024 at FLA TOR 2–5 2–00–40–1 7 — FLA
Apr 1, 2024 at TOR TOR 6–4 2–03–11–3 10 — TOR
Nov 28, 2023 at TOR TOR 2–1 SO 0–11–00–0 3 — TOR
Oct 19, 2023 at FLA TOR 1–3 0–21–00–1 4 — FLA
May 12, 2023 at TOR TOR 2–3 OT 0–21–01–0 5 — FLA
May 10, 2023 at FLA TOR 2–1 0–01–01–1 3 — TOR