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FLA @ TOR

Wednesday, April 2, 2025 · 6:30 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Florida Panthers
47-31-4 · Away
2 – 3
FINAL
Toronto Maple Leafs
52-26-4 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
FLA +105 · TOR -125
Puck Line
FLA +1.5 (-250) · TOR -1.5 (+180)
Total
O 5.5 (-110) · U (-110)

Graded: total 5 → OVER L · TOR -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 FLAo5.5 51%
38-36
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
51%
19-18
50%
3-3
47%
34-39-1
TORo5.5 58%
43-31
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
46%
17-20
50%
3-3
51%
36-34-3
Puck Line
cover %
 FLA+1.5 70%
52-22
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
68%
25-12
83%
5-1
-9.36u
31-43
TOR-1.5 37%
27-47
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
43%
16-21
17%
1-5
+0.77u
36-37
Moneyline
win %
 FLA dog +105 60%
44-30
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
54%
20-17
67%
4-2
+3.21u
7-5
TOR fav -125 61%
45-29
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
62%
23-14
33%
2-4
+0.55u
33-20
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-115/u-115 FD 1.5 o-122/u-104 FLA 55%
41-33
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
65%
24-13
83%
5-1
55%
41-33
 1.80 0.96 / 0.84
TOR 53%
39-35
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
41%
15-22
83%
5-1
53%
39-35
 1.80 0.91 / 0.89
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-166/u+130 FD 1.5 o-156/u+122 FLA 60%
44-30
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
49%
18-19
67%
4-2
57%
42-32
 2.01 1.14 / 0.88
TOR 70%
52-22
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
70%
26-11
67%
4-2
62%
46-28
 2.24 1.30 / 0.95
3rd Period
over 1.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 1.5 o-190/u+148 FLA 57%
42-32
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
60%
22-15
33%
2-4
49%
32-33
 1.91 0.96 / 0.95
TOR 62%
46-28
80%
4-1
50%
5-5
62%
23-14
33%
2-4
48%
31-33
 2.03 0.96 / 1.07
Team Comparison '24-25
FLATOR
Record (W-L-OTL)47-31-452-26-4
Points %59.8%65.9%
Goals for / game3.073.27
Goals against / game2.722.82
Shots for / game31.628.0
Shots against / game26.229.3
Power play %23.5%24.8%
Penalty kill %80.7%77.9%
Faceoff %49.5%53.7%
1st period GF / GA0.89 / 0.850.88 / 0.84
2nd period GF / GA1.13 / 0.881.23 / 0.89
3rd period GF / GA0.93 / 0.941.02 / 1.04
Avg game total5.796.09
Starting Goalies from the box score
23 saves on 26 shots · 3 GA · L
29 saves on 31 shots · 2 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
FLA0110311/2
TOR0120260/1
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
FLAPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Sam Reinhart G 0.5
o+140
 41% 30% 67%4/6 1 O
Sam Bennett G 0.5
o+165
 31% 30% 80%4/5 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich G 0.5
o+250
 22% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Brad Marchand G 0.5
o+240
 30% 20% 38%3/8 0 U
Seth Jones G 0.5
o+475
 16% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Niko Mikkola G 0.5
o+1000
 9% 20% 17%1/6 0 U
Jonah Gadjovich G 0.5
o+850
 12% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Anton Lundell G 0.5
o+325
 21% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Nate Schmidt G 0.5
o+1100
 7% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe G 0.5
o+250
 19% 0% 33%2/6 0 U
Tomas Nosek G 0.5
o+900
 2% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Gustav Forsling G 0.5
o+650
 12% 0% 0%0/6 1 O
A.J. Greer G 0.5
o+700
 8% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Evan Rodrigues G 0.5
o+350
 19% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Jesper Boqvist G 0.5
o+600
 14% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen G 0.5
o+475
 11% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Uvis Balinskis G 0.5
o+1750
 6% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 37% 60% 100%2/2 1 O
Brad Marchand PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 59% 50% 88%7/8 0 U
Seth Jones PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 47% 50% 25%1/4 1 O
Sam Reinhart PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+160
 68% 50% 83%5/6 2 O
Sam Bennett PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 54% 50% 80%4/5 1 O
Gustav Forsling PTS 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 32% 40% 17%1/6 1 O
Carter Verhaeghe PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 46% 20% 50%3/6 0 U
Anton Lundell PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 47% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Brad Marchand A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 39% 40% 75%6/8 0 U
Gustav Forsling A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 20% 40% 17%1/6 0 U
Seth Jones A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 36% 30% 25%1/4 1 O
Sam Reinhart A 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 43% 30% 33%2/6 1 O
Sam Bennett A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 32% 30% 40%2/5 1 O
Mackie Samoskevich A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 17% 30% 50%1/2 1 O
Carter Verhaeghe A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
 38% 20% 33%2/6 0 U
Anton Lundell A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 32% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Seth Jones SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 64% 80% 50%2/4 2 O
Sam Reinhart SOG 2.5
o-150 / u+115
 53% 60% 67%4/6 3 O
Sam Bennett SOG 2.5
o-165 / u+125
 64% 60% 80%4/5 2 U
Mackie Samoskevich SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 45% 60% 100%2/2 1 U
Brad Marchand SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 56% 50% 88%7/8 3 O
Carter Verhaeghe SOG 2.5
o-125 / u-105
 57% 50% 33%2/6 2 U
Gustav Forsling SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 72% 40% 17%1/6 3 O
Evan Rodrigues SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 61% 30% 33%2/6 0 U
Anton Lundell SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 52% 30% 60%3/5 5 O
Sergei Bobrovsky SV 23.5
o-125 / u-110
 57% 30% 25%1/4 23 U
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
John Tavares G 0.5
o+170
 37% 60% 33%2/6 1 O
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+100
 44% 50% 20%1/5 0 U
Max Domi G 0.5
o+450
 12% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
William Nylander G 0.5
o+140
 43% 40% 0%0/6 0 U
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+300
 26% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Mitch Marner G 0.5
o+220
 25% 20% 40%2/5 1 O
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+750
 10% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Calle Jarnkrok G 0.5
o+525
 9% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Scott Laughton G 0.5
o+550
 11% 10% 0%0/7 0 U
David Kampf G 0.5
o+750
 9% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+225
 31% 10% 20%1/5 1 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+850
 6% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Chris Tanev G 0.5
o+1500
 3% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+800
 10% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1100
 3% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Brandon Carlo G 0.5
o+1300
 1% 0% 13%1/8 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+800
 8% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1750
 1% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+125
 69% 70% 50%3/6 1 O
Mitch Marner PTS 0.5
o-240 / u+175
 73% 70% 60%3/5 2 O
William Nylander PTS 0.5
o-200 / u+150
 64% 60% 33%2/6 1 O
Auston Matthews PTS 1.5
o+155 / u-210
 32% 40% 20%1/5 1 U
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 51% 40% 20%1/5 2 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson PTS 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 33% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Bobby McMann PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 38% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 39% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Mitch Marner A 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 62% 60% 20%1/5 1 O
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o-105 / u-130
 48% 50% 20%1/5 1 O
John Tavares A 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 42% 40% 17%1/6 0 U
William Nylander A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 38% 40% 33%2/6 1 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 29% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 30% 30% 20%1/5 1 O
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+185 / u-260
 32% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Bobby McMann A 0.5
o+325 / u-475
 18% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Bobby McMann SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+125
 67% 80% 33%1/3 5 O
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 53% 80% 40%2/5 1 U
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o-130 / u-105
 60% 70% 50%3/6 2 U
Mitch Marner SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 60% 40% 60%3/5 4 O
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o-120 / u-110
 54% 40% 60%3/5 4 O
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 43% 30% 50%3/6 3 O
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o+115 / u-155
 43% 30% 40%2/5 0 U
Anthony Stolarz SV 25.5
o-125 / u-105
 61% 60% 0%0/2 29 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Mar 13, 2025 at TOR TOR 2–3 1–10–21–0 5 5.5 U FLA
Nov 27, 2024 at FLA TOR 1–5 0–21–10–2 6 5.5 O FLA
Apr 16, 2024 at FLA TOR 2–5 2–00–40–1 7 — FLA
Apr 1, 2024 at TOR TOR 6–4 2–03–11–3 10 — TOR
Nov 28, 2023 at TOR TOR 2–1 SO 0–11–00–0 3 — TOR
Oct 19, 2023 at FLA TOR 1–3 0–21–00–1 4 — FLA
May 12, 2023 at TOR TOR 2–3 OT 0–21–01–0 5 — FLA
May 10, 2023 at FLA TOR 2–1 0–01–01–1 3 — TOR
May 7, 2023 at FLA TOR 2–3 OT 1–01–20–0 5 — FLA
May 4, 2023 at TOR TOR 2–3 2–10–20–0 5 — FLA