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NYR @ BUF

Thursday, October 9, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

New York Rangers
34-39-9 · Away
4 – 0
FINAL
Buffalo Sabres
50-23-9 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
NYR -120 · BUF +100
Puck Line
NYR -1.5 (+180) · BUF +1.5 (-250)
Total
O 6.5 (+105) · U (-130)

Graded: total 4 → OVER L · BUF +1.5 L

Betting Trends Season = '24-25 (fewer than 5 games this season)
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 NYRo6.5 45%
37-45
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
54%
22-19
67%
2-1
50%
40-40-2
BUFo6.5 55%
45-37
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
59%
24-17
67%
2-1
61%
45-29-7
Puck Line
cover %
 NYR-1.5 31%
25-57
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
37%
15-26
0%
0-3
-10.89u
34-48
BUF+1.5 62%
51-31
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
73%
30-11
100%
3-0
-8.23u
42-39
Moneyline
win %
 NYR fav -120 48%
39-43
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
49%
20-21
33%
1-2
-3.55u
30-22
BUF dog +100 44%
36-46
20%
1-4
60%
6-4
56%
23-18
67%
2-1
-2.60u
22-35
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-135/u+105 FD 1.5 o-142/u+112 NYR 59%
48-34
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
66%
27-14
33%
1-2
59%
48-34
 1.91 0.96 / 0.95
BUF 61%
50-32
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
56%
23-18
33%
1-2
61%
50-32
 1.95 1.12 / 0.83
2nd Period
over 1.5
 DK 2.5 o+145/u-188 FD 1.5 o-190/u+148 NYR 57%
47-35
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
63%
26-15
67%
2-1
52%
43-39
 2.09 1.01 / 1.07
BUF 74%
61-21
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
73%
30-11
67%
2-1
65%
53-29
 2.33 1.02 / 1.30
3rd Period
over 1.5
 FD 2.5 o+152/u-196 NYR 61%
50-32
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
61%
25-16
100%
3-0
46%
34-40
 2.10 1.10 / 1.00
BUF 67%
55-27
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
66%
27-14
100%
3-0
49%
36-37
 2.35 1.05 / 1.30
Team Comparison '25-26
NYRBUF
Record (W-L-OTL)34-39-950-23-9
Points %47.0%66.5%
Goals for / game2.903.51
Goals against / game3.052.94
Shots for / game25.228.1
Shots against / game28.829.1
Power play %24.7%19.5%
Penalty kill %79.9%81.9%
Faceoff %54.6%45.9%
1st period GF / GA0.82 / 0.951.02 / 0.94
2nd period GF / GA0.95 / 0.961.16 / 0.88
3rd period GF / GA1.02 / 1.021.23 / 1.01
Avg game total5.956.45
Starting Goalies from the box score
37 saves on 37 shots · 0 GA · W
BUF · Alex Lyon
29 saves on 32 shots · 3 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
NYR1030330/3
BUF0000370/4
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
NYRPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Vincent Trocheck G 0.5
o+240
 29% 60% 0%0/3 0 U
Artemi Panarin G 0.5
o+155
 35% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Mika Zibanejad G 0.5
o+200
 23% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
J.T. Miller G 0.5
o+225
 26% 30% 0%0/2 1 O
Adam Fox G 0.5
o+550
 12% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Adam Edstrom G 0.5
o+750
 10% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Will Cuylle G 0.5
o+300
 23% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+325
 14% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Vladislav Gavrikov G 0.5
o+1000
 6% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Justin Danforth G 0.5
o+575
 15% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Braden Schneider G 0.5
o+1200
 8% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Alexis Lafrenière G 0.5
o+300
 20% 10% 0%0/3 1 O
Matt Rempe G 0.5
o+700
 7% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Sam Carrick G 0.5
o+750
 8% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Carson Soucy G 0.5
o+1300
 5% 0% 0%0/2 1 O
Will Borgen G 0.5
o+1200
 6% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Taylor Raddysh G 0.5
o+650
 9% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Conor Timmins G 0.5
o+1100
 4% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Urho Vaakanainen G 0.5
o+1300
 4% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Conor Sheary G 0.5
o+700
 0% — — 0 U
Noah Laba G 0.5
o+475
 0% — — 0 U
J.T. Miller PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+140
 64% 80% 100%2/2 2 O
Vincent Trocheck PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 49% 70% 33%1/3 1 O
Mika Zibanejad PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 51% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Artemi Panarin PTS 0.5
o-250 / u+180
 71% 60% 100%3/3 1 O
Will Cuylle PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 45% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Adam Fox PTS 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 54% 40% 67%2/3 1 O
Alexis Lafrenière PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 44% 10% 0%0/3 2 O
J.T. Miller A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 51% 70% 100%2/2 1 O
Mika Zibanejad A 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 38% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Artemi Panarin A 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 53% 40% 100%3/3 1 O
Will Cuylle A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 29% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Vincent Trocheck A 0.5
o+160 / u-210
 32% 30% 33%1/3 1 O
Adam Fox A 0.5
o-105 / u-130
 50% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Alexis Lafrenière A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 32% 10% 0%0/3 1 O
Adam Fox SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+115
 53% 70% 67%2/3 4 O
Will Cuylle SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 65% 70% 33%1/3 2 O
Mika Zibanejad SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 44% 60% 100%3/3 1 U
Josh Doan SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 45% 60% 0%0/1 2 O
J.T. Miller SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 56% 50% 50%1/2 1 U
Artemi Panarin SOG 2.5
o-160 / u+120
 56% 50% 33%1/3 2 U
Alexis Lafrenière SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 55% 50% 33%1/3 5 O
Vincent Trocheck SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-180
 48% 30% 67%2/3 1 U
Igor Shesterkin SV 24.5
o-125 / u-105
 53% 60% 33%1/3 37 O
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+195
 38% 60% 0%0/3 0 U
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+115
 46% 50% 100%3/3 0 U
Josh Norris G 0.5
o+260
 32% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+350
 22% 40% 100%2/2 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+350
 22% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+500
 12% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+250
 25% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+325
 16% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Jiri Kulich G 0.5
o+275
 19% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+750
 5% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Jacob Bryson G 0.5
o+2000
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1100
 7% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+800
 7% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Ryan Johnson G 0.5
o+1300
 0% — 0%0/1 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 59% 80% 33%1/3 0 U
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 53% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-220 / u+160
 65% 60% 100%3/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 60% 60% 100%2/2 0 U
Josh Norris PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-130
 48% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 47% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 37% 50% 100%2/2 0 U
Jiri Kulich PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 29% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-230
 35% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 34% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-130 / u-105
 52% 60% 50%1/2 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 27% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 36% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Josh Norris A 0.5
o+185 / u-260
 23% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 30% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 31% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Jiri Kulich A 0.5
o+275 / u-425
 13% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 33% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+130
 56% 70% 67%2/3 5 O
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-130
 51% 50% 100%2/2 4 O
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o+115 / u-155
 36% 40% 67%2/3 5 O
Jack Quinn SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 49% 40% 100%2/2 1 U
Jiri Kulich SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-200
 26% 40% 50%1/2 2 U
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 38% 30% 33%1/3 6 O
Josh Norris SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 48% 20% 50%1/2 4 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Feb 22, 2025 at BUF BUF 8–2 5–00–23–0 10 6.5 O BUF
Dec 11, 2024 at BUF BUF 2–3 0–10–02–2 5 6 U NYR
Nov 7, 2024 at NYR BUF 6–1 1–04–01–1 7 6.5 O BUF
Dec 23, 2023 at NYR BUF 3–4 OT 1–21–11–0 7 — NYR
Nov 27, 2023 at NYR BUF 5–1 1–01–03–1 6 — BUF
Oct 12, 2023 at BUF BUF 1–5 0–21–10–2 6 — NYR
Apr 10, 2023 at NYR BUF 3–2 SO 1–00–21–0 5 — BUF
Mar 31, 2023 at BUF BUF 3–2 OT 1–01–10–1 5 — BUF
Mar 11, 2023 at BUF BUF 1–2 OT 0–01–10–0 3 — NYR
Mar 27, 2022 at NYR BUF 4–5 OT 1–22–11–1 9 — NYR