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← Stats / BUF @ BOS

BUF @ BOS

Saturday, October 11, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Buffalo Sabres
50-23-9 · Away
1 – 3
FINAL
Boston Bruins
45-27-10 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BUF -105 · BOS -115
Puck Line
BUF +1.5 (-250) · BOS -1.5 (+180)
Total
O 5.5 (-145) · U (+115)

Graded: total 4 → OVER L · BOS -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season = '24-25 (fewer than 5 games this season)
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 BUFo5.5 66%
54-28
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
63%
26-15
50%
2-2
61%
45-29-7
BOSo5.5 52%
43-39
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
51%
21-20
50%
2-2
51%
41-39-1
Puck Line
cover %
 BUF+1.5 62%
51-31
40%
2-3
70%
7-3
51%
21-20
75%
3-1
-8.23u
42-39
BOS-1.5 26%
21-61
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
32%
13-28
25%
1-3
-15.08u
38-43
Moneyline
win %
 BUF dog -105 44%
36-46
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
32%
13-28
75%
3-1
-2.60u
22-35
BOS fav -115 40%
33-49
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
49%
20-21
25%
1-3
-4.43u
17-15
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-130/u+100 FD 1.5 o-130/u+104 BUF 85%
70-12
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
88%
36-5
100%
4-0
61%
50-32
 1.95 1.12 / 0.83
BOS 77%
63-19
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
81%
33-8
100%
4-0
57%
47-35
 1.70 0.83 / 0.87
2nd Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-195/u+150 FD 1.5 o-174/u+136 BUF 93%
76-6
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
90%
37-4
100%
4-0
65%
53-29
 2.33 1.02 / 1.30
BOS 90%
74-8
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
88%
36-5
100%
4-0
61%
50-32
 1.98 0.87 / 1.11
3rd Period
over 0.5
 FD 1.5 o-205/u+158 BUF 92%
75-7
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
88%
36-5
75%
3-1
49%
36-37
 2.35 1.05 / 1.30
BOS 89%
73-9
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
85%
35-6
75%
3-1
53%
39-34
 2.15 0.93 / 1.22
Team Comparison '25-26
BUFBOS
Record (W-L-OTL)50-23-945-27-10
Points %66.5%61.0%
Goals for / game3.513.32
Goals against / game2.943.05
Shots for / game28.127.0
Shots against / game29.129.7
Power play %19.5%23.4%
Penalty kill %81.9%77.0%
Faceoff %45.9%53.1%
1st period GF / GA1.02 / 0.940.99 / 0.84
2nd period GF / GA1.16 / 0.881.01 / 0.99
3rd period GF / GA1.23 / 1.011.17 / 1.10
Avg game total6.456.37
Starting Goalies from the box score
BUF · Alex Lyon
28 saves on 30 shots · 2 GA · L
21 saves on 22 shots · 1 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
BUF0010220/4
BOS1110310/4
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+210
 38% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+125
 46% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+325
 22% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+220
 25% 20% 25%1/4 1 O
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+275
 22% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+525
 12% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+325
 14% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Tyson Kozak G 0.5
o+525
 14% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Justin Danforth G 0.5
o+575
 15% 10% 100%1/1 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+350
 16% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Jiri Kulich G 0.5
o+275
 19% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+800
 5% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Conor Timmins G 0.5
o+1200
 4% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Jacob Bryson G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1300
 7% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Jordan Harris G 0.5
o+1500
 3% 0% — 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+850
 7% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+800
 9% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Mason Geertsen G 0.5
o+1000
 0% — — 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 59% 70% 50%2/4 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+125
 60% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 53% 50% 50%2/4 1 O
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+140
 65% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-125
 47% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 37% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 33% 40% 0%0/1 0 U
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 41% 40% 75%3/4 0 U
Jiri Kulich PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 29% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 52% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 34% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 27% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Owen Power A 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 35% 40% 75%3/4 0 U
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+170 / u-240
 36% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 30% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+325 / u-475
 22% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Jiri Kulich A 0.5
o+275 / u-425
 13% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 33% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 56% 80% 50%2/4 3 O
Josh Doan SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 45% 70% 0%0/1 3 O
Jiri Kulich SOG 1.5
o-190 / u+140
 71% 70% 67%2/3 1 U
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-130
 51% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-185
 38% 40% 50%2/4 1 U
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o+125 / u-170
 36% 40% 75%3/4 8 O
Alex Lyon SV 23.5
o-120 / u-110
 46% 50% — 28 O
BOSPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Morgan Geekie G 0.5
o+170
 39% 70% 75%3/4 0 U
Elias Lindholm G 0.5
o+210
 21% 60% 25%1/4 0 U
David Pastrnak G 0.5
o+105
 42% 60% 0%0/4 0 U
Viktor Arvidsson G 0.5
o+325
 22% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Tanner Jeannot G 0.5
o+650
 10% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Casey Mittelstadt G 0.5
o+350
 19% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Charlie McAvoy G 0.5
o+425
 12% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Michael Eyssimont G 0.5
o+475
 12% 20% — 0 U
Fraser Minten G 0.5
o+450
 14% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Sean Kuraly G 0.5
o+600
 7% 10% 0%0/3 1 O
Mark Kastelic G 0.5
o+700
 7% 10% 0%0/2 1 O
Marat Khusnutdinov G 0.5
o+600
 7% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Nikita Zadorov G 0.5
o+1000
 5% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Pavel Zacha G 0.5
o+325
 16% 0% 25%1/4 1 O
Andrew Peeke G 0.5
o+1200
 1% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Henri Jokiharju G 0.5
o+1100
 5% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Mason Lohrei G 0.5
o+850
 7% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Morgan Geekie PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 53% 90% 75%3/4 0 U
Elias Lindholm PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 44% 80% 50%2/4 1 O
David Pastrnak PTS 1.5
o+135 / u-180
 35% 80% 50%2/4 0 U
Pavel Zacha PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 43% 40% 25%1/4 1 O
Charlie McAvoy PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 40% 40% 100%1/1 1 O
Viktor Arvidsson PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 34% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Casey Mittelstadt PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 38% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Mason Lohrei PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-210
 35% 30% 75%3/4 0 U
David Pastrnak A 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 56% 90% 100%4/4 0 U
Morgan Geekie A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 26% 60% 25%1/4 0 U
Elias Lindholm A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 32% 50% 25%1/4 1 O
Pavel Zacha A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 34% 40% 0%0/4 0 U
Mason Lohrei A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 30% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Charlie McAvoy A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 32% 20% 100%1/1 1 O
Viktor Arvidsson A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 13% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Casey Mittelstadt A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 25% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Elias Lindholm SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 50% 70% 75%3/4 2 O
Charlie McAvoy SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 62% 50% 0%0/1 1 U
Morgan Geekie SOG 1.5
o-185 / u+135
 58% 50% 75%3/4 1 U
Viktor Arvidsson SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 39% 40% 0%0/2 2 U
David Pastrnak SOG 3.5
o-115 / u-115
 57% 20% 25%1/4 7 O
Jeremy Swayman SV 23.5
o-125 / u-105
 53% 50% 100%1/1 21 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Apr 6, 2025 at BUF BOS 3–6 2–01–30–3 9 6.5 O BUF
Mar 17, 2025 at BOS BOS 2–3 OT 2–10–10–0 5 5.5 U BUF
Jan 28, 2025 at BUF BOS 2–7 1–10–21–4 9 6 O BUF
Dec 21, 2024 at BOS BOS 3–1 1–00–12–0 4 6 U BOS
Dec 27, 2023 at BUF BOS 4–1 2–02–00–1 5 — BOS
Dec 7, 2023 at BOS BOS 1–3 0–01–20–1 4 — BUF
Nov 14, 2023 at BUF BOS 5–2 3–02–10–1 7 — BOS
Mar 19, 2023 at BUF BOS 7–0 3–01–03–0 7 — BOS
Mar 2, 2023 at BOS BOS 7–1 0–02–05–1 8 — BOS
Dec 31, 2022 at BOS BOS 3–4 OT 1–10–12–1 7 — BUF