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← Stats / COL @ BUF

COL @ BUF

Monday, October 13, 2025 · 11:30 AM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Colorado Avalanche
55-16-11 · Away
3 – 1
FINAL
Buffalo Sabres
50-23-9 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
COL -180 · BUF +150
Puck Line
COL -1.5 (+130) · BUF +1.5 (-165)
Total
O 6.5 (-110) · U (-110)

Graded: total 4 → OVER L · BUF +1.5 L

Betting Trends Season = '24-25 (fewer than 5 games this season)
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 COLo6.5 45%
37-45
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
39%
16-25
100%
2-0
49%
39-40-2
BUFo6.5 55%
45-37
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
59%
24-17
100%
2-0
61%
45-29-7
Puck Line
cover %
 COL-1.5 39%
32-50
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
34%
14-27
0%
0-2
-3.62u
36-45
BUF+1.5 62%
51-31
20%
1-4
60%
6-4
73%
30-11
100%
2-0
-8.23u
42-39
Moneyline
win %
 COL fav -180 60%
49-33
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
56%
23-18
100%
2-0
+0.18u
44-24
BUF dog +150 44%
36-46
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
56%
23-18
0%
0-2
-2.60u
22-35
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-154/u+120 FD 1.5 o-150/u+120 COL 32%
26-56
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
29%
12-29
50%
1-1
50%
41-41
 1.82 0.88 / 0.94
BUF 31%
25-57
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
29%
12-29
50%
1-1
61%
50-32
 1.95 1.12 / 0.83
2nd Period
over 2.5
 DK 2.5 o+135/u-175 FD 1.5 o-200/u+156 COL 31%
25-57
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
29%
12-29
0%
0-2
48%
39-43
 1.94 1.07 / 0.87
BUF 38%
31-51
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
39%
16-25
0%
0-2
65%
53-29
 2.33 1.02 / 1.30
3rd Period
over 2.5
 FD 2.5 o+138/u-176 COL 42%
34-48
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
49%
20-21
100%
2-0
51%
38-37
 2.32 1.32 / 1.00
BUF 46%
38-44
80%
4-1
50%
5-5
51%
21-20
100%
2-0
49%
36-37
 2.35 1.05 / 1.30
Team Comparison '25-26
COLBUF
Record (W-L-OTL)55-16-1150-23-9
Points %73.8%66.5%
Goals for / game3.683.51
Goals against / game2.482.94
Shots for / game33.728.1
Shots against / game26.129.1
Power play %17.1%19.5%
Penalty kill %84.6%81.9%
Faceoff %51.3%45.9%
1st period GF / GA1.17 / 0.741.02 / 0.94
2nd period GF / GA1.18 / 0.881.16 / 0.88
3rd period GF / GA1.24 / 0.721.23 / 1.01
Avg game total6.166.45
Starting Goalies from the box score
27 saves on 28 shots · 1 GA · W
BUF · Alex Lyon
34 saves on 37 shots · 3 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
COL1200370/4
BUF1000280/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
COLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Nathan MacKinnon G 0.5
o+115
 33% 50% 50%1/2 2 O
Martin Necas G 0.5
o+210
 30% 40% 100%1/1 0 U
Cale Makar G 0.5
o+275
 30% 30% 50%1/2 1 O
Sam Malinski G 0.5
o+1000
 7% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Brock Nelson G 0.5
o+250
 26% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Artturi Lehkonen G 0.5
o+175
 32% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Valeri Nichushkin G 0.5
o+200
 42% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Devon Toews G 0.5
o+750
 12% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Victor Olofsson G 0.5
o+375
 21% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Ross Colton G 0.5
o+400
 21% 20% 100%1/1 0 U
Parker Kelly G 0.5
o+700
 9% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Jack Drury G 0.5
o+575
 11% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Brent Burns G 0.5
o+900
 7% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Josh Manson G 0.5
o+1200
 2% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Joel Kiviranta G 0.5
o+650
 15% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Gabriel Landeskog G 0.5
o+240
 0% — — 0 U
Gavin Brindley G 0.5
o+600
 33% — — 0 U
Martin Necas PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 65% 70% 100%1/1 2 O
Cale Makar PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+155
 68% 70% 50%1/2 2 O
Brock Nelson PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 49% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Devon Toews PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 43% 50% 100%2/2 0 U
Artturi Lehkonen PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 48% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Nathan MacKinnon PTS 1.5
o+145 / u-195
 41% 30% 100%2/2 2 O
Valeri Nichushkin PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 58% 30% 0%0/1 1 O
Gabriel Landeskog PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-130
 0% — — 0 U
Nathan MacKinnon A 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 65% 70% 100%2/2 0 U
Cale Makar A 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 55% 60% 0%0/2 1 O
Martin Necas A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 53% 50% 0%0/1 2 O
Devon Toews A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 37% 40% 100%2/2 0 U
Brock Nelson A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 36% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Artturi Lehkonen A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 23% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Valeri Nichushkin A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 28% 20% 0%0/1 1 O
Gabriel Landeskog A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 0% — — 0 U
Artturi Lehkonen SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 61% 80% 50%1/2 0 U
Brock Nelson SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 68% 70% 67%2/3 2 O
Nathan MacKinnon SOG 3.5
o-105 / u-125
 49% 60% 50%1/2 5 O
Valeri Nichushkin SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 47% 50% 0%0/1 1 U
Cale Makar SOG 2.5
o-140 / u+105
 59% 50% 50%1/2 4 O
Brent Burns SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 57% 40% 67%2/3 1 U
Devon Toews SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-130
 57% 40% 100%2/2 2 O
Martin Necas SOG 2.5
o+150 / u-200
 47% 40% 0%0/1 3 O
Gabriel Landeskog SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 33% — — 2 O
Scott Wedgewood SV 22.5
o-110 / u-120
 46% 30% 0%0/1 27 O
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+220
 38% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+240
 25% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+135
 46% 30% 50%1/2 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+375
 22% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+275
 14% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Tyson Kozak G 0.5
o+600
 14% 20% — 0 U
Justin Danforth G 0.5
o+575
 15% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+325
 22% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+550
 12% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+375
 16% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Jiri Kulich G 0.5
o+325
 19% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+850
 5% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Conor Timmins G 0.5
o+1200
 4% 0% — 0 U
Jacob Bryson G 0.5
o+2000
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+900
 7% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+750
 9% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Ryan Johnson G 0.5
o+1500
 0% — — 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 59% 60% 50%1/2 1 O
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 53% 50% 100%2/2 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+115
 60% 50% 50%1/2 1 O
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 65% 40% 100%2/2 1 O
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 33% 40% 0%0/1 0 U
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 41% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-155
 47% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 52% 50% 50%1/2 1 O
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 34% 40% 50%1/2 1 O
Owen Power A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 35% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 30% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 36% 20% 100%2/2 0 U
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 22% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 33% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 56% 80% 100%2/2 1 U
Tage Thompson SOG 2.5
o-180 / u+135
 59% 80% 100%2/2 4 O
Josh Doan SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+115
 45% 80% 100%1/1 4 O
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 51% 60% 0%0/2 4 O
Jiri Kulich SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+110
 71% 60% 50%1/2 4 O
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o+150 / u-200
 38% 40% 0%0/2 2 U
Alex Lyon SV 25.5
o-125 / u-110
 27% 40% 0%0/1 34 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Jan 2, 2025 at COL BUF 5–6 OT 2–01–12–4 11 6.5 O COL
Dec 3, 2024 at BUF BUF 4–5 4–00–10–4 9 6.5 O COL
Dec 13, 2023 at COL BUF 1–5 1–30–00–2 6 — COL
Oct 29, 2023 at BUF BUF 4–0 1–02–01–0 4 — BUF
Dec 15, 2022 at COL BUF 4–2 2–01–01–2 6 — BUF
Dec 1, 2022 at BUF BUF 4–6 2–11–41–1 10 — COL
Feb 19, 2022 at BUF BUF 3–5 2–31–00–2 8 — COL
Jan 30, 2022 at COL BUF 1–4 0–11–20–1 5 — COL
Feb 26, 2020 at COL BUF 2–3 1–11–10–1 5 — COL
Feb 4, 2020 at BUF BUF 1–6 1–20–40–0 7 — COL