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TBL @ VGK

Thursday, November 6, 2025 · 9:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Tampa Bay Lightning
50-26-6 · Away
6 – 3
FINAL
Vegas Golden Knights
39-26-17 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TBL +105 · VGK -125
Puck Line
TBL +1.5 (-250) · VGK -1.5 (+180)
Total
O 5.5 (-145) · U (+115)

Graded: total 9 → OVER W · VGK -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 TBLo5.5 46%
6-7
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
43%
3-4
67%
2-1
39%
5-8
VGKo5.5 58%
7-5
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
67%
4-2
67%
2-1
50%
6-6
Puck Line
cover %
 TBL+1.5 92%
12-1
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
100%
7-0
67%
2-1
-5.06u
5-8
VGK-1.5 33%
4-8
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
33%
2-4
33%
1-2
-3.35u
5-7
Moneyline
win %
 TBL dog +105 46%
6-7
80%
4-1
50%
5-5
43%
3-4
67%
2-1
-2.00u
1-3
VGK fav -125 58%
7-5
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
67%
4-2
33%
1-2
-0.66u
5-3
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-130/u+100 FD 1.5 o-140/u+110 TBL 54%
7-6
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
57%
4-3
100%
3-0
54%
7-6
 1.77 1.00 / 0.77
VGK 67%
8-4
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
67%
4-2
100%
3-0
67%
8-4
 1.92 0.92 / 1.00
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-175/u+135 FD 1.5 o-180/u+140 TBL 46%
6-7
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
29%
2-5
0%
0-3
31%
4-9
 1.69 0.85 / 0.85
VGK 33%
4-8
0%
0-5
20%
2-8
50%
3-3
0%
0-3
25%
3-9
 1.50 0.92 / 0.58
3rd Period
over 1.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 1.5 o-205/u+156 TBL 46%
6-7
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
43%
3-4
67%
2-1
46%
6-7
 1.85 0.85 / 1.00
VGK 67%
8-4
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
67%
4-2
67%
2-1
50%
6-6
 2.25 1.42 / 0.83
Team Comparison '25-26
TBLVGK
Record (W-L-OTL)50-26-639-26-17
Points %64.6%57.9%
Goals for / game3.543.23
Goals against / game2.823.05
Shots for / game28.129.0
Shots against / game26.724.4
Power play %20.7%24.6%
Penalty kill %82.6%81.4%
Faceoff %47.3%50.8%
1st period GF / GA0.96 / 0.930.76 / 0.98
2nd period GF / GA1.22 / 0.841.05 / 1.12
3rd period GF / GA1.23 / 0.981.32 / 0.74
Avg game total6.356.28
Starting Goalies from the box score
29 saves on 32 shots · 3 GA · W
21 saves on 26 shots · 5 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TBL0240272/4
VGK2010320/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+155
 31% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+240
 39% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+170
 31% 40% 67%2/3 2 O
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+150
 36% 30% 100%3/3 2 O
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1200
 23% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+165
 23% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Darren Raddysh G 0.5
o+1400
 14% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+525
 23% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+700
 17% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+1200
 9% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+600
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand G 0.5
o+375
 8% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1300
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+700
 8% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+500
 0% 0% 0%0/2 1 O
Emil Lilleberg G 0.5
o+2000
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Charle-Edouard D'Astous G 0.5
o+1300
 17% — 0%0/1 0 U
Dominic James G 0.5
o+525
 0% — 0%0/1 1 O
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 62% 70% 100%3/3 1 O
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 62% 60% 67%2/3 1 O
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 54% 60% 0%0/3 0 U
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+125
 54% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 46% 50% 100%3/3 3 O
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o+165 / u-220
 36% 30% 33%1/3 3 O
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 62% 70% 100%3/3 1 O
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 36% 40% 0%0/3 1 O
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 39% 30% 67%2/3 1 O
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 39% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 23% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 31% 30% 67%2/3 1 O
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-130
 69% 80% 67%2/3 4 O
Victor Hedman SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+125
 62% 70% 100%3/3 0 U
Brayden Point SOG 1.5
o-190 / u+140
 54% 60% 67%2/3 1 U
Nikita Kucherov SOG 2.5
o-175 / u+130
 55% 50% 67%2/3 5 O
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-150
 39% 40% 67%2/3 3 O
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 25.5
o-105 / u-130
 44% 40% 33%1/3 29 O
VGKPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Tomas Hertl G 0.5
o+180
 42% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Jack Eichel G 0.5
o+130
 50% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Pavel Dorofeyev G 0.5
o+145
 50% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
William Karlsson G 0.5
o+300
 25% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Ivan Barbashev G 0.5
o+275
 33% 30% 33%1/3 2 O
Mitch Marner G 0.5
o+210
 17% 20% 40%2/5 1 O
Brett Howden G 0.5
o+425
 25% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Noah Hanifin G 0.5
o+575
 11% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Cole Reinhardt G 0.5
o+800
 17% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Kaedan Korczak G 0.5
o+1300
 8% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Brayden McNabb G 0.5
o+1200
 0% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Reilly Smith G 0.5
o+475
 8% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Brandon Saad G 0.5
o+350
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Colton Sissons G 0.5
o+800
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Shea Theodore G 0.5
o+550
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Keegan Kolesar G 0.5
o+750
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Jeremy Lauzon G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Zach Whitecloud G 0.5
o+1300
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Tomas Hertl PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 58% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Ivan Barbashev PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 58% 60% 33%1/3 3 O
Mitch Marner PTS 1.5
o+165 / u-230
 58% 60% 80%4/5 3 O
William Karlsson PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 42% 50% 100%2/2 0 U
Shea Theodore PTS 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 42% 40% 100%2/2 0 U
Jack Eichel PTS 1.5
o+125 / u-165
 50% 40% 33%1/3 2 O
Pavel Dorofeyev PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+105
 50% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Noah Hanifin PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 34% 10% 0%0/2 1 O
Tomas Hertl A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 50% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Ivan Barbashev A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 50% 50% 0%0/3 1 O
Mitch Marner A 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 50% 50% 80%4/5 2 O
Shea Theodore A 0.5
o-105 / u-130
 42% 40% 100%2/2 0 U
Jack Eichel A 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 50% 40% 33%1/3 2 O
William Karlsson A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 17% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Pavel Dorofeyev A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 8% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Noah Hanifin A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 28% 0% 0%0/2 1 O
Noah Hanifin SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 56% 70% 100%2/2 5 O
William Karlsson SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 67% 60% 100%2/2 5 O
Shea Theodore SOG 1.5
o-190 / u+140
 58% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Ivan Barbashev SOG 1.5
o+115 / u-150
 50% 50% 67%2/3 3 O
Jack Eichel SOG 3.5
o+110 / u-150
 42% 40% 0%0/3 7 O
Mitch Marner SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 50% 40% 80%4/5 3 O
Pavel Dorofeyev SOG 2.5
o-150 / u+115
 50% 40% 67%2/3 2 U
Tomas Hertl SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-165
 25% 30% 100%3/3 1 U

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Oct 26, 2025 at TBL VGK 1–2 OT 1–10–00–0 3 6.5 U TBL
Mar 23, 2025 at VGK VGK 4–2 3–00–11–1 6 6.5 U VGK
Oct 17, 2024 at TBL VGK 3–4 2–21–00–2 7 6.5 O TBL
Mar 19, 2024 at VGK VGK 3–5 1–21–01–3 8 — TBL
Dec 21, 2023 at TBL VGK 4–5 2–00–42–1 9 — TBL
Mar 9, 2023 at TBL VGK 4–3 OT 1–10–02–2 7 — VGK
Feb 18, 2023 at VGK VGK 5–4 4–20–11–1 9 — VGK
Jan 29, 2022 at TBL VGK 3–2 SO 1–01–00–2 5 — VGK
Dec 21, 2021 at VGK VGK 3–4 1–12–20–1 7 — TBL
Feb 20, 2020 at VGK VGK 5–3 1–12–12–1 8 — VGK