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WSH @ TBL

Saturday, November 8, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Washington Capitals
43-30-9 · Away
2 – 3
FINAL
Tampa Bay Lightning
50-26-6 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
WSH +130 · TBL -150
Puck Line
WSH +1.5 (-210) · TBL -1.5 (+160)
Total
O 5.5 (-130) · U (+105)

Graded: total 5 → OVER L · TBL -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 WSHo5.5 57%
8-6
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
67%
4-2
25%
1-3
50%
7-7
TBLo5.5 50%
7-7
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
50%
3-3
25%
1-3
43%
6-8
Puck Line
cover %
 WSH+1.5 71%
10-4
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
83%
5-1
50%
2-2
+3.48u
8-6
TBL-1.5 21%
3-11
60%
3-2
30%
3-7
0%
0-6
50%
2-2
-4.66u
6-8
Moneyline
win %
 WSH dog +130 50%
7-7
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
50%
3-3
50%
2-2
-2.09u
1-3
TBL fav -150 50%
7-7
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
50%
3-3
50%
2-2
-0.94u
5-4
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-125/u-105 FD 1.5 o-126/u-102 WSH 14%
2-12
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
17%
1-5
0%
0-4
29%
4-10
 1.21 0.50 / 0.71
TBL 21%
3-11
0%
0-5
10%
1-9
33%
2-4
0%
0-4
57%
8-6
 1.79 0.93 / 0.86
2nd Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-175/u+135 FD 1.5 o-168/u+132 WSH 29%
4-10
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
33%
2-4
25%
1-3
57%
8-6
 2.00 1.29 / 0.71
TBL 21%
3-11
0%
0-5
20%
2-8
33%
2-4
25%
1-3
36%
5-9
 1.71 0.93 / 0.79
3rd Period
over 2.5
 FD 1.5 o-192/u+150 WSH 29%
4-10
0%
0-5
30%
3-7
17%
1-5
50%
2-2
57%
8-6
 2.00 1.00 / 1.00
TBL 43%
6-8
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
50%
3-3
50%
2-2
50%
7-7
 2.07 1.07 / 1.00
Team Comparison '25-26
WSHTBL
Record (W-L-OTL)43-30-950-26-6
Points %57.9%64.6%
Goals for / game3.213.54
Goals against / game2.982.82
Shots for / game28.028.1
Shots against / game28.126.7
Power play %17.8%20.7%
Penalty kill %80.1%82.6%
Faceoff %49.3%47.3%
1st period GF / GA0.83 / 0.760.96 / 0.93
2nd period GF / GA1.06 / 1.021.22 / 0.84
3rd period GF / GA1.24 / 1.091.23 / 0.98
Avg game total6.186.35
Starting Goalies from the box score
17 saves on 20 shots · 3 GA · L
29 saves on 30 shots · 2 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
WSH1100300/1
TBL2010201/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
WSHPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Tom Wilson G 0.5
o+180
 57% 60% 50%2/4 0 U
Alex Ovechkin G 0.5
o+155
 21% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
John Carlson G 0.5
o+600
 21% 30% 25%1/4 1 O
Dylan Strome G 0.5
o+210
 25% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Jakob Chychrun G 0.5
o+400
 21% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Aliaksei Protas G 0.5
o+300
 29% 20% 50%2/4 0 U
Ryan Leonard G 0.5
o+400
 21% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Nic Dowd G 0.5
o+700
 7% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Trevor van Riemsdyk G 0.5
o+1750
 8% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Anthony Beauvillier G 0.5
o+325
 14% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Rasmus Sandin G 0.5
o+1200
 11% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Connor McMichael G 0.5
o+325
 7% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Justin Sourdif G 0.5
o+700
 7% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Matt Roy G 0.5
o+1200
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Brandon Duhaime G 0.5
o+800
 0% 0% 0%0/4 1 O
Martin Fehérváry G 0.5
o+1200
 7% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Hendrix Lapierre G 0.5
o+650
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Ethen Frank G 0.5
o+750
 17% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Tom Wilson PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+115
 79% 80% 50%2/4 0 U
Dylan Strome PTS 0.5
o-195 / u+145
 58% 70% 50%2/4 0 U
John Carlson PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 57% 60% 50%2/4 1 O
Alex Ovechkin PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 50% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Jakob Chychrun PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 50% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Aliaksei Protas PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 50% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Anthony Beauvillier PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 21% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Connor McMichael PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 21% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Dylan Strome A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 50% 60% 50%2/4 0 U
John Carlson A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 50% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Alex Ovechkin A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 43% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Tom Wilson A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 36% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Jakob Chychrun A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 29% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Connor McMichael A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 21% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Aliaksei Protas A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 29% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Anthony Beauvillier A 0.5
o+325 / u-475
 7% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Jakob Chychrun SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-125
 71% 80% 50%2/4 5 O
Anthony Beauvillier SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 64% 70% 67%2/3 1 U
Connor McMichael SOG 1.5
o-130 / u+100
 71% 70% 75%3/4 2 O
John Carlson SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+115
 64% 60% 50%2/4 3 O
Tom Wilson SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 57% 60% 100%4/4 2 O
Dylan Strome SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 50% 50% 75%3/4 2 O
Aliaksei Protas SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 64% 50% 75%3/4 5 O
Alex Ovechkin SOG 3.5
o+130 / u-175
 0% 0% 0%0/3 3 U
Logan Thompson SV 22.5
o-120 / u-110
 33% 30% 0%0/2 17 U
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+160
 36% 50% 25%1/4 1 O
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+135
 42% 40% 0%0/4 0 U
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+145
 29% 30% 25%1/4 1 O
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1000
 21% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Darren Raddysh G 0.5
o+800
 13% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+475
 21% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+600
 14% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+155
 21% 10% 75%3/4 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+450
 7% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+1100
 8% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+500
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand G 0.5
o+300
 7% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1100
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+650
 7% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Charle-Edouard D'Astous G 0.5
o+1200
 14% — — 0 U
Jack Finley G 0.5
o+550
 0% — — 0 U
Dominic James G 0.5
o+425
 13% — — 0 U
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 64% 70% 50%2/4 1 O
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-200 / u+150
 64% 60% 50%2/4 2 O
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-170 / u+125
 50% 60% 50%2/4 2 O
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o+150 / u-210
 42% 40% 0%0/4 0 U
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 50% 40% 100%4/4 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 29% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 64% 70% 50%2/4 1 O
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 42% 50% 100%4/4 0 U
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 43% 40% 25%1/4 1 O
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 36% 40% 25%1/4 1 O
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 36% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 21% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-130
 71% 80% 50%2/4 4 O
Victor Hedman SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 57% 70% 75%3/4 0 U
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 43% 50% 25%1/4 1 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 43% 50% 50%1/2 1 U
Brayden Point SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 43% 50% 50%2/4 2 U
Nikita Kucherov SOG 3.5
o+120 / u-160
 42% 40% 25%1/4 2 U
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 23.5
o-115 / u-120
 60% 60% 75%3/4 29 O

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Oct 14, 2025 at WSH TBL 2–3 OT 1–00–11–1 5 5.5 U WSH
Mar 1, 2025 at WSH TBL 3–1 1–00–02–1 4 6.5 U TBL
Nov 27, 2024 at TBL TBL 4–5 2–01–21–3 9 6.5 O WSH
Oct 26, 2024 at TBL TBL 3–0 0–01–02–0 3 6.5 U TBL
Apr 13, 2024 at WSH TBL 2–4 2–20–00–2 6 — WSH
Feb 22, 2024 at TBL TBL 3–5 0–21–12–2 8 — WSH
Dec 23, 2023 at WSH TBL 2–1 SO 1–00–10–0 3 — TBL
Mar 30, 2023 at TBL TBL 5–1 2–00–13–0 6 — TBL
Nov 13, 2022 at TBL TBL 6–3 4–00–12–2 9 — TBL
Nov 11, 2022 at WSH TBL 1–5 0–10–21–2 6 — WSH