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TOR @ PIT

Saturday, November 29, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Toronto Maple Leafs
32-36-14 · Away
7 – 2
FINAL
Pittsburgh Penguins
41-25-16 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TOR -110 · PIT -110
Puck Line
TOR -1.5 (+200) · PIT +1.5 (-300)
Total
O 6.5 (-105) · U (-115)

Graded: total 9 → OVER W · PIT +1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 TORo6.5 71%
17-7
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
67%
6-3
75%
3-1
75%
18-6
PITo6.5 44%
10-13
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
46%
5-6
75%
3-1
44%
10-13
Puck Line
cover %
 TOR-1.5 17%
4-20
0%
0-5
0%
0-10
11%
1-8
25%
1-3
-8.30u
8-16
PIT+1.5 87%
20-3
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
82%
9-2
75%
3-1
+6.45u
17-6
Moneyline
win %
 TOR dog -110 42%
10-14
40%
2-3
20%
2-8
22%
2-7
75%
3-1
-4.14u
2-6
PIT dog -110 52%
12-11
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
55%
6-5
25%
1-3
+4.57u
9-7
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-135/u+105 FD 1.5 o-148/u+116 TOR 17%
4-20
0%
0-5
30%
3-7
22%
2-7
50%
2-2
67%
16-8
 1.96 0.96 / 1.00
PIT 22%
5-18
40%
2-3
20%
2-8
36%
4-7
50%
2-2
61%
14-9
 1.78 0.91 / 0.87
2nd Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-195/u+150 FD 1.5 o-196/u+152 TOR 46%
11-13
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
33%
3-6
25%
1-3
67%
16-8
 2.29 0.92 / 1.38
PIT 26%
6-17
0%
0-5
10%
1-9
36%
4-7
25%
1-3
39%
9-14
 1.74 0.91 / 0.83
3rd Period
over 2.5
 FD 2.5 o+150/u-192 TOR 42%
10-14
20%
1-4
10%
1-9
44%
4-5
75%
3-1
42%
10-14
 2.33 1.21 / 1.13
PIT 26%
6-17
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
27%
3-8
75%
3-1
35%
8-15
 2.09 1.26 / 0.83
Team Comparison '25-26
TORPIT
Record (W-L-OTL)32-36-1441-25-16
Points %47.6%59.8%
Goals for / game3.093.57
Goals against / game3.653.27
Shots for / game26.328.6
Shots against / game32.427.4
Power play %21.3%24.1%
Penalty kill %81.2%81.4%
Faceoff %54.3%48.2%
1st period GF / GA0.84 / 0.991.13 / 0.83
2nd period GF / GA0.95 / 1.231.18 / 1.09
3rd period GF / GA1.18 / 1.261.17 / 1.16
Avg game total6.736.84
Starting Goalies from the box score
33 saves on 35 shots · 2 GA · W
6 saves on 10 shots · 4 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TOR2320231/3
PIT1010351/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
William Nylander G 0.5
o+140
 45% 50% 100%4/4 0 U
John Tavares G 0.5
o+155
 42% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+120
 42% 40% 50%2/4 1 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+600
 13% 20% 0%0/4 1 O
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+525
 17% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+750
 11% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Nick Robertson G 0.5
o+400
 22% 20% 0%0/3 1 O
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+325
 21% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+210
 24% 20% 50%2/4 0 U
Easton Cowan G 0.5
o+275
 13% 20% 0%0/1 1 O
Scott Laughton G 0.5
o+600
 0% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1100
 13% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Dakota Mermis G 0.5
o+1600
 11% 10% — 0 U
Max Domi G 0.5
o+375
 9% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Dakota Joshua G 0.5
o+700
 9% 0% 0%0/2 1 O
Nicolas Roy G 0.5
o+475
 5% 0% 0%0/3 1 O
Philippe Myers G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Troy Stecher G 0.5
o+1500
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 63% 90% 50%2/4 2 O
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-220 / u+160
 71% 70% 33%1/3 0 U
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 61% 70% 75%3/4 2 O
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 71% 70% 75%3/4 2 O
Auston Matthews PTS 0.5
o-225 / u+165
 63% 50% 75%3/4 2 O
William Nylander PTS 1.5
o+160 / u-220
 50% 40% 75%3/4 1 U
Easton Cowan PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 44% 40% 0%0/1 1 O
Bobby McMann PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 33% 30% 67%2/3 2 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 54% 70% 50%2/4 1 O
William Nylander A 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 75% 70% 50%2/4 1 O
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 62% 60% 50%2/4 2 O
John Tavares A 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 54% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 48% 50% 75%3/4 2 O
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 32% 30% 75%3/4 1 O
Easton Cowan A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 31% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Bobby McMann A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 13% 10% 33%1/3 1 O
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o-140 / u+105
 63% 80% 67%2/3 5 O
Easton Cowan SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+120
 56% 70% 0%0/1 1 U
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o-105 / u-130
 58% 60% 100%4/4 4 O
Bobby McMann SOG 1.5
o-130 / u-105
 42% 60% 33%1/3 3 O
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 48% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-130
 35% 50% 75%3/4 1 U
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+125
 62% 50% 50%2/4 2 O
Dennis Hildeby SV 25.5
o-105 / u-125
 33% — — 33 O
PITPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Sidney Crosby G 0.5
o+155
 52% 40% 25%1/4 1 O
Evgeni Malkin G 0.5
o+240
 26% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Bryan Rust G 0.5
o+175
 29% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Anthony Mantha G 0.5
o+300
 35% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Connor Dewar G 0.5
o+525
 22% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Kris Letang G 0.5
o+600
 9% 10% 50%2/4 0 U
Erik Karlsson G 0.5
o+450
 4% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Kevin Hayes G 0.5
o+325
 13% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Mathew Dumba G 0.5
o+1200
 11% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Ryan Graves G 0.5
o+1600
 11% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Danton Heinen G 0.5
o+525
 0% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Tommy Novak G 0.5
o+375
 9% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Parker Wotherspoon G 0.5
o+1200
 9% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Blake Lizotte G 0.5
o+525
 13% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Ben Kindel G 0.5
o+275
 20% 10% 100%1/1 1 O
Ryan Shea G 0.5
o+1300
 9% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Joona Koppanen G 0.5
o+700
 0% 0% — 0 U
Ville Koivunen G 0.5
o+475
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Evgeni Malkin PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 74% 60% 50%2/4 0 U
Sidney Crosby PTS 0.5
o-200 / u+145
 65% 60% 100%4/4 2 O
Erik Karlsson PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 48% 50% 75%3/4 0 U
Bryan Rust PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+135
 57% 50% 75%3/4 1 O
Kris Letang PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 30% 30% 75%3/4 0 U
Anthony Mantha PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 52% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Ben Kindel PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 30% 30% 100%1/1 1 O
Kevin Hayes PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 25% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Erik Karlsson A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 44% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Evgeni Malkin A 0.5
o+120 / u-155
 57% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Sidney Crosby A 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 35% 30% 100%4/4 1 O
Kris Letang A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 26% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Bryan Rust A 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 43% 30% 75%3/4 1 O
Ben Kindel A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 10% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Kevin Hayes A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 13% 10% 33%1/3 1 O
Anthony Mantha A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 26% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Kris Letang SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+115
 57% 80% 75%3/4 1 U
Ben Kindel SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 55% 60% 100%1/1 5 O
Sidney Crosby SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-120
 44% 50% 75%3/4 4 O
Erik Karlsson SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-195
 35% 50% 50%2/4 2 U
Kevin Hayes SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+110
 63% 50% 0%0/3 3 O
Bryan Rust SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-130
 48% 50% 50%2/4 1 U
Anthony Mantha SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 48% 50% 100%1/1 0 U
Evgeni Malkin SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-190
 39% 30% 50%2/4 6 O
Arturs Silovs SV 23.5
o-120 / u-110
 73% 70% — 6 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Nov 3, 2025 at TOR PIT 3–4 2–01–00–4 7 6.5 O TOR
Mar 2, 2025 at PIT PIT 5–6 OT 3–21–31–0 11 6.5 O TOR
Dec 7, 2024 at PIT PIT 5–2 2–10–13–0 7 6 O PIT
Oct 12, 2024 at TOR PIT 2–4 1–00–21–2 6 6.5 U TOR
Apr 8, 2024 at TOR PIT 2–3 OT 1–00–11–1 5 — TOR
Dec 16, 2023 at TOR PIT 0–7 0–30–30–1 7 — TOR
Nov 25, 2023 at PIT PIT 3–2 1–22–00–0 5 — PIT
Nov 26, 2022 at PIT PIT 1–4 0–10–21–1 5 — TOR
Nov 15, 2022 at PIT PIT 2–5 0–22–20–1 7 — TOR
Nov 11, 2022 at TOR PIT 4–2 1–11–12–0 6 — PIT