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NYI @ TBL

Saturday, December 6, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

New York Islanders
43-34-5 · Away
2 – 0
FINAL
Tampa Bay Lightning
50-26-6 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
NYI +125 · TBL -145
Puck Line
NYI +1.5 (-210) · TBL -1.5 (+160)
Total
O 6.5 (+105) · U (-130)

Graded: total 2 → OVER L · TBL -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 NYIo6.5 46%
13-15
40%
2-3
20%
2-8
46%
6-7
25%
1-3
50%
14-14
TBLo6.5 41%
11-16
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
43%
6-8
25%
1-3
48%
13-14
Puck Line
cover %
 NYI+1.5 71%
20-8
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
77%
10-3
50%
2-2
-6.78u
13-15
TBL-1.5 37%
10-17
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
21%
3-11
50%
2-2
-3.51u
13-14
Moneyline
win %
 NYI dog +125 54%
15-13
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
62%
8-5
50%
2-2
+9.55u
11-6
TBL fav -145 59%
16-11
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
57%
8-6
50%
2-2
-1.17u
11-8
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-130/u+100 FD 1.5 o-138/u+108 NYI 57%
16-12
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
54%
7-6
50%
2-2
57%
16-12
 1.61 0.82 / 0.79
TBL 52%
14-13
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
50%
7-7
50%
2-2
52%
14-13
 2.00 1.22 / 0.78
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-188/u+145 FD 1.5 o-186/u+144 NYI 57%
16-12
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
62%
8-5
50%
2-2
54%
15-13
 2.18 1.11 / 1.07
TBL 44%
12-15
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
50%
7-7
50%
2-2
33%
9-18
 1.63 0.78 / 0.85
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+158/u-205 NYI 25%
7-21
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
31%
4-9
25%
1-3
39%
11-17
 1.86 0.93 / 0.93
TBL 30%
8-19
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
36%
5-9
25%
1-3
52%
14-13
 2.07 1.15 / 0.93
Team Comparison '25-26
NYITBL
Record (W-L-OTL)43-34-550-26-6
Points %55.5%64.6%
Goals for / game2.843.54
Goals against / game2.942.82
Shots for / game28.228.1
Shots against / game27.726.7
Power play %16.5%20.7%
Penalty kill %80.8%82.6%
Faceoff %52.7%47.3%
1st period GF / GA0.78 / 0.820.96 / 0.93
2nd period GF / GA1.04 / 1.061.22 / 0.84
3rd period GF / GA0.85 / 1.001.23 / 0.98
Avg game total5.786.35
Starting Goalies from the box score
32 saves on 32 shots · 0 GA · W
17 saves on 18 shots · 1 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
NYI0020191/3
TBL0000320/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
NYIPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Bo Horvat G 0.5
o+145
 46% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Anders Lee G 0.5
o+240
 18% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Mathew Barzal G 0.5
o+165
 30% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Emil Heineman G 0.5
o+350
 32% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Calum Ritchie G 0.5
o+475
 11% 20% 0%0/1 1 O
Casey Cizikas G 0.5
o+850
 7% 10% 0%0/4 1 O
Adam Pelech G 0.5
o+1000
 4% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Anthony Duclair G 0.5
o+475
 14% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Kyle MacLean G 0.5
o+900
 7% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Marc Gatcomb G 0.5
o+700
 18% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Matthew Schaefer G 0.5
o+425
 25% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Maxim Shabanov G 0.5
o+325
 13% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Scott Mayfield G 0.5
o+1750
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Ryan Pulock G 0.5
o+1000
 0% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Tony DeAngelo G 0.5
o+850
 4% 0% 50%2/4 0 U
Adam Boqvist G 0.5
o+1600
 0% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Simon Holmstrom G 0.5
o+450
 15% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Maxim Tsyplakov G 0.5
o+650
 6% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Bo Horvat PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 68% 50% 75%3/4 0 U
Mathew Barzal PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 63% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Emil Heineman PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 54% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Matthew Schaefer PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 57% 40% 0%0/1 0 U
Maxim Shabanov PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 44% 40% 100%1/1 0 U
Anders Lee PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 36% 30% 25%1/4 1 O
Matthew Schaefer A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 43% 40% 0%0/1 0 U
Maxim Shabanov A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 38% 40% 100%1/1 0 U
Mathew Barzal A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 44% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Emil Heineman A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 21% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Anders Lee A 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 25% 10% 25%1/4 1 O
Bo Horvat A 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 32% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Bo Horvat SOG 2.5
o-180 / u+135
 61% 80% 100%4/4 1 U
Maxim Shabanov SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 50% 60% 100%1/1 2 O
Mathew Barzal SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-130
 41% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Anders Lee SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-135
 43% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Emil Heineman SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 54% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Matthew Schaefer SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-130
 50% 30% 0%0/1 4 O
Ilya Sorokin SV 24.5
o-110 / u-120
 47% 60% 50%2/4 32 O
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+145
 46% 60% 0%0/4 0 U
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+125
 41% 50% 75%3/4 0 U
Nick Paul G 0.5
o+230
 25% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Darren Raddysh G 0.5
o+525
 14% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+225
 30% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+400
 15% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+500
 20% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand G 0.5
o+260
 7% 10% 40%2/5 0 U
Charle-Edouard D'Astous G 0.5
o+1000
 10% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Jack Finley G 0.5
o+575
 11% 10% — 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+650
 7% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Dominic James G 0.5
o+500
 11% 10% 100%1/1 0 U
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+525
 0% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Curtis Douglas G 0.5
o+1000
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+575
 5% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Max Crozier G 0.5
o+1200
 0% 0% — 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+1000
 4% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Emil Lilleberg G 0.5
o+1300
 7% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-250 / u+180
 70% 80% 75%3/4 0 U
Darren Raddysh PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 48% 80% 50%2/4 0 U
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 67% 70% 67%2/3 0 U
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-220 / u+160
 58% 70% 25%1/4 0 U
Nick Paul PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 75% 60% 50%2/4 0 U
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 48% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 30% 30% 40%2/5 0 U
Darren Raddysh A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 43% 80% 50%2/4 0 U
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 67% 70% 33%1/3 0 U
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 41% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Nick Paul A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 50% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 30% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 39% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 22% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Darren Raddysh SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 67% 80% 75%3/4 1 U
Victor Hedman SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 53% 70% 33%1/3 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+125
 52% 70% 80%4/5 1 U
Brandon Hagel SOG 3.5
o+115 / u-155
 50% 60% 0%0/4 5 O
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-120
 44% 50% 75%3/4 0 U
Nick Paul SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+115
 50% 50% 50%2/4 3 O
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 48% 50% 50%2/4 6 O
Jonas Johansson SV 24.5
o-105 / u-130
 75% 60% 100%1/1 17 U

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Dec 2, 2025 at NYI TBL 1–2 0–00–11–1 3 5.5 U NYI
Apr 1, 2025 at NYI TBL 4–1 1–12–01–0 5 6.5 U TBL
Mar 29, 2025 at TBL TBL 5–3 3–01–01–3 8 5.5 O TBL
Feb 1, 2025 at TBL TBL 2–3 OT 0–01–11–1 5 5.5 U NYI
Mar 30, 2024 at TBL TBL 4–1 2–10–02–0 5 — TBL
Feb 24, 2024 at NYI TBL 4–2 2–01–01–2 6 — TBL
Feb 8, 2024 at NYI TBL 2–6 1–31–30–0 8 — NYI
Apr 6, 2023 at NYI TBL 1–6 0–01–40–2 7 — NYI
Apr 1, 2023 at TBL TBL 5–0 1–03–01–0 5 — TBL
Oct 22, 2022 at TBL TBL 5–3 2–12–11–1 8 — TBL