← Stats / TOR @ DAL

TOR @ DAL

Sunday, December 21, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Toronto Maple Leafs
32-36-14 · Away
1 – 5
FINAL
Dallas Stars
50-20-12 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TOR +180 · DAL -230
Puck Line
TOR +1.5 (-130) · DAL -1.5 (+105)
Total
O 6.5 (+105) · U (-130)

Graded: total 6 → OVER L · DAL -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 TORo6.5 59%
20-14
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
57%
8-6
50%
1-1
62%
21-13
DALo6.5 44%
16-20
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
35%
6-11
50%
1-1
47%
17-19
Puck Line
cover %
 TOR+1.5 68%
23-11
40%
2-3
70%
7-3
43%
6-8
50%
1-1
-10.63u
12-22
DAL-1.5 31%
11-25
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
29%
5-12
50%
1-1
-8.16u
15-21
Moneyline
win %
 TOR dog +180 44%
15-19
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
36%
5-9
50%
1-1
-2.13u
6-9
DAL fav -230 67%
24-12
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
65%
11-6
50%
1-1
+1.77u
18-10
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-135/u+105 FD 1.5 o-146/u+116 TOR 65%
22-12
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
79%
11-3
100%
2-0
65%
22-12
 1.88 0.97 / 0.91
DAL 50%
18-18
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
47%
8-9
100%
2-0
50%
18-18
 1.53 0.89 / 0.64
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-188/u+145 FD 1.5 o-190/u+148 TOR 71%
24-10
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
71%
10-4
50%
1-1
62%
21-13
 2.06 0.88 / 1.18
DAL 64%
23-13
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
65%
11-6
50%
1-1
64%
23-13
 2.17 1.22 / 0.94
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+160/u-210 TOR 41%
14-20
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
43%
6-8
0%
0-2
44%
15-19
 2.29 1.21 / 1.09
DAL 44%
16-20
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
53%
9-8
0%
0-2
64%
23-13
 2.28 1.33 / 0.94
Team Comparison '25-26
TORDAL
Record (W-L-OTL)32-36-1450-20-12
Points %47.6%68.3%
Goals for / game3.093.40
Goals against / game3.652.76
Shots for / game26.325.3
Shots against / game32.426.2
Power play %21.3%28.6%
Penalty kill %81.2%80.3%
Faceoff %54.3%51.7%
1st period GF / GA0.84 / 0.990.88 / 0.74
2nd period GF / GA0.95 / 1.231.22 / 0.83
3rd period GF / GA1.18 / 1.261.16 / 1.04
Avg game total6.736.16
Starting Goalies from the box score
17 saves on 21 shots · 4 GA · L
27 saves on 28 shots · 1 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TOR0010280/4
DAL1040220/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+145
 45% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Dakota Joshua G 0.5
o+750
 19% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+650
 18% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Scott Laughton G 0.5
o+650
 19% 30% 0%0/1 1 O
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+425
 24% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
John Tavares G 0.5
o+220
 35% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Nicolas Roy G 0.5
o+450
 10% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+600
 15% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+800
 11% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Troy Stecher G 0.5
o+1300
 5% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Nick Robertson G 0.5
o+425
 19% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Matias Maccelli G 0.5
o+500
 17% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+240
 19% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1200
 9% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Max Domi G 0.5
o+500
 6% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
William Nylander G 0.5
o+200
 30% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Philippe Myers G 0.5
o+1600
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1750
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Auston Matthews PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+125
 62% 60% 100%2/2 0 U
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 55% 40% 50%1/2 1 O
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 59% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 53% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
William Nylander PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 70% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 58% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+160 / u-210
 42% 30% 50%1/2 1 O
William Nylander A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 60% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o+160 / u-210
 31% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 52% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
John Tavares A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 41% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson A 0.5
o+210 / u-275
 41% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 58% 80% 50%1/2 5 O
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o+105 / u-140
 55% 50% 0%0/2 4 O
Bobby McMann SOG 1.5
o+100 / u-130
 42% 50% 50%1/2 1 U
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+115
 58% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-135
 56% 40% 0%0/2 2 U
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-175
 30% 20% 50%1/2 3 O
Dennis Hildeby SV 25.5
o-105 / u-125
 88% 70% — 17 U
DALPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Jason Robertson G 0.5
o+120
 47% 50% 0%0/2 1 O
Mikko Rantanen G 0.5
o+150
 37% 40% 0%0/1 0 U
Miro Heiskanen G 0.5
o+450
 17% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Roope Hintz G 0.5
o+200
 36% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Jamie Benn G 0.5
o+300
 29% 20% 0%0/2 1 O
Matt Duchene G 0.5
o+350
 18% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Sam Steel G 0.5
o+475
 14% 20% 50%1/2 1 O
Oskar Bäck G 0.5
o+700
 12% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Wyatt Johnston G 0.5
o+155
 42% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Alexander Petrovic G 0.5
o+1300
 6% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Esa Lindell G 0.5
o+850
 11% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Nils Lundkvist G 0.5
o+1200
 11% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Ilya Lyubushkin G 0.5
o+1500
 4% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Thomas Harley G 0.5
o+650
 8% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Justin Hryckowian G 0.5
o+500
 11% 10% — 1 O
Colin Blackwell G 0.5
o+800
 6% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Radek Faksa G 0.5
o+700
 3% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Mavrik Bourque G 0.5
o+425
 11% 0% 50%1/2 1 O
Miro Heiskanen PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 58% 70% 100%2/2 1 O
Wyatt Johnston PTS 0.5
o-195 / u+145
 67% 70% 100%2/2 0 U
Roope Hintz PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 68% 60% 0%0/2 0 U
Jason Robertson PTS 0.5
o-230 / u+170
 69% 60% 50%1/2 1 O
Mikko Rantanen PTS 1.5
o+150 / u-200
 40% 50% 0%0/1 1 U
Jamie Benn PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 53% 40% 50%1/2 2 O
Thomas Harley PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 42% 30% 100%1/1 1 O
Matt Duchene PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 27% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Mikko Rantanen A 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 63% 60% 100%1/1 1 O
Wyatt Johnston A 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 42% 60% 100%2/2 0 U
Roope Hintz A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 42% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Miro Heiskanen A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 47% 50% 100%2/2 1 O
Thomas Harley A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 42% 30% 100%1/1 1 O
Jamie Benn A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 29% 20% 50%1/2 1 O
Jason Robertson A 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 42% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Matt Duchene A 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 18% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Mikko Rantanen SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-125
 46% 50% 0%0/1 0 U
Jason Robertson SOG 3.5
o+120 / u-160
 58% 50% 0%0/2 2 U
Miro Heiskanen SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 67% 50% 50%1/2 1 U
Roope Hintz SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 68% 40% 0%0/2 2 O
Matt Duchene SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 27% 30% 0%0/2 1 U
Thomas Harley SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 42% 30% 100%1/1 0 U
Wyatt Johnston SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 47% 20% 0%0/2 2 U
Jake Oettinger SV 22.5
o-120 / u-110
 57% 60% 50%1/2 27 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Jan 14, 2025 at TOR DAL 4–1 1–11–02–0 5 5.5 U DAL
Dec 18, 2024 at DAL DAL 3–5 1–11–31–1 8 5.5 O TOR
Feb 7, 2024 at TOR DAL 4–5 2–10–22–2 9 — TOR
Oct 26, 2023 at DAL DAL 1–4 0–11–10–2 5 — TOR
Dec 6, 2022 at DAL DAL 0–4 0–20–10–1 4 — TOR
Oct 20, 2022 at TOR DAL 2–3 OT 1–00–11–1 5 — TOR
Apr 7, 2022 at DAL DAL 3–4 OT 1–10–12–1 7 — TOR
Mar 15, 2022 at TOR DAL 0–4 0–20–00–2 4 — TOR
Feb 13, 2020 at TOR DAL 3–2 1–01–11–1 5 — DAL
Jan 29, 2020 at DAL DAL 3–5 1–11–21–2 8 — TOR