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TBL @ FLA

Saturday, December 27, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Tampa Bay Lightning
50-26-6 · Away
4 – 2
FINAL
Florida Panthers
40-38-4 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TBL -115 · FLA -105
Puck Line
TBL -1.5 (+200) · FLA +1.5 (-300)
Total
O 5.5 (-115) · U (-105)

Graded: total 6 → OVER W · FLA +1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 TBLo5.5 50%
18-18
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
47%
8-9
50%
3-3
47%
17-19
FLAo5.5 56%
20-16
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
52%
11-10
50%
3-3
56%
20-16
Puck Line
cover %
 TBL-1.5 39%
14-22
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
53%
9-8
50%
3-3
-1.96u
17-19
FLA+1.5 61%
22-14
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
67%
14-7
50%
3-3
-13.64u
12-24
Moneyline
win %
 TBL fav -115 56%
20-16
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
59%
10-7
50%
3-3
-4.27u
14-13
FLA dog -105 56%
20-16
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
57%
12-9
50%
3-3
+6.47u
8-2
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-120/u-110 FD 1.5 o-122/u-106 TBL 92%
33-3
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
94%
16-1
83%
5-1
56%
20-16
 2.03 1.19 / 0.83
FLA 86%
31-5
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
86%
18-3
83%
5-1
39%
14-22
 1.69 0.83 / 0.86
2nd Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-160/u+124 FD 1.5 o-166/u+128 TBL 83%
30-6
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
88%
15-2
83%
5-1
42%
15-21
 1.67 0.83 / 0.83
FLA 89%
32-4
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
81%
17-4
83%
5-1
64%
23-13
 2.14 1.11 / 1.03
3rd Period
over 0.5
 FD 1.5 o-186/u+144 TBL 92%
33-3
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
94%
16-1
100%
6-0
47%
17-19
 2.03 1.14 / 0.89
FLA 94%
34-2
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
95%
20-1
100%
6-0
69%
25-11
 2.44 1.22 / 1.22
Team Comparison '25-26
TBLFLA
Record (W-L-OTL)50-26-640-38-4
Points %64.6%51.2%
Goals for / game3.543.06
Goals against / game2.823.37
Shots for / game28.128.0
Shots against / game26.726.8
Power play %20.7%19.5%
Penalty kill %82.6%81.0%
Faceoff %47.3%46.6%
1st period GF / GA0.96 / 0.930.93 / 0.90
2nd period GF / GA1.22 / 0.840.84 / 1.11
3rd period GF / GA1.23 / 0.981.20 / 1.30
Avg game total6.356.43
Starting Goalies from the box score
24 saves on 26 shots · 2 GA · W
21 saves on 24 shots · 3 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TBL2110250/6
FLA1100261/10
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Darren Raddysh G 0.5
o+425
 23% 40% 17%1/6 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand G 0.5
o+300
 14% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+180
 21% 30% 50%3/6 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+575
 14% 30% 0%0/5 1 O
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+155
 34% 20% 33%2/6 2 O
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+160
 36% 20% 33%2/6 1 O
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+475
 9% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+850
 9% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Nick Paul G 0.5
o+425
 18% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+275
 25% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Charle-Edouard D'Astous G 0.5
o+900
 10% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Max Crozier G 0.5
o+1300
 6% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+475
 11% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+550
 14% 0% 17%1/6 0 U
Curtis Douglas G 0.5
o+900
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Declan Carlile G 0.5
o+1600
 7% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Scott Sabourin G 0.5
o+900
 14% — 0%0/3 0 U
Steven Santini G 0.5
o+1600
 0% — 0%0/1 0 U
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-190 / u+140
 69% 70% 67%4/6 1 O
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o+135 / u-180
 50% 60% 17%1/6 2 O
Darren Raddysh PTS 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 50% 60% 67%4/6 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 36% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 48% 50% 67%4/6 1 O
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 44% 30% 40%2/5 2 O
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 59% 70% 33%2/6 0 U
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+120 / u-155
 44% 60% 33%2/6 0 U
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 38% 40% 33%2/6 1 O
Darren Raddysh A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 40% 40% 50%3/6 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 25% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 28% 20% 40%2/5 2 O
Brayden Point SOG 1.5
o-190 / u+140
 69% 90% 50%3/6 2 O
Nikita Kucherov SOG 2.5
o-160 / u+120
 53% 50% 83%5/6 3 O
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-135
 44% 50% 17%1/6 3 O
Darren Raddysh SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-195
 40% 50% 17%1/6 5 O
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-125
 47% 40% 40%2/5 1 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 44% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 25.5
o-130 / u+100
 41% 30% 25%1/4 24 U
FLAPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Sam Bennett G 0.5
o+145
 33% 60% 0%0/6 0 U
Anton Lundell G 0.5
o+240
 33% 60% 20%1/5 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe G 0.5
o+200
 29% 50% 17%1/6 0 U
Brad Marchand G 0.5
o+165
 49% 40% 80%4/5 1 O
Sam Reinhart G 0.5
o+160
 47% 40% 40%2/5 0 U
Seth Jones G 0.5
o+500
 14% 30% 0%0/5 0 U
A.J. Greer G 0.5
o+500
 17% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Evan Rodrigues G 0.5
o+350
 22% 10% 0%0/6 0 U
Niko Mikkola G 0.5
o+1000
 3% 10% 0%0/6 0 U
Luke Kunin G 0.5
o+800
 8% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich G 0.5
o+325
 12% 10% 0%0/6 0 U
Uvis Balinskis G 0.5
o+1400
 4% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Jeff Petry G 0.5
o+1500
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Aaron Ekblad G 0.5
o+750
 3% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Gustav Forsling G 0.5
o+900
 3% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Jesper Boqvist G 0.5
o+650
 8% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Jack Studnicka G 0.5
o+800
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen G 0.5
o+400
 11% 0% 17%1/6 1 O
Sam Reinhart PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 67% 80% 60%3/5 1 O
Brad Marchand PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 77% 70% 100%5/5 1 O
Carter Verhaeghe PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+115
 57% 70% 33%2/6 0 U
Seth Jones PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 44% 70% 40%2/5 0 U
Sam Bennett PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 50% 70% 0%0/6 1 O
Anton Lundell PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 64% 70% 60%3/5 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 41% 50% 33%2/6 1 O
Aaron Ekblad PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 29% 40% 60%3/5 0 U
Evan Rodrigues PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 42% 40% 0%0/6 1 O
Eetu Luostarinen PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 43% 40% 17%1/6 1 O
Brad Marchand A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 46% 60% 40%2/5 0 U
Sam Reinhart A 0.5
o+130 / u-170
 33% 60% 20%1/5 1 O
Carter Verhaeghe A 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 43% 50% 33%2/6 0 U
Seth Jones A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 36% 50% 40%2/5 0 U
Aaron Ekblad A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 29% 40% 60%3/5 0 U
Sam Bennett A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 28% 40% 0%0/6 1 O
Eetu Luostarinen A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 36% 40% 0%0/6 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 32% 40% 33%2/6 1 O
Evan Rodrigues A 0.5
o+300 / u-425
 25% 30% 0%0/6 1 O
Anton Lundell A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 39% 20% 40%2/5 0 U
Anton Lundell SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 61% 80% 40%2/5 1 U
Mackie Samoskevich SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 62% 80% 33%2/6 2 O
Evan Rodrigues SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+115
 64% 70% 50%3/6 3 O
Carter Verhaeghe SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 49% 60% 33%2/6 1 U
Seth Jones SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+120
 56% 60% 80%4/5 2 O
Sam Bennett SOG 2.5
o-135 / u+100
 44% 60% 17%1/6 2 U
Brad Marchand SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-115
 46% 40% 20%1/5 3 O
Sam Reinhart SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-135
 42% 30% 40%2/5 1 U
Sergei Bobrovsky SV 22.5
o-105 / u-125
 52% 60% 75%3/4 21 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Dec 15, 2025 at TBL FLA 5–2 2–02–11–1 7 5.5 O FLA
Nov 15, 2025 at FLA FLA 1–3 0–11–00–2 4 5.5 U TBL
Apr 30, 2025 at TBL FLA 6–3 2–22–12–0 9 5.5 O FLA
Apr 28, 2025 at FLA FLA 4–2 0–01–23–0 6 5.5 O FLA
Apr 26, 2025 at FLA FLA 1–5 1–10–10–3 6 5.5 O TBL
Apr 24, 2025 at TBL FLA 2–0 1–00–01–0 2 5.5 U FLA
Apr 22, 2025 at TBL FLA 6–2 2–13–11–0 8 5.5 O FLA
Apr 15, 2025 at TBL FLA 1–5 0–31–10–1 6 5.5 O TBL
Mar 3, 2025 at FLA FLA 2–1 0–02–00–1 3 5.5 U FLA
Dec 23, 2024 at FLA FLA 0–4 0–30–00–1 4 6.5 U TBL