NYR @ CAR
Monday, December 29, 2025 · 6:00 PM CTHard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
NYR +145 · CAR -175
Puck Line
NYR +1.5 (-165) · CAR -1.5 (+130)
Total
O 5.5 (-120) · U (+100)
Graded: total 5 → OVER L · CAR -1.5 L
Betting Trends Season
| Market | Team | Line | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs HR Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total Over 5.5 | NYR | o5.5 | 35% 14-26 | 40% 2-3 | 30% 3-7 | 46% 10-12 | 50% 3-3 | 35% 14-26 |
| CAR | o5.5 | 62% 23-14 | 80% 4-1 | 50% 5-5 | 74% 14-5 | 50% 3-3 | 54% 20-17 | |
| Puck Line cover % | NYR | +1.5 | 70% 28-12 | 80% 4-1 | 60% 6-4 | 82% 18-4 | 33% 2-4 | -6.53u 19-21 |
| CAR | -1.5 | 32% 12-25 | 40% 2-3 | 30% 3-7 | 37% 7-12 | 67% 4-2 | -7.60u 14-23 | |
| Moneyline win % | NYR dog | +145 | 48% 19-21 | 60% 3-2 | 40% 4-6 | 64% 14-8 | 17% 1-5 | -1.25u 8-11 |
| CAR fav | -175 | 62% 23-14 | 40% 2-3 | 60% 6-4 | 63% 12-7 | 83% 5-1 | +0.61u 22-11 |
Period Totals grade at
DK/FD line
0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
| Period | DK / FD | Team | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs DK/FD Close | Avg goals | GF / GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Period over 1.5 (DraftKings) |
DK 1.5 o-120/u-110 FD 1.5 o-126/u-102 | NYR | 40% 16-24 | 0% 0-5 | 10% 1-9 | 46% 10-12 | 33% 2-4 | 40% 16-24 | 1.58 | 0.73 / 0.85 |
| CAR | 54% 20-17 | 20% 1-4 | 40% 4-6 | 53% 10-9 | 33% 2-4 | 54% 20-17 | 1.95 | 1.08 / 0.86 | ||
| 2nd Period over 1.5 (DraftKings) |
DK 1.5 o-166/u+130 FD 1.5 o-166/u+130 | NYR | 45% 18-22 | 40% 2-3 | 60% 6-4 | 46% 10-12 | 67% 4-2 | 45% 18-22 | 1.53 | 0.75 / 0.78 |
| CAR | 54% 20-17 | 40% 2-3 | 50% 5-5 | 47% 9-10 | 67% 4-2 | 43% 16-21 | 1.59 | 0.89 / 0.70 | ||
| 3rd Period over 1.5 (FanDuel) |
FD 1.5 o-190/u+146 | NYR | 63% 25-15 | 60% 3-2 | 40% 4-6 | 64% 14-8 | 67% 4-2 | 56% 22-17 | 1.90 | 0.95 / 0.95 |
| CAR | 70% 26-11 | 100% 5-0 | 80% 8-2 | 63% 12-7 | 67% 4-2 | 49% 18-19 | 2.49 | 1.22 / 1.27 |
Team Comparison '25-26
| NYR | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W-L-OTL) | 34-39-9 | 53-22-7 |
| Points % | 47.0% | 68.9% |
| Goals for / game | 2.90 | 3.61 |
| Goals against / game | 3.05 | 2.93 |
| Shots for / game | 25.2 | 32.2 |
| Shots against / game | 28.8 | 23.9 |
| Power play % | 24.7% | 24.9% |
| Penalty kill % | 79.9% | 80.5% |
| Faceoff % | 54.6% | 50.3% |
| 1st period GF / GA | 0.82 / 0.95 | 1.18 / 0.78 |
| 2nd period GF / GA | 0.95 / 0.96 | 0.98 / 0.98 |
| 3rd period GF / GA | 1.02 / 1.02 | 1.28 / 1.09 |
| Avg game total | 5.95 | 6.54 |
Starting Goalies from the box score
NYR · Igor Shesterkin
32 saves on 35 shots · 3 GA · OTL
CAR · Brandon Bussi
18 saves on 20 shots · 2 GA · W
| P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SOG | PP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 1/2 |
| CAR | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 2/4 |
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
| NYR | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artemi Panarin | G | 0.5 o+150 |
31% | 40% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Vincent Trocheck | G | 0.5 o+230 |
23% | 20% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Mika Zibanejad | G | 0.5 o+210 |
28% | 20% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Alexis Lafrenière | G | 0.5 o+325 |
20% | 20% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Will Cuylle | G | 0.5 o+300 |
23% | 20% | 33%2/6 | 0 U |
| Jonny Brodzinski | G | 0.5 o+600 |
12% | 10% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Conor Sheary | G | 0.5 o+600 |
3% | 10% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Taylor Raddysh | G | 0.5 o+650 |
11% | 10% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Matthew Robertson | G | 0.5 o+1400 |
7% | 10% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Noah Laba | G | 0.5 o+550 |
13% | 10% | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| Gabe Perreault | G | 0.5 o+400 |
14% | 10% | — | 0 U |
| Sam Carrick | G | 0.5 o+900 |
3% | 0% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Carson Soucy | G | 0.5 o+1400 |
8% | 0% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Will Borgen | G | 0.5 o+1300 |
6% | 0% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Vladislav Gavrikov | G | 0.5 o+850 |
15% | 0% | 0%0/4 | 1 O |
| Braden Schneider | G | 0.5 o+1100 |
3% | 0% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Matt Rempe | G | 0.5 o+900 |
7% | 0% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Scott Morrow | G | 0.5 o+1000 |
0% | 0% | — | 0 U |
| Artemi Panarin | PTS | 0.5 o-220 / u+160 |
54% | 60% | 33%2/6 | 1 O |
| Mika Zibanejad | PTS | 0.5 o-145 / u+110 |
56% | 50% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Vincent Trocheck | PTS | 0.5 o-135 / u+100 |
58% | 40% | 40%2/5 | 1 O |
| Will Cuylle | PTS | 0.5 o+120 / u-160 |
45% | 40% | 50%3/6 | 0 U |
| Alexis Lafrenière | PTS | 0.5 o+140 / u-190 |
35% | 30% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Mika Zibanejad | A | 0.5 o+135 / u-185 |
36% | 50% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Will Cuylle | A | 0.5 o+225 / u-325 |
30% | 40% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Vincent Trocheck | A | 0.5 o+145 / u-195 |
39% | 30% | 20%1/5 | 1 O |
| Artemi Panarin | A | 0.5 o+105 / u-135 |
39% | 30% | 33%2/6 | 1 O |
| Alexis Lafrenière | A | 0.5 o+260 / u-375 |
28% | 30% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Vincent Trocheck | SOG | 1.5 o-160 / u+120 |
65% | 80% | 60%3/5 | 2 O |
| Artemi Panarin | SOG | 2.5 o-140 / u-110 |
46% | 70% | 17%1/6 | 1 U |
| Alexis Lafrenière | SOG | 1.5 o-105 / u-130 |
60% | 60% | 67%4/6 | 2 O |
| Mika Zibanejad | SOG | 2.5 o+145 / u-195 |
49% | 40% | 33%2/6 | 1 U |
| Will Cuylle | SOG | 1.5 o-120 / u-110 |
55% | 20% | 50%3/6 | 2 O |
| Igor Shesterkin | SV | 26.5 o-125 / u-105 |
42% | 30% | 67%4/6 | 32 O |
| CAR | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Robinson | G | 0.5 o+400 |
29% | 40% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Jordan Staal | G | 0.5 o+350 |
24% | 30% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Andrei Svechnikov | G | 0.5 o+160 |
24% | 30% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Jackson Blake | G | 0.5 o+225 |
24% | 30% | 33%2/6 | 1 O |
| Jordan Martinook | G | 0.5 o+525 |
15% | 20% | 17%1/6 | 1 O |
| William Carrier | G | 0.5 o+600 |
10% | 20% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | G | 0.5 o+210 |
22% | 20% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Sebastian Aho | G | 0.5 o+155 |
30% | 20% | 33%2/6 | 1 O |
| Taylor Hall | G | 0.5 o+350 |
19% | 10% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Jesperi Kotkaniemi | G | 0.5 o+450 |
10% | 10% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Alexander Nikishin | G | 0.5 o+650 |
11% | 10% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Logan Stankoven | G | 0.5 o+275 |
16% | 10% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Mike Reilly | G | 0.5 o+1000 |
4% | 0% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Mark Jankowski | G | 0.5 o+575 |
4% | 0% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Jalen Chatfield | G | 0.5 o+1000 |
0% | 0% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Sean Walker | G | 0.5 o+600 |
11% | 0% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Joel Nystrom | G | 0.5 o+1200 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Andrei Svechnikov | PTS | 0.5 o-170 / u+125 |
46% | 80% | 33%2/6 | 0 U |
| Jordan Staal | PTS | 0.5 o+145 / u-195 |
41% | 60% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | PTS | 0.5 o-145 / u+110 |
54% | 40% | 100%4/4 | 2 O |
| Sebastian Aho | PTS | 0.5 o-200 / u+150 |
65% | 40% | 100%6/6 | 2 O |
| Jackson Blake | PTS | 0.5 o-120 / u-110 |
49% | 40% | 50%3/6 | 1 O |
| Taylor Hall | PTS | 0.5 o+145 / u-195 |
41% | 30% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Logan Stankoven | PTS | 0.5 o+115 / u-155 |
32% | 30% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Andrei Svechnikov | A | 0.5 o+140 / u-185 |
32% | 60% | 33%2/6 | 0 U |
| Jordan Staal | A | 0.5 o+260 / u-375 |
18% | 30% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | A | 0.5 o+140 / u-190 |
38% | 30% | 75%3/4 | 2 O |
| Sebastian Aho | A | 0.5 o+110 / u-145 |
46% | 30% | 67%4/6 | 1 O |
| Logan Stankoven | A | 0.5 o+230 / u-325 |
24% | 30% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Taylor Hall | A | 0.5 o+275 / u-400 |
27% | 20% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Jackson Blake | A | 0.5 o+170 / u-230 |
32% | 20% | 33%2/6 | 0 U |
| Logan Stankoven | SOG | 1.5 o-190 / u+140 |
76% | 70% | 80%4/5 | 2 O |
| Taylor Hall | SOG | 1.5 o-115 / u-115 |
54% | 50% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Andrei Svechnikov | SOG | 2.5 o-125 / u-105 |
49% | 50% | 67%4/6 | 3 O |
| Sebastian Aho | SOG | 2.5 o+115 / u-150 |
43% | 40% | 33%2/6 | 2 U |
| Jackson Blake | SOG | 1.5 o-190 / u+140 |
54% | 40% | 33%2/6 | 5 O |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | SOG | 2.5 o-105 / u-125 |
35% | 30% | 25%1/4 | 2 U |
| Sean Walker | SOG | 2.5 o+125 / u-170 |
43% | 30% | 50%3/6 | 3 O |
| Brandon Bussi | SV | 19.5 o-125 / u-105 |
57% | 50% | — | 18 U |
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
| Date | Where | Score | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total | HR Close | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | at CAR | CAR 2–4 | 0–1 | 1–1 | 1–2 | 6 | 5.5 O | NYR |
| Nov 4, 2025 | at NYR | CAR 3–0 | 1–0 | 1–0 | 1–0 | 3 | 5.5 U | CAR |
| Apr 12, 2025 | at CAR | CAR 7–3 | 2–0 | 2–1 | 3–2 | 10 | 5.5 O | CAR |
| Jan 28, 2025 | at NYR | CAR 4–0 | 1–0 | 1–0 | 2–0 | 4 | 5.5 U | CAR |
| Dec 22, 2024 | at NYR | CAR 3–1 | 0–1 | 2–0 | 1–0 | 4 | 5.5 U | CAR |
| Nov 27, 2024 | at CAR | CAR 4–3 | 1–1 | 1–2 | 2–0 | 7 | 6.5 O | CAR |
| May 16, 2024 | at CAR | CAR 3–5 | 1–0 | 2–1 | 0–4 | 8 | — | NYR |
| May 13, 2024 | at NYR | CAR 4–1 | 0–0 | 0–1 | 4–0 | 5 | — | CAR |
| May 11, 2024 | at CAR | CAR 4–3 | 3–1 | 0–1 | 1–1 | 7 | — | CAR |
| May 9, 2024 | at CAR | CAR 2–3 OT | 1–0 | 0–1 | 1–1 | 5 | — | NYR |