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← Stats / BUF @ STL

BUF @ STL

Monday, December 29, 2025 · 7:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Buffalo Sabres
50-23-9 · Away
4 – 2
FINAL
St. Louis Blues
37-33-12 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BUF -115 · STL -105
Puck Line
BUF -1.5 (+200) · STL +1.5 (-300)
Total
O 5.5 (-130) · U (+105)

Graded: total 6 → OVER W · STL +1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 BUFo5.5 57%
21-16
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
61%
11-7
67%
2-1
43%
16-21
STLo5.5 46%
18-21
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
43%
9-12
67%
2-1
46%
18-21
Puck Line
cover %
 BUF-1.5 32%
12-25
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
11%
2-16
33%
1-2
-2.58u
18-19
STL+1.5 64%
25-14
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
62%
13-8
67%
2-1
-10.54u
19-20
Moneyline
win %
 BUF fav -115 51%
19-18
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
39%
7-11
67%
2-1
+0.64u
9-6
STL dog -105 39%
15-24
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
38%
8-13
33%
1-2
+0.37u
12-13
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-125/u-105 FD 1.5 o-128/u+100 BUF 19%
7-30
0%
0-5
0%
0-10
17%
3-15
67%
2-1
54%
20-17
 1.86 0.84 / 1.03
STL 26%
10-29
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
33%
7-14
67%
2-1
59%
23-16
 1.77 0.87 / 0.90
2nd Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-166/u+130 FD 1.5 o-168/u+130 BUF 30%
11-26
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
22%
4-14
0%
0-3
57%
21-16
 2.16 1.24 / 0.92
STL 36%
14-25
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
33%
7-14
0%
0-3
59%
23-16
 2.15 0.82 / 1.33
3rd Period
over 2.5
 FD 1.5 o-192/u+150 BUF 32%
12-25
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
33%
6-12
33%
1-2
36%
13-23
 2.03 0.89 / 1.14
STL 23%
9-30
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
24%
5-16
33%
1-2
51%
20-19
 1.79 0.82 / 0.97
Team Comparison '25-26
BUFSTL
Record (W-L-OTL)50-23-937-33-12
Points %66.5%52.4%
Goals for / game3.512.82
Goals against / game2.943.15
Shots for / game28.125.3
Shots against / game29.127.7
Power play %19.5%17.6%
Penalty kill %81.9%76.7%
Faceoff %45.9%49.2%
1st period GF / GA1.02 / 0.940.80 / 0.96
2nd period GF / GA1.16 / 0.881.05 / 1.20
3rd period GF / GA1.23 / 1.010.91 / 0.84
Avg game total6.455.96
Starting Goalies from the box score
BUF · Alex Lyon
16 saves on 18 shots · 2 GA · W
STL · Joel Hofer
30 saves on 33 shots · 3 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
BUF1120340/3
STL2000180/1
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+150
 46% 60% 50%1/2 0 U
Josh Norris G 0.5
o+225
 36% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+425
 12% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Noah Ostlund G 0.5
o+425
 19% 30% 0%0/1 1 O
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+350
 13% 30% 50%1/2 1 O
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+210
 31% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+425
 16% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+525
 5% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1000
 14% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+650
 19% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+375
 16% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+260
 19% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+750
 8% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Jordan Greenway G 0.5
o+700
 5% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+750
 8% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Michael Kesselring G 0.5
o+1100
 0% 0% 60%3/5 0 U
Josh Dunne G 0.5
o+750
 4% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Zach Metsa G 0.5
o+2000
 0% — — 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 62% 80% 50%1/2 0 U
Josh Norris PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 73% 80% 50%1/2 1 O
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 46% 70% 33%1/3 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 58% 70% 67%2/3 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 58% 60% 33%1/3 1 O
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 41% 50% 67%2/3 1 O
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 46% 40% 0%0/4 0 U
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 46% 40% 50%1/2 1 O
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 41% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 55% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Josh Norris A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 46% 50% 0%0/2 1 O
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 32% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 39% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+160 / u-210
 35% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 32% 40% 67%2/3 1 O
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 27% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 30% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Zach Benson A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 33% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Tage Thompson SOG 2.5
o-160 / u+120
 68% 70% 0%0/2 3 O
Zach Benson SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-125
 54% 70% 50%1/2 5 O
Josh Norris SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 64% 60% 0%0/2 0 U
Jack Quinn SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-130
 62% 60% 67%2/3 4 O
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 39% 50% 33%1/3 2 U
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-155
 55% 50% 67%2/3 5 O
Josh Doan SOG 1.5
o-185 / u+140
 62% 50% 50%2/4 3 O
Alex Lyon SV 22.5
o-120 / u-110
 83% 70% — 16 U
STLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Justin Faulk G 0.5
o+500
 23% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Robert Thomas G 0.5
o+240
 20% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Brayden Schenn G 0.5
o+350
 15% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Pavel Buchnevich G 0.5
o+240
 15% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Jordan Kyrou G 0.5
o+190
 28% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Jake Neighbours G 0.5
o+300
 22% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Logan Mailloux G 0.5
o+1200
 4% 10% — 0 U
Jimmy Snuggerud G 0.5
o+275
 15% 10% 0%0/1 1 O
Dalibor Dvorsky G 0.5
o+425
 14% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Cam Fowler G 0.5
o+800
 3% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Colton Parayko G 0.5
o+850
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Oskar Sundqvist G 0.5
o+600
 3% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Robby Fabbri G 0.5
o+450
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Mathieu Joseph G 0.5
o+700
 6% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Alexey Toropchenko G 0.5
o+650
 4% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Tyler Tucker G 0.5
o+1200
 3% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Philip Broberg G 0.5
o+850
 5% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Otto Stenberg G 0.5
o+425
 0% — — 0 U
Justin Faulk PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 44% 70% 33%1/3 0 U
Robert Thomas PTS 0.5
o-170 / u+125
 57% 70% 0%0/2 0 U
Pavel Buchnevich PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 46% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Jordan Kyrou PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 52% 50% 50%1/2 1 O
Jake Neighbours PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 44% 40% 100%2/2 0 U
Brayden Schenn PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 31% 30% 67%2/3 1 O
Cam Fowler PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 28% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Jimmy Snuggerud PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 30% 20% 0%0/1 1 O
Robert Thomas A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 49% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Justin Faulk A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 23% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Cam Fowler A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 28% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Pavel Buchnevich A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 31% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Jordan Kyrou A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 28% 30% 50%1/2 1 O
Jake Neighbours A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 26% 30% 100%2/2 0 U
Brayden Schenn A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 21% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Jimmy Snuggerud A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 19% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Pavel Buchnevich SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 59% 70% 67%2/3 1 U
Justin Faulk SOG 1.5
o-130 / u+100
 59% 50% 100%3/3 4 O
Jordan Kyrou SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-120
 48% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Robert Thomas SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 37% 40% 100%2/2 1 U
Jake Neighbours SOG 1.5
o+105 / u-140
 41% 40% 100%2/2 1 U
Jimmy Snuggerud SOG 1.5
o-130 / u+100
 44% 30% 0%0/1 3 O
Joel Hofer SV 23.5
o-110 / u-120
 67% 70% 100%1/1 30 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Nov 6, 2025 at BUF STL 3–0 1–01–01–0 3 6.5 U STL
Dec 29, 2024 at STL STL 2–4 1–20–01–2 6 5.5 O BUF
Nov 14, 2024 at BUF STL 3–4 OT 1–22–00–1 7 6 O BUF
Feb 10, 2024 at BUF STL 3–1 1–01–11–0 4 — STL
Nov 30, 2023 at STL STL 6–4 3–12–21–1 10 — STL
Jan 24, 2023 at STL STL 3–5 0–32–11–1 8 — BUF
Nov 23, 2022 at BUF STL 2–6 0–11–31–2 8 — BUF
Apr 14, 2022 at BUF STL 6–2 1–13–12–0 8 — STL
Feb 25, 2022 at STL STL 5–3 2–11–12–1 8 — STL
Jan 9, 2020 at STL STL 5–1 2–01–12–0 6 — STL