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MIN @ BUF

Saturday, January 17, 2026 · 11:30 AM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Minnesota Wild
46-24-12 · Away
5 – 4
FINAL / OT
Buffalo Sabres
50-23-9 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
MIN +105 · BUF -125
Puck Line
MIN +1.5 (-250) · BUF -1.5 (+180)
Total
O 6.5 (+105) · U (-130)

Graded: total 9 → OVER W · BUF -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 MINo6.5 48%
23-25
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
44%
10-13
0%
0-3
53%
25-22
BUFo6.5 48%
22-24
100%
5-0
60%
6-4
50%
12-12
0%
0-3
50%
23-23
Puck Line
cover %
 MIN+1.5 75%
36-12
40%
2-3
70%
7-3
74%
17-6
100%
3-0
+0.60u
25-22
BUF-1.5 41%
19-27
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
58%
14-10
0%
0-3
+4.50u
25-21
Moneyline
win %
 MIN dog +105 54%
26-22
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
57%
13-10
67%
2-1
+7.16u
13-8
BUF fav -125 57%
26-20
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
67%
16-8
33%
1-2
+3.28u
14-7
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-135/u+105 FD 1.5 o-146/u+114 MIN 46%
22-26
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
44%
10-13
33%
1-2
46%
22-26
 1.58 0.90 / 0.69
BUF 57%
26-20
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
54%
13-11
33%
1-2
57%
26-20
 1.96 0.91 / 1.04
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-180/u+140 FD 1.5 o-196/u+152 MIN 63%
30-18
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
74%
17-6
33%
1-2
56%
27-21
 1.81 0.96 / 0.85
BUF 70%
32-14
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
67%
16-8
33%
1-2
54%
25-21
 2.07 1.24 / 0.83
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+160/u-210 MIN 48%
23-25
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
48%
11-12
0%
0-3
57%
27-20
 2.21 1.10 / 1.10
BUF 35%
16-30
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
38%
9-15
0%
0-3
42%
19-26
 2.20 1.04 / 1.15
Team Comparison '25-26
MINBUF
Record (W-L-OTL)46-24-1250-23-9
Points %63.4%66.5%
Goals for / game3.323.51
Goals against / game2.932.94
Shots for / game29.228.1
Shots against / game29.429.1
Power play %25.2%19.5%
Penalty kill %79.8%81.9%
Faceoff %46.7%45.9%
1st period GF / GA0.91 / 0.801.02 / 0.94
2nd period GF / GA1.10 / 0.881.16 / 0.88
3rd period GF / GA1.12 / 1.101.23 / 1.01
Avg game total6.246.45
Starting Goalies from the box score
20 saves on 24 shots · 4 GA · W
31 saves on 36 shots · 5 GA · OTL
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
MIN2201361/4
BUF1300241/4
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
MINPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Mats Zuccarello G 0.5
o+250
 18% 30% 50%1/2 1 O
Ryan Hartman G 0.5
o+240
 25% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Kirill Kaprizov G 0.5
o+110
 46% 30% 100%2/2 0 U
Brock Faber G 0.5
o+500
 21% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Jared Spurgeon G 0.5
o+900
 8% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Marcus Foligno G 0.5
o+450
 5% 20% 0%0/1 1 O
Danila Yurov G 0.5
o+375
 15% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Tyler Pitlick G 0.5
o+850
 4% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Vladimir Tarasenko G 0.5
o+300
 17% 10% 20%1/5 1 O
Jake Middleton G 0.5
o+2000
 2% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Yakov Trenin G 0.5
o+550
 6% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Ben Jones G 0.5
o+800
 4% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Nico Sturm G 0.5
o+700
 12% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Vinnie Hinostroza G 0.5
o+700
 6% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Quinn Hughes G 0.5
o+375
 7% 0% 0%0/3 1 O
Daemon Hunt G 0.5
o+2000
 0% 0% — 0 U
David Jiricek G 0.5
o+1750
 0% 0% — 0 U
Hunter Haight G 0.5
o+475
 0% — — 0 U
Mats Zuccarello PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 57% 60% 100%2/2 2 O
Brock Faber PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-170
 40% 60% 0%0/3 0 U
Ryan Hartman PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 36% 50% 0%0/3 1 O
Quinn Hughes PTS 0.5
o-230 / u+170
 55% 50% 100%3/3 2 O
Danila Yurov PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 32% 40% 100%1/1 1 O
Vladimir Tarasenko PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 34% 20% 20%1/5 2 O
Kirill Kaprizov PTS 1.5
o+160 / u-220
 25% 20% 0%0/2 3 O
Quinn Hughes A 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 50% 50% 100%3/3 1 O
Brock Faber A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 27% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Mats Zuccarello A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 50% 40% 100%2/2 1 O
Kirill Kaprizov A 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 42% 40% 0%0/2 3 O
Ryan Hartman A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
 16% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Danila Yurov A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 20% 20% 100%1/1 1 O
Vladimir Tarasenko A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 24% 10% 0%0/5 1 O
Mats Zuccarello SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-150
 36% 60% 50%1/2 4 O
Brock Faber SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+120
 60% 60% 33%1/3 2 O
Vladimir Tarasenko SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+115
 54% 50% 20%1/5 5 O
Kirill Kaprizov SOG 3.5
o-125 / u-105
 40% 50% 50%1/2 3 U
Quinn Hughes SOG 2.5
o-140 / u+105
 52% 50% 33%1/3 4 O
Danila Yurov SOG 1.5
o+100 / u-135
 34% 40% 0%0/1 1 U
Ryan Hartman SOG 2.5
o+140 / u-185
 30% 10% 0%0/3 4 O
Filip Gustavsson SV 24.5
o-130 / u-105
 61% 60% 67%2/3 20 U
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+185
 36% 50% 0%0/3 1 O
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+240
 26% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+225
 33% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+115
 46% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+325
 20% 40% 0%0/3 1 O
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+900
 16% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+550
 7% 20% 0%0/3 1 O
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+600
 20% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+275
 17% 20% 0%0/2 1 O
Noah Ostlund G 0.5
o+375
 18% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+325
 15% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+350
 12% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Zach Metsa G 0.5
o+2500
 6% 10% — 0 U
Jordan Greenway G 0.5
o+700
 3% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+850
 7% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Michael Kesselring G 0.5
o+1100
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+750
 7% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Tyson Kozak G 0.5
o+750
 8% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 64% 80% 33%1/3 1 O
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-250 / u+180
 65% 80% 0%0/3 1 O
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-130
 50% 70% 0%0/3 2 O
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 52% 70% 67%2/3 0 U
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 56% 60% 0%0/3 2 O
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 44% 60% 0%0/3 0 U
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 49% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 55% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 39% 40% 0%0/2 2 O
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 31% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 41% 70% 0%0/3 1 O
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 37% 50% 0%0/3 1 O
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 30% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 40% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 33% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Owen Power A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 24% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 33% 30% 0%0/3 2 O
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 50% 30% 33%1/3 1 O
Zach Benson A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 33% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 28% 20% 0%0/2 1 O
Jack Quinn SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 65% 80% 100%2/2 4 O
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 52% 60% 0%0/3 3 O
Josh Doan SOG 1.5
o-190 / u+145
 61% 60% 67%2/3 1 U
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-115
 55% 50% 100%3/3 2 U
Zach Benson SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 55% 50% 33%1/3 1 U
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o+110 / u-145
 48% 40% 67%2/3 6 O
Owen Power SOG 1.5
o+115 / u-155
 47% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-165
 36% 20% 67%2/3 2 U
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen SV 23.5
o-130 / u-105
 44% 50% 50%1/2 31 O

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Nov 29, 2025 at MIN BUF 3–2 SO 1–20–01–0 5 6.5 U BUF
Mar 22, 2025 at MIN BUF 1–4 0–00–31–1 5 5.5 U MIN
Nov 27, 2024 at BUF BUF 0–1 0–10–00–0 1 5.5 U MIN
Feb 17, 2024 at MIN BUF 3–2 OT 0–00–02–2 5 — BUF
Nov 10, 2023 at BUF BUF 3–2 1–11–01–1 5 — BUF
Jan 28, 2023 at MIN BUF 2–3 SO 1–11–10–0 5 — MIN
Jan 7, 2023 at BUF BUF 6–5 OT 1–03–31–2 11 — BUF
Mar 4, 2022 at BUF BUF 5–4 1–11–03–3 9 — BUF
Dec 16, 2021 at MIN BUF 3–2 SO 0–11–11–0 5 — BUF
Nov 19, 2019 at BUF BUF 1–4 0–20–11–1 5 — MIN