← Stats / BUF @ TBL

BUF @ TBL

Tuesday, February 3, 2026 · 6:30 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Buffalo Sabres
50-23-9 · Away
3 – 4
FINAL / OT
Tampa Bay Lightning
50-26-6 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BUF +165 · TBL -200
Puck Line
BUF +1.5 (-145) · TBL -1.5 (+115)
Total
O 6.5 (+100) · U (-120)

Graded: total 7 → OVER W · TBL -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 BUFo6.5 47%
26-29
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
46%
13-15
67%
2-1
48%
26-28
TBLo6.5 42%
22-31
40%
2-3
20%
2-8
40%
10-15
67%
2-1
49%
26-27
Puck Line
cover %
 BUF+1.5 71%
39-16
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
64%
18-10
67%
2-1
+8.26u
31-23
TBL-1.5 45%
24-29
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
36%
9-16
33%
1-2
+3.29u
27-26
Moneyline
win %
 BUF dog +165 58%
32-23
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
54%
15-13
33%
1-2
+5.91u
16-14
TBL fav -200 66%
35-18
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
64%
16-9
67%
2-1
+1.46u
27-15
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-145/u+114 FD 1.5 o-130/u+102 BUF 60%
33-22
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
64%
18-10
67%
2-1
60%
33-22
 2.04 1.02 / 1.02
TBL 55%
29-24
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
48%
12-13
67%
2-1
55%
29-24
 2.02 1.13 / 0.89
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-188/u+145 FD 1.5 o-174/u+136 BUF 73%
40-15
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
75%
21-7
100%
3-0
56%
31-24
 2.11 1.25 / 0.85
TBL 57%
30-23
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
64%
16-9
100%
3-0
49%
26-27
 1.91 1.13 / 0.77
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+132/u-168 BUF 35%
19-36
60%
3-2
30%
3-7
32%
9-19
33%
1-2
42%
22-31
 2.15 1.07 / 1.07
TBL 28%
15-38
20%
1-4
10%
1-9
28%
7-18
33%
1-2
42%
22-31
 1.98 1.15 / 0.83
Team Comparison '25-26
BUFTBL
Record (W-L-OTL)50-23-950-26-6
Points %66.5%64.6%
Goals for / game3.513.54
Goals against / game2.942.82
Shots for / game28.128.1
Shots against / game29.126.7
Power play %19.5%20.7%
Penalty kill %81.9%82.6%
Faceoff %45.9%47.3%
1st period GF / GA1.02 / 0.940.96 / 0.93
2nd period GF / GA1.16 / 0.881.22 / 0.84
3rd period GF / GA1.23 / 1.011.23 / 0.98
Avg game total6.456.35
Starting Goalies from the box score
31 saves on 35 shots · 4 GA · OTL
23 saves on 26 shots · 3 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
BUF1020261/3
TBL1021351/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+185
 37% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+130
 46% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+525
 13% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+240
 33% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+350
 16% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+260
 26% 30% 50%1/2 1 O
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+250
 18% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Noah Ostlund G 0.5
o+475
 19% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+1000
 7% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+425
 18% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1000
 15% 10% 0%0/3 2 O
Owen Power G 0.5
o+800
 7% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Isak Rosen G 0.5
o+750
 14% 10% — 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+850
 16% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Tyson Kozak G 0.5
o+850
 6% 0% — 0 U
Zach Metsa G 0.5
o+2500
 4% 0% — 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 61% 90% 100%3/3 1 O
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-130 / u-105
 67% 80% 100%3/3 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-220 / u+160
 67% 80% 100%3/3 1 O
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 46% 70% 33%1/3 1 O
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 56% 60% 50%1/2 0 U
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 53% 60% 33%1/3 1 O
Mattias Samuelsson PTS 0.5
o+220 / u-325
 43% 60% 0%0/3 2 O
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 49% 40% 50%1/2 1 O
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 32% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 40% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 53% 70% 100%3/3 1 O
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 42% 60% 33%1/3 1 O
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 35% 60% 33%1/3 1 O
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 42% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Mattias Samuelsson A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 34% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 31% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 39% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 31% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 29% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Owen Power A 0.5
o+300 / u-425
 24% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+115
 58% 70% 100%2/2 0 U
Tage Thompson SOG 2.5
o-180 / u+135
 67% 70% 100%3/3 5 O
Jack Quinn SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 66% 60% 33%1/3 2 O
Owen Power SOG 1.5
o+105 / u-140
 48% 60% 100%2/2 1 U
Alex Tuch SOG 1.5
o-200 / u+145
 72% 40% 67%2/3 1 U
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 53% 40% 67%2/3 7 O
Josh Doan SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 55% 20% 50%1/2 1 U
Colten Ellis SV 25.5
o-120 / u-115
 64% 60% — 31 O
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o-110
 47% 60% 33%1/3 1 O
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+115
 36% 40% 67%2/3 1 O
Darren Raddysh G 0.5
o+275
 28% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+105
 42% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand G 0.5
o+300
 13% 20% 50%2/4 1 O
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+425
 17% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Dominic James G 0.5
o+375
 13% 20% — 0 U
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1100
 20% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+400
 11% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Scott Sabourin G 0.5
o+900
 11% 10% — 0 U
Jack Finley G 0.5
o+650
 10% 10% — 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+800
 10% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+900
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+500
 11% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1200
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Curtis Douglas G 0.5
o+850
 0% 0% — 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+425
 10% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Declan Carlile G 0.5
o+1500
 3% 0% — 0 U
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 61% 70% 67%2/3 4 O
Darren Raddysh PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+140
 57% 70% 33%1/3 2 O
Jake Guentzel PTS 1.5
o+135 / u-185
 34% 50% 67%2/3 2 O
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-220
 53% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Yanni Gourde PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 34% 40% 100%3/3 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 36% 40% 100%4/4 1 O
Brandon Hagel PTS 1.5
o+140 / u-185
 35% 40% 67%2/3 1 U
J.J. Moser PTS 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 33% 40% 0%0/3 1 O
Dominic James PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 21% 30% — 0 U
Gage Goncalves PTS 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 27% 10% 67%2/3 0 U
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 47% 60% 0%0/3 1 O
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o-130 / u-105
 42% 60% 67%2/3 1 O
Darren Raddysh A 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 45% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 53% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Nikita Kucherov A 1.5
o+135 / u-185
 35% 40% 33%1/3 3 O
Yanni Gourde A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
 25% 40% 100%3/3 0 U
J.J. Moser A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 24% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 25% 20% 50%2/4 0 U
Dominic James A 0.5
o+300 / u-425
 13% 20% — 0 U
Gage Goncalves A 0.5
o+300 / u-425
 16% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Darren Raddysh SOG 2.5
o-120 / u-110
 51% 80% 33%1/3 3 O
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o-125 / u-110
 45% 60% 100%3/3 1 U
Dominic James SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 32% 60% — 2 O
Pontus Holmberg SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 44% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Victor Hedman SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 47% 40% 67%2/3 1 U
Nikita Kucherov SOG 3.5
o+115 / u-150
 33% 40% 33%1/3 7 O
Yanni Gourde SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 43% 40% 67%2/3 2 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand SOG 1.5
o-130 / u+100
 43% 40% 100%4/4 2 O
Brandon Hagel SOG 3.5
o+130 / u-175
 40% 30% 0%0/3 4 O
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 21.5
o-130 / u+100
 66% 60% 100%1/1 23 O

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Apr 13, 2025 at TBL TBL 7–4 1–24–02–2 11 6.5 O TBL
Apr 5, 2025 at BUF TBL 2–3 SO 0–02–10–1 5 6.5 U BUF
Mar 6, 2025 at TBL TBL 6–5 2–33–21–0 11 6.5 O TBL
Apr 15, 2024 at TBL TBL 2–4 0–11–21–1 6 — BUF
Feb 29, 2024 at TBL TBL 2–3 OT 1–11–00–1 5 — BUF
Jan 20, 2024 at BUF TBL 3–1 2–00–11–0 4 — TBL
Oct 17, 2023 at BUF TBL 2–3 OT 0–21–01–0 5 — BUF
Mar 4, 2023 at BUF TBL 3–5 1–10–32–1 8 — BUF
Feb 23, 2023 at TBL TBL 5–6 OT 1–11–33–1 11 — BUF
Nov 28, 2022 at BUF TBL 6–5 OT 2–21–12–2 11 — TBL