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PIT @ BUF

Thursday, February 5, 2026 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Pittsburgh Penguins
41-25-16 · Away
5 – 2
FINAL
Buffalo Sabres
50-23-9 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
PIT +110 · BUF -130
Puck Line
PIT +1.5 (-230) · BUF -1.5 (+175)
Total
O 6.5 (-130) · U (+105)

Graded: total 7 → OVER W · BUF -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 PITo6.5 51%
28-27
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
44%
12-15
75%
3-1
54%
29-25
BUFo6.5 48%
27-29
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
48%
13-14
75%
3-1
49%
27-28
Puck Line
cover %
 PIT+1.5 84%
46-9
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
85%
23-4
75%
3-1
+2.83u
32-22
BUF-1.5 45%
25-31
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
56%
15-12
25%
1-3
+8.95u
32-23
Moneyline
win %
 PIT dog +110 51%
28-27
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
56%
15-12
75%
3-1
+4.93u
16-15
BUF fav -130 57%
32-24
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
63%
17-10
25%
1-3
+2.08u
15-9
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-160/u+124 FD 1.5 o-144/u+114 PIT 60%
33-22
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
52%
14-13
50%
2-2
60%
33-22
 1.89 1.11 / 0.78
BUF 61%
34-22
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
56%
15-12
50%
2-2
61%
34-22
 2.04 1.02 / 1.02
2nd Period
over 1.5
 DK 2.5 o+145/u-188 FD 2.5 o+152/u-196 PIT 64%
35-20
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
63%
17-10
75%
3-1
55%
30-25
 1.98 1.07 / 0.91
BUF 71%
40-16
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
70%
19-8
75%
3-1
55%
31-25
 2.07 1.23 / 0.84
3rd Period
over 1.5
 FD 2.5 o+112/u-142 PIT 69%
38-17
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
67%
18-9
100%
4-0
38%
21-34
 2.27 1.15 / 1.13
BUF 64%
36-20
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
63%
17-10
100%
4-0
43%
23-31
 2.18 1.09 / 1.09
Team Comparison '25-26
PITBUF
Record (W-L-OTL)41-25-1650-23-9
Points %59.8%66.5%
Goals for / game3.573.51
Goals against / game3.272.94
Shots for / game28.628.1
Shots against / game27.429.1
Power play %24.1%19.5%
Penalty kill %81.4%81.9%
Faceoff %48.2%45.9%
1st period GF / GA1.13 / 0.831.02 / 0.94
2nd period GF / GA1.18 / 1.091.16 / 0.88
3rd period GF / GA1.17 / 1.161.23 / 1.01
Avg game total6.846.45
Starting Goalies from the box score
25 saves on 27 shots · 2 GA · W
BUF · Alex Lyon
27 saves on 31 shots · 4 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
PIT2120320/3
BUF1010271/5
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
PITPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Egor Chinakhov G 0.5
o+275
 24% 60% 100%2/2 0 U
Anthony Mantha G 0.5
o+240
 31% 40% 0%0/1 0 U
Evgeni Malkin G 0.5
o+225
 30% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Sidney Crosby G 0.5
o+175
 40% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Bryan Rust G 0.5
o+200
 35% 30% 75%3/4 0 U
Justin Brazeau G 0.5
o+350
 27% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Connor Dewar G 0.5
o+500
 20% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Ben Kindel G 0.5
o+350
 19% 30% — 2 O
Tommy Novak G 0.5
o+400
 18% 20% 67%2/3 1 O
Erik Karlsson G 0.5
o+500
 8% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Kevin Hayes G 0.5
o+500
 13% 10% 50%2/4 0 U
Brett Kulak G 0.5
o+1100
 2% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Connor Clifton G 0.5
o+1600
 4% 10% — 0 U
Parker Wotherspoon G 0.5
o+1200
 6% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Ryan Shea G 0.5
o+1100
 6% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Ilya Solovyov G 0.5
o+1500
 5% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Rutger McGroarty G 0.5
o+525
 11% 10% — 0 U
Avery Hayes G 0.5
o+575
 — — — 2 O
Evgeni Malkin PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+125
 75% 80% 33%1/3 1 O
Sidney Crosby PTS 0.5
o-195 / u+145
 67% 70% 50%2/4 0 U
Anthony Mantha PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 53% 70% 0%0/1 1 O
Tommy Novak PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 44% 70% 67%2/3 1 O
Egor Chinakhov PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 33% 70% 100%2/2 1 O
Justin Brazeau PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 42% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Erik Karlsson PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 50% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Bryan Rust PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 58% 40% 75%3/4 0 U
Ben Kindel PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 35% 40% — 2 O
Evgeni Malkin A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 58% 70% 33%1/3 1 O
Sidney Crosby A 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 49% 60% 25%1/4 0 U
Tommy Novak A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 31% 60% 0%0/3 0 U
Erik Karlsson A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 46% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Anthony Mantha A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 31% 40% 0%0/1 1 O
Justin Brazeau A 0.5
o+325 / u-500
 22% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Egor Chinakhov A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 13% 20% 50%1/2 1 O
Ben Kindel A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 19% 20% — 0 U
Bryan Rust A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 35% 10% 50%2/4 0 U
Evgeni Malkin SOG 1.5
o-200 / u+150
 70% 80% 33%1/3 5 O
Anthony Mantha SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 55% 70% 0%0/1 0 U
Egor Chinakhov SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+125
 46% 70% 100%2/2 3 O
Justin Brazeau SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 54% 60% 0%0/3 2 O
Ben Kindel SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 58% 50% — 2 O
Sidney Crosby SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-175
 44% 40% 50%2/4 6 O
Erik Karlsson SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-190
 36% 40% 0%0/4 2 U
Bryan Rust SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-125
 44% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Arturs Silovs SV 22.5
o-130 / u-105
 72% 60% — 25 O
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+180
 36% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+105
 45% 40% 50%2/4 1 O
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+425
 13% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+230
 32% 30% 33%1/3 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+325
 15% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+240
 27% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+700
 17% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+240
 18% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Noah Ostlund G 0.5
o+400
 18% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+850
 7% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Jacob Bryson G 0.5
o+2000
 6% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+350
 18% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+700
 7% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Michael Kesselring G 0.5
o+1300
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+750
 16% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Isak Rosen G 0.5
o+650
 13% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Tyson Kozak G 0.5
o+700
 6% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Konsta Helenius G 0.5
o+425
 13% — — 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+150
 62% 90% 25%1/4 1 O
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 46% 80% 50%2/4 1 O
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 66% 70% 75%3/4 0 U
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 54% 70% 50%2/4 1 O
Mattias Samuelsson PTS 0.5
o+170 / u-240
 44% 70% 50%2/4 0 U
Peyton Krebs PTS 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 36% 60% 25%1/4 0 U
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-110
 54% 50% 67%2/3 1 O
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 50% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 31% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 39% 20% 75%3/4 1 O
Tage Thompson PTS 1.5
o+160 / u-210
 27% 10% 25%1/4 1 U
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 43% 70% 25%1/4 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 54% 70% 25%1/4 1 O
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 36% 70% 50%2/4 1 O
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 43% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 33% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Peyton Krebs A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 29% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 38% 30% 75%3/4 0 U
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 30% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 29% 20% 75%3/4 1 O
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 30% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Owen Power A 0.5
o+240 / u-325
 24% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 57% 70% 67%2/3 1 U
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o+110 / u-145
 50% 60% 25%1/4 7 O
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-115
 54% 50% 100%4/4 1 U
Owen Power SOG 1.5
o+100 / u-135
 47% 50% 50%2/4 3 O
Jack Quinn SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-190
 30% 40% 25%1/4 4 O
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-175
 33% 20% 25%1/4 3 O
Josh Doan SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 54% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Alex Lyon SV 25.5
o-120 / u-110
 71% 60% 0%0/1 27 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Nov 26, 2025 at PIT BUF 2–4 0–10–02–3 6 6.5 U PIT
Mar 27, 2025 at BUF BUF 7–3 2–15–00–2 10 6.5 O BUF
Jan 17, 2025 at BUF BUF 2–5 1–00–31–2 7 6 O PIT
Oct 16, 2024 at PIT BUF 5–6 OT 3–10–22–2 11 6.5 O PIT
Jan 6, 2024 at PIT BUF 3–1 1–00–02–1 4 — BUF
Nov 24, 2023 at BUF BUF 3–2 0–10–13–0 5 — BUF
Nov 11, 2023 at PIT BUF 0–4 0–10–10–2 4 — PIT
Dec 10, 2022 at PIT BUF 1–3 0–20–01–1 4 — PIT
Dec 9, 2022 at BUF BUF 3–4 OT 0–02–11–2 7 — PIT
Nov 2, 2022 at BUF BUF 6–3 0–11–15–1 9 — BUF