← Stats / PHI @ TOR

PHI @ TOR

Monday, March 2, 2026 · 6:30 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Philadelphia Flyers
43-27-12 · Away
3 – 2
FINAL / SO
Toronto Maple Leafs
32-36-14 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
PHI +115 · TOR -135
Puck Line
PHI +1.5 (-210) · TOR -1.5 (+160)
Total
O 5.5 (-145) · U (+115)

Graded: total 5 → OVER L · TOR -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 PHIo5.5 56%
33-26
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
62%
18-11
40%
2-3
53%
31-27
TORo5.5 67%
40-20
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
59%
19-13
40%
2-3
61%
36-23
Puck Line
cover %
 PHI+1.5 71%
42-17
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
66%
19-10
60%
3-2
+7.28u
36-22
TOR-1.5 25%
15-45
40%
2-3
20%
2-8
28%
9-23
40%
2-3
-17.12u
23-36
Moneyline
win %
 PHI dog +115 46%
27-32
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
45%
13-16
0%
0-5
-6.10u
14-25
TOR fav -135 45%
27-33
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
50%
16-16
100%
5-0
-4.71u
13-13
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-140/u+110 FD 1.5 o-120/u-106 PHI 20%
12-47
0%
0-5
10%
1-9
17%
5-24
40%
2-3
53%
31-28
 1.64 0.76 / 0.88
TOR 23%
14-46
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
22%
7-25
40%
2-3
60%
36-24
 1.80 0.88 / 0.92
2nd Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-175/u+135 FD 1.5 o-166/u+130 PHI 36%
21-38
0%
0-5
20%
2-8
48%
14-15
40%
2-3
66%
39-20
 2.22 1.00 / 1.22
TOR 42%
25-35
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
44%
14-18
40%
2-3
63%
38-22
 2.17 0.95 / 1.22
3rd Period
over 2.5
 FD 2.5 o+136/u-174 PHI 29%
17-42
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
31%
9-20
20%
1-4
45%
26-32
 1.92 1.05 / 0.86
TOR 47%
28-32
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
41%
13-19
20%
1-4
52%
31-29
 2.43 1.25 / 1.18
Team Comparison '25-26
PHITOR
Record (W-L-OTL)43-27-1232-36-14
Points %59.8%47.6%
Goals for / game3.053.09
Goals against / game2.963.65
Shots for / game25.526.3
Shots against / game25.532.4
Power play %15.7%21.3%
Penalty kill %77.6%81.2%
Faceoff %49.4%54.3%
1st period GF / GA0.79 / 0.830.84 / 0.99
2nd period GF / GA1.06 / 1.180.95 / 1.23
3rd period GF / GA1.00 / 0.801.18 / 1.26
Avg game total6.016.73
Starting Goalies from the box score
PHI · Dan Vladar
29 saves on 31 shots · 2 GA · W
23 saves on 25 shots · 2 GA · OTL
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
PHI1010251/3
TOR1010311/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
PHIPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Jamie Drysdale G 0.5
o+600
 11% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Matvei Michkov G 0.5
o+225
 21% 30% 0%0/5 0 U
Owen Tippett G 0.5
o+250
 25% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Trevor Zegras G 0.5
o+230
 29% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Sean Couturier G 0.5
o+400
 9% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Rasmus Ristolainen G 0.5
o+900
 5% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Carl Grundstrom G 0.5
o+650
 27% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Noah Cates G 0.5
o+400
 19% 10% 0%0/5 1 O
Bobby Brink G 0.5
o+275
 23% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Nikita Grebenkin G 0.5
o+700
 9% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Denver Barkey G 0.5
o+475
 8% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Nick Seeler G 0.5
o+1500
 3% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Garnet Hathaway G 0.5
o+1000
 2% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Travis Sanheim G 0.5
o+1000
 10% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Christian Dvorak G 0.5
o+275
 17% 0% 17%1/6 1 O
Cam York G 0.5
o+850
 8% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Emil Andrae G 0.5
o+1750
 2% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Noah Cates PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 41% 40% 40%2/5 2 O
Trevor Zegras PTS 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 61% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Bobby Brink PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 36% 40% 0%0/4 1 O
Jamie Drysdale PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 39% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Christian Dvorak PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 47% 30% 33%2/6 1 O
Cam York PTS 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 33% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Christian Dvorak A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 36% 30% 17%1/6 0 U
Noah Cates A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 27% 30% 40%2/5 1 O
Bobby Brink A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 21% 30% 0%0/4 1 O
Trevor Zegras A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 44% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Cam York A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 29% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Jamie Drysdale A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 30% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Sean Couturier SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 47% 60% 50%2/4 0 U
Noah Cates SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 44% 50% 40%2/5 1 U
Jamie Drysdale SOG 1.5
o+105 / u-140
 34% 50% 25%1/4 3 O
Rasmus Ristolainen SOG 1.5
o-130 / u+100
 46% 40% 67%2/3 5 O
Owen Tippett SOG 2.5
o-150 / u+110
 42% 40% 20%1/5 2 U
Bobby Brink SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 49% 40% 25%1/4 2 O
Matvei Michkov SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-130
 26% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Christian Dvorak SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-180
 36% 20% 17%1/6 3 O
Trevor Zegras SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-170
 29% 20% 67%2/3 1 U
Dan Vladar SV 23.5
o-105 / u-130
 47% 50% 0%0/2 29 O
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
William Nylander G 0.5
o+160
 37% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
John Tavares G 0.5
o+185
 33% 40% 40%2/5 0 U
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+240
 31% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
Max Domi G 0.5
o+350
 14% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+225
 23% 30% 40%2/5 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+600
 14% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Dakota Joshua G 0.5
o+650
 16% 20% 0%0/1 1 O
Matias Maccelli G 0.5
o+325
 18% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Scott Laughton G 0.5
o+550
 19% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Nicolas Roy G 0.5
o+500
 9% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+120
 41% 10% 40%2/5 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+700
 13% 0% 20%1/5 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+900
 5% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Brandon Carlo G 0.5
o+1100
 0% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+650
 8% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Philippe Myers G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Easton Cowan G 0.5
o+425
 16% 0% 100%2/2 0 U
William Nylander PTS 0.5
o-240 / u+175
 70% 70% 33%1/3 1 O
Auston Matthews PTS 0.5
o-240 / u+175
 65% 70% 80%4/5 0 U
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 60% 60% 100%5/5 1 O
Max Domi PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-170
 38% 60% 20%1/5 0 U
Bobby McMann PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 44% 60% 20%1/5 0 U
Matias Maccelli PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 41% 50% 25%1/4 1 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 45% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 53% 40% 80%4/5 1 O
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 46% 30% 60%3/5 0 U
Jake McCabe PTS 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 29% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 43% 70% 60%3/5 0 U
William Nylander A 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 58% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 38% 40% 0%0/5 0 U
Max Domi A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 29% 40% 0%0/5 0 U
Matias Maccelli A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 27% 30% 25%1/4 1 O
Bobby McMann A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 20% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 44% 30% 40%2/5 1 O
John Tavares A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 38% 20% 100%5/5 1 O
Jake McCabe A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 26% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 33% 10% 40%2/5 0 U
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+125
 58% 70% 20%1/5 2 O
Bobby McMann SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-180
 44% 70% 0%0/5 1 U
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 40% 60% 33%1/3 4 O
Matias Maccelli SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 37% 60% 25%1/4 0 U
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+115
 49% 60% 0%0/5 1 U
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-170
 47% 50% 40%2/5 1 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson SOG 1.5
o+115 / u-150
 38% 30% 40%2/5 3 O
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o+105 / u-140
 52% 30% 20%1/5 8 O
Anthony Stolarz SV 24.5
o-110 / u-120
 65% 60% 50%1/2 23 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Jan 8, 2026 at PHI TOR 2–1 OT 0–00–11–0 3 5.5 U TOR
Nov 1, 2025 at PHI TOR 5–2 1–12–02–1 7 5.5 O TOR
Mar 25, 2025 at TOR TOR 7–2 2–14–11–0 9 5.5 O TOR
Jan 7, 2025 at PHI TOR 3–2 0–12–11–0 5 6 U TOR
Jan 5, 2025 at TOR TOR 3–2 OT 2–10–10–0 5 6.5 U TOR
Mar 19, 2024 at PHI TOR 3–4 0–10–23–1 7 — PHI
Mar 14, 2024 at PHI TOR 6–2 3–00–13–1 8 — TOR
Feb 15, 2024 at TOR TOR 4–3 OT 0–13–00–2 7 — TOR
Jan 8, 2023 at PHI TOR 6–2 2–13–11–0 8 — TOR
Dec 22, 2022 at TOR TOR 4–3 0–12–02–2 7 — TOR