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← Stats / NSH @ BUF

NSH @ BUF

Saturday, March 7, 2026 · 4:30 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Nashville Predators
38-34-10 · Away
2 – 3
FINAL
Buffalo Sabres
50-23-9 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
NSH +155 · BUF -185
Puck Line
NSH +1.5 (-165) · BUF -1.5 (+130)
Total
O 6.5 (-110) · U (-110)

Graded: total 5 → OVER L · BUF -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 NSHo6.5 47%
29-33
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
41%
12-17
100%
3-0
49%
30-31
BUFo6.5 47%
29-33
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
48%
14-15
100%
3-0
48%
29-32
Puck Line
cover %
 NSH+1.5 65%
40-22
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
62%
18-11
67%
2-1
-3.85u
33-28
BUF-1.5 44%
27-35
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
52%
15-14
33%
1-2
+8.85u
36-25
Moneyline
win %
 NSH dog +155 45%
28-34
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
38%
11-18
33%
1-2
-5.22u
18-28
BUF fav -185 60%
37-25
100%
5-0
70%
7-3
62%
18-11
67%
2-1
+2.66u
17-10
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-154/u+120 FD 1.5 o-136/u+108 NSH 27%
17-45
0%
0-5
30%
3-7
38%
11-18
100%
3-0
58%
36-26
 1.92 0.81 / 1.11
BUF 27%
17-45
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
28%
8-21
100%
3-0
60%
37-25
 2.02 1.05 / 0.97
2nd Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-195/u+150 FD 1.5 o-192/u+150 NSH 32%
20-42
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
21%
6-23
67%
2-1
52%
32-30
 1.92 0.92 / 1.00
BUF 29%
18-44
40%
2-3
20%
2-8
35%
10-19
67%
2-1
55%
34-28
 2.06 1.23 / 0.84
3rd Period
over 2.5
 FD 2.5 o+124/u-156 NSH 39%
24-38
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
38%
11-18
33%
1-2
52%
32-30
 2.34 1.15 / 1.19
BUF 36%
22-40
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
38%
11-18
33%
1-2
42%
25-35
 2.15 1.08 / 1.06
Team Comparison '25-26
NSHBUF
Record (W-L-OTL)38-34-1050-23-9
Points %52.4%66.5%
Goals for / game3.013.51
Goals against / game3.282.94
Shots for / game27.928.1
Shots against / game29.629.1
Power play %23.1%19.5%
Penalty kill %81.7%81.9%
Faceoff %50.4%45.9%
1st period GF / GA0.82 / 1.001.02 / 0.94
2nd period GF / GA1.00 / 1.021.16 / 0.88
3rd period GF / GA1.07 / 1.131.23 / 1.01
Avg game total6.296.45
Starting Goalies from the box score
NSH · Juuse Saros
21 saves on 24 shots · 3 GA · L
BUF · Alex Lyon
23 saves on 25 shots · 2 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
NSH0110251/3
BUF0210240/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
NSHPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Filip Forsberg G 0.5
o+140
 40% 80% 67%2/3 0 U
Steven Stamkos G 0.5
o+180
 37% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Ryan O'Reilly G 0.5
o+240
 28% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Matthew Wood G 0.5
o+375
 18% 30% 0%0/1 1 O
Roman Josi G 0.5
o+375
 20% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Erik Haula G 0.5
o+450
 15% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Jonathan Marchessault G 0.5
o+275
 23% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Luke Evangelista G 0.5
o+325
 15% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Nicolas Hague G 0.5
o+1200
 6% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Ozzy Wiesblatt G 0.5
o+800
 3% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Brady Skjei G 0.5
o+900
 2% 0% 67%2/3 0 U
Tyson Jost G 0.5
o+600
 6% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Nick Perbix G 0.5
o+1600
 5% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Justin Barron G 0.5
o+1750
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Zachary L'Heureux G 0.5
o+650
 0% 0% 0%0/1 1 O
Fedor Svechkov G 0.5
o+700
 4% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Ryan Ufko G 0.5
o+1300
 0% — — 0 U
Joakim Kemell G 0.5
o+525
 0% — 0%0/1 0 U
Filip Forsberg PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 63% 80% 67%2/3 0 U
Steven Stamkos PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 50% 70% 0%0/3 1 O
Roman Josi PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+110
 58% 60% 33%1/3 1 O
Ryan O'Reilly PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 62% 60% 100%3/3 1 O
Erik Haula PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 44% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Luke Evangelista PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 54% 60% 100%2/2 0 U
Jonathan Marchessault PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 37% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Brady Skjei PTS 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 27% 20% 100%3/3 0 U
Roman Josi A 0.5
o-105 / u-130
 44% 60% 33%1/3 1 O
Steven Stamkos A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 26% 40% 0%0/3 1 O
Erik Haula A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 31% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Luke Evangelista A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 46% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Ryan O'Reilly A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 46% 30% 100%3/3 1 O
Jonathan Marchessault A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 14% 30% 33%1/3 1 O
Filip Forsberg A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 36% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Brady Skjei A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 26% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Roman Josi SOG 2.5
o-160 / u+120
 58% 70% 67%2/3 2 U
Ryan O'Reilly SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+130
 49% 70% 100%3/3 2 O
Filip Forsberg SOG 3.5
o-115 / u-120
 42% 70% 67%2/3 4 O
Luke Evangelista SOG 1.5
o-200 / u+145
 67% 70% 100%2/2 3 O
Jonathan Marchessault SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-150
 40% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Steven Stamkos SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-135
 36% 40% 0%0/3 1 U
Erik Haula SOG 1.5
o+105 / u-140
 37% 40% 0%0/3 3 O
Juuse Saros SV 25.5
o-125 / u-105
 49% 40% 0%0/1 21 U
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+105
 47% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+150
 38% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+220
 33% 30% 33%1/3 1 O
Josh Norris G 0.5
o+220
 29% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+700
 17% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+400
 15% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+600
 10% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+225
 24% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+400
 16% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+700
 8% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+325
 18% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+350
 16% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Noah Ostlund G 0.5
o+375
 16% 10% 100%1/1 0 U
Zach Metsa G 0.5
o+1750
 7% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Michael Kesselring G 0.5
o+1200
 0% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+650
 15% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+275
 16% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 66% 70% 100%3/3 1 O
Josh Norris PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 71% 70% 0%0/1 1 O
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 55% 70% 67%2/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-190 / u+140
 60% 70% 100%3/3 1 O
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 44% 70% 33%1/3 0 U
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 45% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 33% 50% 100%3/3 0 U
Peyton Krebs PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 37% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 48% 40% 67%2/3 1 O
Noah Ostlund PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 36% 40% 100%1/1 1 O
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 51% 30% 67%2/3 1 O
Mattias Samuelsson PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 42% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 1.5
o+160 / u-220
 26% 10% 0%0/3 1 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-135 / u+105
 53% 70% 100%3/3 1 O
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 34% 70% 33%1/3 0 U
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 44% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 44% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Josh Norris A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 50% 50% 0%0/1 1 O
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 36% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 38% 40% 100%3/3 1 O
Peyton Krebs A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 29% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 31% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Owen Power A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 25% 30% 100%3/3 0 U
Noah Ostlund A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 20% 30% 0%0/1 1 O
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 26% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 30% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Jack Quinn SOG 1.5
o-200 / u+145
 69% 90% 100%3/3 2 O
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o+100 / u-135
 48% 60% 0%0/3 4 O
Owen Power SOG 1.5
o+100 / u-130
 49% 60% 100%3/3 2 O
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-135
 36% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Josh Norris SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 54% 50% 100%1/1 0 U
Josh Doan SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 55% 50% 33%1/3 3 O
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 54% 40% 100%3/3 5 O
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-135
 50% 30% 0%0/3 1 U
Alex Lyon SV 25.5
o-125 / u-110
 74% 80% 100%2/2 23 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Jan 20, 2026 at NSH BUF 5–3 3–01–21–1 8 6.5 O BUF
Feb 8, 2025 at NSH BUF 4–6 2–21–21–2 10 6.5 O NSH
Jan 31, 2025 at BUF BUF 4–3 2–21–11–0 7 6.5 O BUF
Mar 7, 2024 at NSH BUF 2–4 1–20–01–2 6 — NSH
Dec 3, 2023 at BUF BUF 1–2 0–21–00–0 3 — NSH
Mar 21, 2023 at BUF BUF 3–7 0–22–41–1 10 — NSH
Jan 14, 2023 at NSH BUF 5–3 1–12–22–0 8 — BUF
Apr 1, 2022 at BUF BUF 4–3 3–31–00–0 7 — BUF
Jan 13, 2022 at NSH BUF 4–1 1–01–12–0 5 — BUF
Jan 18, 2020 at NSH BUF 1–2 1–00–10–1 3 — NSH