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CAR @ TBL

Saturday, March 14, 2026 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Carolina Hurricanes
53-22-7 · Away
4 – 2
FINAL
Tampa Bay Lightning
50-26-6 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
CAR +105 · TBL -125
Puck Line
CAR +1.5 (-230) · TBL -1.5 (+175)
Total
O 6.5 (+100) · U (-120)

Graded: total 6 → OVER L · TBL -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 CARo6.5 54%
35-30
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
43%
13-17
40%
2-3
55%
36-29
TBLo6.5 45%
29-35
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
45%
14-17
40%
2-3
53%
34-30
Puck Line
cover %
 CAR+1.5 79%
51-14
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
83%
25-5
60%
3-2
-11.51u
24-41
TBL-1.5 44%
28-36
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
39%
12-19
40%
2-3
+2.07u
32-32
Moneyline
win %
 CAR dog +105 63%
41-24
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
57%
17-13
40%
2-3
-2.80u
1-4
TBL fav -125 63%
40-24
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
65%
20-11
60%
3-2
-1.20u
32-20
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-135/u+105 FD 1.5 o-124/u-102 CAR 88%
57-8
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
77%
23-7
100%
5-0
55%
36-29
 1.92 1.12 / 0.80
TBL 86%
55-9
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
81%
25-6
100%
5-0
53%
34-30
 2.00 1.09 / 0.91
2nd Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-180/u+140 FD 1.5 o-164/u+128 CAR 85%
55-10
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
87%
26-4
100%
5-0
54%
35-30
 1.88 0.94 / 0.94
TBL 86%
55-9
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
84%
26-5
100%
5-0
53%
34-30
 1.98 1.16 / 0.83
3rd Period
over 0.5
 FD 2.5 o+130/u-166 CAR 91%
59-6
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
87%
26-4
100%
5-0
47%
30-34
 2.40 1.31 / 1.09
TBL 92%
59-5
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
94%
29-2
100%
5-0
44%
28-36
 2.17 1.19 / 0.98
Team Comparison '25-26
CARTBL
Record (W-L-OTL)53-22-750-26-6
Points %68.9%64.6%
Goals for / game3.613.54
Goals against / game2.932.82
Shots for / game32.228.1
Shots against / game23.926.7
Power play %24.9%20.7%
Penalty kill %80.5%82.6%
Faceoff %50.3%47.3%
1st period GF / GA1.18 / 0.780.96 / 0.93
2nd period GF / GA0.98 / 0.981.22 / 0.84
3rd period GF / GA1.28 / 1.091.23 / 0.98
Avg game total6.546.35
Starting Goalies from the box score
17 saves on 19 shots · 2 GA · W
31 saves on 34 shots · 3 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
CAR2020350/2
TBL0200190/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
CARPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Nikolaj Ehlers G 0.5
o+220
 25% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Sebastian Aho G 0.5
o+160
 31% 40% 20%1/5 1 O
Seth Jarvis G 0.5
o+160
 40% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Jordan Staal G 0.5
o+400
 23% 30% 40%2/5 0 U
Andrei Svechnikov G 0.5
o+210
 29% 30% 50%2/4 1 O
Taylor Hall G 0.5
o+350
 20% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Mark Jankowski G 0.5
o+650
 14% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Sean Walker G 0.5
o+850
 9% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Alexander Nikishin G 0.5
o+575
 14% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Logan Stankoven G 0.5
o+350
 19% 20% 25%1/4 1 O
Jackson Blake G 0.5
o+300
 25% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Jordan Martinook G 0.5
o+575
 13% 10% 25%1/4 1 O
Eric Robinson G 0.5
o+650
 21% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Mike Reilly G 0.5
o+1400
 3% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Jaccob Slavin G 0.5
o+900
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Jalen Chatfield G 0.5
o+1100
 2% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
K'Andre Miller G 0.5
o+750
 4% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Jesperi Kotkaniemi G 0.5
o+700
 5% 0% 0%0/4 DNP
Nikolaj Ehlers PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 55% 70% 75%3/4 1 O
Sebastian Aho PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+155
 63% 70% 40%2/5 2 O
Seth Jarvis PTS 0.5
o-195 / u+145
 67% 70% 50%2/4 0 U
Andrei Svechnikov PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 49% 60% 75%3/4 2 O
Jackson Blake PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 49% 60% 40%2/5 0 U
Taylor Hall PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 42% 50% 67%2/3 1 O
K'Andre Miller PTS 0.5
o+170 / u-240
 37% 50% 50%2/4 1 O
Jordan Staal PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 40% 40% 80%4/5 0 U
Logan Stankoven PTS 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 34% 30% 50%2/4 1 O
Alexander Nikishin PTS 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 34% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Taylor Hall A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 31% 50% 67%2/3 1 O
Sebastian Aho A 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 46% 50% 20%1/5 1 O
K'Andre Miller A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
 35% 50% 50%2/4 1 O
Andrei Svechnikov A 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 35% 50% 25%1/4 1 O
Seth Jarvis A 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 37% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Jackson Blake A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 31% 50% 20%1/5 0 U
Nikolaj Ehlers A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 39% 40% 50%2/4 1 O
Logan Stankoven A 0.5
o+350 / u-525
 23% 20% 50%2/4 0 U
Jordan Staal A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 18% 10% 60%3/5 0 U
Alexander Nikishin A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 25% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Taylor Hall SOG 1.5
o+100 / u-130
 55% 70% 100%3/3 2 O
Nikolaj Ehlers SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 40% 70% 50%2/4 2 U
Sebastian Aho SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 45% 60% 20%1/5 2 U
Logan Stankoven SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 68% 60% 100%4/4 1 U
Jackson Blake SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 54% 60% 20%1/5 4 O
Sean Walker SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 66% 50% 60%3/5 2 O
Seth Jarvis SOG 2.5
o-130 / u+100
 54% 40% 50%2/4 2 U
Alexander Nikishin SOG 1.5
o+105 / u-135
 48% 40% 50%1/2 2 O
Andrei Svechnikov SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 43% 20% 75%3/4 6 O
Frederik Andersen SV 23.5
o-105 / u-130
 31% 50% 0%0/1 17 U
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+165
 30% 50% 80%4/5 0 U
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+135
 47% 40% 40%2/5 0 U
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+190
 41% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+155
 36% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+350
 14% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Corey Perry G 0.5
o+400
 22% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+575
 12% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand G 0.5
o+325
 16% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+900
 11% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1200
 16% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+800
 3% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Nick Paul G 0.5
o+475
 18% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Darren Raddysh G 0.5
o+400
 25% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1200
 2% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+300
 23% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+550
 16% 10% 40%2/5 0 U
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+500
 9% 0% 20%1/5 1 O
Charle-Edouard D'Astous G 0.5
o+1200
 6% 0% 0%0/2 1 O
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 61% 80% 80%4/5 1 O
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+155
 67% 60% 80%4/5 0 U
Darren Raddysh PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 58% 60% 60%3/5 0 U
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 48% 50% 0%0/4 0 U
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o+105 / u-140
 58% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 56% 40% 75%3/4 0 U
Gage Goncalves PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 30% 40% 50%2/4 1 O
Corey Perry PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 46% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 43% 30% 25%1/4 1 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 36% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-220 / u+160
 65% 60% 60%3/5 0 U
Darren Raddysh A 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 47% 60% 60%3/5 0 U
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 44% 50% 20%1/5 1 O
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 47% 40% 60%3/5 0 U
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 36% 40% 0%0/4 0 U
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 43% 30% 25%1/4 1 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 23% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 39% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Gage Goncalves A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 18% 20% 0%0/4 1 O
Corey Perry A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 28% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 52% 90% 20%1/5 0 U
Victor Hedman SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-130
 53% 70% 75%3/4 1 U
Darren Raddysh SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 54% 70% 40%2/5 0 U
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 47% 60% 40%2/5 0 U
Brayden Point SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+125
 63% 50% 80%4/5 1 U
Nikita Kucherov SOG 2.5
o-140 / u+105
 52% 40% 40%2/5 5 O
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o+130 / u-170
 45% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 58% 30% 50%2/4 3 O
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 26.5
o-125 / u-105
 34% 50% 50%2/4 31 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Feb 26, 2026 at CAR TBL 4–5 2–32–10–1 9 6.5 O CAR
Dec 20, 2025 at TBL TBL 6–4 0–33–03–1 10 5.5 O TBL
Mar 11, 2025 at CAR TBL 1–4 0–10–21–1 5 5.5 U CAR
Jan 7, 2025 at TBL TBL 3–2 1–01–11–1 5 6 U TBL
Oct 11, 2024 at CAR TBL 4–1 0–11–03–0 5 6 U TBL
Nov 24, 2023 at CAR TBL 8–2 0–13–15–0 10 — TBL
Nov 11, 2023 at TBL TBL 0–4 0–10–10–2 4 — CAR
Oct 24, 2023 at TBL TBL 3–0 1–01–01–0 3 — TBL
Mar 28, 2023 at CAR TBL 4–0 0–02–02–0 4 — TBL
Mar 5, 2023 at CAR TBL 0–6 0–20–20–2 6 — CAR