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← Stats / BOS @ BUF

BOS @ BUF

Wednesday, March 25, 2026 · 6:30 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Boston Bruins
45-27-10 · Away
4 – 3
FINAL / OT
Buffalo Sabres
50-23-9 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BOS +170 · BUF -220
Puck Line
BOS +1.5 (-130) · BUF -1.5 (+105)
Total
O 6.5 (-120) · U (+100)

Graded: total 7 → OVER W · BUF -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 BOSo6.5 52%
37-34
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
59%
20-14
43%
3-4
55%
39-32
BUFo6.5 45%
32-39
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
47%
16-18
43%
3-4
46%
32-38
Puck Line
cover %
 BOS+1.5 75%
53-18
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
71%
24-10
57%
4-3
+10.70u
45-26
BUF-1.5 44%
31-40
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
47%
16-18
43%
3-4
+10.12u
41-29
Moneyline
win %
 BOS dog +170 55%
39-32
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
38%
13-21
43%
3-4
+6.81u
23-23
BUF fav -220 62%
44-27
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
65%
22-12
57%
4-3
+3.57u
22-12
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-166/u+130 FD 1.5 o-146/u+114 BOS 59%
42-29
40%
2-3
20%
2-8
59%
20-14
57%
4-3
59%
42-29
 1.77 0.94 / 0.83
BUF 56%
40-31
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
53%
18-16
57%
4-3
56%
40-31
 1.94 1.03 / 0.92
2nd Period
over 2.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 2.5 o+150/u-195 FD 2.5 o+150/u-192 BOS 32%
23-48
0%
0-5
10%
1-9
38%
13-21
29%
2-5
63%
45-26
 2.14 1.08 / 1.06
BUF 31%
22-49
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
38%
13-21
29%
2-5
54%
38-33
 2.11 1.24 / 0.87
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+110/u-140 BOS 38%
27-44
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
41%
14-20
29%
2-5
48%
34-37
 2.27 1.15 / 1.11
BUF 37%
26-45
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
38%
13-21
29%
2-5
42%
29-40
 2.20 1.17 / 1.03
Team Comparison '25-26
BOSBUF
Record (W-L-OTL)45-27-1050-23-9
Points %61.0%66.5%
Goals for / game3.323.51
Goals against / game3.052.94
Shots for / game27.028.1
Shots against / game29.729.1
Power play %23.4%19.5%
Penalty kill %77.0%81.9%
Faceoff %53.1%45.9%
1st period GF / GA0.99 / 0.841.02 / 0.94
2nd period GF / GA1.01 / 0.991.16 / 0.88
3rd period GF / GA1.17 / 1.101.23 / 1.01
Avg game total6.376.45
Starting Goalies from the box score
22 saves on 25 shots · 3 GA · W
27 saves on 31 shots · 4 GA · OTL
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
BOS1111310/2
BUF1020252/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
BOSPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
David Pastrnak G 0.5
o+140
 33% 50% 29%2/7 1 O
Pavel Zacha G 0.5
o+275
 25% 50% 29%2/7 1 O
Elias Lindholm G 0.5
o+300
 22% 30% 14%1/7 0 U
Charlie McAvoy G 0.5
o+475
 15% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Viktor Arvidsson G 0.5
o+275
 31% 20% 0%0/5 1 O
Fraser Minten G 0.5
o+325
 18% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Nikita Zadorov G 0.5
o+1200
 3% 10% 0%0/7 0 U
Jonathan Aspirot G 0.5
o+1500
 6% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Marat Khusnutdinov G 0.5
o+500
 17% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Mason Lohrei G 0.5
o+1000
 9% 10% 17%1/6 0 U
Sean Kuraly G 0.5
o+750
 7% 0% 17%1/6 0 U
Hampus Lindholm G 0.5
o+900
 7% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Andrew Peeke G 0.5
o+1400
 6% 0% 0%0/7 0 U
Tanner Jeannot G 0.5
o+900
 9% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Morgan Geekie G 0.5
o+210
 39% 0% 57%4/7 0 U
Casey Mittelstadt G 0.5
o+400
 21% 0% 14%1/7 1 O
Mark Kastelic G 0.5
o+800
 11% 0% 40%2/5 0 U
Charlie McAvoy PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 70% 90% 50%2/4 1 O
Viktor Arvidsson PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 58% 70% 0%0/5 1 O
Pavel Zacha PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 60% 70% 43%3/7 2 O
David Pastrnak PTS 1.5
o+165 / u-225
 38% 50% 43%3/7 3 O
Morgan Geekie PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 60% 40% 71%5/7 0 U
Casey Mittelstadt PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 49% 40% 29%2/7 1 O
Elias Lindholm PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 52% 30% 43%3/7 0 U
Fraser Minten PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 31% 20% 25%1/4 1 O
David Pastrnak A 0.5
o-130 / u-105
 62% 80% 71%5/7 2 O
Viktor Arvidsson A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 34% 60% 0%0/5 0 U
Charlie McAvoy A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 59% 60% 50%2/4 1 O
Morgan Geekie A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 30% 40% 29%2/7 0 U
Casey Mittelstadt A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 31% 40% 14%1/7 0 U
Pavel Zacha A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 38% 30% 14%1/7 1 O
Elias Lindholm A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 40% 10% 29%2/7 0 U
Fraser Minten A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 17% 0% 25%1/4 1 O
Charlie McAvoy SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+120
 49% 80% 0%0/4 1 U
Pavel Zacha SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 46% 60% 14%1/7 1 U
Morgan Geekie SOG 1.5
o-200 / u+150
 66% 60% 57%4/7 1 U
Fraser Minten SOG 1.5
o-130 / u+100
 39% 60% 25%1/4 1 U
Elias Lindholm SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 43% 50% 71%5/7 3 O
David Pastrnak SOG 3.5
o+100 / u-130
 49% 50% 43%3/7 3 U
Viktor Arvidsson SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 51% 30% 0%0/5 3 O
Joonas Korpisalo SV 25.5
o-125 / u-105
 54% 60% 80%4/5 22 U
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+155
 38% 50% 43%3/7 0 U
Sam Carrick G 0.5
o+525
 12% 40% 0%0/6 0 U
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+210
 27% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+300
 33% 30% 33%2/6 2 O
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+130
 45% 30% 29%2/7 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+325
 18% 30% 40%2/5 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+260
 18% 30% 0%0/6 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+700
 11% 30% 14%1/7 0 U
Josh Norris G 0.5
o+260
 24% 20% 100%3/3 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+400
 17% 20% 17%1/6 1 O
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+700
 9% 10% 0%0/7 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+400
 16% 10% 14%1/7 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+900
 15% 10% 14%1/7 0 U
Noah Ostlund G 0.5
o+425
 15% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Logan Stanley G 0.5
o+1100
 14% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Conor Timmins G 0.5
o+1300
 0% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+425
 13% 0% 29%2/7 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+700
 13% 0% 0%0/7 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 66% 80% 43%3/7 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+140
 61% 60% 60%3/5 0 U
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 49% 60% 25%1/4 0 U
Noah Ostlund PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 39% 60% 0%0/2 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-220 / u+160
 68% 50% 57%4/7 2 O
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 54% 50% 43%3/7 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson PTS 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 43% 50% 43%3/7 0 U
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 34% 50% 57%4/7 0 U
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 48% 50% 50%3/6 1 O
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 50% 40% 50%3/6 2 O
Josh Norris PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 61% 40% 100%3/3 0 U
Peyton Krebs PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 38% 40% 43%3/7 0 U
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 45% 40% 50%3/6 1 O
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 41% 30% 57%4/7 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 54% 50% 60%3/5 0 U
Noah Ostlund A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 24% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Zach Benson A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 35% 50% 33%2/6 0 U
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 44% 40% 29%2/7 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 32% 40% 43%3/7 0 U
Peyton Krebs A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
 31% 40% 29%2/7 0 U
Owen Power A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 26% 40% 57%4/7 0 U
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 27% 30% 17%1/6 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 37% 30% 29%2/7 0 U
Josh Norris A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 42% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 32% 30% 57%4/7 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+120 / u-155
 39% 20% 43%3/7 2 O
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
 34% 20% 50%3/6 1 O
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 28% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Josh Doan SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-190
 42% 70% 50%2/4 1 U
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 37% 50% 43%3/7 3 O
Josh Norris SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 52% 50% 100%3/3 2 O
Bowen Byram SOG 1.5
o+125 / u-165
 39% 50% 29%2/7 1 U
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 52% 40% 67%4/6 4 O
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-150
 48% 40% 60%3/5 3 O
Zach Benson SOG 1.5
o+115 / u-155
 50% 40% 50%3/6 2 O
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o-105 / u-125
 47% 30% 86%6/7 3 U
Jack Quinn SOG 2.5
o+140 / u-190
 31% 20% 17%1/6 0 U
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen SV 24.5
o-105 / u-125
 56% 70% 25%1/4 27 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Dec 27, 2025 at BUF BUF 4–1 0–13–01–0 5 6.5 U BUF
Oct 30, 2025 at BOS BUF 3–4 OT 0–21–12–0 7 6.5 O BOS
Oct 11, 2025 at BOS BUF 1–3 0–10–11–1 4 5.5 U BOS
Apr 6, 2025 at BUF BUF 6–3 0–23–13–0 9 6.5 O BUF
Mar 17, 2025 at BOS BUF 3–2 OT 1–21–00–0 5 5.5 U BUF
Jan 28, 2025 at BUF BUF 7–2 1–12–04–1 9 6 O BUF
Dec 21, 2024 at BOS BUF 1–3 0–11–00–2 4 6 U BOS
Dec 27, 2023 at BUF BUF 1–4 0–20–21–0 5 — BOS
Dec 7, 2023 at BOS BUF 3–1 0–02–11–0 4 — BUF
Nov 14, 2023 at BUF BUF 2–5 0–31–21–0 7 — BOS