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OTT @ TBL

Saturday, March 28, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Ottawa Senators
44-27-11 · Away
2 – 4
FINAL
Tampa Bay Lightning
50-26-6 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
OTT +120 · TBL -140
Puck Line
OTT +1.5 (-210) · TBL -1.5 (+160)
Total
O 6.5 (+105) · U (-130)

Graded: total 6 → OVER L · TBL -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 OTTo6.5 50%
36-36
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
57%
21-16
60%
3-2
54%
38-32
TBLo6.5 49%
35-36
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
47%
16-18
60%
3-2
56%
40-31
Puck Line
cover %
 OTT+1.5 81%
58-14
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
76%
28-9
80%
4-1
-5.59u
32-38
TBL-1.5 45%
32-39
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
38%
13-21
20%
1-4
+4.06u
36-35
Moneyline
win %
 OTT dog +120 53%
38-34
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
54%
20-17
60%
3-2
-4.63u
8-14
TBL fav -140 62%
44-27
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
62%
21-13
40%
2-3
-2.01u
36-23
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-130/u+100 FD 1.5 o-122/u-104 OTT 82%
59-13
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
78%
29-8
100%
5-0
60%
43-29
 1.83 0.97 / 0.86
TBL 87%
62-9
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
82%
28-6
100%
5-0
55%
39-32
 2.00 1.06 / 0.94
2nd Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-166/u+130 FD 1.5 o-164/u+128 OTT 90%
65-7
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
92%
34-3
100%
5-0
58%
42-30
 2.22 1.19 / 1.03
TBL 87%
62-9
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
85%
29-5
100%
5-0
58%
41-30
 2.08 1.25 / 0.83
3rd Period
over 0.5
 FD 2.5 o+138/u-176 OTT 88%
63-9
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
92%
34-3
80%
4-1
50%
36-36
 2.14 1.11 / 1.03
TBL 92%
65-6
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
91%
31-3
80%
4-1
45%
32-39
 2.17 1.23 / 0.94
Team Comparison '25-26
OTTTBL
Record (W-L-OTL)44-27-1150-26-6
Points %60.4%64.6%
Goals for / game3.393.54
Goals against / game3.002.82
Shots for / game28.928.1
Shots against / game24.426.7
Power play %24.0%20.7%
Penalty kill %75.7%82.6%
Faceoff %54.2%47.3%
1st period GF / GA0.95 / 0.890.96 / 0.93
2nd period GF / GA1.16 / 0.981.22 / 0.84
3rd period GF / GA1.21 / 1.001.23 / 0.98
Avg game total6.396.35
Starting Goalies from the box score
23 saves on 27 shots · 4 GA · L
26 saves on 28 shots · 2 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
OTT2000280/2
TBL0220270/4
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
OTTPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Warren Foegele G 0.5
o+400
 21% 40% 0%0/4 0 U
Brady Tkachuk G 0.5
o+150
 35% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Drake Batherson G 0.5
o+220
 30% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Michael Amadio G 0.5
o+525
 17% 20% 40%2/5 0 U
Shane Pinto G 0.5
o+300
 27% 20% 50%2/4 0 U
Ridly Greig G 0.5
o+425
 16% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Tim Stützle G 0.5
o+195
 39% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Claude Giroux G 0.5
o+425
 17% 10% 40%2/5 0 U
Lars Eller G 0.5
o+850
 7% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Nick Cousins G 0.5
o+650
 13% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Fabian Zetterlund G 0.5
o+525
 17% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Dylan Cozens G 0.5
o+260
 29% 10% 33%1/3 1 O
Tyler Kleven G 0.5
o+850
 5% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Jordan Spence G 0.5
o+700
 6% 0% 0%0/2 1 O
Artem Zub G 0.5
o+1100
 6% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Nikolas Matinpalo G 0.5
o+1600
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Lassi Thomson G 0.5
o+1500
 0% — — 0 U
Brady Tkachuk PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 67% 60% 50%2/4 1 O
Tim Stützle PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 68% 60% 100%5/5 0 U
Claude Giroux PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 47% 50% 60%3/5 0 U
Drake Batherson PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 61% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Shane Pinto PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 52% 50% 75%3/4 0 U
Jordan Spence PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 30% 50% 0%0/2 1 O
Tyler Kleven PTS 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 21% 40% 0%0/4 1 O
Dylan Cozens PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 49% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Jordan Spence A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 27% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Claude Giroux A 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 36% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
Brady Tkachuk A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 42% 40% 25%1/4 1 O
Tim Stützle A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 47% 40% 100%5/5 0 U
Shane Pinto A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 27% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Tyler Kleven A 0.5
o+275 / u-425
 16% 30% 0%0/4 1 O
Drake Batherson A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 41% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Dylan Cozens A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
 28% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Shane Pinto SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+130
 66% 80% 50%2/4 0 U
Tyler Kleven SOG 1.5
o+100 / u-135
 34% 60% 0%0/4 1 U
Dylan Cozens SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-125
 42% 50% 0%0/3 1 U
Drake Batherson SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 41% 40% 50%2/4 2 U
Brady Tkachuk SOG 3.5
o+105 / u-140
 42% 40% 100%4/4 3 U
Tim Stützle SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-175
 46% 40% 20%1/5 3 O
Jordan Spence SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-125
 38% 30% 50%1/2 4 O
James Reimer SV 22.5
o-120 / u-110
 10% 10% 50%1/2 23 O
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+125
 38% 50% 40%2/5 1 O
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+230
 27% 40% 0%0/4 0 U
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+130
 41% 40% 60%3/5 1 O
Darren Raddysh G 0.5
o+300
 27% 30% 0%0/5 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+300
 14% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Corey Perry G 0.5
o+375
 21% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+425
 11% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+175
 28% 20% 40%2/5 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+475
 17% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+900
 10% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1300
 16% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+525
 11% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1200
 4% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Charle-Edouard D'Astous G 0.5
o+1000
 7% 10% — 1 O
Scott Sabourin G 0.5
o+900
 5% 0% — 0 U
Steven Santini G 0.5
o+2250
 0% 0% — 0 U
Emil Lilleberg G 0.5
o+1300
 5% 0% 0%0/4 1 O
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 49% 70% 50%2/4 0 U
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-200 / u+145
 60% 60% 60%3/5 0 U
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-240 / u+180
 58% 60% 80%4/5 2 O
Gage Goncalves PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 33% 60% 25%1/4 1 O
Darren Raddysh PTS 0.5
o-190 / u+140
 58% 50% 40%2/5 0 U
J.J. Moser PTS 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 35% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Jake Guentzel PTS 1.5
o+155 / u-210
 34% 30% 20%1/5 1 U
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 42% 60% 20%1/5 1 O
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 35% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 43% 40% 60%3/5 0 U
Darren Raddysh A 0.5
o-130 / u-105
 47% 40% 40%2/5 0 U
Gage Goncalves A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 22% 40% 25%1/4 1 O
J.J. Moser A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 26% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o-130 / u-105
 47% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Darren Raddysh SOG 2.5
o-160 / u+120
 58% 80% 40%2/5 4 O
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 48% 50% 75%3/4 0 U
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o-130 / u+100
 47% 40% 40%2/5 3 O
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o-165 / u+125
 56% 30% 60%3/5 3 O
Brayden Point SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 32% 10% 40%2/5 0 U
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 24.5
o-105 / u-130
 44% 50% 60%3/5 26 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Oct 9, 2025 at TBL TBL 4–5 3–10–21–2 9 5.5 O OTT
Apr 3, 2025 at OTT TBL 1–2 0–11–10–0 3 5.5 U OTT
Feb 6, 2025 at TBL TBL 5–1 1–01–13–0 6 5.5 O TBL
Feb 4, 2025 at TBL TBL 4–3 0–12–12–1 7 5.5 O TBL
Oct 19, 2024 at OTT TBL 4–5 0–23–21–1 9 6.5 O OTT
Apr 11, 2024 at TBL TBL 2–3 SO 2–10–00–1 5 — OTT
Feb 19, 2024 at TBL TBL 2–4 0–21–11–1 6 — OTT
Nov 4, 2023 at OTT TBL 6–4 1–13–02–3 10 — TBL
Oct 15, 2023 at OTT TBL 2–5 0–12–20–2 7 — OTT
Apr 8, 2023 at OTT TBL 4–7 1–22–21–3 11 — OTT