← Stats / BUF @ NYR

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

50-23-9 · Away
5 – 3
FINAL
34-39-9 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BUF -135 · NYR +115
Puck Line
BUF -1.5 (+160) · NYR +1.5 (-210)
Total
O 6.5 (+100) · U (-120)

Graded: total 8 → OVER W · NYR +1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
BUFo6.5 46%
36-42
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
44%
17-22
60%
3-2
47%
36-41
NYRo6.5 40%
31-47
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
30%
12-28
60%
3-2
46%
35-42
Puck Line
cover %
BUF-1.5 41%
32-46
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
39%
15-24
60%
3-2
+4.52u
42-35
NYR+1.5 68%
53-25
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
65%
26-14
40%
2-3
-6.48u
40-37
Moneyline
win %
BUF fav -135 60%
47-31
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
56%
22-17
60%
3-2
+1.67u
24-15
NYR dog +115 42%
33-45
80%
4-1
50%
5-5
35%
14-26
40%
2-3
-8.45u
18-30
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
DK 1.5 o-135/u+105 FD 1.5 o-130/u+104 BUF 56%
44-34
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
59%
23-16
20%
1-4
56%
44-34
1.96 1.01 / 0.95
NYR 51%
40-38
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
38%
15-25
20%
1-4
51%
40-38
1.77 0.82 / 0.95
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
DK 1.5 o-188/u+145 FD 1.5 o-176/u+138 BUF 67%
52-26
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
67%
26-13
60%
3-2
53%
41-37
2.05 1.18 / 0.87
NYR 63%
49-29
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
65%
26-14
60%
3-2
62%
48-30
1.92 0.92 / 1.00
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
FD 2.5 o+128/u-164 BUF 39%
30-48
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
36%
14-25
80%
4-1
43%
33-43
2.23 1.17 / 1.06
NYR 33%
26-52
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
30%
12-28
80%
4-1
51%
39-38
2.06 1.08 / 0.99
Team Comparison '25-26
BUFNYR
Record (W-L-OTL)50-23-934-39-9
Points %66.5%47.0%
Goals for / game3.512.90
Goals against / game2.943.05
Shots for / game28.125.2
Shots against / game29.128.8
Power play %19.5%24.7%
Penalty kill %81.9%79.9%
Faceoff %45.9%54.6%
1st period GF / GA1.02 / 0.940.82 / 0.95
2nd period GF / GA1.16 / 0.880.95 / 0.96
3rd period GF / GA1.23 / 1.011.02 / 1.02
Avg game total6.455.95
Starting Goalies from the box score
17 saves on 20 shots · 3 GA · W
22 saves on 26 shots · 4 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
BUF2030270/4
NYR1200202/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+350
20% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+140
44% 40% 60%3/5 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+220
19% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+300
16% 30% 25%1/4 2 O
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+220
32% 20% 20%1/5 1 O
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+220
36% 20% 20%1/5 1 O
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+400
14% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+700
9% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Josh Norris G 0.5
o+260
23% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+800
15% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+550
13% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+260
24% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+650
10% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Tanner Pearson G 0.5
o+650
13% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Conor Timmins G 0.5
o+1300
0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+425
14% 0% 40%2/5 1 O
Michael Kesselring G 0.5
o+1300
0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Tyson Kozak G 0.5
o+800
5% 0% — 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+140
61% 70% 75%3/4 1 O
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-230 / u+170
67% 60% 80%4/5 1 O
Peyton Krebs PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
40% 60% 40%2/5 1 O
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
48% 60% 50%2/4 2 O
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
64% 50% 40%2/5 1 O
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-170
42% 50% 60%3/5 1 O
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o-130 / u+100
46% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Josh Norris PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
58% 40% 25%1/4 1 O
Mattias Samuelsson PTS 0.5
o+210 / u-300
41% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
48% 30% 60%3/5 2 O
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
46% 30% 25%1/4 1 O
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
50% 20% 60%3/5 2 O
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+200 / u-275
31% 10% 50%2/4 0 U
Zach Benson A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
34% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-130 / u+100
51% 40% 50%2/4 1 O
Peyton Krebs A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
31% 40% 40%2/5 1 O
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
33% 40% 60%3/5 1 O
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
36% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
40% 30% 40%2/5 1 O
Josh Norris A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
40% 30% 25%1/4 1 O
Mattias Samuelsson A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
31% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
35% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
25% 20% 60%3/5 1 O
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
41% 20% 40%2/5 1 O
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
27% 20% 0%0/4 1 O
Owen Power A 0.5
o+300 / u-425
23% 10% 50%2/4 0 U
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
54% 60% 80%4/5 4 O
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-125
40% 60% 40%2/5 1 U
Josh Norris SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
53% 50% 50%2/4 2 O
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
49% 50% 100%4/4 2 U
Jack Quinn SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-120
35% 50% 50%2/4 1 U
Zach Benson SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
51% 50% 50%2/4 3 O
Josh Doan SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
56% 40% 75%3/4 1 U
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o+110 / u-145
46% 30% 60%3/5 2 U
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen SV 22.5
o-125 / u-105
63% 70% 100%3/3 17 U
NYRPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Mika Zibanejad G 0.5
o+190
34% 40% 60%3/5 0 U
Conor Sheary G 0.5
o+425
12% 40% 0%0/1 0 U
J.T. Miller G 0.5
o+225
22% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Adam Fox G 0.5
o+575
14% 30% 50%2/4 1 O
Alexis Lafrenière G 0.5
o+210
24% 30% 20%1/5 2 O
Vincent Trocheck G 0.5
o+275
22% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Will Cuylle G 0.5
o+300
21% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Jaroslav Chmelar G 0.5
o+525
17% 20% — 0 U
Noah Laba G 0.5
o+500
13% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Jonny Brodzinski G 0.5
o+450
10% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Matthew Robertson G 0.5
o+1100
7% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Tye Kartye G 0.5
o+575
10% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Gabe Perreault G 0.5
o+325
13% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Will Borgen G 0.5
o+1400
7% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Vladislav Gavrikov G 0.5
o+750
18% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Braden Schneider G 0.5
o+1000
3% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Adam Sykora G 0.5
o+450
43% — — 0 U
Drew Fortescue G 0.5
o+1200
0% — — 0 U
Adam Fox PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+120
61% 90% 75%3/4 2 O
Mika Zibanejad PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
65% 70% 60%3/5 1 O
J.T. Miller PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
56% 70% 100%4/4 1 O
Conor Sheary PTS 0.5
o+170 / u-230
28% 50% 0%0/1 0 U
Alexis Lafrenière PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
41% 50% 20%1/5 2 O
Vincent Trocheck PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
60% 40% 60%3/5 1 O
Jonny Brodzinski PTS 0.5
o+190 / u-260
27% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Gabe Perreault PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-170
38% 40% 0%0/1 0 U
Vladislav Gavrikov PTS 0.5
o+180 / u-250
35% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Will Cuylle PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
37% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Adam Fox A 0.5
o-130 / u+100
55% 80% 50%2/4 1 O
J.T. Miller A 0.5
o+115 / u-150
39% 60% 100%4/4 1 O
Mika Zibanejad A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
42% 40% 0%0/5 1 O
Alexis Lafrenière A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
32% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
Vincent Trocheck A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
43% 30% 40%2/5 1 O
Jonny Brodzinski A 0.5
o+325 / u-500
17% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Vladislav Gavrikov A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
22% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Gabe Perreault A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
31% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Conor Sheary A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
16% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Will Cuylle A 0.5
o+375 / u-575
21% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Vincent Trocheck SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
60% 60% 80%4/5 0 U
Mika Zibanejad SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-125
48% 60% 80%4/5 2 U
J.T. Miller SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
58% 60% 50%2/4 3 O
Will Cuylle SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
53% 50% 60%3/5 3 O
Adam Fox SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
47% 30% 75%3/4 1 U
Gabe Perreault SOG 1.5
o+100 / u-135
36% 30% 100%1/1 0 U
Alexis Lafrenière SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-170
27% 20% 20%1/5 2 U
Igor Shesterkin SV 25.5
o-105 / u-125
49% 40% 50%2/4 22 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Jan 8, 2026 at NYR NYR 2–5 0–11–21–2 7 6.5 O BUF
Oct 9, 2025 at BUF NYR 4–0 1–00–03–0 4 6.5 U NYR
Feb 22, 2025 at BUF NYR 2–8 0–52–00–3 10 6.5 O BUF
Dec 11, 2024 at BUF NYR 3–2 1–00–02–2 5 6 U NYR
Nov 7, 2024 at NYR NYR 1–6 0–10–41–1 7 6.5 O BUF
Dec 23, 2023 at NYR NYR 4–3 OT 2–11–10–1 7 — NYR
Nov 27, 2023 at NYR NYR 1–5 0–10–11–3 6 — BUF
Oct 12, 2023 at BUF NYR 5–1 2–01–12–0 6 — NYR
Apr 10, 2023 at NYR NYR 2–3 SO 0–12–00–1 5 — BUF
Mar 31, 2023 at BUF NYR 2–3 OT 0–11–11–0 5 — BUF