MTL @ BUF
Thursday, May 14, 2026 · 6:00 PM CT · PlayoffsHard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
MTL -105 · BUF -115
Puck Line
MTL +1.5 (-300) · BUF -1.5 (+200)
Total
O 5.5 (-130) · U (+105)
Graded: total 9 → OVER W · BUF -1.5 L
Betting Trends Season
| Market | Team | Line | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs HR Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total Over 5.5 | MTL | o5.5 | 61% 57-36 | 60% 3-2 | 30% 3-7 | 64% 30-17 | 92% 11-1 | 52% 48-44 |
| BUF | o5.5 | 61% 56-36 | 60% 3-2 | 60% 6-4 | 63% 29-17 | 92% 11-1 | 48% 44-47 | |
| Puck Line cover % | MTL | +1.5 | 80% 74-19 | 80% 4-1 | 90% 9-1 | 83% 39-8 | 75% 9-3 | +0.93u 54-38 |
| BUF | -1.5 | 42% 39-53 | 40% 2-3 | 40% 4-6 | 41% 19-27 | 25% 3-9 | +9.51u 51-40 | |
| Moneyline win % | MTL dog | -105 | 58% 54-39 | 60% 3-2 | 50% 5-5 | 60% 28-19 | 67% 8-4 | +17.56u 31-19 |
| BUF fav | -115 | 61% 56-36 | 60% 3-2 | 60% 6-4 | 61% 28-18 | 33% 4-8 | +2.08u 29-18 |
Period Totals grade at
DK/FD line
0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
| Period | DK / FD | Team | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs DK/FD Close | Avg goals | GF / GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Period over 0.5 |
DK 1.5 o-120/u-110 FD 1.5 o-118/u-106 | MTL | 85% 79-14 | 100% 5-0 | 80% 8-2 | 85% 40-7 | 92% 11-1 | 57% 53-40 | 1.74 | 0.92 / 0.82 |
| BUF | 90% 83-9 | 100% 5-0 | 80% 8-2 | 91% 42-4 | 92% 11-1 | 58% 53-39 | 1.95 | 1.03 / 0.91 | ||
| 2nd Period over 0.5 |
DK 1.5 o-166/u+130 FD 1.5 o-166/u+130 | MTL | 93% 86-7 | 100% 5-0 | 90% 9-1 | 94% 44-3 | 100% 12-0 | 65% 60-33 | 2.28 | 1.17 / 1.11 |
| BUF | 89% 82-10 | 100% 5-0 | 80% 8-2 | 91% 42-4 | 100% 12-0 | 52% 48-44 | 2.00 | 1.10 / 0.90 | ||
| 3rd Period over 0.5 |
FD 2.5 o+144/u-186 | MTL | 89% 83-10 | 80% 4-1 | 70% 7-3 | 89% 42-5 | 83% 10-2 | 40% 37-55 | 2.08 | 1.11 / 0.97 |
| BUF | 87% 80-12 | 80% 4-1 | 80% 8-2 | 80% 37-9 | 83% 10-2 | 44% 39-50 | 2.23 | 1.24 / 0.99 |
Team Comparison '25-26
| MTL | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W-L-OTL) | 9-6-4 | 7-4-2 |
| Points % | 57.9% | 61.5% |
| Goals for / game | 2.84 | 3.31 |
| Goals against / game | 2.95 | 3.00 |
| Shots for / game | 23.2 | 30.5 |
| Shots against / game | 29.9 | 26.7 |
| Power play % | 23.1% | 20.4% |
| Penalty kill % | 78.1% | 76.2% |
| Faceoff % | 53.5% | 45.6% |
| 1st period GF / GA | 1.26 / 1.11 | 1.23 / 1.08 |
| 2nd period GF / GA | 0.79 / 1.05 | 0.77 / 1.08 |
| 3rd period GF / GA | 0.63 / 0.58 | 1.31 / 0.69 |
| Avg game total | 5.79 | 6.31 |
Starting Goalies from the box score
MTL · Jakub Dobes
33 saves on 36 shots · 3 GA · W
BUF · Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
18 saves on 23 shots · 5 GA · L
| P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SOG | PP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 2/2 |
| BUF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 0/2 |
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
| MTL | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirby Dach | G | 0.5 o+450 |
23% | 40% | 25%2/8 | 0 U |
| Alex Newhook | G | 0.5 o+275 |
28% | 40% | 44%4/9 | 0 U |
| Nick Suzuki | G | 0.5 o+195 |
30% | 30% | 50%6/12 | 1 O |
| Cole Caufield | G | 0.5 o+145 |
44% | 30% | 67%8/12 | 1 O |
| Alexandre Texier | G | 0.5 o+575 |
13% | 20% | 0%0/7 | 1 O |
| Zachary Bolduc | G | 0.5 o+600 |
15% | 20% | 11%1/9 | 0 U |
| Lane Hutson | G | 0.5 o+575 |
15% | 20% | 8%1/12 | 0 U |
| Mike Matheson | G | 0.5 o+1000 |
9% | 10% | 17%2/12 | 0 U |
| Josh Anderson | G | 0.5 o+550 |
17% | 10% | 25%3/12 | 1 O |
| Alexandre Carrier | G | 0.5 o+1600 |
8% | 10% | 10%1/10 | 0 U |
| Juraj Slafkovský | G | 0.5 o+185 |
30% | 10% | 42%5/12 | 0 U |
| Phillip Danault | G | 0.5 o+650 |
7% | 0% | 0%0/9 | 0 U |
| Jake Evans | G | 0.5 o+600 |
15% | 0% | 18%2/11 | 1 O |
| Joseph Veleno | G | 0.5 o+900 |
3% | 0% | 0%0/11 | 0 U |
| Noah Dobson | G | 0.5 o+700 |
12% | 0% | 0%0/11 | 0 U |
| Kaiden Guhle | G | 0.5 o+1400 |
4% | 0% | 0%0/9 | 0 U |
| Arber Xhekaj | G | 0.5 o+2500 |
1% | 0% | 0%0/11 | 0 U |
| Ivan Demidov | G | 0.5 o+300 |
20% | 0% | 13%1/8 | 1 O |
| Lane Hutson | PTS | 0.5 o-180 / u+135 |
68% | 80% | 83%10/12 | 2 O |
| Nick Suzuki | PTS | 0.5 o-240 / u+175 |
76% | 70% | 92%11/12 | 3 O |
| Alex Newhook | PTS | 0.5 o+125 / u-170 |
45% | 50% | 56%5/9 | 1 O |
| Zachary Bolduc | PTS | 0.5 o+240 / u-350 |
30% | 50% | 33%3/9 | 0 U |
| Jake Evans | PTS | 0.5 o+210 / u-300 |
34% | 40% | 55%6/11 | 1 O |
| Alexandre Texier | PTS | 0.5 o+230 / u-325 |
31% | 40% | 14%1/7 | 1 O |
| Kirby Dach | PTS | 0.5 o+250 / u-375 |
35% | 40% | 50%4/8 | 0 U |
| Cole Caufield | PTS | 0.5 o-165 / u+120 |
66% | 40% | 75%9/12 | 1 O |
| Kaiden Guhle | PTS | 0.5 o+275 / u-400 |
26% | 40% | 11%1/9 | 0 U |
| Phillip Danault | PTS | 0.5 o+225 / u-325 |
22% | 30% | 22%2/9 | 2 O |
| Josh Anderson | PTS | 0.5 o+240 / u-350 |
27% | 30% | 33%4/12 | 1 O |
| Juraj Slafkovský | PTS | 0.5 o-140 / u+105 |
56% | 30% | 67%8/12 | 3 O |
| Ivan Demidov | PTS | 0.5 o-115 / u-115 |
54% | 30% | 63%5/8 | 2 O |
| Alexandre Carrier | PTS | 0.5 o+300 / u-425 |
27% | 20% | 20%2/10 | 1 O |
| Noah Dobson | PTS | 0.5 o+160 / u-210 |
41% | 20% | 36%4/11 | 0 U |
| Mike Matheson | PTS | 0.5 o+230 / u-325 |
36% | 10% | 42%5/12 | 0 U |
| Lane Hutson | A | 0.5 o-150 / u+110 |
58% | 60% | 75%9/12 | 2 O |
| Jake Evans | A | 0.5 o+300 / u-475 |
19% | 40% | 36%4/11 | 0 U |
| Nick Suzuki | A | 0.5 o-130 / u+100 |
61% | 40% | 75%9/12 | 2 O |
| Kaiden Guhle | A | 0.5 o+325 / u-500 |
24% | 40% | 11%1/9 | 0 U |
| Phillip Danault | A | 0.5 o+325 / u-500 |
15% | 30% | 22%2/9 | 2 O |
| Alexandre Texier | A | 0.5 o+350 / u-550 |
21% | 30% | 14%1/7 | 0 U |
| Zachary Bolduc | A | 0.5 o+375 / u-600 |
21% | 30% | 22%2/9 | 0 U |
| Ivan Demidov | A | 0.5 o+145 / u-195 |
43% | 30% | 50%4/8 | 1 O |
| Josh Anderson | A | 0.5 o+400 / u-650 |
12% | 20% | 17%2/12 | 0 U |
| Noah Dobson | A | 0.5 o+200 / u-275 |
32% | 20% | 36%4/11 | 0 U |
| Cole Caufield | A | 0.5 o+160 / u-220 |
40% | 20% | 33%4/12 | 0 U |
| Juraj Slafkovský | A | 0.5 o+155 / u-210 |
41% | 20% | 42%5/12 | 3 O |
| Alexandre Carrier | A | 0.5 o+350 / u-525 |
19% | 10% | 10%1/10 | 1 O |
| Kirby Dach | A | 0.5 o+500 / u-850 |
17% | 10% | 25%2/8 | 0 U |
| Alex Newhook | A | 0.5 o+275 / u-400 |
23% | 10% | 11%1/9 | 1 O |
| Mike Matheson | A | 0.5 o+300 / u-450 |
30% | 0% | 33%4/12 | 0 U |
| Alex Newhook | SOG | 1.5 o-165 / u+125 |
42% | 60% | 78%7/9 | 0 U |
| Mike Matheson | SOG | 1.5 o+115 / u-155 |
48% | 50% | 42%5/12 | 1 U |
| Josh Anderson | SOG | 1.5 o+110 / u-150 |
36% | 50% | 42%5/12 | 1 U |
| Nick Suzuki | SOG | 2.5 o+115 / u-150 |
36% | 50% | 58%7/12 | 1 U |
| Noah Dobson | SOG | 1.5 o-155 / u+115 |
59% | 50% | 64%7/11 | 1 U |
| Lane Hutson | SOG | 1.5 o-110 / u-120 |
48% | 50% | 50%6/12 | 1 U |
| Ivan Demidov | SOG | 1.5 o-155 / u+115 |
46% | 50% | 63%5/8 | 5 O |
| Alexandre Texier | SOG | 1.5 o+160 / u-220 |
42% | 40% | 29%2/7 | 3 O |
| Juraj Slafkovský | SOG | 2.5 o-105 / u-125 |
37% | 40% | 50%6/12 | 2 U |
| Cole Caufield | SOG | 2.5 o-170 / u+130 |
61% | 30% | 42%5/12 | 3 O |
| Jakub Dobes | SV | 25.5 o-125 / u-105 |
51% | 60% | 57%4/7 | 33 O |
| BUF | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Tuch | G | 0.5 o+175 |
38% | 40% | 25%3/12 | 0 U |
| Bowen Byram | G | 0.5 o+500 |
15% | 40% | 8%1/12 | 0 U |
| Zach Benson | G | 0.5 o+250 |
21% | 40% | 25%3/12 | 0 U |
| Tage Thompson | G | 0.5 o+150 |
42% | 30% | 42%5/12 | 0 U |
| Josh Norris | G | 0.5 o+275 |
24% | 30% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Mattias Samuelsson | G | 0.5 o+750 |
16% | 30% | 9%1/11 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | G | 0.5 o+350 |
21% | 20% | 27%3/11 | 0 U |
| Peyton Krebs | G | 0.5 o+375 |
15% | 20% | 17%2/12 | 0 U |
| Josh Doan | G | 0.5 o+275 |
24% | 20% | 33%3/9 | 1 O |
| Jordan Greenway | G | 0.5 o+800 |
4% | 10% | 11%1/9 | 0 U |
| Beck Malenstyn | G | 0.5 o+800 |
9% | 10% | 9%1/11 | 0 U |
| Ryan McLeod | G | 0.5 o+525 |
15% | 10% | 8%1/12 | 0 U |
| Konsta Helenius | G | 0.5 o+475 |
10% | 10% | 0%0/3 | 1 O |
| Luke Schenn | G | 0.5 o+2250 |
2% | 0% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Jason Zucker | G | 0.5 o+375 |
28% | 0% | 10%1/10 | 1 O |
| Conor Timmins | G | 0.5 o+1300 |
0% | 0% | 13%1/8 | 0 U |
| Jack Quinn | G | 0.5 o+275 |
17% | 0% | 0%0/12 | 0 U |
| Owen Power | G | 0.5 o+900 |
9% | 0% | 8%1/12 | 0 U |
| Tage Thompson | PTS | 0.5 o-200 / u+150 |
66% | 60% | 58%7/12 | 0 U |
| Josh Doan | PTS | 0.5 o-115 / u-115 |
49% | 60% | 67%6/9 | 1 O |
| Alex Tuch | PTS | 0.5 o-130 / u+100 |
63% | 50% | 42%5/12 | 0 U |
| Josh Norris | PTS | 0.5 o+115 / u-155 |
57% | 50% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | PTS | 0.5 o-155 / u+115 |
61% | 50% | 73%8/11 | 1 O |
| Peyton Krebs | PTS | 0.5 o+145 / u-195 |
41% | 50% | 17%2/12 | 0 U |
| Zach Benson | PTS | 0.5 o-110 / u-120 |
51% | 50% | 50%6/12 | 0 U |
| Mattias Samuelsson | PTS | 0.5 o+225 / u-325 |
40% | 40% | 27%3/11 | 1 O |
| Bowen Byram | PTS | 0.5 o+140 / u-190 |
41% | 40% | 25%3/12 | 0 U |
| Owen Power | PTS | 0.5 o+200 / u-275 |
33% | 40% | 25%3/12 | 1 O |
| Jack Quinn | PTS | 0.5 o+100 / u-135 |
44% | 30% | 17%2/12 | 1 O |
| Ryan McLeod | PTS | 0.5 o+175 / u-240 |
47% | 20% | 17%2/12 | 0 U |
| Konsta Helenius | PTS | 0.5 o+220 / u-325 |
20% | 20% | 33%1/3 | 1 O |
| Jason Zucker | PTS | 0.5 o+160 / u-210 |
44% | 10% | 20%2/10 | 1 O |
| Tage Thompson | A | 0.5 o+115 / u-155 |
42% | 60% | 42%5/12 | 0 U |
| Josh Doan | A | 0.5 o+155 / u-210 |
32% | 60% | 56%5/9 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | A | 0.5 o-105 / u-125 |
51% | 40% | 64%7/11 | 1 O |
| Peyton Krebs | A | 0.5 o+260 / u-375 |
32% | 40% | 0%0/12 | 0 U |
| Owen Power | A | 0.5 o+250 / u-350 |
26% | 40% | 17%2/12 | 1 O |
| Alex Tuch | A | 0.5 o+185 / u-250 |
35% | 30% | 17%2/12 | 0 U |
| Jack Quinn | A | 0.5 o+190 / u-260 |
33% | 30% | 17%2/12 | 1 O |
| Josh Norris | A | 0.5 o+230 / u-325 |
37% | 20% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Ryan McLeod | A | 0.5 o+260 / u-400 |
39% | 20% | 17%2/12 | 0 U |
| Bowen Byram | A | 0.5 o+210 / u-300 |
32% | 20% | 17%2/12 | 0 U |
| Zach Benson | A | 0.5 o+180 / u-250 |
35% | 20% | 25%3/12 | 0 U |
| Konsta Helenius | A | 0.5 o+400 / u-650 |
20% | 20% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Jason Zucker | A | 0.5 o+300 / u-425 |
26% | 10% | 10%1/10 | 0 U |
| Mattias Samuelsson | A | 0.5 o+300 / u-450 |
27% | 10% | 18%2/11 | 1 O |
| Bowen Byram | SOG | 1.5 o-110 / u-120 |
42% | 80% | 33%4/12 | 4 O |
| Alex Tuch | SOG | 2.5 o-110 / u-125 |
43% | 70% | 42%5/12 | 2 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | SOG | 2.5 o-130 / u+100 |
51% | 70% | 73%8/11 | 3 O |
| Josh Norris | SOG | 1.5 o+120 / u-155 |
53% | 50% | 40%2/5 | 4 O |
| Jason Zucker | SOG | 1.5 o-120 / u-110 |
53% | 40% | 40%4/10 | 2 O |
| Mattias Samuelsson | SOG | 1.5 o+145 / u-195 |
34% | 40% | 36%4/11 | 5 O |
| Josh Doan | SOG | 2.5 o+135 / u-180 |
38% | 40% | 56%5/9 | 3 O |
| Owen Power | SOG | 0.5 o-240 / u+180 |
70% | 40% | 50%6/12 | 0 U |
| Zach Benson | SOG | 1.5 o-140 / u+105 |
51% | 40% | 58%7/12 | 1 U |
| Tage Thompson | SOG | 3.5 o+105 / u-140 |
44% | 30% | 17%2/12 | 3 U |
| Jack Quinn | SOG | 2.5 o+105 / u-140 |
35% | 30% | 25%3/12 | 3 O |
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | SV | 23.5 o-130 / u-105 |
51% | 40% | 60%3/5 | 18 U |
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
| Date | Where | Score | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total | HR Close | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2026 | at MTL | BUF 3–2 | 1–2 | 1–0 | 1–0 | 5 | 5.5 U | BUF |
| May 10, 2026 | at MTL | BUF 2–6 | 1–1 | 1–3 | 0–2 | 8 | 5.5 O | MTL |
| May 8, 2026 | at BUF | BUF 1–5 | 0–2 | 1–1 | 0–2 | 6 | 5.5 O | MTL |
| May 6, 2026 | at BUF | BUF 4–2 | 2–1 | 2–1 | 0–0 | 6 | 5.5 O | BUF |
| Jan 31, 2026 | at BUF | BUF 2–4 | 0–1 | 2–0 | 0–3 | 6 | 6.5 U | MTL |
| Jan 22, 2026 | at MTL | BUF 4–2 | 2–0 | 1–2 | 1–0 | 6 | 6.5 U | BUF |
| Jan 15, 2026 | at BUF | BUF 5–3 | 2–2 | 1–1 | 2–0 | 8 | 6.5 O | BUF |
| Oct 20, 2025 | at MTL | BUF 2–4 | 0–1 | 1–0 | 1–3 | 6 | 6.5 U | MTL |
| Mar 3, 2025 | at MTL | BUF 3–4 OT | 0–3 | 1–0 | 2–0 | 7 | 6.5 O | MTL |
| Mar 1, 2025 | at BUF | BUF 2–4 | 0–0 | 2–3 | 0–1 | 6 | 6.5 U | MTL |