← Stats / BUF @ MTL

BUF @ MTL

Saturday, May 16, 2026 · 7:00 PM CT · Playoffs

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Buffalo Sabres
7-4-2 · Away
8 – 3
FINAL
Montréal Canadiens
9-6-4 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BUF +140 · MTL -170
Puck Line
BUF +1.5 (-185) · MTL -1.5 (+140)
Total
O 6.5 (+105) · U (-130)

Graded: total 11 → OVER W · MTL -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 BUFo6.5 45%
42-51
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
44%
20-26
46%
6-7
49%
45-47
MTLo6.5 50%
47-47
40%
2-3
20%
2-8
50%
23-23
46%
6-7
53%
49-44
Puck Line
cover %
 BUF+1.5 74%
69-24
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
72%
33-13
39%
5-8
+8.51u
51-41
MTL-1.5 30%
28-66
60%
3-2
30%
3-7
33%
15-31
62%
8-5
+1.27u
55-38
Moneyline
win %
 BUF dog +140 60%
56-37
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
61%
28-18
31%
4-9
+12.93u
26-18
MTL fav -170 59%
55-39
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
57%
26-20
69%
9-4
-2.91u
23-19
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-135/u+105 FD 1.5 o-130/u+104 BUF 58%
54-39
100%
5-0
70%
7-3
63%
29-17
77%
10-3
58%
54-39
 1.98 1.05 / 0.92
MTL 57%
54-40
100%
5-0
60%
6-4
63%
29-17
77%
10-3
57%
54-40
 1.78 0.94 / 0.84
2nd Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-188/u+145 FD 1.5 o-182/u+142 BUF 65%
60-33
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
63%
29-17
77%
10-3
53%
49-44
 2.01 1.09 / 0.92
MTL 71%
67-27
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
76%
35-11
77%
10-3
65%
61-33
 2.29 1.19 / 1.10
3rd Period
over 1.5
 FD 2.5 o+130/u-168 BUF 66%
61-32
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
72%
33-13
54%
7-6
43%
39-51
 2.22 1.23 / 0.99
MTL 62%
58-36
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
61%
28-18
54%
7-6
40%
37-56
 2.06 1.11 / 0.96
Team Comparison '25-26
BUFMTL
Record (W-L-OTL)7-4-29-6-4
Points %61.5%57.9%
Goals for / game3.312.84
Goals against / game3.002.95
Shots for / game30.523.2
Shots against / game26.729.9
Power play %20.4%23.1%
Penalty kill %76.2%78.1%
Faceoff %45.6%53.5%
1st period GF / GA1.23 / 1.081.26 / 1.11
2nd period GF / GA0.77 / 1.080.79 / 1.05
3rd period GF / GA1.31 / 0.690.63 / 0.58
Avg game total6.315.79
Starting Goalies from the box score
BUF · Alex Lyon
1 saves on 4 shots · 3 GA
27 saves on 33 shots · 6 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
BUF2330364/6
MTL3000221/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+550
 15% 40% 8%1/13 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+300
 21% 40% 23%3/13 1 O
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+220
 38% 30% 23%3/13 0 U
Josh Norris G 0.5
o+350
 23% 30% 0%0/6 0 U
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+250
 25% 30% 40%4/10 0 U
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+165
 41% 20% 39%5/13 1 O
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+850
 16% 20% 8%1/12 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+375
 21% 20% 25%3/12 1 O
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+500
 15% 20% 15%2/13 0 U
Konsta Helenius G 0.5
o+450
 18% 20% 25%1/4 1 O
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+350
 29% 10% 18%2/11 1 O
Jordan Greenway G 0.5
o+900
 4% 10% 10%1/10 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+900
 9% 10% 8%1/12 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+500
 15% 10% 8%1/13 0 U
Conor Timmins G 0.5
o+1600
 0% 0% 11%1/9 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+300
 17% 0% 0%0/13 2 O
Owen Power G 0.5
o+1100
 9% 0% 8%1/13 0 U
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 50% 70% 70%7/10 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 61% 60% 75%9/12 5 O
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 65% 50% 54%7/13 4 O
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 50% 50% 46%6/13 2 O
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 62% 40% 39%5/13 0 U
Josh Norris PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 56% 40% 17%1/6 1 O
Mattias Samuelsson PTS 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 40% 40% 33%4/12 1 O
Peyton Krebs PTS 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 41% 40% 15%2/13 0 U
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 41% 40% 23%3/13 1 O
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 34% 40% 31%4/13 0 U
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 44% 30% 23%3/13 3 O
Konsta Helenius PTS 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 27% 30% 50%2/4 1 O
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-210
 45% 20% 27%3/11 2 O
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 47% 20% 15%2/13 1 O
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 31% 60% 50%5/10 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 41% 50% 39%5/13 3 O
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 51% 50% 67%8/12 4 O
Owen Power A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 27% 40% 23%3/13 0 U
Peyton Krebs A 0.5
o+325 / u-500
 31% 30% 0%0/13 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 33% 30% 23%3/13 1 O
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 34% 20% 15%2/13 0 U
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+275 / u-425
 38% 20% 15%2/13 1 O
Mattias Samuelsson A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 28% 20% 25%3/12 1 O
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
 31% 20% 15%2/13 1 O
Zach Benson A 0.5
o+185 / u-260
 34% 20% 23%3/13 1 O
Konsta Helenius A 0.5
o+450 / u-700
 18% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 26% 10% 9%1/11 1 O
Josh Norris A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 37% 10% 17%1/6 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o-140 / u+105
 51% 80% 75%9/12 3 O
Bowen Byram SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 43% 80% 39%5/13 2 O
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-120
 42% 60% 39%5/13 4 O
Josh Norris SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-125
 54% 60% 50%3/6 2 O
Josh Doan SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-165
 39% 50% 60%6/10 2 U
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 53% 40% 46%5/11 2 O
Mattias Samuelsson SOG 1.5
o+140 / u-185
 35% 40% 42%5/12 1 U
Jack Quinn SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 36% 40% 31%4/13 3 O
Owen Power SOG 0.5
o-225 / u+165
 70% 30% 46%6/13 0 U
Zach Benson SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 50% 30% 54%7/13 6 O
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o+110 / u-150
 44% 20% 15%2/13 6 O
Alex Lyon SV 24.5
o-125 / u-105
 61% 50% 67%4/6 1 U
MTLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Nick Suzuki G 0.5
o+170
 31% 40% 54%7/13 0 U
Kirby Dach G 0.5
o+500
 22% 40% 22%2/9 0 U
Cole Caufield G 0.5
o+130
 44% 40% 69%9/13 0 U
Alex Newhook G 0.5
o+250
 28% 40% 40%4/10 0 U
Alexandre Texier G 0.5
o+450
 14% 30% 13%1/8 0 U
Zachary Bolduc G 0.5
o+600
 14% 20% 10%1/10 0 U
Mike Matheson G 0.5
o+900
 9% 10% 15%2/13 0 U
Josh Anderson G 0.5
o+450
 18% 10% 31%4/13 0 U
Jake Evans G 0.5
o+500
 16% 10% 25%3/12 1 O
Alexandre Carrier G 0.5
o+1400
 8% 10% 9%1/11 0 U
Lane Hutson G 0.5
o+525
 15% 10% 8%1/13 0 U
Juraj Slafkovský G 0.5
o+180
 30% 10% 39%5/13 0 U
Ivan Demidov G 0.5
o+275
 21% 10% 22%2/9 1 O
Phillip Danault G 0.5
o+600
 7% 0% 0%0/10 0 U
Joseph Veleno G 0.5
o+850
 3% 0% 0%0/12 0 U
Noah Dobson G 0.5
o+700
 12% 0% 0%0/12 0 U
Kaiden Guhle G 0.5
o+1200
 4% 0% 0%0/10 0 U
Arber Xhekaj G 0.5
o+2500
 1% 0% 0%0/12 1 O
Lane Hutson PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+155
 68% 80% 85%11/13 1 O
Alex Newhook PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 46% 60% 60%6/10 0 U
Alexandre Texier PTS 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 32% 50% 25%2/8 0 U
Zachary Bolduc PTS 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 30% 50% 30%3/10 0 U
Jake Evans PTS 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 35% 40% 58%7/12 2 O
Kirby Dach PTS 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 35% 40% 44%4/9 0 U
Cole Caufield PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+140
 67% 40% 77%10/13 1 O
Kaiden Guhle PTS 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 26% 40% 10%1/10 0 U
Juraj Slafkovský PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+125
 56% 40% 69%9/13 0 U
Ivan Demidov PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 54% 40% 67%6/9 1 O
Phillip Danault PTS 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 23% 30% 30%3/10 0 U
Josh Anderson PTS 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 27% 30% 39%5/13 0 U
Alexandre Carrier PTS 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 28% 30% 27%3/11 0 U
Noah Dobson PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 41% 20% 33%4/12 0 U
Mike Matheson PTS 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 36% 10% 39%5/13 1 O
Nick Suzuki PTS 1.5
o+165 / u-230
 33% 10% 62%8/13 0 U
Lane Hutson A 0.5
o-170 / u+125
 59% 70% 77%10/13 1 O
Nick Suzuki A 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 62% 40% 77%10/13 0 U
Kaiden Guhle A 0.5
o+350 / u-525
 24% 40% 10%1/10 0 U
Ivan Demidov A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 44% 40% 56%5/9 0 U
Phillip Danault A 0.5
o+325 / u-475
 16% 30% 30%3/10 0 U
Jake Evans A 0.5
o+300 / u-425
 19% 30% 33%4/12 1 O
Alexandre Texier A 0.5
o+325 / u-500
 21% 30% 13%1/8 0 U
Zachary Bolduc A 0.5
o+400 / u-650
 21% 30% 20%2/10 0 U
Juraj Slafkovský A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 42% 30% 46%6/13 0 U
Josh Anderson A 0.5
o+425 / u-650
 12% 20% 15%2/13 0 U
Alexandre Carrier A 0.5
o+300 / u-425
 20% 20% 18%2/11 0 U
Noah Dobson A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 31% 20% 33%4/12 0 U
Alex Newhook A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 24% 20% 20%2/10 0 U
Kirby Dach A 0.5
o+500 / u-850
 16% 10% 22%2/9 0 U
Cole Caufield A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 40% 10% 31%4/13 1 O
Mike Matheson A 0.5
o+300 / u-425
 30% 0% 31%4/13 1 O
Alex Newhook SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+120
 41% 60% 70%7/10 3 O
Ivan Demidov SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 47% 60% 67%6/9 5 O
Jake Evans SOG 1.5
o+165 / u-230
 35% 50% 42%5/12 1 U
Nick Suzuki SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-135
 35% 50% 54%7/13 2 U
Noah Dobson SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+125
 58% 50% 58%7/12 1 U
Mike Matheson SOG 1.5
o+115 / u-150
 48% 40% 39%5/13 0 U
Josh Anderson SOG 1.5
o+115 / u-150
 36% 40% 39%5/13 1 U
Alexandre Texier SOG 1.5
o+130 / u-175
 43% 40% 38%3/8 0 U
Cole Caufield SOG 2.5
o-185 / u+135
 61% 40% 46%6/13 2 U
Lane Hutson SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 48% 40% 46%6/13 1 U
Juraj Slafkovský SOG 2.5
o-120 / u-110
 36% 40% 46%6/13 3 O
Jakub Dobes SV 25.5
o-115 / u-115
 52% 60% 63%5/8 27 O

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
May 14, 2026 at BUF MTL 6–3 2–33–01–0 9 5.5 O MTL
May 12, 2026 at MTL MTL 2–3 2–10–10–1 5 5.5 U BUF
May 10, 2026 at MTL MTL 6–2 1–13–12–0 8 5.5 O MTL
May 8, 2026 at BUF MTL 5–1 2–01–12–0 6 5.5 O MTL
May 6, 2026 at BUF MTL 2–4 1–21–20–0 6 5.5 O BUF
Jan 31, 2026 at BUF MTL 4–2 1–00–23–0 6 6.5 U MTL
Jan 22, 2026 at MTL MTL 2–4 0–22–10–1 6 6.5 U BUF
Jan 15, 2026 at BUF MTL 3–5 2–21–10–2 8 6.5 O BUF
Oct 20, 2025 at MTL MTL 4–2 1–00–13–1 6 6.5 U MTL
Mar 3, 2025 at MTL MTL 4–3 OT 3–00–10–2 7 6.5 O MTL