MTL @ BUF
Monday, May 18, 2026 · 6:30 PM CT · PlayoffsHard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
MTL -105 · BUF -115
Puck Line
MTL +1.5 (-300) · BUF -1.5 (+200)
Total
O 5.5 (-115) · U (-105)
Graded: total 5 → OVER L · BUF -1.5 L
Betting Trends Season
| Market | Team | Line | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs HR Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total Over 5.5 | MTL | o5.5 | 62% 59-36 | 80% 4-1 | 50% 5-5 | 65% 31-17 | 93% 13-1 | 53% 50-44 |
| BUF | o5.5 | 62% 58-36 | 80% 4-1 | 60% 6-4 | 64% 30-17 | 93% 13-1 | 50% 46-47 | |
| Puck Line cover % | MTL | +1.5 | 79% 75-20 | 80% 4-1 | 80% 8-2 | 83% 40-8 | 71% 10-4 | +0.27u 55-39 |
| BUF | -1.5 | 43% 40-54 | 20% 1-4 | 50% 5-5 | 40% 19-28 | 29% 4-10 | +9.05u 52-41 | |
| Moneyline win % | MTL dog | -105 | 58% 55-40 | 60% 3-2 | 50% 5-5 | 60% 29-19 | 64% 9-5 | +18.51u 32-19 |
| BUF fav | -115 | 61% 57-37 | 40% 2-3 | 60% 6-4 | 60% 28-19 | 36% 5-9 | +1.08u 29-19 |
Period Totals grade at
DK/FD line
0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
| Period | DK / FD | Team | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs DK/FD Close | Avg goals | GF / GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Period over 1.5 (DraftKings) |
DK 1.5 o-120/u-110 FD 1.5 o-116/u-110 | MTL | 58% 55-40 | 100% 5-0 | 60% 6-4 | 52% 25-23 | 79% 11-3 | 58% 55-40 | 1.81 | 0.96 / 0.85 |
| BUF | 59% 55-39 | 100% 5-0 | 80% 8-2 | 53% 25-22 | 79% 11-3 | 59% 55-39 | 2.01 | 1.06 / 0.95 | ||
| 2nd Period over 1.5 (DraftKings) |
DK 1.5 o-154/u+120 FD 1.5 o-140/u+110 | MTL | 72% 68-27 | 80% 4-1 | 70% 7-3 | 67% 32-16 | 79% 11-3 | 65% 62-33 | 2.29 | 1.18 / 1.12 |
| BUF | 65% 61-33 | 80% 4-1 | 60% 6-4 | 66% 31-16 | 79% 11-3 | 53% 50-44 | 2.02 | 1.11 / 0.91 | ||
| 3rd Period over 2.5 (FanDuel) |
FD 2.5 o+146/u-186 | MTL | 36% 34-61 | 20% 1-4 | 10% 1-9 | 40% 19-29 | 29% 4-10 | 40% 38-56 | 2.07 | 1.09 / 0.98 |
| BUF | 39% 37-57 | 20% 1-4 | 20% 2-8 | 40% 19-28 | 29% 4-10 | 44% 40-51 | 2.22 | 1.24 / 0.98 |
Team Comparison '25-26
| MTL | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W-L-OTL) | 9-6-4 | 7-4-2 |
| Points % | 57.9% | 61.5% |
| Goals for / game | 2.84 | 3.31 |
| Goals against / game | 2.95 | 3.00 |
| Shots for / game | 23.2 | 30.5 |
| Shots against / game | 29.9 | 26.7 |
| Power play % | 23.1% | 20.4% |
| Penalty kill % | 78.1% | 76.2% |
| Faceoff % | 53.5% | 45.6% |
| 1st period GF / GA | 1.26 / 1.11 | 1.23 / 1.08 |
| 2nd period GF / GA | 0.79 / 1.05 | 0.77 / 1.08 |
| 3rd period GF / GA | 0.63 / 0.58 | 1.31 / 0.69 |
| Avg game total | 5.79 | 6.31 |
Starting Goalies from the box score
MTL · Jakub Dobes
37 saves on 39 shots · 2 GA · W
BUF · Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
22 saves on 25 shots · 3 GA · L
| P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SOG | PP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 1/1 |
| BUF | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 39 | 0/1 |
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
| MTL | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Suzuki | G | 0.5 o+180 |
31% | 40% | 50%7/14 | 0 U |
| Cole Caufield | G | 0.5 o+140 |
44% | 40% | 64%9/14 | 0 U |
| Alex Newhook | G | 0.5 o+275 |
27% | 40% | 36%4/11 | 1 O |
| Kirby Dach | G | 0.5 o+475 |
22% | 30% | 20%2/10 | 0 U |
| Jake Evans | G | 0.5 o+425 |
17% | 20% | 31%4/13 | 0 U |
| Alexandre Texier | G | 0.5 o+500 |
14% | 20% | 11%1/9 | 0 U |
| Zachary Bolduc | G | 0.5 o+575 |
14% | 20% | 9%1/11 | 1 O |
| Ivan Demidov | G | 0.5 o+275 |
22% | 20% | 30%3/10 | 0 U |
| Mike Matheson | G | 0.5 o+1100 |
9% | 10% | 14%2/14 | 0 U |
| Josh Anderson | G | 0.5 o+500 |
18% | 10% | 29%4/14 | 0 U |
| Alexandre Carrier | G | 0.5 o+1600 |
8% | 10% | 8%1/12 | 0 U |
| Arber Xhekaj | G | 0.5 o+2500 |
3% | 10% | 8%1/13 | 0 U |
| Juraj Slafkovský | G | 0.5 o+195 |
30% | 10% | 36%5/14 | 0 U |
| Phillip Danault | G | 0.5 o+700 |
7% | 0% | 0%0/11 | 1 O |
| Noah Dobson | G | 0.5 o+650 |
12% | 0% | 0%0/13 | 0 U |
| Kaiden Guhle | G | 0.5 o+1300 |
4% | 0% | 0%0/11 | 0 U |
| Oliver Kapanen | G | 0.5 o+750 |
26% | 0% | 50%2/4 | 0 U |
| Lane Hutson | G | 0.5 o+575 |
15% | 0% | 7%1/14 | 0 U |
| Lane Hutson | PTS | 0.5 o-200 / u+150 |
68% | 80% | 86%12/14 | 1 O |
| Nick Suzuki | PTS | 0.5 o-250 / u+185 |
76% | 70% | 86%12/14 | 1 O |
| Alex Newhook | PTS | 0.5 o+135 / u-180 |
46% | 60% | 55%6/11 | 1 O |
| Jake Evans | PTS | 0.5 o+160 / u-220 |
36% | 50% | 62%8/13 | 0 U |
| Cole Caufield | PTS | 0.5 o-175 / u+130 |
67% | 50% | 79%11/14 | 0 U |
| Ivan Demidov | PTS | 0.5 o-120 / u-110 |
55% | 50% | 70%7/10 | 0 U |
| Alexandre Texier | PTS | 0.5 o+210 / u-300 |
31% | 40% | 22%2/9 | 1 O |
| Kaiden Guhle | PTS | 0.5 o+325 / u-475 |
25% | 40% | 9%1/11 | 1 O |
| Zachary Bolduc | PTS | 0.5 o+260 / u-375 |
30% | 40% | 27%3/11 | 1 O |
| Juraj Slafkovský | PTS | 0.5 o-150 / u+115 |
56% | 40% | 64%9/14 | 0 U |
| Phillip Danault | PTS | 0.5 o+250 / u-375 |
23% | 30% | 27%3/11 | 1 O |
| Josh Anderson | PTS | 0.5 o+230 / u-325 |
27% | 30% | 36%5/14 | 0 U |
| Alexandre Carrier | PTS | 0.5 o+300 / u-425 |
28% | 30% | 25%3/12 | 1 O |
| Kirby Dach | PTS | 0.5 o+260 / u-375 |
34% | 30% | 40%4/10 | 0 U |
| Mike Matheson | PTS | 0.5 o+220 / u-325 |
36% | 20% | 43%6/14 | 0 U |
| Noah Dobson | PTS | 0.5 o+150 / u-200 |
40% | 20% | 31%4/13 | 0 U |
| Lane Hutson | A | 0.5 o-170 / u+125 |
59% | 80% | 79%11/14 | 1 O |
| Jake Evans | A | 0.5 o+260 / u-375 |
20% | 40% | 39%5/13 | 0 U |
| Nick Suzuki | A | 0.5 o-135 / u+100 |
61% | 40% | 71%10/14 | 1 O |
| Kaiden Guhle | A | 0.5 o+400 / u-650 |
23% | 40% | 9%1/11 | 1 O |
| Ivan Demidov | A | 0.5 o+145 / u-195 |
43% | 40% | 50%5/10 | 0 U |
| Phillip Danault | A | 0.5 o+375 / u-575 |
16% | 30% | 27%3/11 | 0 U |
| Juraj Slafkovský | A | 0.5 o+140 / u-190 |
41% | 30% | 43%6/14 | 0 U |
| Josh Anderson | A | 0.5 o+400 / u-650 |
12% | 20% | 14%2/14 | 0 U |
| Alexandre Carrier | A | 0.5 o+350 / u-525 |
20% | 20% | 17%2/12 | 1 O |
| Alexandre Texier | A | 0.5 o+350 / u-525 |
20% | 20% | 11%1/9 | 1 O |
| Noah Dobson | A | 0.5 o+200 / u-275 |
31% | 20% | 31%4/13 | 0 U |
| Cole Caufield | A | 0.5 o+150 / u-200 |
40% | 20% | 36%5/14 | 0 U |
| Alex Newhook | A | 0.5 o+300 / u-425 |
24% | 20% | 18%2/11 | 0 U |
| Zachary Bolduc | A | 0.5 o+425 / u-700 |
21% | 20% | 18%2/11 | 0 U |
| Mike Matheson | A | 0.5 o+275 / u-400 |
31% | 10% | 36%5/14 | 0 U |
| Kirby Dach | A | 0.5 o+500 / u-850 |
16% | 0% | 20%2/10 | 0 U |
| Alex Newhook | SOG | 1.5 o-185 / u+115 |
42% | 60% | 73%8/11 | 2 O |
| Ivan Demidov | SOG | 1.5 o-175 / u+130 |
47% | 60% | 70%7/10 | 0 U |
| Jake Evans | SOG | 1.5 o+180 / u-240 |
35% | 50% | 39%5/13 | 0 U |
| Nick Suzuki | SOG | 2.5 o+115 / u-155 |
35% | 50% | 50%7/14 | 1 U |
| Noah Dobson | SOG | 1.5 o-160 / u+120 |
58% | 50% | 54%7/13 | 1 U |
| Juraj Slafkovský | SOG | 2.5 o-115 / u-115 |
37% | 50% | 50%7/14 | 3 O |
| Phillip Danault | SOG | 0.5 o-180 / u+135 |
60% | 40% | 55%6/11 | 2 O |
| Josh Anderson | SOG | 1.5 o+135 / u-180 |
35% | 40% | 36%5/14 | 3 O |
| Alexandre Texier | SOG | 1.5 o+155 / u-210 |
42% | 40% | 33%3/9 | 0 U |
| Cole Caufield | SOG | 2.5 o-170 / u+130 |
61% | 40% | 43%6/14 | 5 O |
| Zachary Bolduc | SOG | 0.5 o-225 / u+165 |
62% | 40% | 46%5/11 | 2 O |
| Mike Matheson | SOG | 1.5 o+160 / u-220 |
47% | 30% | 36%5/14 | 1 U |
| Kirby Dach | SOG | 1.5 o+180 / u-240 |
34% | 30% | 40%4/10 | 1 U |
| Lane Hutson | SOG | 1.5 o-120 / u-110 |
47% | 30% | 43%6/14 | 1 U |
| Jakub Dobes | SV | 26.5 o-105 / u-125 |
47% | 60% | 56%5/9 | 37 O |
| BUF | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Benson | G | 0.5 o+220 |
22% | 50% | 29%4/14 | 0 U |
| Alex Tuch | G | 0.5 o+195 |
37% | 30% | 21%3/14 | 0 U |
| Tage Thompson | G | 0.5 o+140 |
42% | 30% | 43%6/14 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | G | 0.5 o+350 |
21% | 30% | 31%4/13 | 1 O |
| Bowen Byram | G | 0.5 o+525 |
15% | 30% | 7%1/14 | 0 U |
| Josh Doan | G | 0.5 o+240 |
25% | 30% | 36%4/11 | 0 U |
| Jason Zucker | G | 0.5 o+325 |
30% | 20% | 25%3/12 | 0 U |
| Josh Norris | G | 0.5 o+300 |
23% | 20% | 0%0/7 | 0 U |
| Mattias Samuelsson | G | 0.5 o+700 |
16% | 20% | 8%1/13 | 0 U |
| Konsta Helenius | G | 0.5 o+400 |
25% | 20% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Jordan Greenway | G | 0.5 o+850 |
4% | 10% | 9%1/11 | 1 O |
| Beck Malenstyn | G | 0.5 o+900 |
9% | 10% | 8%1/13 | 0 U |
| Ryan McLeod | G | 0.5 o+425 |
15% | 10% | 7%1/14 | 0 U |
| Peyton Krebs | G | 0.5 o+700 |
15% | 10% | 14%2/14 | 0 U |
| Jack Quinn | G | 0.5 o+240 |
18% | 10% | 7%1/14 | 0 U |
| Zach Metsa | G | 0.5 o+1600 |
7% | 10% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Conor Timmins | G | 0.5 o+1400 |
0% | 0% | 10%1/10 | 0 U |
| Owen Power | G | 0.5 o+1000 |
9% | 0% | 7%1/14 | 0 U |
| Josh Doan | PTS | 0.5 o-120 / u-110 |
49% | 70% | 64%7/11 | 0 U |
| Tage Thompson | PTS | 0.5 o-220 / u+160 |
66% | 60% | 57%8/14 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | PTS | 0.5 o-185 / u+135 |
62% | 60% | 77%10/13 | 1 O |
| Zach Benson | PTS | 0.5 o-125 / u-105 |
51% | 60% | 50%7/14 | 0 U |
| Mattias Samuelsson | PTS | 0.5 o+195 / u-275 |
41% | 50% | 39%5/13 | 1 O |
| Josh Norris | PTS | 0.5 o+115 / u-155 |
57% | 40% | 29%2/7 | 0 U |
| Bowen Byram | PTS | 0.5 o+140 / u-190 |
42% | 40% | 29%4/14 | 0 U |
| Jack Quinn | PTS | 0.5 o-120 / u-110 |
45% | 40% | 29%4/14 | 0 U |
| Jason Zucker | PTS | 0.5 o+140 / u-190 |
46% | 30% | 33%4/12 | 0 U |
| Alex Tuch | PTS | 0.5 o-120 / u-110 |
62% | 30% | 36%5/14 | 0 U |
| Ryan McLeod | PTS | 0.5 o+160 / u-220 |
47% | 30% | 21%3/14 | 1 O |
| Peyton Krebs | PTS | 0.5 o+300 / u-450 |
40% | 30% | 14%2/14 | 0 U |
| Owen Power | PTS | 0.5 o+210 / u-275 |
33% | 30% | 29%4/14 | 1 O |
| Konsta Helenius | PTS | 0.5 o+210 / u-300 |
33% | 30% | 60%3/5 | 0 U |
| Tage Thompson | A | 0.5 o+110 / u-145 |
42% | 60% | 43%6/14 | 0 U |
| Josh Doan | A | 0.5 o+160 / u-220 |
31% | 60% | 46%5/11 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | A | 0.5 o-125 / u-105 |
52% | 50% | 69%9/13 | 0 U |
| Jack Quinn | A | 0.5 o+165 / u-225 |
34% | 40% | 29%4/14 | 0 U |
| Ryan McLeod | A | 0.5 o+260 / u-375 |
39% | 30% | 21%3/14 | 1 O |
| Mattias Samuelsson | A | 0.5 o+260 / u-400 |
29% | 30% | 31%4/13 | 1 O |
| Peyton Krebs | A | 0.5 o+475 / u-800 |
31% | 30% | 0%0/14 | 0 U |
| Bowen Byram | A | 0.5 o+200 / u-275 |
32% | 30% | 21%3/14 | 0 U |
| Owen Power | A | 0.5 o+260 / u-375 |
27% | 30% | 21%3/14 | 1 O |
| Zach Benson | A | 0.5 o+165 / u-225 |
35% | 30% | 29%4/14 | 0 U |
| Jason Zucker | A | 0.5 o+275 / u-400 |
27% | 20% | 17%2/12 | 0 U |
| Josh Norris | A | 0.5 o+210 / u-300 |
38% | 20% | 29%2/7 | 0 U |
| Alex Tuch | A | 0.5 o+190 / u-260 |
34% | 10% | 14%2/14 | 0 U |
| Konsta Helenius | A | 0.5 o+425 / u-700 |
17% | 10% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | SOG | 2.5 o-165 / u+125 |
52% | 80% | 77%10/13 | 5 O |
| Bowen Byram | SOG | 1.5 o-130 / u+100 |
44% | 80% | 43%6/14 | 1 U |
| Konsta Helenius | SOG | 1.5 o+125 / u-165 |
67% | 70% | 80%4/5 | 3 O |
| Alex Tuch | SOG | 2.5 o-120 / u-110 |
43% | 60% | 43%6/14 | 5 O |
| Josh Norris | SOG | 1.5 o-140 / u+105 |
55% | 60% | 57%4/7 | 1 U |
| Jason Zucker | SOG | 1.5 o-140 / u+105 |
54% | 50% | 50%6/12 | 0 U |
| Josh Doan | SOG | 2.5 o+110 / u-145 |
38% | 50% | 55%6/11 | 3 O |
| Mattias Samuelsson | SOG | 1.5 o+125 / u-165 |
34% | 40% | 39%5/13 | 2 O |
| Jack Quinn | SOG | 2.5 o-115 / u-115 |
36% | 40% | 36%5/14 | 2 U |
| Zach Benson | SOG | 1.5 o-200 / u+150 |
51% | 40% | 57%8/14 | 2 O |
| Tage Thompson | SOG | 3.5 o-105 / u-125 |
44% | 20% | 21%3/14 | 5 O |
| Owen Power | SOG | 1.5 o+175 / u-240 |
42% | 0% | 36%5/14 | 1 U |
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | SV | 23.5 o-115 / u-115 |
50% | 30% | 50%3/6 | 22 U |
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
| Date | Where | Score | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total | HR Close | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | at MTL | BUF 8–3 | 2–3 | 3–0 | 3–0 | 11 | 6.5 O | BUF |
| May 14, 2026 | at BUF | BUF 3–6 | 3–2 | 0–3 | 0–1 | 9 | 5.5 O | MTL |
| May 12, 2026 | at MTL | BUF 3–2 | 1–2 | 1–0 | 1–0 | 5 | 5.5 U | BUF |
| May 10, 2026 | at MTL | BUF 2–6 | 1–1 | 1–3 | 0–2 | 8 | 5.5 O | MTL |
| May 8, 2026 | at BUF | BUF 1–5 | 0–2 | 1–1 | 0–2 | 6 | 5.5 O | MTL |
| May 6, 2026 | at BUF | BUF 4–2 | 2–1 | 2–1 | 0–0 | 6 | 5.5 O | BUF |
| Jan 31, 2026 | at BUF | BUF 2–4 | 0–1 | 2–0 | 0–3 | 6 | 6.5 U | MTL |
| Jan 22, 2026 | at MTL | BUF 4–2 | 2–0 | 1–2 | 1–0 | 6 | 6.5 U | BUF |
| Jan 15, 2026 | at BUF | BUF 5–3 | 2–2 | 1–1 | 2–0 | 8 | 6.5 O | BUF |
| Oct 20, 2025 | at MTL | BUF 2–4 | 0–1 | 1–0 | 1–3 | 6 | 6.5 U | MTL |