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TBL @ NYR

Thursday, October 1, 2026 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Tampa Bay Lightning
7-2-0 · Away
1 – 5
FINAL
New York Rangers
7-3-1 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TBL -145 · NYR +125
Puck Line
TBL -1.5 (+160) · NYR +1.5 (-210)
Total
O 5.5 (-120) · U (+100)

Graded: total 6 → OVER W · NYR +1.5 W

Betting Trends Season = '25-26 (fewer than 5 games this season)
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 TBLo5.5 61%
50-32
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
61%
25-16
67%
2-1
52%
43-39
NYRo5.5 48%
39-43
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
34%
14-27
67%
2-1
44%
36-45
Puck Line
cover %
 TBL-1.5 43%
35-47
0%
0-5
20%
2-8
46%
19-22
33%
1-2
+0.36u
39-43
NYR+1.5 67%
55-27
40%
2-3
70%
7-3
63%
26-15
67%
2-1
-9.01u
41-40
Moneyline
win %
 TBL fav -145 61%
50-32
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
59%
24-17
33%
1-2
-2.21u
42-27
NYR dog +125 42%
34-48
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
34%
14-27
67%
2-1
-9.20u
19-32
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-125/u-105 FD 1.5 o-122/u-106 TBL 28%
23-59
0%
0-5
20%
2-8
32%
13-28
33%
1-2
54%
44-38
 1.89 0.96 / 0.93
NYR 26%
21-61
40%
2-3
20%
2-8
17%
7-34
33%
1-2
51%
42-40
 1.77 0.82 / 0.95
2nd Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-145/u+114 FD 1.5 o-152/u+120 TBL 32%
26-56
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
29%
12-29
33%
1-2
59%
48-34
 2.06 1.22 / 0.84
NYR 28%
23-59
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
24%
10-31
33%
1-2
61%
50-32
 1.91 0.95 / 0.96
3rd Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-180/u+140 FD 1.5 o-192/u+150 TBL 35%
29-53
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
34%
14-27
0%
0-3
44%
36-45
 2.21 1.23 / 0.98
NYR 33%
27-55
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
32%
13-28
0%
0-3
50%
40-40
 2.05 1.02 / 1.02
Team Comparison '26-27
TBLNYR
Record (W-L-OTL)7-2-07-3-1
Points %77.8%68.2%
Goals for / game3.443.00
Goals against / game2.562.18
Shots for / game29.824.0
Shots against / game24.225.7
Power play %12.9%20.6%
Penalty kill %79.2%94.1%
Faceoff %48.8%54.2%
1st period GF / GA1.22 / 0.890.91 / 0.27
2nd period GF / GA1.11 / 1.220.91 / 1.00
3rd period GF / GA1.00 / 0.441.18 / 0.82
Avg game total6.005.18
Starting Goalies from the box score
20 saves on 24 shots · 4 GA · L
23 saves on 24 shots · 1 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TBL0100240/7
NYR2210251/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+165
 40% 50% 100%2/2 0 U
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+160
 42% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+120
 46% 40% 0%0/3 1 O
Ilya Mikheyev G 0.5
o+350
 18% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
John Carlson G 0.5
o+400
 17% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+300
 25% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+550
 16% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+700
 3% 10% — 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+600
 11% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+200
 25% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1000
 5% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Jeffrey Viel G 0.5
o+575
 7% 10% 100%1/1 0 U
Charle-Edouard D'Astous G 0.5
o+750
 9% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Conor Geekie G 0.5
o+600
 7% 10% — 0 U
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1100
 13% 0% — 0 U
Jansen Harkins G 0.5
o+550
 7% 0% — 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+650
 12% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+750
 9% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 69% 80% 100%2/2 0 U
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 58% 70% 33%1/3 0 U
Ilya Mikheyev PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 31% 50% 0%0/2 1 O
John Carlson PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 55% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+105
 57% 40% 0%0/1 1 O
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-275
 42% 30% — 0 U
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o+145 / u-190
 53% 20% 33%1/3 1 U
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-200
 45% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 65% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 47% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 41% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o+225 / u-400
 42% 30% — 0 U
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 41% 30% 0%0/1 1 O
Ilya Mikheyev A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 20% 30% 0%0/2 1 O
John Carlson A 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 45% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 31% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o-150 / u+115
 59% 70% 67%2/3 3 O
Victor Hedman SOG 1.5
o+105 / u-140
 49% 60% — 2 O
Nikita Kucherov SOG 2.5
o-155 / u+120
 57% 60% 33%1/3 1 U
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o-135 / u+100
 48% 60% 100%2/2 3 O
Ilya Mikheyev SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-125
 51% 60% 50%1/2 0 U
John Carlson SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-180
 39% 50% 33%1/3 4 O
Brayden Point SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 33% 40% 100%1/1 1 U
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o+100 / u-130
 47% 40% 100%1/1 3 O
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 22.5
o-125 / u-105
 53% 30% 0%0/1 20 U
NYRPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Adam Fox G 0.5
o+450
 15% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Pavel Dorofeyev G 0.5
o+180
 35% 30% 0%0/2 1 O
Gabe Perreault G 0.5
o+375
 16% 30% 50%1/2 1 O
Mika Zibanejad G 0.5
o+195
 33% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
J.T. Miller G 0.5
o+240
 21% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Marcus Pettersson G 0.5
o+1500
 4% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Will Cuylle G 0.5
o+375
 20% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Jaroslav Chmelar G 0.5
o+800
 14% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand G 0.5
o+400
 14% 10% — 0 U
Tye Kartye G 0.5
o+650
 11% 10% 100%1/1 0 U
Alexis Lafrenière G 0.5
o+240
 24% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Vladislav Gavrikov G 0.5
o+800
 17% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Eeli Tolvanen G 0.5
o+450
 14% 0% 0%0/1 1 O
Sean Durzi G 0.5
o+750
 8% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Joseph Veleno G 0.5
o+750
 3% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Braden Schneider G 0.5
o+900
 2% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Noah Laba G 0.5
o+525
 12% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Alberts Smits G 0.5
o+850
 0% — — 0 U
Adam Fox PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 60% 70% 67%2/3 2 O
Mika Zibanejad PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 64% 60% 100%3/3 2 O
J.T. Miller PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 56% 60% 100%3/3 0 U
Pavel Dorofeyev PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-125
 56% 50% 0%0/2 2 O
Alexis Lafrenière PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 43% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Gabe Perreault PTS 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 39% 40% 50%1/2 1 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand PTS 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 33% 30% — 1 O
Eeli Tolvanen PTS 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 36% 10% 0%0/1 1 O
Adam Fox A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 55% 60% 67%2/3 2 O
Mika Zibanejad A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 42% 50% 100%3/3 1 O
J.T. Miller A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 40% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Alexis Lafrenière A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 33% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand A 0.5
o+325 / u-475
 21% 20% — 1 O
Pavel Dorofeyev A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 28% 20% 0%0/2 1 O
Eeli Tolvanen A 0.5
o+350 / u-525
 26% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Gabe Perreault A 0.5
o+350 / u-550
 29% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Eeli Tolvanen SOG 1.5
o+115 / u-150
 55% 70% 0%0/1 1 U
J.T. Miller SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+115
 59% 60% 67%2/3 1 U
Pavel Dorofeyev SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-125
 55% 60% 0%0/2 5 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand SOG 1.5
o-130 / u-155
 48% 50% — 1 U
Alexis Lafrenière SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+120
 61% 50% 33%1/3 3 O
Adam Fox SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 47% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Will Cuylle SOG 1.5
o+100 / u-130
 51% 40% 67%2/3 3 O
Mika Zibanejad SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-145
 47% 20% 33%1/3 3 O
Igor Shesterkin SV 24.5
o-125 / u-105
 51% 30% 100%2/2 23 U

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Apr 15, 2026 at TBL NYR 4–2 1–03–10–1 6 6.5 U NYR
Nov 29, 2025 at NYR NYR 1–4 0–11–10–2 5 6.5 U TBL
Nov 12, 2025 at TBL NYR 7–3 4–31–02–0 10 5.5 O NYR
Apr 17, 2025 at NYR NYR 4–0 0–01–03–0 4 6.5 U NYR
Apr 7, 2025 at NYR NYR 1–5 0–31–00–2 6 5.5 O TBL
Dec 28, 2024 at TBL NYR 2–6 1–20–31–1 8 6.5 O TBL
Mar 14, 2024 at TBL NYR 3–6 2–00–21–4 9 — TBL
Feb 7, 2024 at NYR NYR 3–1 0–02–01–1 4 — NYR
Dec 30, 2023 at TBL NYR 5–1 2–01–12–0 6 — NYR
Apr 5, 2023 at NYR NYR 6–3 3–11–22–0 9 — NYR