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PHI @ TBL

Monday, October 5, 2026 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Philadelphia Flyers
3-6-3 · Away
1 – 4
FINAL
Tampa Bay Lightning
7-2-0 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
PHI +180 · TBL -230
Puck Line
PHI +1.5 (-130) · TBL -1.5 (+105)
Total
O 5.5 (-130) · U (+105)

Graded: total 5 → OVER L · TBL -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season = '25-26 (fewer than 5 games this season)
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 PHIo5.5 54%
44-38
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
61%
25-16
67%
2-1
51%
41-40
TBLo5.5 61%
50-32
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
61%
25-16
67%
2-1
52%
43-39
Puck Line
cover %
 PHI+1.5 73%
60-22
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
71%
29-12
0%
0-3
+9.51u
52-29
TBL-1.5 43%
35-47
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
39%
16-25
100%
3-0
+0.36u
39-43
Moneyline
win %
 PHI dog +180 52%
43-39
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
56%
23-18
0%
0-3
+5.00u
27-31
TBL fav -230 61%
50-32
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
63%
26-15
100%
3-0
-2.21u
42-27
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-125/u-105 FD 1.5 o-122/u-106 PHI 52%
43-39
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
56%
23-18
33%
1-2
52%
43-39
 1.62 0.79 / 0.83
TBL 54%
44-38
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
54%
22-19
33%
1-2
54%
44-38
 1.89 0.96 / 0.93
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-160/u+124 FD 1.5 o-166/u+130 PHI 72%
59-23
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
78%
32-9
33%
1-2
72%
59-23
 2.24 1.06 / 1.18
TBL 63%
52-30
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
68%
28-13
33%
1-2
59%
48-34
 2.06 1.22 / 0.84
3rd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-195/u+150 FD 1.5 o-210/u+160 PHI 48%
39-43
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
54%
22-19
33%
1-2
38%
31-50
 1.80 1.00 / 0.80
TBL 65%
53-29
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
66%
27-14
33%
1-2
44%
36-45
 2.21 1.23 / 0.98
Team Comparison '26-27
PHITBL
Record (W-L-OTL)3-6-37-2-0
Points %37.5%77.8%
Goals for / game1.673.44
Goals against / game3.082.56
Shots for / game21.829.8
Shots against / game31.924.2
Power play %13.9%12.9%
Penalty kill %83.3%79.2%
Faceoff %50.7%48.8%
1st period GF / GA0.50 / 0.581.22 / 0.89
2nd period GF / GA0.58 / 1.171.11 / 1.22
3rd period GF / GA0.58 / 1.081.00 / 0.44
Avg game total4.756.00
Starting Goalies from the box score
PHI · Dan Vladar
32 saves on 35 shots · 3 GA · L
14 saves on 15 shots · 1 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
PHI0100150/3
TBL1120360/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
PHIPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Matvei Michkov G 0.5
o+325
 21% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Porter Martone G 0.5
o+325
 44% 40% — 0 U
Travis Sanheim G 0.5
o+750
 14% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Noel Acciari G 0.5
o+475
 18% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Christian Dvorak G 0.5
o+400
 20% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Owen Tippett G 0.5
o+275
 27% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Trevor Zegras G 0.5
o+300
 26% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Denver Barkey G 0.5
o+400
 12% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Sean Couturier G 0.5
o+1200
 13% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Rasmus Ristolainen G 0.5
o+1000
 2% 10% 0%0/2 DNP
Travis Konecny G 0.5
o+350
 31% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Carl Grundstrom G 0.5
o+700
 19% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Noah Cates G 0.5
o+425
 22% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Tyson Foerster G 0.5
o+350
 38% 10% 0%0/1 1 O
Cam York G 0.5
o+1400
 5% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Jamie Drysdale G 0.5
o+1100
 10% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Trevor Zegras PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 63% 60% 0%0/3 0 U
Matvei Michkov PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 46% 60% 0%0/3 0 U
Porter Martone PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 78% 60% — 0 U
Christian Dvorak PTS 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 48% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Travis Konecny PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-155
 64% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Owen Tippett PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 43% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Noah Cates PTS 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 44% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Jamie Drysdale PTS 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 36% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Tyson Foerster PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-240
 52% 20% 0%0/1 1 O
Cam York PTS 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 28% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Trevor Zegras A 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 47% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Porter Martone A 0.5
o+325 / u-475
 67% 50% — 0 U
Christian Dvorak A 0.5
o+375 / u-575
 38% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Travis Konecny A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 46% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Matvei Michkov A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 30% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Noah Cates A 0.5
o+350 / u-550
 31% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Owen Tippett A 0.5
o+260 / u-475
 25% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Jamie Drysdale A 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 27% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Tyson Foerster A 0.5
o+375 / u-575
 14% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Cam York A 0.5
o+300 / u-425
 26% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Tyson Foerster SOG 1.5
o-145 / u-120
 69% 80% 100%1/1 4 O
Matvei Michkov SOG 1.5
o-130 / u+100
 57% 60% 67%2/3 1 U
Christian Dvorak SOG 1.5
o+115 / u-155
 56% 50% 67%2/3 1 U
Porter Martone SOG 1.5
o-150 / u-140
 78% 50% — 0 U
Travis Konecny SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 66% 40% 50%1/2 2 O
Owen Tippett SOG 2.5
o+140 / u-185
 44% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Trevor Zegras SOG 1.5
o+115 / u-150
 56% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Dan Vladar SV 26.5
o-110 / u-120
 28% 30% 0%0/1 32 O
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+130
 46% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+125
 40% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+120
 42% 40% 100%3/3 1 O
Charle-Edouard D'Astous G 0.5
o+1000
 9% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Ilya Mikheyev G 0.5
o+375
 18% 20% 0%0/2 1 O
Conor Geekie G 0.5
o+500
 7% 20% — 0 U
John Carlson G 0.5
o+450
 17% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+800
 11% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+180
 25% 10% 50%1/2 1 O
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1500
 5% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+275
 25% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Jeffrey Viel G 0.5
o+700
 7% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+650
 16% 10% 50%1/2 1 O
Emil Lilleberg G 0.5
o+1000
 8% 10% 0%0/1 DNP
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1300
 13% 0% — 0 U
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+800
 3% 0% — 0 U
Max Crozier G 0.5
o+1200
 3% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+325
 12% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+900
 9% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-250 / u+180
 69% 70% 67%2/3 0 U
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-240 / u+135
 58% 60% 100%3/3 1 O
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 57% 50% 100%2/2 1 O
John Carlson PTS 0.5
o-170 / u+130
 55% 30% 0%0/2 1 O
Gage Goncalves PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 34% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 42% 20% — 0 U
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o+100 / u-145
 53% 20% 100%3/3 2 O
J.J. Moser PTS 0.5
o+240 / u-325
 33% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-170
 45% 10% 100%3/3 0 U
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-230 / u+170
 65% 50% 100%3/3 2 O
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 47% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 41% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 41% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Gage Goncalves A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 24% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
John Carlson A 0.5
o-130 / u-145
 45% 20% 0%0/2 1 O
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o+400 / u-650
 42% 20% — 0 U
J.J. Moser A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 25% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 31% 0% 100%3/3 0 U
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o-160 / u+120
 59% 80% 67%2/3 8 O
John Carlson SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 61% 60% 100%2/2 1 U
Nikita Kucherov SOG 2.5
o-175 / u+130
 57% 60% 33%1/3 1 U
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o-150 / u-110
 48% 50% 0%0/3 5 O
Brayden Point SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-165
 33% 40% 50%1/2 3 O
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 47% 40% 33%1/3 1 U
Gage Goncalves SOG 1.5
o+105 / u-160
 27% 10% 33%1/3 2 O
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 20.5
o-115 / u-115
 66% 50% 0%0/2 14 U

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Jan 12, 2026 at PHI TBL 5–1 1–03–11–0 6 5.5 O TBL
Jan 10, 2026 at PHI TBL 7–2 2–11–04–1 9 5.5 O TBL
Nov 24, 2025 at TBL TBL 3–0 1–01–01–0 3 5.5 U TBL
Mar 17, 2025 at TBL TBL 2–0 1–00–01–0 2 5.5 U TBL
Mar 13, 2025 at PHI TBL 3–4 SO 1–11–21–0 7 5.5 O PHI
Nov 7, 2024 at TBL TBL 1–2 SO 1–00–00–1 3 6.5 U PHI
Mar 9, 2024 at TBL TBL 7–0 4–01–02–0 7 — TBL
Feb 27, 2024 at PHI TBL 2–6 0–11–01–5 8 — PHI
Jan 23, 2024 at PHI TBL 6–3 2–02–22–1 9 — TBL
Mar 7, 2023 at TBL TBL 5–2 1–13–11–0 7 — TBL