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← Stats / TBL @ TOR

TBL @ TOR

Monday, October 21, 2024 · 6:30 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Tampa Bay Lightning
47-27-8 · Away
2 – 5
FINAL
Toronto Maple Leafs
52-26-4 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TBL +120 · TOR -140
Puck Line
TBL +1.5 (-200) · TOR -1.5 (+155)
Total
O 6.5 (-115) · U (-105)

Graded: total 7 → OVER W · TOR -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 TBLo6.5 50%
41-41
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
44%
18-23
75%
3-1
—
TORo6.5 20%
1-4
20%
1-4
60%
6-4
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
20%
1-4
Puck Line
cover %
 TBL+1.5 68%
56-26
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
61%
25-16
100%
4-0
—
TOR-1.5 60%
3-2
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
67%
2-1
0%
0-4
+0.86u
3-2
Moneyline
win %
 TBL dog +120 55%
45-37
80%
4-1
50%
5-5
49%
20-21
50%
2-2
—
TOR fav -140 60%
3-2
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
-0.97u
2-2
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-166/u+130 FD 1.5 o-152/u+118 TBL 63%
52-30
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
56%
23-18
100%
4-0
— 2.00 1.06 / 0.94
TOR 40%
2-3
40%
2-3
70%
7-3
33%
1-2
100%
4-0
40%
2-3
 2.00 1.20 / 0.80
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-215/u+165 TBL 66%
54-28
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
71%
29-12
75%
3-1
— 2.09 1.07 / 1.01
TOR 60%
3-2
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
40%
2-3
 1.40 1.00 / 0.40
3rd Period
over 1.5 (no DK/FD line — default)
 no DK/FD line TBL 74%
61-21
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
73%
30-11
75%
3-1
— 2.54 1.32 / 1.22
TOR 60%
3-2
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
100%
3-0
75%
3-1
— 1.80 0.80 / 1.00
Team Comparison '24-25
TBLTOR
Record (W-L-OTL)47-27-852-26-4
Points %62.2%65.9%
Goals for / game3.593.27
Goals against / game2.672.82
Shots for / game28.528.0
Shots against / game28.229.3
Power play %25.9%24.8%
Penalty kill %81.6%77.9%
Faceoff %50.1%53.7%
1st period GF / GA1.11 / 0.720.88 / 0.84
2nd period GF / GA1.22 / 0.941.23 / 0.89
3rd period GF / GA1.18 / 0.911.02 / 1.04
Avg game total6.266.09
Starting Goalies from the box score
10 saves on 14 shots · 4 GA · L
32 saves on 34 shots · 2 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TBL1010341/6
TOR1400291/4
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+100
 41% 50% 75%3/4 0 U
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+150
 36% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+115
 43% 50% 75%3/4 1 O
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+240
 29% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Nick Paul G 0.5
o+250
 26% 30% 50%2/4 1 O
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+325
 22% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+700
 13% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1400
 3% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Michael Eyssimont G 0.5
o+500
 14% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Mitchell Chaffee G 0.5
o+700
 13% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+800
 6% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1000
 4% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Cam Atkinson G 0.5
o+550
 16% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+450
 15% 0% 67%2/3 0 U
Luke Glendening G 0.5
o+800
 11% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Darren Raddysh G 0.5
o+850
 6% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Conor Geekie G 0.5
o+450
 0% — — 0 U
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-240 / u+175
 78% 100% 75%3/4 0 U
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o+100 / u-130
 51% 70% 100%4/4 1 U
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-240 / u+170
 65% 70% 100%4/4 1 O
Nick Paul PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-155
 39% 60% 50%2/4 1 O
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 65% 60% 75%3/4 0 U
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 44% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 64% 40% 100%3/3 2 O
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-190 / u+140
 73% 70% 100%4/4 1 O
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 55% 60% 50%2/4 0 U
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 58% 40% 67%2/3 2 O
Nick Paul A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 23% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+120 / u-155
 42% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 29% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 48% 40% 75%3/4 0 U
Victor Hedman SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 35% 70% 0%0/3 3 O
Nick Paul SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+125
 54% 70% 75%3/4 2 O
Brayden Point SOG 2.5
o-145 / u+110
 57% 70% 75%3/4 1 U
Nikita Kucherov SOG 3.5
o-140 / u+105
 53% 60% 75%3/4 4 O
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o-160 / u+120
 64% 40% 75%3/4 3 O
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-195
 40% 30% 0%0/4 5 O
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 28.5
o-115 / u-115
 25% 30% 0%0/1 10 U
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
John Tavares G 0.5
o+180
 35% 60% 50%2/4 0 U
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o-125
 40% 50% 50%2/4 1 O
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+325
 20% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Max Pacioretty G 0.5
o+425
 9% 20% 0%0/2 1 O
William Nylander G 0.5
o+130
 40% 20% 25%1/4 2 O
Mitch Marner G 0.5
o+190
 20% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Nick Robertson G 0.5
o+425
 0% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+600
 20% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+900
 0% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Max Domi G 0.5
o+400
 0% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+650
 20% 10% — 0 U
David Kampf G 0.5
o+650
 0% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+650
 0% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+325
 20% 10% 50%2/4 1 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+550
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Chris Tanev G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% — 0 U
Conor Timmins G 0.5
o+1200
 4% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1500
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 56% 70% 75%3/4 1 O
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 40% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Max Domi PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 60% 60% 67%2/3 1 O
Mitch Marner PTS 0.5
o-250 / u+180
 40% 60% 33%1/3 2 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 60% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
William Nylander PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+155
 40% 40% 75%3/4 3 O
Auston Matthews PTS 1.5
o+160 / u-220
 20% 30% 25%1/4 1 U
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 40% 20% 50%2/4 1 O
Mitch Marner A 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 40% 60% 33%1/3 2 O
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 20% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Max Domi A 0.5
o+185 / u-260
 60% 50% 67%2/3 1 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 60% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
William Nylander A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 20% 30% 75%3/4 1 O
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 20% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
John Tavares A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 33% 10% 50%2/4 1 O
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 20% 10% 50%2/4 0 U
Bobby McMann SOG 1.5
o-200 / u+145
 61% 80% 100%1/1 0 U
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 80% 80% 75%3/4 2 O
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o-170 / u+125
 66% 70% 50%2/4 4 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson SOG 1.5
o-200 / u+145
 100% 70% 33%1/3 1 U
Auston Matthews SOG 4.5
o-115 / u-120
 60% 70% 75%3/4 6 O
Max Domi SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 20% 50% 33%1/3 1 U
William Nylander SOG 3.5
o-105 / u-125
 40% 50% 75%3/4 5 O
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o-190 / u+140
 60% 40% 100%3/3 1 U
Mitch Marner SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-165
 20% 30% 67%2/3 2 U
Anthony Stolarz SV 25.5
o-115 / u-120
 46% 60% — 32 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Apr 17, 2024 at TBL TOR 4–6 1–20–33–1 10 — TBL
Apr 3, 2024 at TOR TOR 1–4 1–10–20–1 5 — TBL
Nov 6, 2023 at TOR TOR 6–5 OT 1–42–02–1 11 — TOR
Oct 21, 2023 at TBL TOR 4–3 OT 1–30–02–0 7 — TOR
Apr 29, 2023 at TBL TOR 2–1 OT 0–01–00–1 3 — TOR
Apr 27, 2023 at TOR TOR 2–4 1–10–11–2 6 — TBL
Apr 24, 2023 at TBL TOR 5–4 OT 0–21–23–0 9 — TOR
Apr 22, 2023 at TBL TOR 4–3 OT 2–20–11–0 7 — TOR
Apr 20, 2023 at TOR TOR 7–2 3–03–11–1 9 — TOR
Apr 18, 2023 at TOR TOR 3–7 0–32–31–1 10 — TBL