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TOR @ CAR

Thursday, January 9, 2025 · 6:30 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Toronto Maple Leafs
52-26-4 · Away
3 – 6
FINAL
Carolina Hurricanes
47-30-5 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TOR +145 · CAR -175
Puck Line
TOR +1.5 (-180) · CAR -1.5 (+140)
Total
O 5.5 (-115) · U (-105)

Graded: total 9 → OVER W · CAR -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 TORo5.5 55%
23-19
20%
1-4
60%
6-4
72%
13-5
33%
1-2
46%
18-21-3
CARo5.5 59%
24-17
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
60%
12-8
33%
1-2
46%
17-20-4
Puck Line
cover %
 TOR+1.5 71%
30-12
100%
5-0
70%
7-3
72%
13-5
100%
3-0
+6.18u
22-20
CAR-1.5 46%
19-22
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
60%
12-8
0%
0-3
+1.88u
20-21
Moneyline
win %
 TOR dog +145 64%
27-15
100%
5-0
70%
7-3
56%
10-8
0%
0-3
+3.05u
5-3
CAR fav -175 59%
24-17
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
75%
15-5
100%
3-0
-3.60u
22-15
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-120/u-110 FD 1.5 o-110/u-116 TOR 45%
19-23
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
56%
10-8
33%
1-2
45%
19-23
 1.64 0.83 / 0.81
CAR 51%
21-20
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
70%
14-6
33%
1-2
51%
21-20
 1.68 0.90 / 0.78
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-166/u+130 FD 1.5 o-164/u+128 TOR 71%
30-12
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
72%
13-5
33%
1-2
67%
28-14
 2.17 1.31 / 0.86
CAR 63%
26-15
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
65%
13-7
33%
1-2
56%
23-18
 2.07 1.12 / 0.95
3rd Period
over 1.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 1.5 o-182/u+142 TOR 62%
26-16
20%
1-4
60%
6-4
61%
11-7
67%
2-1
43%
15-20
 1.93 0.90 / 1.02
CAR 71%
29-12
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
75%
15-5
67%
2-1
42%
15-21
 2.32 1.24 / 1.07
Team Comparison '24-25
TORCAR
Record (W-L-OTL)52-26-447-30-5
Points %65.9%60.4%
Goals for / game3.273.24
Goals against / game2.822.84
Shots for / game28.031.7
Shots against / game29.324.9
Power play %24.8%18.7%
Penalty kill %77.9%83.6%
Faceoff %53.7%52.6%
1st period GF / GA0.88 / 0.840.83 / 0.90
2nd period GF / GA1.23 / 0.891.15 / 0.87
3rd period GF / GA1.02 / 1.041.21 / 1.01
Avg game total6.096.09
Starting Goalies from the box score
28 saves on 33 shots · 5 GA · L
30 saves on 33 shots · 3 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TOR2100331/2
CAR2220340/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+110
 44% 50% 0%0/3 1 O
John Tavares G 0.5
o+195
 34% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+300
 27% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Nick Robertson G 0.5
o+525
 18% 30% 100%3/3 1 O
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+260
 35% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
William Nylander G 0.5
o+170
 43% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Mitch Marner G 0.5
o+195
 26% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
David Kampf G 0.5
o+750
 7% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+850
 5% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+750
 12% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Max Domi G 0.5
o+450
 9% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+750
 10% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+800
 6% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Chris Tanev G 0.5
o+1750
 2% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Philippe Myers G 0.5
o+1300
 0% 0% — 0 U
Connor Dewar G 0.5
o+800
 0% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1750
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 71% 90% 33%1/3 0 U
Auston Matthews PTS 0.5
o-240 / u+175
 70% 90% 33%1/3 1 O
Mitch Marner PTS 0.5
o-250 / u+180
 74% 80% 0%0/1 1 O
William Nylander PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+125
 60% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Bobby McMann PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 35% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson PTS 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 34% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 50% 40% 0%0/3 1 O
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 41% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Mitch Marner A 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 64% 70% 0%0/1 1 O
John Tavares A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 42% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 44% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
William Nylander A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 38% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson A 0.5
o+275 / u-425
 29% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 31% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Bobby McMann A 0.5
o+325 / u-500
 12% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 23% 20% 0%0/3 1 O
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o-115 / u-115
 56% 70% 100%3/3 2 U
Bobby McMann SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 77% 70% 67%2/3 2 O
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o-140 / u+105
 64% 60% 100%3/3 4 O
Mitch Marner SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-170
 43% 40% 100%1/1 2 U
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-125
 48% 30% 100%3/3 1 U
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-165
 46% 10% 33%1/3 4 O
Joseph Woll SV 28.5
o-120 / u-110
 32% 40% 100%1/1 28 U
CARPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Sebastian Aho G 0.5
o+160
 32% 40% 100%3/3 0 U
Jack Roslovic G 0.5
o+260
 34% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Brent Burns G 0.5
o+550
 10% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Jordan Staal G 0.5
o+450
 12% 20% 0%0/3 3 O
Seth Jarvis G 0.5
o+185
 29% 20% 67%2/3 1 O
Dmitry Orlov G 0.5
o+800
 7% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Jaccob Slavin G 0.5
o+850
 5% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Jalen Chatfield G 0.5
o+1000
 10% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Martin Necas G 0.5
o+210
 34% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Eric Robinson G 0.5
o+550
 22% 10% 0%0/1 1 O
Jesperi Kotkaniemi G 0.5
o+425
 15% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Andrei Svechnikov G 0.5
o+200
 27% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Jack Drury G 0.5
o+450
 10% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Jackson Blake G 0.5
o+450
 20% 10% — 1 O
Jordan Martinook G 0.5
o+425
 17% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Sean Walker G 0.5
o+1000
 5% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Ty Smith G 0.5
o+650
 17% — — 0 U
Juha Jaaska G 0.5
o+650
 0% — — 0 U
Sebastian Aho PTS 0.5
o-230 / u+170
 71% 60% 100%3/3 0 U
Seth Jarvis PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 59% 60% 67%2/3 1 O
Brent Burns PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 29% 50% 67%2/3 1 O
Jack Roslovic PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 49% 50% 0%0/1 0 U
Andrei Svechnikov PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 54% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Martin Necas PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+115
 66% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Jesperi Kotkaniemi PTS 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 39% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Seth Jarvis A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 38% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Brent Burns A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
 22% 40% 67%2/3 1 O
Sebastian Aho A 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 56% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Jack Roslovic A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 20% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Andrei Svechnikov A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 34% 30% 33%1/3 1 O
Martin Necas A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 61% 20% 0%0/3 1 O
Jesperi Kotkaniemi A 0.5
o+300 / u-425
 27% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Dmitry Orlov SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 46% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Jack Roslovic SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 59% 60% 0%0/1 2 O
Jordan Martinook SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 56% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Andrei Svechnikov SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-115
 59% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Seth Jarvis SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-120
 47% 50% 33%1/3 2 U
Sebastian Aho SOG 2.5
o-145 / u+110
 51% 40% 67%2/3 4 O
Martin Necas SOG 2.5
o-120 / u-110
 46% 40% 67%2/3 3 O
Brent Burns SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-135
 29% 30% 33%1/3 1 U
Pyotr Kochetkov SV 22.5
o-130 / u-105
 50% 50% 100%2/2 30 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Mar 24, 2024 at CAR CAR 2–1 2–00–00–1 3 — CAR
Mar 16, 2024 at TOR CAR 5–4 SO 0–02–32–1 9 — CAR
Dec 30, 2023 at TOR CAR 3–2 1–01–01–2 5 — CAR
Mar 25, 2023 at CAR CAR 5–3 2–00–23–1 8 — CAR
Mar 17, 2023 at TOR CAR 2–5 1–31–10–1 7 — TOR
Nov 6, 2022 at CAR CAR 1–3 1–00–10–2 4 — TOR
Mar 17, 2022 at TOR CAR 2–3 0–10–12–1 5 — TOR
Feb 7, 2022 at TOR CAR 3–4 OT 1–00–22–1 7 — TOR
Oct 25, 2021 at CAR CAR 4–1 0–13–01–0 5 — CAR
Feb 22, 2020 at TOR CAR 6–3 0–14–22–0 9 — CAR