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TBL @ FLA

Monday, March 3, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Tampa Bay Lightning
47-27-8 · Away
1 – 2
FINAL
Florida Panthers
47-31-4 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TBL +125 · FLA -145
Puck Line
TBL +1.5 (-210) · FLA -1.5 (+160)
Total
O 5.5 (-120) · U (+100)

Graded: total 3 → OVER L · FLA -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 TBLo5.5 53%
31-28
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
55%
16-13
60%
3-2
44%
24-31-3
FLAo5.5 56%
34-27
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
55%
17-14
60%
3-2
50%
30-30-1
Puck Line
cover %
 TBL+1.5 78%
46-13
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
76%
22-7
60%
3-2
+11.14u
32-26
FLA-1.5 43%
26-35
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
45%
14-17
40%
2-3
-0.11u
29-32
Moneyline
win %
 TBL dog +125 59%
35-24
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
48%
14-15
40%
2-3
-2.05u
6-9
FLA fav -145 61%
37-24
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
61%
19-12
60%
3-2
-2.62u
30-19
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-115/u-115 FD 1.5 o-122/u-104 TBL 44%
26-33
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
55%
16-13
80%
4-1
44%
26-33
 1.76 1.07 / 0.69
FLA 57%
35-26
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
48%
15-16
80%
4-1
57%
35-26
 1.85 1.00 / 0.85
2nd Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-175/u+135 FD 1.5 o-160/u+126 TBL 63%
37-22
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
59%
17-12
60%
3-2
54%
32-27
 2.12 1.17 / 0.95
FLA 61%
37-24
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
71%
22-9
60%
3-2
57%
35-26
 2.13 1.15 / 0.98
3rd Period
over 1.5
 FD 1.5 o-182/u+142 TBL 71%
42-17
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
66%
19-10
80%
4-1
38%
20-33
 2.19 1.25 / 0.93
FLA 64%
39-22
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
61%
19-12
80%
4-1
55%
29-24
 2.02 1.10 / 0.92
Team Comparison '24-25
TBLFLA
Record (W-L-OTL)47-27-847-31-4
Points %62.2%59.8%
Goals for / game3.593.07
Goals against / game2.672.72
Shots for / game28.531.6
Shots against / game28.226.2
Power play %25.9%23.5%
Penalty kill %81.6%80.7%
Faceoff %50.1%49.5%
1st period GF / GA1.11 / 0.720.89 / 0.85
2nd period GF / GA1.22 / 0.941.13 / 0.88
3rd period GF / GA1.18 / 0.910.93 / 0.94
Avg game total6.265.79
Starting Goalies from the box score
27 saves on 29 shots · 2 GA · L
28 saves on 29 shots · 1 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TBL0010290/7
FLA0200291/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+175
 41% 80% 40%2/5 0 U
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+160
 41% 40% 60%3/5 0 U
Nick Paul G 0.5
o+300
 32% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+160
 50% 30% 40%2/5 1 O
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1200
 6% 30% 0%0/5 0 U
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+575
 14% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Luke Glendening G 0.5
o+900
 7% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+200
 38% 20% 33%2/6 0 U
Seth Jones G 0.5
o+525
 17% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+300
 33% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Mitchell Chaffee G 0.5
o+575
 20% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1300
 3% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+650
 2% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Michael Eyssimont G 0.5
o+650
 9% 10% 40%2/5 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+525
 5% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Cam Atkinson G 0.5
o+750
 8% 0% 0%0/4 DNP
Darren Raddysh G 0.5
o+1000
 6% 0% 20%1/5 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+1200
 7% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Emil Lilleberg G 0.5
o+2000
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+135
 71% 90% 80%4/5 0 U
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 76% 70% 40%2/5 1 O
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 53% 60% 40%2/5 0 U
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 66% 50% 83%5/6 1 O
Nick Paul PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 55% 50% 60%3/5 0 U
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 56% 40% 100%5/5 0 U
Seth Jones PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 50% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o+130 / u-175
 41% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-185 / u+140
 66% 60% 40%2/5 0 U
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 39% 50% 0%0/5 0 U
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 33% 50% 40%2/5 0 U
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 49% 50% 60%3/5 0 U
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o+120 / u-155
 47% 30% 100%5/5 0 U
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 40% 30% 50%3/6 1 O
Seth Jones A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 41% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Nick Paul A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 25% 10% 40%2/5 0 U
Nikita Kucherov SOG 2.5
o-155 / u+115
 71% 70% 60%3/5 5 O
Victor Hedman SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+125
 67% 60% 60%3/5 2 O
Seth Jones SOG 1.5
o-130 / u-105
 60% 60% 33%1/3 3 O
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 70% 60% 40%2/5 1 U
Brayden Point SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 50% 50% 40%2/5 4 O
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 54% 50% 40%2/5 3 O
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-180
 41% 30% 83%5/6 2 U
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 28.5
o-115 / u-115
 34% 40% 25%1/4 27 U
FLAPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Sam Bennett G 0.5
o+165
 31% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe G 0.5
o+170
 21% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Aleksander Barkov G 0.5
o+190
 28% 30% 0%0/5 2 O
Evan Rodrigues G 0.5
o+275
 23% 30% 0%0/5 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich G 0.5
o+325
 19% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Sam Reinhart G 0.5
o+140
 43% 20% 60%3/5 0 U
Gustav Forsling G 0.5
o+600
 15% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Jonah Gadjovich G 0.5
o+750
 12% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Anton Lundell G 0.5
o+350
 22% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Nate Schmidt G 0.5
o+1100
 9% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen G 0.5
o+500
 13% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Dmitry Kulikov G 0.5
o+1500
 5% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Tomas Nosek G 0.5
o+850
 2% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Aaron Ekblad G 0.5
o+575
 6% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
A.J. Greer G 0.5
o+800
 8% 0% 67%2/3 0 U
Niko Mikkola G 0.5
o+1000
 7% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Jesper Boqvist G 0.5
o+525
 17% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Sam Reinhart PTS 0.5
o-220 / u+160
 71% 80% 80%4/5 0 U
Aleksander Barkov PTS 0.5
o-230 / u+170
 69% 70% 60%3/5 2 O
Aaron Ekblad PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 42% 70% 67%2/3 1 O
Sam Bennett PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+110
 54% 60% 40%2/5 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+120
 51% 50% 20%1/5 0 U
Anton Lundell PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 52% 50% 40%2/5 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 31% 50% 0%0/2 1 O
Evan Rodrigues PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 36% 40% 40%2/5 0 U
Gustav Forsling PTS 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 33% 30% 40%2/5 0 U
Sam Reinhart A 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 44% 80% 20%1/5 0 U
Aaron Ekblad A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 40% 70% 33%1/3 1 O
Aleksander Barkov A 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 57% 50% 60%3/5 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 43% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
Sam Bennett A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 32% 40% 40%2/5 0 U
Anton Lundell A 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 37% 40% 40%2/5 0 U
Evan Rodrigues A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 20% 20% 40%2/5 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 14% 20% 0%0/2 1 O
Gustav Forsling A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 18% 10% 40%2/5 0 U
Aaron Ekblad SOG 1.5
o-185 / u+140
 55% 90% 67%2/3 1 U
Gustav Forsling SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 80% 80% 80%4/5 1 U
Mackie Samoskevich SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+110
 40% 70% 0%0/2 2 O
Carter Verhaeghe SOG 2.5
o-160 / u+120
 57% 60% 60%3/5 1 U
Sam Reinhart SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-115
 49% 60% 40%2/5 4 O
Sam Bennett SOG 3.5
o+130 / u-175
 41% 50% 40%2/5 2 U
Evan Rodrigues SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-180
 30% 50% 20%1/5 2 U
Anton Lundell SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 55% 50% 40%2/5 1 U
Aleksander Barkov SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-180
 41% 40% 40%2/5 4 O
Sergei Bobrovsky SV 23.5
o-110 / u-120
 63% 50% 75%3/4 28 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Dec 23, 2024 at FLA FLA 0–4 0–30–00–1 4 6.5 U TBL
Dec 22, 2024 at TBL FLA 4–2 1–12–01–1 6 6.5 U FLA
Apr 29, 2024 at FLA FLA 6–1 0–02–14–0 7 — FLA
Apr 27, 2024 at TBL FLA 3–6 0–33–10–2 9 — TBL
Apr 25, 2024 at TBL FLA 5–3 1–02–22–1 8 — FLA
Apr 23, 2024 at FLA FLA 3–2 OT 2–00–20–0 5 — FLA
Apr 21, 2024 at FLA FLA 3–2 1–10–02–1 5 — FLA
Mar 16, 2024 at FLA FLA 3–5 0–22–21–1 8 — TBL
Feb 17, 2024 at TBL FLA 9–2 4–12–03–1 11 — FLA
Dec 27, 2023 at TBL FLA 3–2 1–01–01–2 5 — FLA