← Stats / FLA @ TOR

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

47-31-4 · Away
2 – 3
FINAL
52-26-4 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
FLA +105 · TOR -125
Puck Line
FLA +1.5 (-250) · TOR -1.5 (+180)
Total
O 5.5 (-110) · U (-110)

Graded: total 5 → OVER L · TOR -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
FLAo5.5 51%
38-36
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
51%
19-18
50%
3-3
47%
34-39-1
TORo5.5 58%
43-31
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
46%
17-20
50%
3-3
51%
36-34-3
Puck Line
cover %
FLA+1.5 70%
52-22
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
68%
25-12
83%
5-1
-9.36u
31-43
TOR-1.5 37%
27-47
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
43%
16-21
17%
1-5
+0.77u
36-37
Moneyline
win %
FLA dog +105 60%
44-30
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
54%
20-17
67%
4-2
+3.21u
7-5
TOR fav -125 61%
45-29
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
62%
23-14
33%
2-4
+0.55u
33-20
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 2.5
DK 1.5 o-115/u-115 FD 1.5 o-122/u-104 FLA 26%
19-55
40%
2-3
20%
2-8
35%
13-24
0%
0-6
55%
41-33
1.80 0.96 / 0.84
TOR 28%
21-53
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
22%
8-29
0%
0-6
53%
39-35
1.80 0.91 / 0.89
2nd Period
over 2.5
DK 1.5 o-166/u+130 FD 1.5 o-156/u+122 FLA 28%
21-53
20%
1-4
10%
1-9
22%
8-29
33%
2-4
57%
42-32
2.01 1.14 / 0.88
TOR 35%
26-48
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
24%
9-28
33%
2-4
62%
46-28
2.24 1.30 / 0.95
3rd Period
over 2.5
FD 1.5 o-190/u+148 FLA 28%
21-53
0%
0-5
20%
2-8
38%
14-23
17%
1-5
49%
32-33
1.91 0.96 / 0.95
TOR 32%
24-50
40%
2-3
20%
2-8
35%
13-24
17%
1-5
48%
31-33
2.03 0.96 / 1.07
Team Comparison '24-25
FLATOR
Record (W-L-OTL)47-31-452-26-4
Points %59.8%65.9%
Goals for / game3.073.27
Goals against / game2.722.82
Shots for / game31.628.0
Shots against / game26.229.3
Power play %23.5%24.8%
Penalty kill %80.7%77.9%
Faceoff %49.5%53.7%
1st period GF / GA0.89 / 0.850.88 / 0.84
2nd period GF / GA1.13 / 0.881.23 / 0.89
3rd period GF / GA0.93 / 0.941.02 / 1.04
Avg game total5.796.09
Starting Goalies from the box score
23 saves on 26 shots · 3 GA · L
29 saves on 31 shots · 2 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
FLA0110311/2
TOR0120260/1
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
FLAPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Sam Reinhart G 0.5
o+140
41% 30% 67%4/6 1 O
Sam Bennett G 0.5
o+165
31% 30% 80%4/5 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich G 0.5
o+250
22% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Brad Marchand G 0.5
o+240
30% 20% 38%3/8 0 U
Seth Jones G 0.5
o+475
16% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Niko Mikkola G 0.5
o+1000
9% 20% 17%1/6 0 U
Jonah Gadjovich G 0.5
o+850
12% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Anton Lundell G 0.5
o+325
21% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Nate Schmidt G 0.5
o+1100
7% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe G 0.5
o+250
19% 0% 33%2/6 0 U
Tomas Nosek G 0.5
o+900
2% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Gustav Forsling G 0.5
o+650
12% 0% 0%0/6 1 O
A.J. Greer G 0.5
o+700
8% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Evan Rodrigues G 0.5
o+350
19% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Jesper Boqvist G 0.5
o+600
14% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen G 0.5
o+475
11% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Uvis Balinskis G 0.5
o+1750
6% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
37% 60% 100%2/2 1 O
Brad Marchand PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
59% 50% 88%7/8 0 U
Seth Jones PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
47% 50% 25%1/4 1 O
Sam Reinhart PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+160
68% 50% 83%5/6 2 O
Sam Bennett PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
54% 50% 80%4/5 1 O
Gustav Forsling PTS 0.5
o+190 / u-260
32% 40% 17%1/6 1 O
Carter Verhaeghe PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
46% 20% 50%3/6 0 U
Anton Lundell PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
47% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Brad Marchand A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
39% 40% 75%6/8 0 U
Gustav Forsling A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
20% 40% 17%1/6 0 U
Seth Jones A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
36% 30% 25%1/4 1 O
Sam Reinhart A 0.5
o+110 / u-150
43% 30% 33%2/6 1 O
Sam Bennett A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
32% 30% 40%2/5 1 O
Mackie Samoskevich A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
17% 30% 50%1/2 1 O
Carter Verhaeghe A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
38% 20% 33%2/6 0 U
Anton Lundell A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
32% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Seth Jones SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
64% 80% 50%2/4 2 O
Sam Reinhart SOG 2.5
o-150 / u+115
53% 60% 67%4/6 3 O
Sam Bennett SOG 2.5
o-165 / u+125
64% 60% 80%4/5 2 U
Mackie Samoskevich SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
45% 60% 100%2/2 1 U
Brad Marchand SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
56% 50% 88%7/8 3 O
Carter Verhaeghe SOG 2.5
o-125 / u-105
57% 50% 33%2/6 2 U
Gustav Forsling SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
72% 40% 17%1/6 3 O
Evan Rodrigues SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
61% 30% 33%2/6 0 U
Anton Lundell SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
52% 30% 60%3/5 5 O
Sergei Bobrovsky SV 23.5
o-125 / u-110
57% 30% 25%1/4 23 U
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
John Tavares G 0.5
o+170
37% 60% 33%2/6 1 O
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+100
44% 50% 20%1/5 0 U
Max Domi G 0.5
o+450
12% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
William Nylander G 0.5
o+140
43% 40% 0%0/6 0 U
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+300
26% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Mitch Marner G 0.5
o+220
25% 20% 40%2/5 1 O
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+750
10% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Calle Jarnkrok G 0.5
o+525
9% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Scott Laughton G 0.5
o+550
11% 10% 0%0/7 0 U
David Kampf G 0.5
o+750
9% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+225
31% 10% 20%1/5 1 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+850
6% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Chris Tanev G 0.5
o+1500
3% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+800
10% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1100
3% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Brandon Carlo G 0.5
o+1300
1% 0% 13%1/8 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+800
8% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1750
1% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+125
69% 70% 50%3/6 1 O
Mitch Marner PTS 0.5
o-240 / u+175
73% 70% 60%3/5 2 O
William Nylander PTS 0.5
o-200 / u+150
64% 60% 33%2/6 1 O
Auston Matthews PTS 1.5
o+155 / u-210
32% 40% 20%1/5 1 U
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
51% 40% 20%1/5 2 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson PTS 0.5
o+210 / u-300
33% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Bobby McMann PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
38% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
39% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Mitch Marner A 0.5
o-140 / u+105
62% 60% 20%1/5 1 O
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o-105 / u-130
48% 50% 20%1/5 1 O
John Tavares A 0.5
o+135 / u-185
42% 40% 17%1/6 0 U
William Nylander A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
38% 40% 33%2/6 1 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
29% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
30% 30% 20%1/5 1 O
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+185 / u-260
32% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Bobby McMann A 0.5
o+325 / u-475
18% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Bobby McMann SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+125
67% 80% 33%1/3 5 O
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
53% 80% 40%2/5 1 U
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o-130 / u-105
60% 70% 50%3/6 2 U
Mitch Marner SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
60% 40% 60%3/5 4 O
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o-120 / u-110
54% 40% 60%3/5 4 O
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
43% 30% 50%3/6 3 O
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o+115 / u-155
43% 30% 40%2/5 0 U
Anthony Stolarz SV 25.5
o-125 / u-105
61% 60% 0%0/2 29 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Mar 13, 2025 at TOR TOR 2–3 1–10–21–0 5 5.5 U FLA
Nov 27, 2024 at FLA TOR 1–5 0–21–10–2 6 5.5 O FLA
Apr 16, 2024 at FLA TOR 2–5 2–00–40–1 7 — FLA
Apr 1, 2024 at TOR TOR 6–4 2–03–11–3 10 — TOR
Nov 28, 2023 at TOR TOR 2–1 SO 0–11–00–0 3 — TOR
Oct 19, 2023 at FLA TOR 1–3 0–21–00–1 4 — FLA
May 12, 2023 at TOR TOR 2–3 OT 0–21–01–0 5 — FLA
May 10, 2023 at FLA TOR 2–1 0–01–01–1 3 — TOR
May 7, 2023 at FLA TOR 2–3 OT 1–01–20–0 5 — FLA
May 4, 2023 at TOR TOR 2–3 2–10–20–0 5 — FLA