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FLA @ TBL

Thursday, April 24, 2025 · 5:30 PM CT · Playoffs

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Florida Panthers
16-5-2 · Away
2 – 0
FINAL
Tampa Bay Lightning
1-4-0 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
FLA +105 · TBL -125
Puck Line
FLA +1.5 (-250) · TBL -1.5 (+180)
Total
O 5.5 (-130) · U (+105)

Graded: total 2 → OVER L · TBL -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 FLAo5.5 49%
41-42
60%
3-2
30%
3-7
50%
21-21
62%
8-5
45%
37-45-1
TBLo5.5 55%
46-37
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
60%
25-17
62%
8-5
48%
38-41-3
Puck Line
cover %
 FLA+1.5 70%
58-25
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
67%
28-14
69%
9-4
-9.68u
36-47
TBL-1.5 45%
37-46
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
55%
23-19
31%
4-9
+10.37u
43-39
Moneyline
win %
 FLA dog +105 58%
48-35
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
50%
21-21
69%
9-4
+1.16u
8-8
TBL fav -125 57%
47-36
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
69%
29-13
31%
4-9
+2.74u
41-21
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-125/u-105 FD 1.5 o-128/u+102 FLA 82%
68-15
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
81%
34-8
85%
11-2
54%
45-38
 1.76 0.90 / 0.86
TBL 88%
73-10
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
88%
37-5
85%
11-2
49%
41-42
 1.84 1.11 / 0.73
2nd Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-175/u+135 FD 1.5 o-180/u+140 FLA 90%
75-8
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
88%
37-5
85%
11-2
59%
49-34
 2.04 1.16 / 0.88
TBL 87%
72-11
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
83%
35-7
85%
11-2
58%
48-35
 2.18 1.22 / 0.96
3rd Period
over 0.5
 FD 1.5 o-196/u+152 FLA 89%
74-9
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
86%
36-6
92%
12-1
47%
35-39
 1.86 0.93 / 0.93
TBL 90%
75-8
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
93%
39-3
92%
12-1
38%
29-47
 2.08 1.17 / 0.92
Team Comparison '24-25
FLATBL
Record (W-L-OTL)16-5-21-4-0
Points %73.9%20.0%
Goals for / game4.092.40
Goals against / game2.433.80
Shots for / game28.222.4
Shots against / game27.025.6
Power play %25.3%11.1%
Penalty kill %86.4%75.0%
Faceoff %47.3%50.7%
1st period GF / GA1.30 / 0.740.80 / 1.20
2nd period GF / GA1.17 / 0.701.00 / 1.20
3rd period GF / GA1.52 / 0.910.60 / 1.40
Avg game total6.526.20
Starting Goalies from the box score
19 saves on 19 shots · 0 GA · W
21 saves on 22 shots · 1 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
FLA1010230/3
TBL0000190/5
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
FLAPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Matthew Tkachuk G 0.5
o+165
 34% 80% 46%5/11 0 U
Sam Reinhart G 0.5
o+165
 41% 50% 58%7/12 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe G 0.5
o+275
 21% 30% 39%5/13 0 U
Sam Bennett G 0.5
o+240
 30% 30% 30%3/10 1 O
Brad Marchand G 0.5
o+325
 29% 20% 25%2/8 0 U
Aleksander Barkov G 0.5
o+225
 28% 20% 17%2/12 0 U
Gustav Forsling G 0.5
o+700
 14% 20% 8%1/12 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich G 0.5
o+350
 21% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Dmitry Kulikov G 0.5
o+1600
 6% 10% 0%0/13 0 U
Nate Schmidt G 0.5
o+1100
 7% 10% 14%1/7 1 O
Evan Rodrigues G 0.5
o+475
 18% 10% 8%1/13 0 U
Niko Mikkola G 0.5
o+1200
 8% 10% 8%1/13 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen G 0.5
o+575
 11% 10% 8%1/13 0 U
Anton Lundell G 0.5
o+400
 20% 10% 0%0/12 0 U
Seth Jones G 0.5
o+600
 14% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Jesper Boqvist G 0.5
o+750
 13% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Nico Sturm G 0.5
o+850
 11% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Uvis Balinskis G 0.5
o+1500
 5% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Aleksander Barkov PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 69% 80% 58%7/12 1 O
Matthew Tkachuk PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 62% 80% 82%9/11 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 49% 70% 62%8/13 0 U
Sam Reinhart PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 68% 60% 67%8/12 1 O
Seth Jones PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-170
 47% 50% 17%1/6 1 O
Sam Bennett PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 55% 50% 40%4/10 1 O
Gustav Forsling PTS 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 35% 50% 42%5/12 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 38% 50% 40%2/5 0 U
Brad Marchand PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 58% 40% 75%6/8 0 U
Anton Lundell PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 45% 30% 50%6/12 0 U
Aleksander Barkov A 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 56% 60% 50%6/12 1 O
Matthew Tkachuk A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 49% 60% 73%8/11 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 39% 50% 46%6/13 0 U
Seth Jones A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 38% 50% 17%1/6 1 O
Sam Bennett A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 34% 40% 40%4/10 0 U
Sam Reinhart A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 44% 30% 17%2/12 1 O
Gustav Forsling A 0.5
o+275 / u-425
 21% 30% 42%5/12 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 19% 30% 40%2/5 0 U
Brad Marchand A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 38% 20% 63%5/8 0 U
Anton Lundell A 0.5
o+275 / u-425
 30% 20% 50%6/12 0 U
Seth Jones SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 66% 80% 33%2/6 2 O
Aleksander Barkov SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 71% 70% 75%9/12 0 U
Sam Reinhart SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-130
 54% 70% 75%9/12 1 U
Brad Marchand SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 79% 60% 88%7/8 0 U
Matthew Tkachuk SOG 2.5
o-140 / u+105
 53% 60% 73%8/11 1 U
Anton Lundell SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 53% 60% 17%2/12 1 U
Gustav Forsling SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+115
 70% 50% 58%7/12 2 O
Mackie Samoskevich SOG 1.5
o-130 / u+100
 45% 50% 40%2/5 2 O
Carter Verhaeghe SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 55% 40% 54%7/13 3 O
Sam Bennett SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-175
 62% 40% 40%4/10 4 O
Sergei Bobrovsky SV 22.5
o-130 / u+100
 62% 30% 64%7/11 19 U
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+170
 40% 50% 44%4/9 0 U
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+155
 46% 40% 54%7/13 0 U
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+150
 41% 30% 31%4/13 0 U
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+475
 16% 20% 8%1/13 0 U
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+195
 35% 20% 31%4/13 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+375
 12% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Conor Geekie G 0.5
o+550
 15% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1200
 5% 10% 0%0/7 0 U
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+500
 12% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Nick Paul G 0.5
o+300
 27% 10% 23%3/13 0 U
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+300
 30% 10% 0%0/13 0 U
Nick Perbix G 0.5
o+1750
 8% 10% 0%0/10 0 U
Mitchell Chaffee G 0.5
o+750
 18% 10% 9%1/11 0 U
Emil Lilleberg G 0.5
o+1750
 1% 10% 0%0/11 0 U
Luke Glendening G 0.5
o+1100
 5% 0% 0%0/12 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+750
 2% 0% 0%0/8 0 U
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1300
 4% 0% 0%0/13 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+1500
 4% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 55% 60% 85%11/13 0 U
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 63% 60% 89%8/9 0 U
Yanni Gourde PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 45% 50% 60%3/5 0 U
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 69% 50% 62%8/13 0 U
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 48% 50% 39%5/13 0 U
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 69% 50% 54%7/13 0 U
Gage Goncalves PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-210
 31% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o+120 / u-165
 42% 40% 23%3/13 0 U
Nick Paul PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 46% 20% 39%5/13 0 U
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-195 / u+145
 67% 70% 69%9/13 0 U
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 48% 50% 77%10/13 0 U
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 31% 50% 39%5/13 0 U
Yanni Gourde A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 36% 40% 60%3/5 0 U
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 37% 30% 44%4/9 0 U
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 36% 30% 23%3/13 0 U
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 49% 30% 39%5/13 0 U
Gage Goncalves A 0.5
o+275 / u-425
 20% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Nick Paul A 0.5
o+325 / u-475
 22% 10% 15%2/13 0 U
Yanni Gourde SOG 1.5
o+110 / u-145
 40% 70% 40%2/5 1 U
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-130
 46% 60% 67%6/9 0 U
Nick Paul SOG 1.5
o-130 / u+100
 53% 60% 62%8/13 1 U
Brandon Hagel SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 71% 60% 46%6/13 2 O
Victor Hedman SOG 1.5
o-190 / u+140
 64% 50% 69%9/13 0 U
Nikita Kucherov SOG 2.5
o-160 / u+120
 68% 50% 46%6/13 1 U
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o+110 / u-145
 63% 40% 39%5/13 0 U
Brayden Point SOG 2.5
o+140 / u-190
 44% 20% 46%6/13 3 O
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 25.5
o-130 / u+100
 45% 40% 50%6/12 21 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Apr 22, 2025 at TBL TBL 2–6 1–21–30–1 8 5.5 O FLA
Apr 15, 2025 at TBL TBL 5–1 3–01–11–0 6 5.5 O TBL
Mar 3, 2025 at FLA TBL 1–2 0–00–21–0 3 5.5 U FLA
Dec 23, 2024 at FLA TBL 4–0 3–00–01–0 4 6.5 U TBL
Dec 22, 2024 at TBL TBL 2–4 1–10–21–1 6 6.5 U FLA
Apr 29, 2024 at FLA TBL 1–6 0–01–20–4 7 — FLA
Apr 27, 2024 at TBL TBL 6–3 3–01–32–0 9 — TBL
Apr 25, 2024 at TBL TBL 3–5 0–12–21–2 8 — FLA
Apr 23, 2024 at FLA TBL 2–3 OT 0–22–00–0 5 — FLA
Apr 21, 2024 at FLA TBL 2–3 1–10–01–2 5 — FLA