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TBL @ FLA

Saturday, April 26, 2025 · 12:00 PM CT · Playoffs

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Tampa Bay Lightning
1-4-0 · Away
5 – 1
FINAL
Florida Panthers
16-5-2 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TBL +120 · FLA -140
Puck Line
TBL +1.5 (-230) · FLA -1.5 (+175)
Total
O 5.5 (-115) · U (-105)

Graded: total 6 → OVER W · FLA -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 TBLo5.5 55%
46-38
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
51%
21-20
57%
8-6
48%
38-42-3
FLAo5.5 49%
41-43
60%
3-2
30%
3-7
49%
20-21
57%
8-6
45%
37-46-1
Puck Line
cover %
 TBL+1.5 76%
64-20
40%
2-3
70%
7-3
73%
30-11
57%
8-6
+9.37u
43-40
FLA-1.5 38%
32-52
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
44%
18-23
43%
6-8
-9.28u
37-47
Moneyline
win %
 TBL dog +120 56%
47-37
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
44%
18-23
29%
4-10
-7.05u
6-14
FLA fav -140 58%
49-35
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
66%
27-14
71%
10-4
-5.63u
40-27
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-115/u-115 FD 1.5 o-126/u-102 TBL 29%
24-60
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
27%
11-30
36%
5-9
49%
41-43
 1.83 1.10 / 0.74
FLA 25%
21-63
40%
2-3
20%
2-8
15%
6-35
36%
5-9
54%
45-39
 1.75 0.90 / 0.85
2nd Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-175/u+135 FD 1.5 o-164/u+128 TBL 41%
34-50
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
42%
17-24
36%
5-9
57%
48-36
 2.15 1.20 / 0.95
FLA 29%
24-60
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
37%
15-26
36%
5-9
58%
49-35
 2.01 1.14 / 0.87
3rd Period
over 2.5
 FD 1.5 o-182/u+142 TBL 32%
27-57
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
32%
13-28
36%
5-9
38%
29-48
 2.07 1.15 / 0.92
FLA 26%
22-62
0%
0-5
10%
1-9
17%
7-34
36%
5-9
47%
35-40
 1.85 0.93 / 0.92
Team Comparison '24-25
TBLFLA
Record (W-L-OTL)1-4-016-5-2
Points %20.0%73.9%
Goals for / game2.404.09
Goals against / game3.802.43
Shots for / game22.428.2
Shots against / game25.627.0
Power play %11.1%25.3%
Penalty kill %75.0%86.4%
Faceoff %50.7%47.3%
1st period GF / GA0.80 / 1.201.30 / 0.74
2nd period GF / GA1.00 / 1.201.17 / 0.70
3rd period GF / GA0.60 / 1.401.52 / 0.91
Avg game total6.206.52
Starting Goalies from the box score
33 saves on 34 shots · 1 GA · W
17 saves on 21 shots · 4 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TBL1130220/5
FLA1000340/4
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+170
 39% 40% 40%4/10 1 O
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+165
 46% 40% 50%7/14 1 O
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+155
 40% 30% 29%4/14 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+525
 11% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Conor Geekie G 0.5
o+575
 15% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1200
 5% 10% 0%0/8 0 U
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+500
 16% 10% 7%1/14 0 U
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+450
 12% 10% 0%0/6 0 U
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+325
 29% 10% 0%0/14 1 O
Nick Perbix G 0.5
o+1750
 8% 10% 0%0/11 0 U
Emil Lilleberg G 0.5
o+2000
 1% 10% 0%0/12 0 U
Luke Glendening G 0.5
o+1100
 5% 0% 0%0/13 1 O
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+900
 2% 0% 0%0/9 0 U
Nick Paul G 0.5
o+325
 27% 0% 21%3/14 1 O
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1300
 4% 0% 0%0/14 0 U
Mitchell Chaffee G 0.5
o+900
 18% 0% 8%1/12 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+1500
 4% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 54% 50% 79%11/14 0 U
Yanni Gourde PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 44% 50% 50%3/6 1 O
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 62% 50% 80%8/10 3 O
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-170 / u+125
 68% 40% 57%8/14 1 O
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 48% 40% 36%5/14 1 O
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o+125 / u-165
 41% 30% 21%3/14 3 O
Nick Paul PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-220
 45% 10% 36%5/14 1 O
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-195 / u+145
 66% 60% 64%9/14 3 O
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 47% 50% 71%10/14 0 U
Yanni Gourde A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 36% 40% 50%3/6 1 O
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 31% 40% 36%5/14 0 U
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 37% 20% 40%4/10 2 O
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 35% 20% 21%3/14 0 U
Nick Paul A 0.5
o+325 / u-500
 22% 10% 14%2/14 0 U
Yanni Gourde SOG 1.5
o+100 / u-135
 39% 60% 33%2/6 0 U
Brayden Point SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 73% 60% 64%9/14 4 O
Victor Hedman SOG 1.5
o-200 / u+145
 63% 50% 64%9/14 3 O
Nikita Kucherov SOG 2.5
o-160 / u+120
 68% 50% 43%6/14 1 U
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-150
 45% 50% 60%6/10 5 O
Nick Paul SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 53% 50% 57%8/14 3 O
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o+115 / u-150
 62% 40% 36%5/14 1 U
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 26.5
o-125 / u-105
 42% 30% 39%5/13 33 O
FLAPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Matthew Tkachuk G 0.5
o+175
 33% 80% 42%5/12 1 O
Sam Reinhart G 0.5
o+155
 41% 40% 54%7/13 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe G 0.5
o+250
 21% 30% 36%5/14 0 U
Sam Bennett G 0.5
o+210
 31% 30% 36%4/11 0 U
Brad Marchand G 0.5
o+300
 29% 20% 22%2/9 0 U
Nate Schmidt G 0.5
o+1100
 9% 20% 25%2/8 0 U
Gustav Forsling G 0.5
o+700
 13% 20% 8%1/13 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich G 0.5
o+300
 20% 20% 0%0/6 0 U
Dmitry Kulikov G 0.5
o+1750
 6% 10% 0%0/14 0 U
Aleksander Barkov G 0.5
o+225
 28% 10% 15%2/13 0 U
Evan Rodrigues G 0.5
o+450
 18% 10% 7%1/14 0 U
Niko Mikkola G 0.5
o+1200
 8% 10% 7%1/14 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen G 0.5
o+500
 11% 10% 7%1/14 0 U
Anton Lundell G 0.5
o+350
 20% 10% 0%0/13 0 U
Seth Jones G 0.5
o+600
 14% 0% 0%0/7 0 U
Aaron Ekblad G 0.5
o+600
 5% 0% 11%1/9 0 U
Jesper Boqvist G 0.5
o+750
 13% 0% 0%0/7 0 U
Nico Sturm G 0.5
o+850
 11% 0% 0%0/7 0 U
Aleksander Barkov PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 70% 80% 62%8/13 0 U
Matthew Tkachuk PTS 0.5
o-170 / u+130
 61% 80% 75%9/12 1 O
Aaron Ekblad PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 45% 70% 56%5/9 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 48% 60% 57%8/14 0 U
Sam Reinhart PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+130
 68% 60% 69%9/13 0 U
Seth Jones PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 48% 50% 29%2/7 0 U
Sam Bennett PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 55% 50% 46%5/11 1 O
Mackie Samoskevich PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 38% 50% 33%2/6 0 U
Brad Marchand PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 58% 40% 67%6/9 0 U
Gustav Forsling PTS 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 34% 40% 39%5/13 0 U
Anton Lundell PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 44% 30% 46%6/13 0 U
Aleksander Barkov A 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 57% 70% 54%7/13 0 U
Aaron Ekblad A 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 43% 70% 44%4/9 0 U
Matthew Tkachuk A 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 48% 60% 67%8/12 0 U
Seth Jones A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 39% 50% 29%2/7 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 39% 40% 43%6/14 0 U
Sam Reinhart A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 44% 40% 23%3/13 0 U
Sam Bennett A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 33% 30% 36%4/11 1 O
Mackie Samoskevich A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 19% 30% 33%2/6 0 U
Brad Marchand A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
 37% 20% 56%5/9 0 U
Gustav Forsling A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 21% 20% 39%5/13 0 U
Anton Lundell A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 30% 20% 46%6/13 0 U
Seth Jones SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 66% 80% 43%3/7 2 O
Brad Marchand SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+130
 78% 60% 78%7/9 3 O
Aleksander Barkov SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 70% 60% 69%9/13 5 O
Aaron Ekblad SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 52% 60% 33%3/9 2 O
Sam Reinhart SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-120
 53% 60% 69%9/13 2 U
Gustav Forsling SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 71% 60% 62%8/13 3 O
Matthew Tkachuk SOG 2.5
o-150 / u+115
 52% 60% 67%8/12 2 U
Anton Lundell SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 52% 60% 15%2/13 2 O
Mackie Samoskevich SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 46% 60% 50%3/6 2 O
Evan Rodrigues SOG 1.5
o+110 / u-145
 60% 50% 50%7/14 2 O
Carter Verhaeghe SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-135
 55% 40% 57%8/14 2 U
Sam Bennett SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 63% 40% 46%5/11 3 O
Sergei Bobrovsky SV 22.5
o-110 / u-120
 61% 20% 58%7/12 17 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Apr 24, 2025 at TBL FLA 2–0 1–00–01–0 2 5.5 U FLA
Apr 22, 2025 at TBL FLA 6–2 2–13–11–0 8 5.5 O FLA
Apr 15, 2025 at TBL FLA 1–5 0–31–10–1 6 5.5 O TBL
Mar 3, 2025 at FLA FLA 2–1 0–02–00–1 3 5.5 U FLA
Dec 23, 2024 at FLA FLA 0–4 0–30–00–1 4 6.5 U TBL
Dec 22, 2024 at TBL FLA 4–2 1–12–01–1 6 6.5 U FLA
Apr 29, 2024 at FLA FLA 6–1 0–02–14–0 7 — FLA
Apr 27, 2024 at TBL FLA 3–6 0–33–10–2 9 — TBL
Apr 25, 2024 at TBL FLA 5–3 1–02–22–1 8 — FLA
Apr 23, 2024 at FLA FLA 3–2 OT 2–00–20–0 5 — FLA