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TBL @ FLA

Monday, April 28, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT · Playoffs

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Tampa Bay Lightning
1-4-0 · Away
2 – 4
FINAL
Florida Panthers
16-5-2 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TBL +125 · FLA -145
Puck Line
TBL +1.5 (-210) · FLA -1.5 (+160)
Total
O 5.5 (-120) · U (+100)

Graded: total 6 → OVER W · FLA -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 TBLo5.5 55%
47-38
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
52%
22-20
60%
9-6
48%
39-42-3
FLAo5.5 49%
42-43
80%
4-1
40%
4-6
50%
21-21
60%
9-6
45%
38-46-1
Puck Line
cover %
 TBL+1.5 77%
65-20
40%
2-3
70%
7-3
74%
31-11
60%
9-6
+9.80u
44-40
FLA-1.5 38%
32-53
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
43%
18-24
40%
6-9
-10.28u
37-48
Moneyline
win %
 TBL dog +125 57%
48-37
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
45%
19-23
33%
5-10
-5.85u
7-14
FLA fav -145 58%
49-36
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
64%
27-15
67%
10-5
-6.63u
40-28
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-115/u-115 FD 1.5 o-124/u-102 TBL 28%
24-61
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
26%
11-31
33%
5-10
49%
42-43
 1.84 1.09 / 0.74
FLA 25%
21-64
40%
2-3
20%
2-8
14%
6-36
33%
5-10
54%
46-39
 1.75 0.91 / 0.85
2nd Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-180/u+140 FD 1.5 o-172/u+134 TBL 40%
34-51
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
41%
17-25
33%
5-10
57%
48-37
 2.14 1.20 / 0.94
FLA 28%
24-61
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
36%
15-27
33%
5-10
58%
49-36
 2.00 1.13 / 0.87
3rd Period
over 2.5
 FD 1.5 o-180/u+140 TBL 33%
28-57
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
33%
14-28
40%
6-9
39%
30-48
 2.08 1.18 / 0.91
FLA 27%
23-62
20%
1-4
10%
1-9
19%
8-34
40%
6-9
47%
36-40
 1.86 0.92 / 0.94
Team Comparison '24-25
TBLFLA
Record (W-L-OTL)1-4-016-5-2
Points %20.0%73.9%
Goals for / game2.404.09
Goals against / game3.802.43
Shots for / game22.428.2
Shots against / game25.627.0
Power play %11.1%25.3%
Penalty kill %75.0%86.4%
Faceoff %50.7%47.3%
1st period GF / GA0.80 / 1.201.30 / 0.74
2nd period GF / GA1.00 / 1.201.17 / 0.70
3rd period GF / GA0.60 / 1.401.52 / 0.91
Avg game total6.206.52
Starting Goalies from the box score
19 saves on 22 shots · 3 GA · L
18 saves on 20 shots · 2 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TBL0200200/2
FLA0130230/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+170
 46% 50% 53%8/15 0 U
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+165
 40% 40% 46%5/11 0 U
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+170
 40% 30% 27%4/15 0 U
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+325
 30% 20% 7%1/15 0 U
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+275
 35% 20% 29%4/14 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+475
 11% 20% 0%0/6 0 U
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1200
 5% 10% 0%0/9 0 U
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+575
 16% 10% 7%1/15 0 U
Luke Glendening G 0.5
o+1100
 6% 10% 7%1/14 0 U
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+525
 12% 10% 0%0/7 0 U
Nick Paul G 0.5
o+375
 28% 10% 27%4/15 0 U
Darren Raddysh G 0.5
o+1200
 8% 10% 17%2/12 0 U
Emil Lilleberg G 0.5
o+2000
 1% 10% 0%0/13 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+850
 2% 0% 0%0/10 0 U
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1300
 4% 0% 0%0/15 1 O
Mitchell Chaffee G 0.5
o+700
 18% 0% 8%1/13 1 O
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+1500
 4% 0% 0%0/7 0 U
Gage Goncalves PTS 0.5
o+185 / u-260
 32% 60% 33%2/6 0 U
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 54% 50% 73%11/15 0 U
Yanni Gourde PTS 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 45% 50% 57%4/7 0 U
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 63% 50% 82%9/11 1 O
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+115
 69% 50% 60%9/15 0 U
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 48% 50% 40%6/15 0 U
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-130
 68% 50% 50%7/14 0 U
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o+140 / u-190
 42% 40% 27%4/15 0 U
Nick Paul PTS 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 46% 20% 40%6/15 0 U
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 67% 70% 67%10/15 0 U
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 46% 50% 67%10/15 0 U
Yanni Gourde A 0.5
o+300 / u-425
 37% 40% 57%4/7 0 U
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 30% 40% 33%5/15 0 U
Gage Goncalves A 0.5
o+325 / u-475
 21% 40% 33%2/6 0 U
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 49% 30% 36%5/14 0 U
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 37% 20% 46%5/11 1 O
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 35% 20% 20%3/15 0 U
Nick Paul A 0.5
o+400 / u-600
 22% 10% 13%2/15 0 U
Victor Hedman SOG 1.5
o-200 / u+150
 63% 60% 67%10/15 4 O
Brandon Hagel SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 71% 60% 50%7/14 0 U
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-130
 46% 50% 64%7/11 1 U
Nick Paul SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 53% 50% 60%9/15 0 U
Nikita Kucherov SOG 2.5
o-140 / u+105
 67% 40% 40%6/15 1 U
Brayden Point SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-180
 45% 30% 53%8/15 1 U
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o+110 / u-150
 61% 30% 33%5/15 1 U
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 26.5
o-130 / u-105
 42% 40% 43%6/14 19 U
FLAPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Matthew Tkachuk G 0.5
o+170
 35% 80% 46%6/13 0 U
Sam Reinhart G 0.5
o+155
 40% 40% 50%7/14 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe G 0.5
o+250
 20% 30% 33%5/15 1 O
Sam Bennett G 0.5
o+260
 30% 30% 33%4/12 0 U
Brad Marchand G 0.5
o+300
 28% 20% 20%2/10 0 U
Nate Schmidt G 0.5
o+1100
 8% 20% 22%2/9 0 U
Gustav Forsling G 0.5
o+700
 13% 20% 7%1/14 0 U
Dmitry Kulikov G 0.5
o+1750
 6% 10% 0%0/15 0 U
Aleksander Barkov G 0.5
o+225
 27% 10% 14%2/14 0 U
Evan Rodrigues G 0.5
o+400
 18% 10% 7%1/15 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen G 0.5
o+600
 11% 10% 7%1/15 0 U
Anton Lundell G 0.5
o+350
 20% 10% 0%0/14 1 O
Seth Jones G 0.5
o+575
 14% 0% 0%0/8 1 O
Aaron Ekblad G 0.5
o+650
 5% 0% 10%1/10 1 O
A.J. Greer G 0.5
o+700
 7% 0% 50%2/4 0 U
Niko Mikkola G 0.5
o+1200
 8% 0% 7%1/15 0 U
Jesper Boqvist G 0.5
o+650
 12% 0% 0%0/8 0 U
Nico Sturm G 0.5
o+700
 11% 0% 0%0/8 0 U
Aleksander Barkov PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+125
 69% 80% 57%8/14 1 O
Matthew Tkachuk PTS 0.5
o-170 / u+125
 62% 80% 77%10/13 0 U
Aaron Ekblad PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 44% 70% 50%5/10 1 O
Carter Verhaeghe PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 48% 60% 53%8/15 1 O
Sam Reinhart PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 67% 60% 64%9/14 1 O
Sam Bennett PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 56% 60% 50%6/12 0 U
Brad Marchand PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 57% 40% 60%6/10 1 O
Seth Jones PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 47% 40% 25%2/8 1 O
Gustav Forsling PTS 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 34% 40% 36%5/14 0 U
Evan Rodrigues PTS 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 33% 40% 33%5/15 0 U
Anton Lundell PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 44% 30% 43%6/14 2 O
Aleksander Barkov A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 56% 70% 50%7/14 1 O
Aaron Ekblad A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 42% 70% 40%4/10 0 U
Matthew Tkachuk A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 47% 50% 62%8/13 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 38% 40% 40%6/15 0 U
Seth Jones A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 38% 40% 25%2/8 0 U
Sam Reinhart A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 44% 40% 21%3/14 1 O
Sam Bennett A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 34% 40% 42%5/12 0 U
Evan Rodrigues A 0.5
o+325 / u-475
 20% 30% 27%4/15 0 U
Brad Marchand A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 37% 20% 50%5/10 1 O
Gustav Forsling A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 21% 20% 36%5/14 0 U
Anton Lundell A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 29% 20% 43%6/14 1 O
Seth Jones SOG 1.5
o-185 / u+135
 67% 80% 50%4/8 1 U
Brad Marchand SOG 1.5
o-185 / u+135
 78% 70% 80%8/10 0 U
Gustav Forsling SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 71% 70% 64%9/14 3 O
Aleksander Barkov SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+125
 70% 60% 71%10/14 3 O
Aaron Ekblad SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 53% 60% 40%4/10 1 U
Evan Rodrigues SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 60% 60% 53%8/15 1 U
Matthew Tkachuk SOG 2.5
o-135 / u+105
 51% 60% 62%8/13 0 U
Anton Lundell SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 52% 60% 21%3/14 3 O
Sam Reinhart SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-120
 52% 50% 64%9/14 3 O
Sam Bennett SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-150
 63% 50% 50%6/12 3 O
Carter Verhaeghe SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 55% 40% 53%8/15 2 U
Sergei Bobrovsky SV 21.5
o-130 / u+100
 61% 20% 54%7/13 18 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Apr 26, 2025 at FLA FLA 1–5 1–10–10–3 6 5.5 O TBL
Apr 24, 2025 at TBL FLA 2–0 1–00–01–0 2 5.5 U FLA
Apr 22, 2025 at TBL FLA 6–2 2–13–11–0 8 5.5 O FLA
Apr 15, 2025 at TBL FLA 1–5 0–31–10–1 6 5.5 O TBL
Mar 3, 2025 at FLA FLA 2–1 0–02–00–1 3 5.5 U FLA
Dec 23, 2024 at FLA FLA 0–4 0–30–00–1 4 6.5 U TBL
Dec 22, 2024 at TBL FLA 4–2 1–12–01–1 6 6.5 U FLA
Apr 29, 2024 at FLA FLA 6–1 0–02–14–0 7 — FLA
Apr 27, 2024 at TBL FLA 3–6 0–33–10–2 9 — TBL
Apr 25, 2024 at TBL FLA 5–3 1–02–22–1 8 — FLA