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FLA @ TBL

Wednesday, April 30, 2025 · 6:30 PM CT · Playoffs

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Florida Panthers
16-5-2 · Away
6 – 3
FINAL
Tampa Bay Lightning
1-4-0 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
FLA -110 · TBL -110
Puck Line
FLA +1.5 (-325) · TBL -1.5 (+210)
Total
O 5.5 (-105) · U (-115)

Graded: total 9 → OVER W · TBL -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 FLAo5.5 50%
43-43
80%
4-1
50%
5-5
49%
21-22
63%
10-6
46%
39-46-1
TBLo5.5 56%
48-38
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
58%
25-18
63%
10-6
49%
40-42-3
Puck Line
cover %
 FLA+1.5 70%
60-26
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
67%
29-14
69%
11-5
-8.68u
38-48
TBL-1.5 44%
38-48
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
54%
23-20
31%
5-11
+8.80u
44-41
Moneyline
win %
 FLA dog -110 58%
50-36
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
51%
22-21
69%
11-5
+2.21u
9-8
TBL dog -110 56%
48-38
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
67%
29-14
31%
5-11
-6.85u
7-15
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-110/u-120 FD 1.5 o-110/u-116 FLA 24%
21-65
40%
2-3
20%
2-8
35%
15-28
31%
5-11
54%
46-40
 1.73 0.90 / 0.84
TBL 28%
24-62
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
30%
13-30
31%
5-11
49%
42-44
 1.81 1.08 / 0.73
2nd Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-160/u+124 FD 1.5 o-144/u+114 FLA 29%
25-61
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
21%
9-34
38%
6-10
58%
50-36
 2.01 1.13 / 0.88
TBL 41%
35-51
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
40%
17-26
38%
6-10
57%
49-37
 2.15 1.21 / 0.94
3rd Period
over 2.5
 FD 1.5 o-176/u+138 FLA 28%
24-62
40%
2-3
20%
2-8
35%
15-28
44%
7-9
48%
37-40
 1.87 0.94 / 0.93
TBL 34%
29-57
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
33%
14-29
44%
7-9
39%
31-48
 2.09 1.16 / 0.93
Team Comparison '24-25
FLATBL
Record (W-L-OTL)16-5-21-4-0
Points %73.9%20.0%
Goals for / game4.092.40
Goals against / game2.433.80
Shots for / game28.222.4
Shots against / game27.025.6
Power play %25.3%11.1%
Penalty kill %86.4%75.0%
Faceoff %47.3%50.7%
1st period GF / GA1.30 / 0.740.80 / 1.20
2nd period GF / GA1.17 / 0.701.00 / 1.20
3rd period GF / GA1.52 / 0.910.60 / 1.40
Avg game total6.526.20
Starting Goalies from the box score
26 saves on 29 shots · 3 GA · W
25 saves on 30 shots · 5 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
FLA2220311/3
TBL2100291/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
FLAPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Matthew Tkachuk G 0.5
o+160
 34% 80% 43%6/14 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe G 0.5
o+220
 21% 40% 38%6/16 1 O
Sam Reinhart G 0.5
o+160
 40% 30% 47%7/15 1 O
Brad Marchand G 0.5
o+300
 28% 20% 18%2/11 0 U
Nate Schmidt G 0.5
o+850
 8% 20% 20%2/10 0 U
Sam Bennett G 0.5
o+220
 30% 20% 31%4/13 1 O
Gustav Forsling G 0.5
o+700
 13% 20% 7%1/15 0 U
Anton Lundell G 0.5
o+350
 21% 20% 7%1/15 1 O
Dmitry Kulikov G 0.5
o+1750
 5% 10% 0%0/16 0 U
Aleksander Barkov G 0.5
o+225
 27% 10% 13%2/15 1 O
Seth Jones G 0.5
o+475
 15% 10% 11%1/9 0 U
Evan Rodrigues G 0.5
o+325
 17% 10% 6%1/16 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen G 0.5
o+600
 11% 10% 6%1/16 1 O
A.J. Greer G 0.5
o+900
 7% 0% 40%2/5 0 U
Niko Mikkola G 0.5
o+1300
 8% 0% 6%1/16 0 U
Jesper Boqvist G 0.5
o+850
 12% 0% 0%0/9 0 U
Nico Sturm G 0.5
o+900
 11% 0% 0%0/9 0 U
Uvis Balinskis G 0.5
o+1600
 5% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Aleksander Barkov PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 69% 80% 60%9/15 1 O
Matthew Tkachuk PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 61% 80% 71%10/14 1 O
Carter Verhaeghe PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 48% 70% 56%9/16 1 O
Sam Reinhart PTS 0.5
o-190 / u+140
 68% 60% 67%10/15 2 O
Brad Marchand PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 57% 50% 64%7/11 2 O
Seth Jones PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 48% 50% 33%3/9 0 U
Sam Bennett PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 55% 50% 46%6/13 1 O
Gustav Forsling PTS 0.5
o+185 / u-260
 33% 40% 33%5/15 1 O
Evan Rodrigues PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 33% 40% 31%5/16 0 U
Anton Lundell PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 45% 30% 47%7/15 3 O
Aleksander Barkov A 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 56% 70% 53%8/15 0 U
Sam Reinhart A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 45% 50% 27%4/15 1 O
Matthew Tkachuk A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 46% 50% 57%8/14 1 O
Carter Verhaeghe A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 38% 40% 38%6/16 0 U
Seth Jones A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 37% 40% 22%2/9 0 U
Sam Bennett A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 34% 40% 39%5/13 0 U
Brad Marchand A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 37% 30% 55%6/11 2 O
Evan Rodrigues A 0.5
o+300 / u-425
 20% 30% 25%4/16 0 U
Gustav Forsling A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 20% 20% 33%5/15 1 O
Anton Lundell A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 30% 20% 47%7/15 2 O
Aleksander Barkov SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 70% 70% 73%11/15 2 O
Seth Jones SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 66% 70% 44%4/9 2 O
Gustav Forsling SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 71% 70% 67%10/15 0 U
Brad Marchand SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 77% 60% 73%8/11 0 U
Evan Rodrigues SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 59% 60% 50%8/16 0 U
Anton Lundell SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+105
 53% 60% 27%4/15 3 O
Sam Reinhart SOG 2.5
o-125 / u-105
 53% 50% 67%10/15 7 O
Sam Bennett SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-120
 64% 50% 54%7/13 6 O
Matthew Tkachuk SOG 2.5
o-145 / u+110
 50% 50% 57%8/14 2 U
Carter Verhaeghe SOG 2.5
o-120 / u-110
 54% 40% 50%8/16 3 O
Sergei Bobrovsky SV 22.5
o-115 / u-115
 59% 10% 50%7/14 26 O
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+155
 39% 40% 42%5/12 1 O
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+160
 46% 40% 50%8/16 0 U
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+155
 39% 30% 25%4/16 0 U
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+300
 30% 20% 6%1/16 0 U
Conor Geekie G 0.5
o+475
 15% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1100
 5% 10% 0%0/10 0 U
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+500
 16% 10% 6%1/16 0 U
Luke Glendening G 0.5
o+850
 6% 10% 7%1/15 0 U
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+500
 12% 10% 0%0/8 0 U
Nick Paul G 0.5
o+300
 28% 10% 25%4/16 1 O
Darren Raddysh G 0.5
o+1100
 8% 10% 15%2/13 0 U
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1100
 5% 10% 6%1/16 0 U
Mitchell Chaffee G 0.5
o+600
 19% 10% 14%2/14 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+425
 11% 10% 0%0/7 1 O
Emil Lilleberg G 0.5
o+1750
 1% 10% 0%0/14 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+700
 2% 0% 0%0/11 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+1400
 3% 0% 0%0/8 0 U
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 63% 60% 83%10/12 1 O
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 53% 50% 69%11/16 2 O
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 48% 50% 38%6/16 0 U
Gage Goncalves PTS 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 31% 50% 29%2/7 1 O
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o+125 / u-165
 42% 40% 25%4/16 0 U
Yanni Gourde PTS 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 44% 40% 50%4/8 0 U
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+125
 68% 40% 56%9/16 0 U
Nick Paul PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 45% 20% 38%6/16 1 O
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-190 / u+140
 66% 60% 63%10/16 0 U
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o+120 / u-165
 46% 50% 63%10/16 2 O
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 30% 40% 31%5/16 0 U
Gage Goncalves A 0.5
o+350 / u-525
 20% 40% 29%2/7 0 U
Yanni Gourde A 0.5
o+275 / u-425
 36% 30% 50%4/8 0 U
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 38% 30% 50%6/12 0 U
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+145 / u-190
 35% 20% 19%3/16 0 U
Nick Paul A 0.5
o+350 / u-550
 21% 10% 13%2/16 0 U
Victor Hedman SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 64% 60% 69%11/16 3 O
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-130
 45% 40% 58%7/12 4 O
Nick Paul SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-125
 53% 40% 56%9/16 5 O
Nikita Kucherov SOG 2.5
o-135 / u+105
 66% 30% 38%6/16 2 U
Brayden Point SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-180
 44% 30% 50%8/16 2 U
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o+105 / u-140
 61% 30% 31%5/16 2 O
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 25.5
o-130 / u+100
 45% 40% 47%7/15 25 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Apr 28, 2025 at FLA TBL 2–4 0–02–10–3 6 5.5 O FLA
Apr 26, 2025 at FLA TBL 5–1 1–11–03–0 6 5.5 O TBL
Apr 24, 2025 at TBL TBL 0–2 0–10–00–1 2 5.5 U FLA
Apr 22, 2025 at TBL TBL 2–6 1–21–30–1 8 5.5 O FLA
Apr 15, 2025 at TBL TBL 5–1 3–01–11–0 6 5.5 O TBL
Mar 3, 2025 at FLA TBL 1–2 0–00–21–0 3 5.5 U FLA
Dec 23, 2024 at FLA TBL 4–0 3–00–01–0 4 6.5 U TBL
Dec 22, 2024 at TBL TBL 2–4 1–10–21–1 6 6.5 U FLA
Apr 29, 2024 at FLA TBL 1–6 0–01–20–4 7 — FLA
Apr 27, 2024 at TBL TBL 6–3 3–01–32–0 9 — TBL